Jeff Lonsdale
@JeffLonsdale
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Views belong to no one, they evolve and spread on their own.
Austin, TX
Joined July 2009
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#音楽の日
• 1109362 Tweets
#音楽の日
• 1109362 Tweets
BELLELIEVE BIRTHDAY CONCERT
• 96191 Tweets
ダンス企画
• 91049 Tweets
THE TASTE TIME LIVE X BUILD
• 73660 Tweets
メドレー
• 56050 Tweets
#スノと夏の思い出
• 51652 Tweets
中居さん
• 25376 Tweets
音楽番組
• 24122 Tweets
Two for all
• 21819 Tweets
ジェシー
• 21234 Tweets
トラジャ
• 20288 Tweets
佐久間くん
• 19155 Tweets
#国民的アニメの祭典
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KEYTALK
• 18318 Tweets
Onana
• 17957 Tweets
マイケル
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SMAP
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SOTA
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İzmir
• 14195 Tweets
日本のソシャゲ
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坂道グループ
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محمد الضيف
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Pinned Tweet
So it wasn't that I decided that I needed more incentives to think in 140 characters, but its prevalence is making me try it out anyway.
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@GothamChess
This tweet is only 11 minutes old and Hikaru already has a video recap of the game up.
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Something that is very underrated:
Going to a foreign country and following along with a friend as they do certain chores around town.
No one wants to subject their friends from abroad to this, but getting a little window into what life is like is really fascinating.
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When you have a fictional universe with a dedicated following it makes sense to monetize it across multiple platforms.
NEW: The New York Times has 10 scripted TV show projects in development, as well as 3 feature documentaries coming out this year and several other docs in development and production, executives tell Axios.
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Imagine if academics in the 50s didn’t just have to sign a paper stating that they weren’t a communist and were loyal to the US, but were required to give evidence of how they were fighting communism in the school and around the country…
Thread: Universities increasingly require DEI statements for not only hiring but also promotion and tenure (see below).
In many cases, the rubrics for evaluating those statements test for whether candidates display the right "values."
For example, UC Berkeley's rubric.
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@business
The headline makes it sound like a family owed $1.6B without having liquid assets and a grad fixed this tough problem.
But no, a family had a liquid $1.6B and apparently wasn’t sure what to do with it and their kid in college had ideas.
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Unpopular opinion: There are actually lots of interesting unpopular opinions on this platform, but a system dependent on retweets and likes isn’t going to surface an actual unpopular opinion into your feed unless people are dunking on them.
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@Noahpinion
I don’t get it. He comes off as enough of a bad faith troll that he should be blocked. He loses arguments and he responds by name calling or switching to highlight random idiots.
It’s honestly kind of sad that his method of engagement appeals to you. It’s obviously unhealthy.
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@endtwist
You were using gamma hedging in place of delta hedging. Buying stocks hedges the delta. They had to hedge their delta because gamma changed as prices moved a ridiculous amount. (To actually hedge gamma requires other options)
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It would be really nice to have a charter city for refugees. No Western country wants to take in enough people to make a difference, but there should still be a place they could escape to with Western style rule of law.
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@numpchump
This feels like a time when a patient who is not in a vegetative state needs to speak up.
And this isn’t just a problem with modern medical education, but a population getting used to outsourcing their on the job thinking to doing just what the computers tell them.
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@Noahpinion
People make relevant arguments that he decides not to address in favor of name-calling.
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@eigenrobot
@AlexGodofsky
MTG is closer to gacha than its fans like to admit. But it can be avoided by just playing with someone's cube.
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“We are very concerned about our scores, and find that they are not an accurate reflection of the time and effort put into this class,” the petition said.
This is what happens when you get rid of standardized testing and give preference to applicants who lean communist…
Another dismaying campus story. At N.Y.U., students said the high-stakes organic chemistry class was too hard— and threatened their “dreams of medical school.” Dean fired the award-winning Professor.
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Would be fun to try a group discussion formatted like poker.
A dealer shares the topic, the big blind and small blind have to engage no matter what (big blind more), and other people at the table are welcome to choose whether to buy in or not.
Then rotate for the next topic.
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@lachesisq
As time goes on there will be many more very strong online players who are not classical GMs, if only because they don’t have the budget to travel and play classical while they do have the ability to face top competition and get accurate feedback from home.
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@DavidSacks
This is not just indicative of the BBC et al exaggerating problems at Twitter.
It is also indicative of journalists today just not doing the work. He could have had cherry-picked examples ready to use. He obviously knew this was a topic he knew he was bringing up.
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@ArjunMahadevan
This person has done more to hold back healthcare innovation than almost anyone else in the for-profit business world.
Epic took government money to deploy into various hospital systems and made any interoperability extremely difficult.
Her story is one of rent-seeking & abuse.
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@KyungLahCNN
People gave up on reporting most of the crimes they are faced with every day, so at least SF's crime statistics look okay!
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@yishan
Not sure this 4chan meme applies that broadly.
And more generally, a lot of smug people on the internet are now assuming that people are stupid when in reality the person is refusing to play games with the hypothetical conditional.
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@mattyglesias
Alternative story - Centrist dems that favor capitalism with a strong regulatory state and a strong social safety net felt like they had to pick between Bernie’s socialism or identity politics to not be GOP aligned.
They knew socialism would break things, and saw that identity
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1. Luck is a factor.
2. But it is funny how many academics constantly overweight the impact of luck, when what they are really talking about are things that their models were unable to explain.
3. It isn’t very functional to have a mental model where luck is a major variable.
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@Jason
@nytimes
@a16z
@TaylorLorenz
@pmarca
@joinClubhouse
Are people supposed to be cancelled now if they use the full word, retarded? Because that's idiotic.
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@eigenrobot
Part of parenthood these days is not just steering your kids away from eventually using recreational drugs, but also away from gacha and other pay to make progress style games.
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Basecamp has demonstrated that if you signal with toxic politics then you are going to end up with toxic employees.
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@AnonymousHubris
@unusual_whales
Lol, no. The Senator asked a simple question and Greg’s problem was that he didn’t have a good answer since he was too greedy about making interest income in a low interest rate environment.
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@mcuban
Wait so are you for or against the Xinjiang re-education camps?
From my understanding everyone associated with the NBA has to remain at least neutral with regards to them because of the money.
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Wrong opinions, strongly held.
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@eyeslasho
This is expected in a culture where the highly educated have embraced a particular religion.
If we could go back in time to run these tests in societies where practicing Christianity was necessary to be respectable we would find that IQ was correlated with a belief in god and in
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@Swiftor
@AssalRad
@johncusack
Gazans are the captives of Hamas, and as long as Hamas is stealing aid meant for Gazans to make weapons and use them against Israel there can be no peace.
Hamas hiding their bases in hospitals and using ambulances as transportation shouldn’t make you support them more.
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Cancelling the cancellers seems like one of the better ways to mitigate the current cultural insanity.
It will be interesting to see how this one pans out.
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@paulg
It peaked… just like political correctness peaked in the 90s?
The people who hold these censorial views still have positions of leverage against most of our major societal institutions. Their gains are merely being slowed, not reversed.
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He's not wrong. Healthcare has way more blatant and obvious monopolistic harms than anything in tech.
But everytime Congress touches healthcare they need to make sure the monopolistic players in the space are supportive of their legislation, ensuring that nothing is solved.
"If you want to attack a monopoly that matters to this country it would be attacking healthcare. That is the place where consumers are suffering,"
@JTLonsdale
. "The guys running the big healthcare companies are not celebrities--they're not Zuckerberg, Bezos, etc."
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@MarkHolum
@ShengwuLi
My favorite unsupported historical conspiracy theory on this topic is that he just thought that humanity could use a placebo that wasn’t otherwise harmful.
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Reminder: Deflation driven by increasing productivity should be an amazing thing for any society. (Even better if it is technology driven)
The only deflation we need to avoid is the type that is caused by a cascading collapse of the banking system.
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@lachesisq
This is silly. He even loses on the board at the expected rate in these matches, he just turns on the speed and keeps it complicated enough to somehow still pull out wins.
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Tech optimists underrate the regulatory arbitrages that many of their favorite companies have been exploiting.
Tech pessimists ignore how adding in functional tech to inefficient systems can really make things well over 10x better.
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@yishan
Obvious examples include:
"What if the fetus was an infant, wouldn't this law be saving lives?"
to
"What if gun control had kept guns out of the hands of this mass shooter?"
People will refuse to play in the world of the other person's conditional when they disagree with it.
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@Austen
Ms Toner should be nowhere near the responsibility of overseeing a company or any institution that is valuable for society.
Unfortunately, Ms Toner’s other statements have indicated that she doesn’t think her position at OpenAI intersects with either of those categories.
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@ScottGreenfield
Subsidizing vaccines should reduce the national debt when you account for the economic activity it enables.
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The biggest tech myth of covid-19 is that we are accelerating tech adoption ten years into the future.
A whole lot of people used to operating in momentum space are going to see what reversion to the mean looks like.
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@CathyYoung63
“I am being wrong on purpose to try to make you click” - Cathy’s political commentary strategy
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I hear vague rumors of information stolen from the Supreme Court.
I haven’t checked, but I am sure Twitter is taking all the steps they can to prevent people from linking to this stolen information.
Twitter apparently has a hacked document policy that led to them censoring a true story about Hunter on the eve of an election.
Given that policy, I assume they also deleted all tweets linking to the ProPublica reports about the stolen IRS data that they obtained?
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Corruption facilitated via nonprofits is currently a very big and very underrated aspect of US society.
The compulsory dairy check-off program forced American farmers to pay Secretary of Agriculture Vilsack almost $1 million per year between his stints in the Obama and Biden administrations. Why are Congressmen fighting to keep the check off program as is?
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The other thing going on here is that many people in Silicon Valley see SSC as obviously far more important to protect than Banksy, while the NYC perspective is the exact opposite.
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According to standard ESG metrics, FTX not having a board was outweighed by all of the money that SBF donated to Democrats.
BRO THEIR AINT NO FUCKIN WAY FTX CRYPTO SCAM HAS A BETTER ESG GOVERNANCE RATING THAN EXXON
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Given the various protections US citizens are given against having religion forced on them it should be expected that the religion to succeed at proselytizing and conquering large parts of American society would not identify as a religion.
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@balajis
Except there is enough of a lack of scarcity, in the form of stockpiled vaccines that the US has not yet approved for domestic consumption, that the US could make moves to help India without hurting its own citizens at all. And yet they are choosing not to.
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@jdpereira
This solution won’t scale at a societal level, but maybe it’s time for a sabbatical overseas for a couple years somewhere in Asia where childcare is more affordable…
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@s8mb
This is funny because you are taking an intra-country culture war and trying to turn it into an inter-country culture war.
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Murakami’s short stories are really fun.
They still have that “Wow, that really didn’t make any sense” vibe at the end, but without the sting of having read hundreds of pages before coming to that conclusion.
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Very interesting article on the WHO.
I didn’t realize that they spend so much money on travel and conferences relative to their budget dedicated towards preventing epidemics.
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@wanyeburkett
Smaller and more specialized subreddits are where there is real expertise over there.
WorldNews, Politics, Economics, Law, Futurology, etc will be full of morons. But the more specialized subreddits have knowledgeable takes that you won’t need to sort by controversial to find.
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@zachweinberg
@Noahpinion
@hausfath
If by property rights you mean all of the rules that gives various lawyers, environmental consultants, unions and women/minority/veteran owned businesses a share of the money going to build infrastructure in the US…
But those privileges are extremely counterproductive.
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When thinking about why more work hasn't been done on the science of progress, one obvious reason is that accurate work in the space would point out how many high status institutions have been impotent and over-fit onto metrics that don't actually matter.
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@whignewtons
Biden just needs to get angry, his dementia seems to recede when he gets angry about something.
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DE&I is a discriminatory religion and there should be absolutely no state funding contingent on the approval of groups that consist of their practitioners and true believers.
Accreditation groups captured by these zealots must be bypassed.
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Every five years or so it looks like there has been room for a new publishing platform to take over tech mindshare.
It makes sense, tech people need simple ways to signal that they use the new things.
2003 - Wordpress
2007 - Tumblr (Posterous 08)
2012 - Medium
2017 - Substack
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Basic crime stats don’t describe how safe a place is.
Even before the issue of underreporting... People adjust their behaviors to the ambient crime levels!
They lock their doors, avoid bad areas, don’t park bikes outside, avoid leaving anything in their cars…
The stabbing death of CashApp founder Bob Lee has prompted comments perpetuating the notion that San Francisco is dangerous and crime-riddled, but data shows violent crime – especially homicides – are well below that of many other cities of a similar size.
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@HistoryBoomer
The right is too reluctant to hold corporations accountable for things like consumer fraud and pollution, but the left has created too many new categories of potential liabilities which make running a business too expensive for all but the largest players.
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@p_millerd
Many people opting out seem to be aunts and uncles of helicopter parents, and see the hit to their lifestyle as way more drastic than it would need to be.
(Although lifestyles of drugs and partying and last minute trips aren’t really that congruent with parenthood either)
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Both Trump and Biden are getting something very wrong in this debate - Woodrow Wilson is obviously the worst president in US history.
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@ScootFoundation
Not included in the photo: An elevator operator charging 25 cents or so per person and how few of these places have functional AC. (Because prime seating is supposed to be on the balcony)
But these places do seem to be popular with the Western backpacker demographic.
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@DionLimTV
Hills used to be a good way to stay away from criminals, but now with their stolen cars they are able to access areas they'd otherwise be too lazy to walk.
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Progressive academic: Don’t blame people for their mistakes.
Progressive academic’s kid: Transfers $10B of customer funds to his hedgefund…
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Vietnam taking a well deserved victory lap to welcome 2021...
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@wanyeburkett
A better framing might be “Imagine Hamas only wanting to kill three Jews if they were able to infiltrate a hospital full of Israelis.”
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@patio11
He blew up his brand with this book. It has been clear for a while now that he knows how to package and tell an entertaining story, but he also naively adopts the view of his subjects when it comes to understanding the systems underlying the areas he writes about.
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@bschoolboogaloo
@zach_kessel
@Columbia
@Harvard
These groups are typically full of some combination of affirmative action kids and those who engaged with their university’s development office.
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@stevenmazie
@ComfortablySmug
So you are worried people are reacting to misleading headlines around the Supreme Court ruling while also misleading them with your own headlines?
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@Noahpinion
This is from a person who has learned that they do not have to make accurate claims to win support from their tribe. Their lesson is that they will get more attention and thus support if they make outrageous claims, which will then get them lauded for starting a conversation.
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@asymmetricinfo
Bad canceling:
1. Telling bad jokes. (Or good jokes)
2. Unproven allegations from bad faith actors
3. Views that were acceptable at the time, resurfaced decades later
4. Surfacing accurate but inconvenient information
Good canceling:
1. Supporting terrorists
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@EricRWeinstein
The people in these discussions don't have jobs as scientists. They have the mantle of science because they have done scientific work in the past.
But their primary jobs are that of political bureaucrats, tasked with securing funding for their institutions.
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Idea for crime index to compare cities:
Measure things like how long you can keep a bag in an unattended car or a bike outside before it gets stolen.
Crime rates don’t capture this well as citizens adjust behavior (leaving fewer valuables out/not reporting crimes to police).
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@PirateWires
"I know that some of its responses have offended our users and shown bias — to be clear, that's completely unacceptable and we got it wrong...
...We've always sought to give users helpful, accurate, and unbiased information in our products."
He is going to have to choose!
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@garrytan
It’s so bad. It is on the level of direct CCP controlled propaganda.
It is fortunate that the CCP doesn’t understand that their best propaganda comes from when they coopt Westerners to support them and their direct stuff mostly backfires.
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If they are going to think about stapling visas to degrees, departments at schools where the federal government lost money lending to their students should be disqualified.
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@jmrphy
The All In take misses a few key things:
1. It vastly underrates the value of having the most popular bullhorn in their space. They went from being very relevant to their (extensive) local networks to also being relevant to everyone else.
2. It overestimates the costs of errors
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People always talk about scientists and inventors by the significance of their discoveries.
I want to know how far ahead of their peers they were. Would their discovery have come out in six months, two years, a decade, a century?
Who accelerated human understanding the most?
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We are seeing a lot of innovation S-curves start that wouldn't have had a chance in pre-Covid times because their initial performance gaps were too large before lock-downs made them the only option.
The question is which ones will be better when old options come back.
The virus has disrupted:
- K-12
- bars
- cities
- retail
- sports
- hotels
- airlines
- offices
- colleges
- subways
- concerts
- medicine
- Hollywood
- immigration
- conferences
- supply chains
- meat packing
- movie theaters
- aircraft carriers
Do you think it all snaps back?
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@paulg
@antoniogm
Yup - the Clinton team knew what positions they were expecting to get in the new administration and couldn't risk anyone outside their circle making a positive impression. This theory also explains why they rejected Bloomberg's offer to help.
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Everyone on the East Coast will soon be using WeWork as an example of why Silicon Valley tech companies are not to be trusted.
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After every bitcoin run-up there is a mania where people spend parts of their gains on related things.
In 2017 it was shitcoins. Today, it is NFTs.
They didn't call them shitcoins back in 2017, it will be interesting to see the future nickname that sticks with NFTs.
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@JTLonsdale
And most of these incidents don’t get properly recorded in the stats, so academics can then tell us that people are complaining about nothing and that illegals are on average more law abiding than the average citizen.
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@Noahpinion
Anti-China the country, not the people. Just the CCP that is taking over HK, keeping Uyghurs in concentration camps, getting in random border skirmishes with their neighbors, has some tbd level of responsibility for the pandemic and is making new claims on territory.
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@glukianoff
Except most of California’s UCs dropped testing and then combined it with “And we won’t even admit many students from your schools full of competent students anymore.”
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@paulg
Economists in the past worried too much about the efficient allocation of resources and not enough about what happens to a society full of rent seeking people/institutions.
Today they worry too much about inequality and not enough about growth.
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Being asked to give evidence of your allegiance to a far left ideology to get access to government money is inexcusable.
Federal funding should not go to any program that screens researcher applicants using these methods.
DOCUMENTS: Last fall, San Diego State University conducted a search for a cancer biologist.
The university required each applicant to fill out this form, which I acquired via a records request, describing their contributions to “inclusive excellence.”
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This clubhouse is reinforcing the idea that leaving SF is definitely the right move.
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@ZaidJilani
Also…
I feel bad for Weigel. He somehow didn’t realize that he worked with all of the polar ones.
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Now there are two companies I want to short.
My friend’s entire company is locked out of their WeWork office because an umbrella fell, jamming the door.
No one can figure it out. It’s been like this for 2 days.
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@garrytan
@antoniogm
A great short story with an important lesson that is available for people to read right now if they are unfamiliar with it.
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There have been growing populist insurgencies for the past decade on both sides of the aisle.
This would be a good time for govt to stop bailing out shareholders. Keep the infrastructure running, but leave the equity holders accountable for the equity risk that they took.
"The CEOs of the Big 4 airlines received $430 million in stock-based compensation over this period, separate from their cash compensation, deferred benefits, etc."
And spent billions more on buybacks than their free cash flow, increasing debt by 79%.
#BuyoutsNotBailouts
#Airlines
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