James Glynn
@JamesGlynnWSJ
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Senior Economics Reporter Dow Jones/Wall Street Journal/RBA Watcher. Has covered the Australian economy for more than 35 years. #Collingwood #drums #Shakespeare
Sydney
Joined April 2009
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Pinned Tweet
A proud father moment. This in my daughter Laura in command of a pit orchestra for the first time. Chicago opens March 12 at Campbelltown’s Town Hall Theatre.
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@aletweetsnews
“Go f@&k yourself” is now up there with
#Let
’s roll” on 9/11. Amazing courage.
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These are my daughters. One has a mortgage, another is fretting as she is close to starting, and the other just feels it’s totally hopeless. I don’t we should underestimate the societal carnage our stupid house prices are inflicting.
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@DVATW
The reformation has given us more than 30,000 different Christian denominations globally. It was declared open for interpretation and this is one of them. The Christian spectrum is vast.
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My neighbour was buzzed by the NSW police helicopter on Sunday. It hovered and from the loud speaker came demands for him to mask up…he was on his front lawn with his young boy. There was a 24 hr blitz on my suburb. At least they seemed serious about compliance.
#auspol
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This is my grand daughter Isla. I just felt the need to share.
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Redeveloping Rosehill for Sydney housing might look good on paper, but isn’t it just another step toward making Sydney a bland and over crowded place to live. Imagine Victorians selling off the G and the tennis complex for housing.
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Distressed Sydney property of the week from SQM. Distressed is an understatement.
#ausecon
#ausbiz
#ausproperty
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Within a small margin for error, interest rates have peaked in Australia. The 2Q CPI will point to some stickiness on the services side of things, and the RBA remains watchful of EBA agreements and wages more broadly. But the central case is that it is pretty much done.
#ausbiz
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We now expect the RBA to lift the policy rate to 2.6% by December 2022 -- Goldman Sachs.
#ausbiz
#ausecon
#ausproperty
#blisteringspeed
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It's a simple equation. The cash rate is at just 0.85% and CPI is forecast at 7% in 2022. The RBA is worried abut "70s-style wage price spirals." Rates are too low. Front load.
#ausecon
#ausbiz
#getonwithit
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While wages increased 81.7% in the past 20 years, Australian home values have grown 193.1% - Corelogic. I wish well heeled baby boomer toffs would stop trying to find a silver lining in this. The debt our kids are taking on is gobsmacking.
#ausbiz
#ausproperty
#ausecon
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JUST IN: Australian prime and nonconforming mortgage arrears are on the rise--according to S&P Global Ratings
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If you don’t have the
#RBA
going +50bp on Tuesday you are missing the signs. The Gov’s ABC TV appearance 3 weeks to upgrade the CPI forecast was unprecedented. All except an upgrade was discussed in my column 3 hours prior.
#ausbiz
#ausecon
#getonwithit
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Imagine being forced out of your home because the task of repaying the mortgage simply became impossible only to face things like the nightmare of the Sydney rental market, which is potentially more expensive and totally insecure for families.
#ausbiz
#ausecon
#ausproperty
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I can’t help feeling that the RBA needs a bigger stick. It’s over achieving on full employment and under achieving on getting inflation down. The latter threatens to do great damage still. The tightening cycle is 2 years old today. We could have done better.
#ausecon
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Efforts to renovate the RBA in the middle of an economic crisis were always troubling. This takes it to a new level. Keep Lowe, he’s a great economist. It’s about the economy, not the review
Dutton rules out two frontrunners for RBA governor
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My Mum and Dad celebrated 64 years of marriage on Tuesday. They still have a spring in their step and remain guiding lights to many. Both nearing their 90s, they've witnessed more societal change than any prior generation.
#stillsmiling
#Longevity
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An
#rba
press conference might be a good thing, but I recently heard a reporter ask why the central bank was raising rates because it was pushing up costs and adding to inflation. The mob mentality we are now seeing is not reassuring either.
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Congratulations to my Mum and Dad on the celebration of 65 years of marriage. After 9 children and more than 40 grand children and great grand children, both are still lively and active in the community. They are a testament to the power of forgiveness and their shared faith.
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Full disclosure. He was also on the road in front of his house. It's quiet culdesac on the very fringe of the city. His son was in a RC electric toy car. He was told to get the car off the road and put on a mask. All pretty dramatic.
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The three busiest days in Lifeline’s 57-year history have been this month with the service receiving 3,436 calls on Monday, according to new data released by Lifeline Australia today.
#auspol
#reachout
#areyouokmate
#pickupthephone
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If you stare too long at the gloomy consumer confidence data and then the strong retail sales data....you must conclude that retail therapy is a genuine economic dynamic. I'm off to the shops...
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Retail sales up by a blistering 19.2% on-year, the second-largest increase in the 39-year history of the survey
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Goldman Sachs now expects RBA rate hikes in August, September, October and November. The new post-budget addition is the August hike.
#ausbiz
#ausecon
#RBA
#ausproperty
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The RBA board will likely have the chat about 40 bps. Jobs and wages data didn't scream for it, but the inflation and business liaison data do. The reality is the OCR is at 0.35 bps as inflation heads to its highest in let's say 40 years.
#ausbiz
#ausecon
#getmoving
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I’m not sure I’ve ever seen a bigger clash of wills between the RBA and markets. Coming weeks will be like bonfire night….something I wish would make a come back.
#ausbiz
#ausecon
#RBA
#bonfirenight
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@TheKouk
This feels like the scene in the Life of Brian where the PFJ is asking what Romans “have even done for us.”
….50 year low in unemployment? The aqueduct.
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I’m heading off for some long service leave. I’ll be back for 4Q CPI. So it’s 25bps in December with the bank set to experience discomfort for a bit about the move back to 25 bp from 50bp. Still global growth forecasts are tumbling. I still don’t think the OCR will bust 4%.
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I took my daughter to see the new Avatar on Monday. Counting us, there were about 8 people present. My local musical instrument store was deadly quiet too. Anecdotes only, but I think rate hikes have finally hit the consumer. She’s cute right?
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Australia's average national mortgage stood at $542,800, up 5.7 per cent on a year ago in February
#auspol
#ausproperty
#ausecon
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'We are building up this myth of 22 years uninterrupted growth': Australia central banker
http://t.co/gCLlPSH7qt
Stevens-WSJ
#Ausbiz
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Does anybody else get jittery before these announcements? It's not as if I'm long or short anything. I don't trade, never have. Still....everything is at stake...hahaha.
#RBA
#firstworldproblems
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England lost the Ashes because Australia won two consecutive tests putting them in a near unbeatable position. Take responsibility for your loss and stop pointing at weather and your keeper who likes to go farming outside his crease when he shouldn’t
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"Australian property prices will continue to double every 10 years mate!" Brisbane real estate agent today. Hmmm
#ausbiz
#ausproperty
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With critical data just 90 minutes I’m posting this to distract and calm nerves. My band is available for weddings, parties and bar mitzvahs.
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Ok so maybe it’s not the G. But Sydney is suffering from a lack of creative, artistic and sporting outlets. Redevelop it into Sydney’s G. Put the Swans and the giants in it. Or build a replica Globe Theatre. Acres of tiny ticky tacky boxes will curse the city for centuries.
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I’m running across a lot of 20 to 25 year old who say they never want children given the enormity of the financial task. Is this new or has this group always said this?
#ausproperty
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@TheKouk
Ridiculous Stephen that you should bend over backwards to sully the reputation of Lowe with a charge of political bias. Seriously?!? He may have made errors exiting the nightmare of the pandemic, but you should retract this immediately.
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@TheKouk
Push on SK. We live in the sad age of the anonymous keyboard warrior. Your contribution is huge.
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An RBA rate hike is like a Collingwood premiership. You know its coming some day, but it's likely over the horizon, out of view
#ausbiz
;
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Visiting Victoria Park 100 years after my grandfather laced up for club.
#hallowedground
#AFL
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New Zealand 4Q GDP contraction a much bigger than expected-0.6%
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Australia’s economy completed 27 years of uninterrupted economic expansion in the second quarter via
@WSJ
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No surprise retail sales has fallen in a hole. Soaring utility costs have hit hard. Policy makers must wake to the pain in Western Sydney
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