Jack Duffin
@JackDuffin
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Browns Cap/Roster Building @TheOBR . Cap Space Pinned Tweet. Co-host @PaulBrown_UK Pod. Recommend Follow By @NathanZegura . ⚽️ Chairman/Co-Owner @EastThurrockCFC
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#Browns
Cap Space $29.7m
Players 91/91
How Browns Sustainably Outspend NFL
53 Man Roster Prediction
Why Watson Restructure Coming
Become Owner Of My 100% Fan Owned ⚽️ Team
.
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Ref booked Sanchez Watt for kicking the ball away. Asked him 3 times what his name was, replied three times ‘What’. Booked him for dissent, then sent him off. Called the captain over who explained his name was actually Watt, then reversed the decision. Unbelievable scenes!
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If Elijah Moore is going to miss the first playoff game with injury then it is time to pick up the phone & get Landry back
You will struggle to find a better vet this late in the season, him in the slot with Cooper & Tillman wide
#DawgPound
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How
#Browns
win the division:
Browns 2-0
NYJ, CIN
Ravens 1-2
SF, MIA, PIT
How
#Browns
get
#1
seed:
Dolphins 1-1
BAL, BUF
Merry Christmas
#DawgPound
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Only one team has lead the NFL in both pass blocking and run blocking since PFF started collecting data in 2006, the 2020 Cleveland
#Browns
Let’s bring it home to the end of the year lads!!!
Plus Bill Callahan you’re a hero 🦸♂️
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Wonder if the
#Browns
get an apology from
@NFLOfficiating
?
Rules say when a runners helmet comes off the play is dead
Stefanski challenges the spot of the ball for a first down
Pickett’s helmet was off before he got the first down. Wonder if the refs actually looked at that 🤔
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Position change for the
#Browns
Nick Harris now officially listed as FB/C on the team website
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Hey
@milesSI
&
@FootballManager
, I would like to report an issue with my assistant manager, he isn’t helping out at all 🐶
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Kids used to grow up wanting to be Patrick Mahomes
Now they will dream of being Joe Flacco
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You want a nuts trade scenario 👀
#Browns
Get
Henry
Hopkins
Tannerhill
2023 7th
2024 7th
Titans Get
Strong
DPJ
2023 4th
2024 4th
187
54
974
Points this season:
Dustin Hopkins - 53
DeAndre Hopkins - 0
There’s only one dHop 😎
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NFL LB Grading per PFF
1 - Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah
2 - Anthony Walker
77 - Jacob Phillips
(out of 82)
How about
#Browns
stop rotating Phillips in!
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Why is it important to wait for the official numbers on contracts...
Initial report: $58/3, $41m guaranteed
Real numbers: $52.5m/3, $28.1m guaranteed
The
#Browns
and WR
@jerryjeudy
have agreed to a three-year contract extension worth up to $58 million, including $41 million fully guaranteed at signing, per me and
@TomPelissero
.
The deal was negotiated by
@equitysports
CEO
@chriscabott
.
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Watson's min $1.035m base salary plus signing bonus is no surprise!
Other
#Browns
AB signings on the ~min year one
Hooper
Garrett
JJ3
Chubb
Cooper
Teller
Hill
Keenum
Jackson
Walker
The conspiracy theory that this is only related to his suspension just doesn't match facts 🤷♂️
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Interesting week ahead for the AFC North 👀
If Browns & Bengals win…
Browns 7-3
Ravens 7-4
Steelers 6-4
Bengals 6-4
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Bengals could easily end up with a top 5 OL in 2022 🙄
LT Jonah Williams - 74.5
LG Ted Karras - 72.9
C JC Tretter - 78.7
RG Alex Cappa - 71.9
RT La'el Collins - 80.2
(PFF Grade - 2021)
Enjoy
@johnthebaines
&
@andreperrotta13
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#Browns
Draft - PFFs Big Board
31 Dawand Jones
54 Luke Wypler
61 Cedric Tillman
88 Siaki Ika
95 Isaiah McGuire
111 Cameron Mitchell
145 Ronnie Hickman
149 Dorian Thompson-Robinson
178 Lonnie Phelps
217 Charlie Thomas
236 Mohamoud Diabate
376 Jeremiah Martin
Without a 1st or 2nd
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You can say whatever you like about Kevin Stefanski but his track record for elevating QB play as an OC/HC is amazing 📈
Cousins
Pre KS - 26th
With KS - 6th
Mayfield
Pre KS - 17th
With KS - 8th
Brissett
Pre KS - 15th
With KS - 9th
Watson
Pre KS - 3rd
With KS 👀
(PFF QB Rank)
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Myles Garrett has 13 sacks so far this season, the single season sack record is 22.5.
At 1.3 sacks per game, he’s set to finish with 22.1 sacks.
To set the record he needs to get to 1.5 sacks per game for the rest of the season!
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So now is everyone onboard with the upcoming extensions this offseason:
Kevin Stefanski
Andrew Berry
Paul DePodesta
Because regardless of if you like it, it’s happening! 🖊️ 🖊️ 🖊️
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PPF's
#1
CB in 2021 - AJ Green
The NFL is sleeping on this guy!!! 🔥
He played 176 snaps so a small but still solid sample
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Expect a
#Browns
Watson restructure to come after March 7th, why?
Since Lamar’s exclusive franchise tag is the average of the top 5 QBs it will cost the Ravens an extra $3,748,600 by waiting 💰
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PFF Forced Incompletion Stat (50% min)
Juan Thornhill - 20% (3rd for S)
Martin Emerson - 20% (6th for CB)
Denzel Ward - 19% (7th for CB)
Grant Delpit - 14% (12th for S)
Greg Newsome - 11% (39th for CB)
For Reference
John Johnson - 8% (47th for S)
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Campaign for all
#Browns
fans to get behind this year:
Long Snapper Charley Hughlett to the Pro Bowl
Long term special teams captain 🫡
If he sees out his current Browns contract healthy, he will pass Joe Thomas’ active gameday streak
Let’s make it happen!
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Mahomes’s contract has guarantees at least at least a year in advance all the way up to 2031
Cousins & Brady signed fully guaranteed contracts
But yeah, the Cleveland Browns are the problem, cry me a river…
Shame we have the owners & media ganging up against the players 🤷♂️
@wingoz
Also, the Browns are absolutely the top issue sticking atop the quarterback market.
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Steelers winning games with a great defense & poor QB play - head coach is a legend!
Browns winning games with a great defense & poor QB play - fire the head coach!
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This
#Browns
offense will be bringing the speed 🚀
Goodwin - 4.27 🔥
Moore - 4.35 🔥
Cooper - 4.42
DPJ - 4.48
Andrew Berry is not messing around!
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This coming week would be a great time for the
#Browns
to sign:
WR Will Fuller - $2.5m + incentives, like JuJu
TE Darren Fells - min, no guarantees, future PS spot like 2021
ED Melvin Ingram - $6m
ED Jerry Hughes - $5m
DT Sheldon Richardson - $3m
DT Sheldon Day - $1m
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Jerry Jeudy
Age - 24.9
Receptions - 212
Yards - 3,068
Y/R - 14.5
TDs - 11
Micheal Pittman
Age - 26.4
Receptions - 341
Yards - 3,752
Y/R - 11.0
TDs - 15
One is going to cost you $23.3m a year, the other is significant cheaper, waiting on official numbers
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#Browns
offseason upgrades so far
Pressure Rate
Clowney > Okoronkwo
9.5% > 13.4%
Pressure Rate
Bryan > Tomlinson
6.4% > 8.6%
Forced Incompletion Rate
Johnson > Thornhill
8% > 20%
PFF TE Rank (20% min)
Bryant > Akins
32nd > 10th
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My views on
#Browns
trade deadline
QB - Brissett is an upgrade but likely 3rd isn’t worth it
RB - why are people so desperate to dump Strong
WR- if you can get someone cheap with a 2024 option year & swap DPJ I’m game
TE - no need
OL - teams don’t trade good ones midseason
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If I’m the
#Browns
I have booked OT Dennis Kelly a flight to Cleveland today
With Conklin heading to IR he is the perfect veteran swing tackle to bring in while Jones is elevated to start
Most recently with the Eagles
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#Browns
fans are we excited about Thursday 👀
Austin Hooper’s post June 1st cut will become official ✂️
They will gain a roster spot & $9.5m of cap space
If nothing else changes between now & then it will be:
88/90 roster spots
$40,965,218 cap space 💰💰💰
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#Browns
are building a super talented Front Office pipeline which is set to be a comp pick machine!
Kwesi Adofo-Mensah > 2022 3rd & 2023 3rd
Glenn Cook > 2023 3rd & 2024 3rd
Catherine Raîche > 2024 3rd & 2025 3rd
If you build it, they will come 🔥🔥🔥
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#Browns
are 4-2
- Lost All-Pro Chubb
- Lost All-Pro Conklin
- Injury to starting QB
Just keep winning and they have 11 weeks to get the offense figured out 🔥
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Jeudy trade is an example of why it’s smart to move Newsome now.
Last year they wanted a 2nd
Now it’s a 5th & 6th
Player with one cheap year and a 5th year option is worth significantly more than just a 5th year option
You trade contracts as much as players!
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#Browns
need to build the dome ASAP
Then we can correctly judge how players are performing rather than letting the weather ruin it
Bad weather benefits the weaker team, that’s not likely to be the Browns now
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#Browns
Defensive Line Pressure Rate
Garrett 22.2% 🔥
Wright 16.7%
Smith 12.3%
Hurst 11.1%
Harris 9.4%
Okoronkwo 8.1%
Elliot 6.5%
Tomlinson 6.2%
Garrett was 14.9% last year to show how crazy this 2023 unit is...
(source PFF)
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$24m/2 was my prediction, $250,000 a year off. Will take it.
Fantastic deal for the
#Browns
, had over 15% pressure rate on a down year in 2023
Pro Bowl Edge Za’Darius Smith is going back to the Browns on a 2 yr, $23.5m base deal, with upside to $25m.
Deal negotiated by
@ErikBurkhardt
of
@RocNationSports
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I expect the
#Browns
to add 2 WRs in the first week of FA 💰💰
WR1:
Godwin
Robinson
Cooper
Chark
WR2:
Gage
Wilson
Sanders
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Player changes I want to see this week for the
#Browns
In:
WR Beasley
DT Suh/Richardson
FS Harris
Out:
WR Felton
ED Winovich
S LeCounte
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We've gone from 5000 followers to 6000 in 7 days 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
#Browns
fans are absolutely nuts & I love it, best fans ever!
Thanks to everyone I have had the pleasure of meeting in spaces recently.
I will keep bringing the cap news as everything happens & answer any questions!
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All 6 remaining
#Browns
starters to be rested if Ravens win today
The Insiders on
@NFLGameDay
: The
#Commanders
are trending toward a coaching change, but no decisions made;
#Rams
WR Puka Nacua (hip) is expected to play; The
#Browns
will look to rest starters next week if there is nothing to play for looking toward the playoffs.
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🚨🚨🚨
BREAKING:
@JackDuffin
has signed for
@TheOBR
👀
Over the moon to join
@BarryMcBride
,
@jake_burns18
& the amazing OBR team.
Can’t wait to get started covering the
#Browns
salary cap for them. Going to be a very exciting era upcoming for the team 📈
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#Browns
making significant progress from Dorsey's 2019 starters to Andrew Berry's 2023 lineup:
Mayfield -> Watson
Chubb
OBJ -> Cooper
Landry -> Moore
Higgins -> DPJ
Njoku
Robinson -> Wills
Bitonio
Tretter -> Pocic
Kush -> Teller
Hubbard -> Conklin
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When Joe Burrow finally gets extended by the cash poor Bengals, Deshaun Watson will be the 8th highest paid QB in league
🚨 🚨 🚨
The
#Chargers
and star QB Justin Herbert have agreed to terms on a blockbuster 5-year extension worth $262.5M, per me and
@MikeGarafolo
, including monster guarantees to protect Herbert and lock him in for the future.
💰 💰 💰
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People worrying about the
#Browns
cap position again 🙄
As long as Jimmy Haslam is happy spending $50m+ a year above league average in cash this is 100% sustainable.
Bengals fans keep getting upset about it but it doesn’t matter 🤷♂️
Read this
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APPRECIATION POST - Paul DePodesta is the best thing to happen to the Cleveland Browns since they returned in 1999 & I don’t think it’s even that close!
He took so much abuse and ridicule for saying Wentz wasn’t a top 20 QB but he was right 👏
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#Browns
current cap space $35,450,200
Restructure Cooper, Chubb & Ward, they add $25,252,800
If they roll that all over their 2024 cap space will be $20,189,323
These moves allow the Browns to sustainably outspend the league year on year. It is also about creating flexibility
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Average age of the
#Browns
Offense - 26.2
Defense - 26.1
Specials - 31.0
Players over 30:
Hughlett - 33.2
McLeod - 33.1
Hopkins - 32.9
Goodwin - 32.7
S Harris - 32.0
Bitonio - 31.8
Akins - 31.3
Smith - 30.9
Very young and promising core for Andrew Berry to keep building on!
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I'm still confident the
#Browns
will add 3 FA starters:
WR - Fuller/Jones
ED - Clowney/Hughes/Ingram/Flowers
DT - Hicks/Richardson/Goldman
Draft picks are about 2023 & beyond, with lots of smart high upside players following the age guardrails AB uses 🔥🔥🔥
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We did it 😍😍😍
ED Ogbo Okoronkwo should be a
#Browns
FA target this offseason 👀
PFF Rank for EDs (min 20%)
Defensive Grade - 12th of 129
Pass Rush Grade - 10th of 129
Current Age - 27.6
RAS - 8.7
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If Mike Evans makes it to free agency then the
#Browns
should make a very strong play to add him.
They need to keep adding receiving talent!
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Now do Joe Woods…
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Thank you to
@NathanZegura
for his kind words on
@Browns_Daily
yesterday!
Love producing
#Browns
content on salary cap & roster building, Jimmy Haslam outspending the entire NFL does make it more enjoyable too 💰
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#Browns
rookie class 🔥🔥🔥
Jones - starting quality T next decade
Mitchell - starting quality slot CB, potentially from 2024
Hickman - third safety in 2024, potential starter in 2025
Diabate - special teams LB
Plus potentially more with Tillman, Ika, McGuire, DTR & Wypler
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#Browns
developing Alex Wright gives them an option to move on from Za’Darius Smith
Frees up money for a certain linebacker 👀
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Another addition my cheat sheet loved!
2023 Pressure Rate:
Jefferson - 12.1%
Hurst - 10.4%
Harris - 8.7%
Compare that to Wilkins at 10.0%
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What I would love the
#Browns
to do in FA!
WR2 - Will Fuller $8m/1
ED2 - Melvin Ingram $8m/1
ED3 - Jerry Hughes $6.5m/1
DT1 - Sheldon Richardson $3m/1
DT4 - Zach Kerr/Danny Shelton $1m/1
FS1 - Kareem Jackson $3.5m/1
1 year deals for 2022 so we find the future in the draft
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Today has been the first game of the Watson era when he’s embraced the checkdown & open play rather than trying to be Superman!
Allow Stefanski to scheme it open, throw the open guy and let the defense to feast!
The formula!!!
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Another great pick from the
#Browns
C Luke Wypler
Age, Week 1 - 22.4
RAS - 9.31
PFF Board - 54
Likely spend two years backing up Pocic before coming the starter in 2025
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I’m not Andrew Berry
I have no sources for my work
I just look at what the
#Browns
do & make educated guesses based on that
Enjoy my writing at
@TheOBR
🍻
If the
#Browns
add WR Jerry Jeudy
2023 - $2,681,767
2024, 5th year option - $12,987,000
Would expect the Front Office to agree an extension as part of the trade, say $60m/3
That’s $75,668,767 over 5 years, $15m a year
Likely 4 years guaranteed with a $20m team option in 2027
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After the Cooper trade goes through
#Browns
will be $3,074,885 over the NFL salary cap
Ways to create $5m+
$15m Landry cut
$12.5m Cooper restructure
$9.5m Hooper post June-1st cut
$8.8m Ward extension
$8.25m Tretter cut
$7.1m Keenum cut
$6.9m Njoku extension
$6.25m Hunt trade
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#Browns
current cap space $32,877,490 (gets rolled over) 💰
(2nd in NFL $12m)
2023 Cap Situation:
Currently: $4,842,660
JJ3 June 1st Cut: +$9.75m
Watson Restructure +$35,936,000
AJ Green ERFA Tender -$940,000
8 Draft Picks ~$8m
Cap Space $41,588,660 💰
(48/53 players)
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ED Danielle Hunter’s deal if traded:
2022 - $1.9m
2023 - $5.4m
Vikings dead cap - $29.48m
Can we stop the idea he’s going to get traded this offseason - not happening!
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Steelers injuries 📈
Titans Struggling 📉
Ravens injuries 📈
#Browns
4-0 at the bye…
Steelers’ WR Diontae Johnson is expected to be sidelined “a few weeks” due to the hamstring injury he suffered Sunday vs. the 49ers, per source.
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I didn’t do too bad on my
#Browns
Ward projection 💰
Me: $102.5m/5
$71.706m guaranteed
Real: $100.5m/5
$71.25m guaranteed
Here is what the structure looked like on my projection 👇
Browns are signing Pro-Bowl CB Denzel Ward to a 5-year, $100.5 million contract extension that includes $71.25 million guaranteed, per source. At age 24, Ward is the highest-paid CB in NFL history.
Tory Dandy of CAA Sports, who negotiated the contract, confirmed the deal to ESPN
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Still think it is crazy that the
#Browns
have a roster building model that allows them to spend $100m more than anyone else & it being entirely sustainable 👀
People love to hate the Haslam's but they have backed Andrew Berry where it counts 💰
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Troy Hill, 2018-20:
#1
slot in the NFL
Troy Hill, 2021: 32nd of 32 in terms of slots in the NFL based on Passer Rating when targeted
😬😬😬
"I feel disrespected. Definitely motivated to come out and show what I can do. ... Definitely plan to come out and play with a chip on my shoulder, for sure."
- Former
#Browns
CB Troy Hill after being traded back to the Rams.
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#PFF
QB Ranks in 2021:
15th - Jacoby Brissett
32nd - Baker Mayfield
41st - Case Keenum
(min 81 dropbacks)
Keenum had 81
Brissett had 259
Andrew Berry working his magic yet again!!!
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PFF now have Mecole Hardman’s projected salary at $4m/1
Let’s go Andrew Berry 💰
Cooper
DPJ
Hardman
Bell
Downs
Woods vs Grant
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
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@getnickwright
@spotrac
#Browns
are actually positive $6,649,475 of 2024 cap space if you use Over The Cap
Spotrac have multiple 2024 deals listed incorrectly for the team.
Would recommend using their site in future as it’s far more accurate
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Watson can play better
Watson has been better than Burrow
Priority -
#Browns
win
Go again next week and do even better
PS this defense is going to be top 3 in the NFL this year
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#Browns
week one starters who have been active every week:
WR Cooper
WR Moore
TE Njoku
G Teller
C Pocic (may miss next week)
ED Garrett
ED Smith
DT Tomlinson
DT Elliott (likely miss next week)
LB JOK
CB Emerson
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@ChelseaFC
@mikel_john_obi
His performance in the 2012 CL Final was phenomenal.
You could make the case that he was man of the match.
Chelsea aren’t still in that game when Drogba scores without Mikel’s performance.
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The minimum spend required by NFL teams is $554m of CASH across 2021, 2022 & 2023
#Browns
are leading the NFL with $817m for this period
We’re good 💰
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Tempted to see how desperate the Jets are to keep their push going:
Jets get: Hunt & Conklin
#Browns
get: Moore
Win win for both side 🤔
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People who aren’t concerned about the
#Browns
cap situation
- People That Understand Salary Cap
People who are concerned
- Bengals Fans
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In 2022 there were 88 edges with 250 or more pass rushing snaps, here they are ranked in pressure rate:
9th Za'Darius Smith - 15.2%
10th Myles Garrett - 14.9%
22nd Ogbonnia Okoronkwo - 13.4%
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My detailed article will be out next week, but just to give you a nugget…
There’s money in the
#Browns
2024 budget to extend Za’Darius Smith
Just saying 🔥🔥🔥
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Since people keep tweeting & asking
Adding Elijah Moore doesn't force Cooper out in 2024
If they had got Jeudy, Cooks or dHop then 99% chance Cooper was gone at the end of the 2023 season
They can't extend Moore until after 2023 as you need to complete 3 seasons first 💰
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@Elise_JesseWLWT
AJ McCarron is worth a 2nd and a 3rd round pick you say? 🤔
Tyrod Taylor is better than Baker Mayfield! 🤔
DeShone Kizer is ready to start in the NFL? 🤔
I think Hue’s evaluation skills are miles off 🙈
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Now Watson is playing better we are back to hearing how the
#Browns
will be in cap hell & it will be their downfall…
They are fine in 2024 & beyond!
I have them with an additional $44.5m of cash to spend
Give this a read, it’s always my pinned tweet 👇
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#Browns
Guard Play per PFF (20% min)
Week 1-10 w/Pocic
Bitonio - 1st
Teller - 4th
Week 11-15 wo/Pocic
Bitonio - 10th
Teller - 39th
While Pocic missing is a factor Teller’s issues are wider
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