Jonathan Nicholson
@JNicholsonInDC
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Covering Hill/politics @HuffPost . He/him. Okie. MCU nerd. Muscogee. 'A shouted lie is still a lie.' jonathan.nicholsonAThuffpostDOTcom RTs =/= endorsements
Washington, DC
Joined September 2010
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Meanwhile in Ukraine
Today’s Ukrainian cat—his name is Fred and he has seen some things. Photo:
@AnimalRescueKh
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Today in "Pelosi Never Forgets:" referring to Rep. Bob Barr, the ex-Ga. congressman who introduced the Defense of Marriage Act in '96, Pelosi notes he was married three times. "We don't know which marriage he was defending."
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Has no one mentioned the reason this impeachment trial is starting after Trump's term is because the GOP Leader said he would not allow it to begin until then?
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Prospects for Elizabeth Warren's bill to prohibit lawmakers from owning/trading individual stocks may be looking up.
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If I understand Senate rules correctly, with the change in power in there, Patrick Leahy as the most senior Democrat becomes the new Q Shaman.
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Lot of Trump defense on right-wing outlets is "another witch hunt, just like Russia." Earlier today, Trump campaign manager Paul Manafort disclosed he passed polling data to Russian intel asset Kilimnik.
NEW: In an interview with
@thisisinsider
, Paul Manafort made his 1st public admission that in 2016 he shared polling data from the Trump campaign w/ Konstantin Kilimnik, a longtime business associate w/ suspected ties to Russian intelligence. by
@Schwartzesque
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A little more than two years ago, who thought Gaetz would outlast Tucker?
Gaetz again bizarrely implicates Tucker Carlson in his own personal peccadillo, then says, "providing for flights and hotel rooms for people that you're dating who are of legal age is not a crime"
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CBO: Trump budget would NOT reach balance in 10 years, would see a $720 billion deficit in 2027. WH had claimed $16B surplus in 2027.
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Not every Hill staffer is some unctuous, 24-year-old Capitol Lounge denizen (though, tbf, many are). Some are incredibly nice, smart, middle-aged and older folks who refused to cash in on their expertise because their passion is making public policy.
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You can almost see Mike Pence's soul leave his body as he hears Trump joke about models at the start of the coronavirus pandemic.
Trump has jokes: "The models show hundreds of thousands of people are going to die and you know what I want to do? I want to come way under the model. The professionals did the models and I was never involved in a model. At least this kind of a model."
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For about two Christmases in a row, maybe 2018 & 2019, lawmakers kept saying they were *so* close to a federal law regulating autonomous vehicle testing, only for possible deals to slip away at the last minute, allowing current use-the-general-public-as-guinea-pigs to continue.
I hadn't realized how much of a wild west the self-driving vehicles business is. For example, there are no federal restrictions on the testing of autonomous vehicles on public roads.
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BERNIE BUILDS THE CASE: Having gotten CBO to say a new minimum wage bill would have a substantive impact on the budget (unlike '19 min wage score), Bernie gets CBO to say it would have broader effects than ind'l mandate/ANWR parts of '17 tax bill. All aimed at Byrd rule worries.
CBO provides information on the breadth of the budgetary effects of the Raise the Wage Act of 2021 compared with certain other reconciliation legislation the agency has analyzed.
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New Alaska rep Mary Peltola has said one of her top priorities for her brief time in Washington before Congress leaves for fall campaign trail a bill to renew federal fishery policy. What's set for markup Wednesday in Nat Resources Comm? A bill to reauthorize fed fishery policy.
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@kristin__wilson
Two-thirds of House GOP conference would be... 148? Maybe he's bad at math? (which would be surprising for a ex-Goldman guy)
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There's a feasible estimate that Dobbs will add about $13 billion to the deficit over 10 years via Medicare. But few of the traditional "government spending is bad" folks want to talk about it.
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Become ungovernable
A family’s beloved pet cat, Rowdy, escaped her carrier on June 24 in pursuit of some birds at Boston’s Logan International Airport.
She’s managed to evade airport personnel, airline employees, and animal experts until finally being caught on Wednesday.
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Imagine that when Bush announced The Surge in '07, he also said he'd reinstate the draft to gather the necessary manpower. That's the kind of shock I suspect Russians are feeling now.
“Even if only partial, a Kremlin-ordered mobilization would amount to a full recognition that the country is at war. It would also make that war existential for Russia. Until now, the invasion of Ukraine has not even been presented as a war to most of the Russian population.”
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Little-noticed from McConnell today: "My personal view is it's none of the federal government's business how states decide to conduct their elections ... The results are accepted when you get finality in 50 separate states. And the final decision is up to states."
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Beginning to think that Johnson-MTG meeting did not go so well.
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"I don't have teleprompters here, folks. I don't need teleprompters." -- Trump, Jun. 3, 2016
"Don't pay the teleprompter company" -- Trump, having a hard time reading the teleprompter in the wind, muses about stiffing the company that set it up
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Bringing the total number of laws made in the 118th Congress so far to 47. Six of them, including this one, were to keep the government open. Two of them were to keep aviation and airport programs authorized.
Federal government is now fully funded until September 30, the end of the fiscal year. President Biden today signed the $1.2T spending package funding the remaining 70% of the gov’t into law. Bill passed the House 286-134 yesterday & the Senate 74-24 at 2:03am ET this morning.
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Some may find it as an odd definition of "essential" that in a shutdown the troops don't get paid but the House gym remains open.
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1) If Ukraine was paying for/had been told Starlink was on for it, why did that NOT include Crimea, which is part of Ukraine? One can see why this would be a surprise for Ukraine's military.
2) "Cause a major war"? This was already the biggest war in Europe since World War II.
To clarify on the Starlink issue: the Ukrainians THOUGHT coverage was enabled all the way to Crimea, but it was not. They asked Musk to enable it for their drone sub attack on the Russian fleet. Musk did not enable it, because he thought, probably correctly, that would cause a
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This. Another emerging Trump line is Russia and Ukraine need to cut a deal, as though both are equally responsible or at fault. He catches himself here - "we could a had a negotia-" but in Alaska said "we could a had a deal." Putin wants a deal where he gets east/south Ukraine.
Trump still can't bring himself to condemn Putin's aggression in Ukraine. He talks about it like it was a natural disaster and not an invasion.
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Non-zero chance the collapse of the Trump Collector's Item Industrial Complex if he loses will be enough by itself to send the economy into a recession.
They're not beating the weirdness allegations (believe it or not, this is a real ad running on Newsmax)
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Trump's dilemma is he disdains the idea of doing a standard, semi-detailed stump speech with policy because he's sure it will bore people like it would bore him. But he also sees his current "more cowbell!" approach, w/ himself as the bell, isn't working like it did previously.
A big picture observation about Trump's events these days: He's just not getting the reactions he used to 8 or even 4 years ago. He had a decent crowd today in NC in terms of size, but as this thread shows they sat in silence for most of his speech because his material is stale
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CBO score tidbit: 2 million of the projected 17 million people losing coverage in 2018 would be losing EMPLOYER-BASED coverage.
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Columbus catching ZERO breaks these days: the House Dem DC statehood bill would name the 51st state "the State of Washington, Douglass Commonwealth," after Marylander Frederick Douglass.
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Reminder that Neyanyahu refused to back Ukraine after the war broke out because he wanted Putin's help in Syria. And after Oct. 7, he refused a meeting w/ Zelensky but took a call from Putin. Aid for Israel at Ukraine's expense would reward these calculated moves.
Literally the most obvious shit. Why the collective amnesia over this among alleged Putin experts?
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"Swan Lake" was what was traditionally played on Soviet-era state TV when one of the octogenarian leaders died and the world waited for 3 days or so to see who/if there'd be a new one or whether we all would die in nuclear fire.
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Treating objectively false statements ("the moon is made of cheese") and truthful ones ("the moon is a satellite of Earth") with equal credence is not fairness but actually laziness.
Lets flip that meme around: what’s something that should be obvious, but your profession seems to misunderstand?
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This is all just lowering expectations until Thursday, when the show of support for the USPS culminates with a speech from Utah Jazz great Karl Malone.
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Trump has previously said he would pay off the national debt with royalties from increased energy exploration on federal lands and much higher annual economic growth. The first is a physical impossibility and the second never happened.
Trump with a word salad about crypto: "Crypto is a very interesting thing. Very high level in certain ways. Intellectually very high level. But if we don't do it China's gonna do it ... who knows -- maybe we'll pay off our $35 trillion, hand them a little crypto check, right?"
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CNBC has long had a "it's a recession, folks" or "it's a boom, baby" approach to econ coverage (pro tip: numbers go up, down or sideways - rarely all in same direction). But I don't think they have ever put on someone who didn't know that GDP was seasonally adjusted.
Don't fret tho, Fox Business found some negative spin: "What troubles me about this GDP estimate for the 4th quarter is number one, it was a holiday quarter, so people are gonna push it for the holidays because you don't want to tell your kids there's no presents under the tree"
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In which Trump conflates Pickett's Charge with the end of the big final fight in "The Revenge of the Sith."
Trump goes on a weird rant about the battle of Gettysburg and then notes of Robert E Lee that "he's no longer in favor. Did you ever notice that?"
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I've had to make quite a few awkward phone calls as a reporter but one for this REALLY awkward. Imagine the 2-min. spiel as I had to explain to McAlester superintendent who I am, why I'm calling and oh btw did y'all ever have a meeting about cat litter?
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There's an underrated - I think - part of Biden's appeal, that he's just a fundamentally decent guy in an increasingly unhinged world. So when he says "democracy is on the ballot," it hits slightly differently than when more polished, less folksy pols say it.
@StevenTDennis
It’s hard to really hate Biden. It’s quite easy not only to loathe Trump, but to genuinely believe he is a menace to democracy not just here, but the world over.
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Lest you think this is alarmist, Trump on his social media site RT'd this afternoon an NY Post article likening the FBI to the Gestapo because of its siege of white supremacist Randy Weaver at Ruby Ridge. McVeigh believed the same and called OKC payback, "dirty for dirty."
Me: Do you think we should be worried about another Oklahoma City?
Historian Nicole Hemmer: Yes, I do.
I had a long talk with
@pastpunditry
about the parallels between the 1990s and the present. It's deeply alarming stuff.
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"We are a nation... where the flight attendants insist you put your carry-on in the overhead lengthwise, even when you're pretty sure it could fit flat..."
(to be clear, that's a joke but not by much if you listen to the clip)
Trump awkwardly pivots from talking about brutal murders to ... whining about flight cancelations
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What if student loan forgiveness ends up deepening human capital stock?
White House adviser Kevin Hassett: "Our human capital stock is ready to go back to work."
#HumanCapitalStock
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Non-zero chance that had the election gone the other way, Zelenskyy would be in prison - or worse - and Putin would be at the White House, hailing Trump's "peacemaking" that allowed him to take over Ukraine with a minimum of Russian blood spilled. Peace of the grave.
NEW -- Three years after suffering through Trump's attempted extortion, Zelenskyy receives a hero's welcome at Biden's White House in his first foreign trip since Russia invaded.
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The parties:
Dems: the Senate parliamentarian ruled against us on an ideas that was a longshot anyway - all is lost!
GOP: we lost the White House, the Senate and the House in the most recent national elections - we've got the Dems on the run!
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I mean, who *wouldn't* jump at the chance to $20 for a mutilated $2 bill? Also, may I interest you in something from my private stock of magic beans?
This Fox Business commercial is completely beyond parody on multiple levels. Could be an SNL cold open.
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Literally three-fifths of this Tweet is true.
If we teach that the founding of the United States of America was somehow flawed. It was corrupt. It was racist. That's really dangerous. It strikes at the very foundations of our country.
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Maxwell Frost on board: "Many vulnerable communities across the country will not survive another Trump Administration. It is important for our party to come together around a candidate who can beat him — which is why I am proud to offer my full support and endorsement" to Harris.
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McCaul gets his ATACMS in Ukraine bill. The Foreign Affairs Chair has been most vocal proponent of getting Ukraine long-range strike weapons that have been in short supply from France and Great Britain.
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Reminder: it's December and the president of the United States has held only one solo formal press conference since taking office.
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Reminder that the bipartisan commission to find the causes of the Great Financial Crisis of 2008 saw its GOP members issue a dissenting view that blamed (checks notes) the Community Reinvestment Act of 1977.
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Also with lack of House rules, the Speaker's Lobby, where reporters can talk to lawmakers on their way off the floor, has no dress code now. Jackets and ties optional! Shoulders bare! Cats and dogs, living together!
FYI Capitol Hill press corps:
Need a sidebar feature for Congress drama?
Story idea:
C-SPAN (& other independent media) TV cameras will be in the House chamber again today & we expect at least until a Speaker is elected
Which is how we get shots of...the Capitol Hill press corps!
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This picture is a reminder the periodic apocalyptic battles over tax policy in the last 28 years have largely been fought over ONLY 4.6-PERCENTAGE POINTS in top tax rates.
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"I have nothing to do with the Arizona situation. They're doing it, the state Senate of Arizona." - Trump, tonight.
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"Being evil, though, also makes Musk foolish, ignorant, and as perspicacious as a bag of hammers."
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If Babbitt had gotten thru the broken glass she was climbing, a) she would have been 4 or 5 feet from doors to chamber filled with lawmakers, and b) the Speaker's Lobby, under House rules, IS part of the floor (which is why you'll hear reporters complain abt dress code sometimes)
NEW
The Post has obtained two previously unreported videos of the fatal shooting of Ashli Babbitt.
They show Babbitt and others attempting to breach a barricaded door at the Capitol.
A House member is seen on the other side of the door only yards away.
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This is Jim Cooper, a Blue Dog-type Dem known as calm, rational and maybe a tad dull. (Beige's nickname for him is "beige.") This is where he's at on the USPS thing.
We need to subpoena the Postmaster General, and if he fails to appear, we should send the Sgt at Arms to arrest him.
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Something intuitively feels off, to me, w/ our reactions to these:
Friday: "at least 90" dead from an atmospheric event that happens randomly with maybe 15 mins. notice, if lucky
Today: 1,298 dead from something we've known about for 2 years, for which we know ways to stop it
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It's sad world where Hugh Hewitt is considered a "serious" conservative and
@SykesCharlie
is basically persona non grata in his own party.
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@RadioFreeTom
@FPRI_Orbis
Shouldn't this call into question all those years of DOD officials warning Russia was a "near-peer" power and justified bigger budgets? On a purely intel assessment basis, this seems almost as big a miss as Iraq.
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How you know Margaret Brennan isn't hosting "Face The Nation" this morning:
TOM COTTON: *tells blatant lies about Kamala Harris's policy positions*
CBS HOST: You've just done a decent job there of explaining the potential policy differences between the former president and the VP
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A few weeks ago I had lunch with a friend whose wife is an ex-nurse. Upon prodding, she told of walking down hallways lined with covid victim body bags and changing post-shift clothes in the garage to keep her husband safe. TV has been too worried about "tough to watch."
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👀
McCaul on CNN, on what next if Jordan ultimately loses: "If it doesn't work, then we're kind of back to, alright, maybe we ought to look at Kevin McCarthy again."
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As the saying goes, you come for The Atlantic's National Correspondent
@jamesfallows
, you best not miss...
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This is actually one of the conditions for declaring a genocide under the international Genocide Convention treaty.
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The Trump tantrum on his plane had already been reported, minus the phone throwing detail and name of the reporter. By a reporter who got booted before the trip.
NEW: Trump insisted last night on his plane that he was “not frustrated” by expected criminal charges in the Manhattan DA hush money investigation — but the manner of his responses suggested he was actually quite frustrated.
@Guardian
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This is replacing the behind-the-scenes bank transaction clearing system that FLEW PHYSICAL CHECKS. BETWEEN CITIES. ON PLANES. Seriously. Ffs, folks.
New from
@bcheungz
+ me:
For months, the far-right has insisted the US is about to adopt a new digital currency that would ban people from buying meat, and bar the unvaccinated from buying... anything.
They finally have boogeyman: a thing called FedNow.
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@RadioFreeTom
's advice to everyone enjoying Trump/Putin/Xi's very bad, no good November:
“We can be relieved, for the moment, that the right is in disarray. But we should not lose sight of the fact that some of the worst people in national and global politics are reorganizing and retrenching. They will be back.”
-
@RadioFreeTom
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There's a reason I ask some questions, including sometimes for history's sake.
>
@SpeakerRyan
asked by
@JNicholsonInDC
if Trump is qualified to be orez. answer: 'Donald Trump won the nomination.'
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Folks, seriously, let's just not retcon Ross Perot into wise-man-before-his-time person instead of the bat**** crazy guy he was. I was there. I lived it. He said ninjas tried to break up his daughter's wedding.
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"One represents the 'radical' wing of the NFL, while the other gives voice to its 'pragmatist' bloc and both merit consideration." - NYT, if it endorsed sports teams
Super Bowl LIV will be the first Super Bowl between two teams with red prominently in their logo.
The Chiefs Red is Pantone 186C.
The 49ers Red is Pantone 187 C.
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Foreign Affairs' McCaul calls for ending restrictions on ATACMS targets after Kyiv hospital bombing: "The short range ATACMS could certainly hit these glide bombers that are coming out of there & the longer range could knock out all of it. But Jake Sullivan just won't allow it."
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Next week, Republicans will vote for a tax cut increasing the 10-year deficit by $1.5 trillion & to exempt Pentagon from spending caps they agreed to in 2011 before arguing next year that entitlements will bankrupt the government.
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But where is she on jackets/ties required for men in the Lobby?
#NoJacketRequired
AZ Rep. Martha McSally with some dress code commentary on the House floor a few minutes ago:
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Trump refers to Mitch McConnell's wife, Elaine Chao, who who was also Trump's Transportation secretary, as "Coco Chow."
It's an embarrassment that Donald Trump was ever our president. It's an embarrassment that so many still support him, and that so many others in his party cower before him.
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The "Lemon, it's Wednesday" of this week is that Ginni Thomas has completely knocked Mo Brooks saying Trump was wanting to be unconstitutionally "reinstated" as POTUS as late as Labor Day last year right off the map.
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So this is the Nat'l Weather Svc in Norman, Okla. - like smack dab in the middle of Tornado Alley - being unable to gather realtime info on storms that it can use in its warnings or to assess storm severity afterwards.
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Note the difference in the assumed level of Normie care about violating the Hatch Act vs the assumed level of Normie care about getting rid of the filibuster.
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Welp, this blew up, probably more than an offhand - and arguably slightly incomplete - observation should have. No SoundCloud, but if you like wonky fiscal policy, I'm your dude. Like this:
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OK, as climate change effects go, this one seems objectively the most horror movie one yet...
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Welp, Tax Reform Week is off to the rousing start usually seen for Infrastructure Weeks.
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Trump has also said "hundreds of thousands" of civilians have been killed in Ukraine, when UN puts it at 6,200 (which is admittedly low because we don't know yet what kind of charnel houses the Russians created in Mariupol, Kherson and occupied Donbas yet, but still).
i'm pretty sure the guy who sold me schwag in college didn't kill anywhere close to 500 Americans and didn't deserve to be put to death
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If you've spent any time in a newsroom or gallery with female reporters, you've heard these stories and know this is why the screen portrayals make them so angry.
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Half of American Indian Twitter: seriously, yeah, "Indian Country" is legit, swear to God.
Other half: please don't make us defend the guy who uses "Pocahontas" as a slur.
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Meet the Oklahoma pol who's anti-Trump, socially moderate and wildly popular: OKC Mayor David Holt
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As unhinged as today has been, it feels oddly familiar to anyone who can recall the mid-90s and Ted Kaczynski, Eric Rudolph (ATL Olympics bombing) and of course McVeigh.
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When newspapers still were made of paper, that's s the style and font size of a headline that would make you stop in front of a news stand, when there were news stands.
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Wondering if Rubio would have said this to the faces of the dozen or so remaining journalists in the Capitol last week as he talked up his role in the stimulus bill.
Some in our media can’t contain their glee & delight in reporting that the U.S. has more
#CoronaVirus
cases than
#China
Beyond being grotesque,its bad journalism
We have NO IDEA how many cases China really has but without any doubt its significantly more than why they admit to
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Jan. 3, 2019: Rep. Liz Cheney makes a formal nomination speech in support of Kevin McCarthy to be Speaker.
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@nycsouthpaw
Wait - the same reporter who announced his new site just yesterday, promising "fact-based news without an agenda, with a neutral voice and with unprecedented transparency"? That guy?
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Cart of oranges, apples and bananas wheeled into the cloak room just off Senate floor. Senators arriving to vote with cups of coffee in hand. McDonald's getting handed out to Capitol Police who also had to pull this all-nighter. Daybreak seems to be giving the Capitol a 2nd wind.
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Well how do you do, fellow Indianapolis Colts NFL professional football team fans...
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True, this is simply the way things are supposed to work. But still worth taking a breath and appreciating we sent almost 3 million people up in pressurized tubes, brought them back down safely and no one got hurt.
Yesterday was the busiest day ever at airports in the US, with the
@TSA
reporting 2,884,783 people screened. It was also an incredibly smooth day of travel with fewer than one-half of one percent of 51,332 scheduled flights canceled.
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Back in 2016, I was telling people to read
@sarahkendzior
and her analysis of Trump, through the lens of former Soviet states. My suggestion now would be to research the psychological term "discard phase" and narcissism.
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Capitol Police allowed protesters to demonstrate directly below the south side of the Capitol and within earshot of lawmakers going to votes from House office buildings in 2010, during health care debate.
Barricades have been erected around the Capitol ahead of the Kavanaugh vote. Have been here 12 years and have never seen this for a vote.
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Serbia: solidarity with our Russian Orthodox Slavic brothers!
Also Serbia: may we interest you, third party country, in Soviet-standard ammo that would also coincidentally be compatible with Ukraine's needs?
❗🇷🇸🇺🇦 €800 million worth of Serbian ammunition has been exported to Ukraine via intermediaries since Feb 2022.
We've known about these third party transfers for some time now, but this is the first time I've seen it meaningfully quantified.
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Mnuchin on way to Schumer's says they're getting close. Asked how close, he holds up two fingers about an inch apart. "This close."
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So Ukraine is saying they've taken north part of Staromaiorske. In a kneebone-is-connected-to-the-thigh bone-is-connected-to-the-hip bone way, Staromairorkse is 8 km from Staromlynivka, a logistics ctr, and that's 140 km to Berdyansk, on the coast. That would cut the land bridge.
Ukraine has been attacking the town of Staromaiors’ke for the past few days and a few Russian TG channels are now saying they’ve taken the town and potentially the one next to it called Urozhaine. Both are on high-ground so would be good to have taken them
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Remember, starting on this seventh vote, candidates for speaker have to go for the two-point conversion after a touchdown if no speaker is selected in regulation voting.
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Rep. Tom Cole, a Chickasaw Nation member and a Republican to boot, once told me his mother or grandmother used to ask that $20 bills be broken so she wouldn't have to carry an Andrew Jackson bill. Now, there'll be a Native woman's next to Jackson's pic.
5
28
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