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@ITC_Stocks
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The Equity Verse
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$TSLA just moved below its 300W SMA for the 3rd time in its history
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Elon Musk's $56 Billion compensation package was approved by voters
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The price of copper has broken out of its 2023 highs.
Historically copper has been a leading indicator for headline inflation.
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$NVDA Price / 50W SMA:
You can learn a lot about the current state of an asset by looking at its price with respect to moving averages.
History shows that typically $NVDA doesn't get much more extended from it's 50W SMA, suggesting its losing short term momentum.
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$TSLA Weekly RSI:
Oversold regions (< 30) have historically captured great scaling in opportunities.
Overbought regions (> 70) have historically captured good but not great scaling out opportunities.
Latest value: 40.64
Value 2 weeks ago: 34.11
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ROI as measured from their 2021-2022 highs:
$NVDA (white): +167%
$META (yellow): +33%
$AMZN (red): -2.2%
$AAPL (purple): -5.6%
$NFLX (blue): -8.9%
$TSLA (green): -58.9%
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Bitcoin ETFs compared to some of the top traded ETFs
IBIT is on its way to surpass GBTC and TQQQ in market cap. Its volume is already higher than GBTC.
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$TSLA Short-Term Bubble Risk (extension from 20W SMA)
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As measured from their most recent lows:
NVDA (white): +725%
META (yellow): +458%
NFLX (blue): +278%
AMZN (red): +118%
TSLA (green): +64%
AAPL (purple): +37%
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The price of $COIN (light blue) overlaid with the price of Bitcoin (darker blue) and their 1Y Pearson Correlation Coefficient in red.
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$AAPL is currently underperforming its election-year average
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S&P 500 closed 5 months green in a row.
Historically April is a good month, let's see what it brings.
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Current S&P 500 risk is 0.877.
It has historically spent 2.93% in the 0.8 - 0.9 risk band.
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$AAPL area between 150W SMA and 200W SMA is worth watching
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Heatmap of the top 50 stocks in the S&P 500, sized by marketcap and color coded by their YTD performance.
Top YTD performers:
$NVDA: +83.94%
$META: +38.22%
Worst YTD performers:
$TSLA: -29.71%
$ADBE: -14.40%
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$TSLA Short-Term Bubble Risk (Price / 20W SMA):
Dark blue regions, below 0.75, provide historically interesting DCA regions.
Brighter blue regions (where we are currently) are historically attractive regions but there is more short term downside risk.
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Eventhough $AAPL hasn't shown much movement to the upside recently, it's downside volatility has been very limited over the last decade compared to others.
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$NVDA is now up 10x from its 2022 low. The recent move today puts it at the 4.236 Fib retracement level
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$COST YTD ROI in-line with its election-year average
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$MSFT has seen a large increase in its total liabilities lately
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Nvidia vs. Cisco Bubble Comparison
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@WwWishing
@jerlis_here
@intocryptoverse
I currently use the ITC software but it's possible in tradingview too. This should help you on your way:
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