Hans Tino Hansen
@HthHans
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Realistic optimist, Founder & CEO Risk Intelligence @Riskstaff , IR & economics, defence, security, military history, Cold War - All football now at @Hansforza
Vedbaek, Denmark
Joined October 2013
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“Diplomacy without arms is like music without instruments” - Frederick the Great
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Denmark decides to donate all 19 CAESAR howitzers to Ukraine and will replace with a new capacity.
Well, guess who has been pledging for this for a very long time….
Well done Danish government!
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Please stop this nonsense about “offensive” weapons in relation to Ukraine.
Ukraine should have all the weapon systems, training, spare parts, financial support, ammunition and intelligence necessary to kick out Russia from Ukraine and to ensure they never return.
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Proud of my youngest son who is going to make a presentation for “speakers corner” for English lessons and has chosen Simo Häyhä as the topic. His other candidate was Ronaldo, but as my son said “everyone in my class knows about Ronaldo and they need to know about Simo”.
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Denmark will deliver the 19 CAESAR 155mm howitzers to Ukraine within the next couple of weeks as the Ukrainian soldiers today have finalised their training in Denmark. The donation was announced 19 January 2023.
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Denmark selects Rheinmetall's 30mm Skyranger turret for army short range air defence. It will be fitted on the Danish army standard APC Piranha V
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The plot thickens… ;-) The “Ukrainian” commando behind the yacht Andromeda reported by misguided media as used for blowing up
#Nordstream
is “surprisingly” not Ukrainian and leads to… Russia. Who could have guessed that…
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19 ex-Danish Piranha IIIH APCs are being delivered to Moldova by Germany as part of a military support package from Germany.
Thread 1/4
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Denmark 🇩🇰 will deliver the first Leopard 1A5DK tanks for 🇺🇦 training within the next two weeks as part of a batch about 80 tanks (for two battalions) within the next couple of months. A total of 100 tanks will be donated with 🇩🇪 and 🇳🇱 support.
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Denmark reportedly sends upgraded M113 APCs, anti-armour mines and mortar grenades to Ukraine as part of a 600m DKK (85m USD) assistance package.
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Ukraine: Last batch of the 2,700 M72 EC LAW anti-tank weapons was delivered to Ukraine yesterday and the Danish C-130 Hercules has returned to its base.
Tirsdag aften landede det danske Hercules-fly igen sikkert på dansk grund, efter den sidste sending panserværnsvåben til Ukraine var blevet afleveret. Tak for indsatsen!
#dkforsvar
#dkpol
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#OTD
9 April 1940
Colonel Bennike, commander of the 🇩🇰Danish 4th Regiment refused to follow the order to surrender. To him the only correct decision was to go to Elsinore and board ships to transport his men to Helsingborg, 🇸🇪Sweden to continue the fight against the Germans 1/5
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Welcome! Sweden and Finland applying for NATO membership and they will be received with a very warm welcome! A strong addition to security in Northern Europe.
H/t to
@lykkefriis
and
@weekendavisen
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Danish Navy taking “technicals” to a brand new level (Photo: Hans Christian Aarup)
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I would suggest the Danish government to seriously consider buying back the 120-160 ex-Danish Leopard 1A5 DK currently held by German company FFG and donate them to Ukraine (with end-user certificate) maybe in cooperation with UK and US, so the Bundestag has no more excuses.
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Danish parliament will Friday approve the deployment of up to 2,265 troops for NATO collective defence
- 1,000 btn combat group
- 225 mech inf coy
- 400 staff/support for MNC-NE & MND-N
- 300 support, logistics, engineers, signals
- 175 Navy
- 165 Airforce
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During the night, I was thinking about the total lack of Danish air defence and the fact that we might have 0% interceptions and 99% drones/missiles hitting their targets instead of 1%. Thank you Danish politicians for leaving us defenseless in your quest for the “peace dividend”
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Russia says it will retaliate if Denmark restricts ship movement (Reuters)
Russia pre-emptively and unsurprisingly tries to threaten Denmark if its dark fleet is denied transit through Danish Straits due to lack of insurance and for environmental reasons
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This map by
@Nrg8000
makes more sense without
large areas of Russian "control", which they clearly do not have. The Russians have control of main roads, some cities (+part of the airspace) and not much more. This resembles Soviet in Afghanistan and the Germans in Yugoslavia.
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The Danish Army has a critical deficit of contract soldiers and cannot sustain combat capability at brigade or battalion-level according to the Deputy Commander of the Danish Army, Brigadier Lyhne. As I see it, besides the critical lack 1/6
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Denmark and the Netherlands jointly acquires 14 used Leopard 2A4 to be donated to Ukraine. The 14 tanks will be refurbished and delivered in early 2024. They come in addition to 100 Leopard 1A5DK tanks being donated by Denmark, The Netherlands & Germany.
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Denmark, Norway, Germany and Slovakia declares common funding of 155mm Zuzana-2 howitzers to be built in Slovakia for Ukraine. 230m DKK of total 685m DKK will be funded by Denmark (With a price around 3-4m USD per piece this would equal ca 24 howitzers)
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🇩🇰Denmark will train 🇺🇦Ukrainian pilots for F-16
Minister of Defence Troels Lund Poulsen this evening says it will be a top priority for Denmark and says donation of F-16 planes is also on the table. It will take place in cooperation with 🇬🇧🇳🇱🇧🇪
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Danmark 🇩🇰: forsvarsbudget…blah blah blah, må tage op til 10 år, blah blah 2032, blah blah, 2%, NATO blah blah
Sverige 🇸🇪: Hold my beer… 💪🏻
Försvarsbudgeten utökas med över 27 miljarder nästa år
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🇩🇰Denmark donates another 30 Leopard 1 tanks to 🇺🇦Ukraine in addition to the already agreed 80, which are in the process of being delivered. More surprisingly, Denmark also donates 15 modernised T-72 tanks to Ukraine.
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Vi har fejret lidt herhjemme til aften på grund af at Norden 🇩🇰🇳🇴🇸🇪🇮🇸🇫🇮 nu endeligt er samlet i en alliance for første gang siden 1523!
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Why do media consistently claim that the attack in Belgorod is the first time Ukraine strikes on Russian soil? Examples:
25FEB Tochka-U missile attack on military airfield in Rostov region (see below)
28FEB Drone attack on fuel train in northern Crimea
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The sudden apparent blind selection of replacement capacity for the CAESAR 155mm howitzer in Denmark after the donation to Ukraine does not make sense. Denmark is forming a medium heavy infantry brigade and in NATO planning we are to deliver a heavy infantry brigade by 2032. 1/6
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Danish supermarket group has started importing a range of foodstuffs, beer and wine from Ukraine to provide revenue for Ukrainian businesses, which was why we had Obolon and Chernigivske beer at the office Friday bar. Great initiative that we will support going forward.
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🇩🇰 Ex-Danish Leopard 1A5DK on the move to 🇺🇦 Ukraine. Denmark is delivering initially 80 tanks with German and Dutch support:
Four Leopard 1A5DK en route to Ukraine - July 13, 2023, city of Łomża, Poland.
Germany, Denmark and Netherlands are involved in delivery and refurbishment of over 135 Leopard 1A5s for the Ukrainian army.
Please credit me, this video is mine!
2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine
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Lets get some of the 🇩🇰Danish F-16 to 🇺🇦 Ukraine as soon as possbile. Thank you very much.
Welcome announcement that the US will approve the training of Ukrainian pilots on F-16 fighter jets.
The UK will work together with the USA and the Netherlands, Belgium and Denmark to get Ukraine the combat air capability it needs.
We stand united.
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US HIMARS battery airlifted to the island of Bornholm in the Baltic Sea and getting target data from the Danish frigate Niels Juel for a simulated firing exercise.
#StrongerTogether
🇩🇰🤝🇺🇸🤝🇸🇪🤝🇳🇴
Dansk-amerikansk øvelse på Bornholm. Simuleret affyring af våbensystemet HIMARS. Fælles nordisk erklæring om forsvarssamarbejde vedtaget. Tak til
@forsvaretdk
og
@Hjemmevaernet
for støtte. Se 👉
#StrongerTogether
#DE22LiveEx
#dkpol
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🇩🇰Ex-Danish M109 surprisingly donated to 🇺🇦Ukraine. As is evident from the video below it still has its Danish number 45.266. This was one of the three last M109 in working order which was not handed over to museums. Photo when in 🇩🇰 service. (M. Nielsen)
H/t
@hejtas
Footage of what appears to be a ex Danish m109 in Ukraine was uploaded to Facebook.
It appears to be legit which is rather surprising.
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Colonel Bennike said that it was about “Sveriges frihed og Danmarks ære” (Sweden’s freedom and Denmark’s honour). The troops only returned to Denmark in June 1940. Bennike would return to Sweden in 1943 while escaping the Germans for his role in supporting the resistance 5/5
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Danish MOD releases overview of Danish military donations with a range of interesting details such as 407 Stinger missiles w 330 grip stocks, 5,600 84mm Carl Gustaf grenades and 8,000 RPG-7 with 29,000 grenades, which clearly did not originate in Denmark.
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Subsea communication cables cut to Shetland Islands following earlier cut between Faroe Islands (DK) and Shetland Islands. Should be seen in a wider context with e.g. the Svalbard communication cable in January.
#critical
#maritime
#infrastructure
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Happy days! One more video of the Ex-Danish M113G3DK in Ukrainian service.
Having commanded the original versions back at the end of the
#coldwar
it is amazing to see them (although massively upgraded) again being used for something good. It's not an IFV but better than a truck.
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I Danmark og Norge vil man betragte partisanerne i de besatte områder i Ukraine som frihedskæmpere. I SVT i Sverige bliver deres angreb beskrevet som “terrorattentat”. HELT UTROLIGT.
via
@svtnyheter
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Thread: There is some misunderstanding in the Swedish and Finnish NATO debate about nuclear weapons. First of all, NATO as an organisation has zero nuclear weapons. Three member countries USA, United Kingdom and France has. 1/3
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Denmark plans semi-permanent forward deployed army presence in Latvia from mid-2024 w. one mechanised infantry battalion of between 700 & 1.200 troops - in addition to the rotation of an annual company/squadron for NATO eFP Battlegroup Estonia 🧵 1/3
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Interessant spørgsmål fra min yngste søn - hvad var det mørkeste tidspunkt i historien for Danmark. Mit svar:
1. 1658
tabet af Skåne, Halland og Blekinge
2. 1864
tabet af Slesvig, Holsten og Lauenburg
3. 1814
tabet af Norge
4. 1042
tabet af England
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I will urge you to watch this strong documentary
#HeartofInvictus
about the ethos and daily challenges, anxieties, but also joys of veterans from 🇺🇦🇩🇰🇬🇧🇺🇸🇨🇦🇰🇷 training and preparing for the 2022
#InvictusGames
Bravo Zulu to the veterans &
@WeAreInvictus
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The idea about creating a pool of Leopard 2 for Ukraine is excellent if leading to end-user certificates or even donation by Germany. Ideally, initially, a model such as A5 or A6 should be selected as A4 and A7 would be too different.
#FreeTheLeopards
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🧵Trump's "NATO death" speech: Even if my conclusion in the below analysis about scenarios for war with Russia in combination of US withdrawal from Europe was ominous, I had not expected it to go potentially straight to the most negative outcome. 1/11
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Here is the only Danish current land-based air defence - admittedly somewhat fixed in its current museum display.
More than a decade of gross negligence has resulted in a defence completely eradicated a long range of capabilities. Air defence being only one example…
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Denmark has 216 Centurion tanks stored in museums and depots since the 1990s and these will now be re-activated and modernized to equip the new 3rd Armoured Brigade in the Danish Army.
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Dear media and others: please do not confuse this statement from Rheinmetall that they cannot deliver Leopard 2 (and 1) from storage before 2024 with Germany not being able to deliver Leopard 2 - like other countries they can directly from the army stock.
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Danish MOD: First ex-Danish Leopard 1A5DK tanks to be delivered to Ukraine by spring.
In stage one of the Danish-German-Dutch project two tank battalions of about 80 tanks are planned.
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🇩🇰Denmark today announced its 12th military donation package for 🇺🇦Ukraine consisting of 5.8bn DKK (0.83bn USD) funding contribution for tanks, tank ammunition, infantry fighting vehicles and air defence systems to be acquired together with allies
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Denmark will support the three Baltic countries militarily in case of Russian escalation says Danish Minister of Defence
@IlvesToomas
@edwardlucas
@general_ben
Danmark er klar til at komme de baltiske lande til undsætning i tilfælde af russisk aggression.
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Training of Ukrainian tank crews on ex-Danish Leopard 1A5DK tanks (as below photo) which have been re-acquired by 🇩🇰 Denmark for 🇺🇦 Ukraine from FFG starts in 🇩🇪 Germany at the Klietz training area under command of Danish Army instructors.
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The first of 🇩🇰Danish donated F-16 to arrive shortly in 🇺🇦Ukraine. This is significant as it will pave the way for many more F-16s and other modern combat aircraft for Ukraine.
I am grateful to
@Statsmin
Mette Frederiksen for participating in the Peace Summit and for Denmark's active assistance in engaging the countries of the Global South in the Peace Formula implementation.
During our meeting, we discussed preparations for the transfer of Danish F-16
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The Swedes officially interned the Danes at Ljunbyhed, but in reality they were used to secure and protect the mobilisation of the Swedish K2 regiment during the following days. With their readiness for combat the 11th btn played an important role.
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At Helsingborg the much baffled Swedes was “invaded” by a colonel who was not to give up the fight against Germans. As it happened Sweden had not mobilised and large parts of Southern Sweden was largely undefended, which meant the Danes was a surprising but welcome addition 3/5
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Danish 🇩🇰mechanized infantry BTN (1st Btn, Guard Hussars) embarking a DFDS Ro-Ro ship to deploy to Lavia 🇱🇻It will be escorted by Danish frigate F342 Esbern Snare. The BTN will become part of a Latvian Brigade under the Danish-led NATO Multi-National Division North (Forsvaret FB)
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Denmark announced in April 2022 it would donate between a number of Piranha III to Ukraine (about 20-25 APCs), but this was blocked by Switzerland in June 2022 2/4
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Ex-Danish M113G3DK in Ukraine. Absolutely great news that they apparently are with the 5th btn, 125th territorial defence brigade, which already has a special connection to Denmark.
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He had issued orders to march to Elsinore, but both due to some officers questioning his orders and other delays, only half of the 11th Battalion made it to the ships and was transported to Helsingborg
(Photo from Elsinore 9 April 1940) 2/5
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The most significant impact of the 🇩🇰Danish and 🇳🇱Dutch donation of F-16 planes to 🇺🇦Ukraine is not the number of aircraft, but the West now de facto delivering combat aircraft. If 🇧🇪Belgium, 🇳🇴Norway, 🇺🇸 and others follow suit Ukraine can operate 200-300 F-16 within a 1-3 years.
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Danish Navy frigate F342 Esbern Snare training with Finnish missile boat 81 Tornio. Hopefully, more is coming with decision by Finland to join Denmark in NATO.
I dagene op til påske har fregatten Esbern Snare gennemført øvelser med patruljefartøjet Tornio fra den finske flåde i Østersøområdet. Selvom Finland ikke er medlem af NATO, er det normalt for danske flådeenheder at træne med de finske kolleger.
#dkforsvar
#v
ærdatkæmpefor
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Danish MoD presents 1.7bn DKK (250m USD) package for 🇺🇦:
- Armoured recovery & combat engineer vehicles
- Armoured mine clearing vehicles
- Mine clearing equipment
- Mortar grenades
- 84mm Carl Gustaf amm
- Bridges
- NVG
- contribution to air defence
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This photo is hilarious in so many ways. Seems like Olaf Scholtz is slightly tired following Mette Frederiksen around…
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What a complete arse! He condemns the right for a sovereign nation to defend itself against aggression and cold blooded murder. He should be ashamed.
Danish film director Lars von Trier condemned the transfer of F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine and wrote that "Russian lives matter also."
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The new Danish Navy Arctic frigate for replacement for the ageing Thetis class - a design study by OSK.
125m, 6,000 tons, VLS, 76mm gun, CIWS and helo.
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🇩🇰Danmark og 🇸🇪Sverige styrker forsvarssamarbejdet på en række områder - tråd nedenfor: 1/6
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After the 🇩🇰 Danish MOD and DALO reports on the selection of replacement for the 19 CAESAR 155mm howitzers donated to 🇺🇦 Ukraine, we now know much more about the outrageous “process” leading to the selection of ATMOS on 26 January. It was much worse than I anticpated on the 21.
The sudden apparent blind selection of replacement capacity for the CAESAR 155mm howitzer in Denmark after the donation to Ukraine does not make sense. Denmark is forming a medium heavy infantry brigade and in NATO planning we are to deliver a heavy infantry brigade by 2032. 1/6
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Give everything Ukraine needs.
Make no restrictions.
Slava Ukraini!
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The 19 Piranha III may have been acquired by Germany for the donation to Moldova since the German Minister of Defence's visit in October 2022. However, these are not necessarily the same APCs as the originally planned Danish APCs for Ukraine. 4/4
📹 Germany had started deliveries of the promised ex-Danish Piranha IIIH armored personnel carriers to
#Moldova
, which was criticized by the authorities of the separatist and pro-Russian Transnistria.
#Ukraine
📹
@savunmaisleri
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Strong message: Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen states that Denmark is ready to supply weapons and other military equipment to
#Ukraine
if the situation escalates.
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Denmark originally had 92 Piranha IIIC (incl 16 ambulance and 4 signals) and 22 Piranha IIIH (all infantry APC). The Piranha III were extensively used in Iraq and Afghanistan and has now been replaced by Piranha V in the Danish Army. (P: L.Holst and O. Andreasen, DK defence) 3/4
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🇩🇰Danish instructors training of 🇺🇦Ukrainian Leopard 1A5DK tank crews in Germany as part of the donation of 100 ex-Danish tanks. 6 min video but you may want to brush up your Danish skills first ;-)
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The island of Bornholm in the Baltic today saw the deployment of 1st Battalion of the Royal Lifeguards for participation in the Defender Europe 22 exercise. A US HIMARS battery will also be airlifted to Bornholm as part of the exercise
(TV2/Bornholm)
#StrongerTogether
#NATO
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🇩🇰Denmark has no ground based air defence and certainly no Patriot systems, but is willing to contribute to funding Patriot to 🇺🇦Ukraine
Danmark vil være med til at betale for Patriot-system til Ukraine
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Serious deterrence in the Baltic.
A 🇺🇸US firing unit with SM-6 missiles is deployed to the island of Bornholm in the Baltic to conduct advanced convoy protection drills with 🇩🇰Danish defence beginning Monday 18 September.
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Some of the first 20 Ex-🇩🇰 Leopard 1A5DK deployed in 🇺🇦Ukraine thanks to the 🇩🇰Danish-led donation with 🇩🇪Germany & 🇳🇱The Netherlands. The number will increase to first 80 & then possibly around 100. More Leopard 1 tanks are donated by German with the 2 other countries supporting
A Leopard 1A5 supplied to Ukraine by Germany, Denmark and the Netherlands on Ukrainian soil. The first 20 were reportedly already delivered.
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First SM-2 missile launched from the Danish frigate Niels Juel off North Norway last night. This finally makes the three Danish Iver Huitfeldt frigates true area air defence frigates. Next step likely to be SM-6.
I nat blev det første danske SM-2-missil affyret fra fregatten Niels Juel i et øvelsesområdet i Nordnorge. Det er en vigtig milepæl for vores fregatter af Iver Huitfeldt-klassen. Det betyder, at fregatterne nu vil blive i stand til nedskyde fjendtlige fly på lang afstand.
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Excellent news! Danish Harpoon missiles delivered to Ukraine "with the participation of our British friends" according to Ukrainian defence minister Reznikov.
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Very important point about Soviet = Russian negotiation tactics from the Prime Minister of Estonia.
always remember what Kaja Kallas told us about soviet negotiation tactics
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🇩🇰 Denmark: Chief of Defence and many officers, who know nothing else than planning and carrying out reductions their entire career: “we cannot manage to spend the additional funds up to 2% of GDP and need 10 years to implement”
🇵🇱 Poland: Hold my beer…
Poland to Spend Over 4 Percent of GDP on Defense in 2024
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And here they are - the ex-Danish Leopard 1A5DK (at the German company FGG) which I referred to below in my suggestion to be donated to Ukraine. We had 230. (Photo: Martin Lind).
I would suggest the Danish government to seriously consider buying back the 120-160 ex-Danish Leopard 1A5 DK currently held by German company FFG and donate them to Ukraine (with end-user certificate) maybe in cooperation with UK and US, so the Bundestag has no more excuses.
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Danmark, Island og Norge siger, at de vil hjælpe Sverige og Finland i tilfælde af angreb inden NATO-optagelse.
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The first 18 🇺🇦Ukrainian 155mm Bohdana howitzers funded by 🇩🇰Denmark are about to be delivered to the 🇺🇦Ukrainian military. Bravo!
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Russian corvettes 545 Stoikiy og 531 Soobrazitelny most likely responsible for GPS/AIS jamming covering a 50 x 30 km area in the Danish Great Belt strait during 10 minutes in early October 2022 - about one week after the
#Nordstream
pipeline attacks
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As the above link is unclear
The leading Danish law firm Gorrissen Federspiel has produced this paper on the legal aspects of enforcing sanctions according to the 1857 Copenhagen Treaty and UNCLOS: “Passing through? Russian Vessels in the Danish Straits”
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Our former 🇩🇰 Leopard 1A5DK tanks (complete with their old license plates) being prepared for training of 🇺🇦 tank crews.
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Ukrainian 🇺🇦pilots may start training in Denmark 🇩🇰 already in August accordng to Danish Minister of Defence Troels Lund Poulsen, who will present the Danish plan to its partners in the Ukraine Defense Contact Group on Thursday.
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Holy Saint Barbara!!
These are ex-Danish M101 105mm howitzers, where 72 were donated by Denmark to Lithuania 2001-04 (they even still have the Danish numbers). Originally donated by the US as part of the 182 M101 package in 1950. History repeats itself....
🇱🇹🇺🇦 Our howitzers on their way, where they are needed the most.
#Ukraine
🇺🇦 is defending its Freedom, Statehood and its Right to create its own future!
#HeroyamSlava
#LithuanianSupport
🇱🇹
#SupportToUkraine
#SlavaUkraini
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CV9035DK is what they want
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Danish Leopard 2A7 of the 2nd Tank Squadron, 1st Btn, Jutland Dragoon Regiment, currently in Nato eFP Battle Group Estonia taking part in the parade celebrating the Independence Day of Estonia (foto: eFP Estonia)
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Amazing footage of excellent teamwork between two Ukrainian soldiers defending their part of the trenchline. Full video 4:56 min.
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BAE Systems meget tæt på ordre fra Danmark på 115 CV9035 på 7,5 mia DKK oven i ordren for opgradering af 44 gamle CV9035 på 1,5 mia DKK
Interessant detalje:
“Han tilføjer, at de modeller Danmark får, er helt nye og endnu ikke klar til at blive vist frem.”
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Most likely ex-Danish 🇩🇰 M101 105mm howitzer donated to 🇱🇹Lithuania 20 years ago and then donated by Lithuania to 🇺🇦Ukraine. In 1950 they were donated by 🇺🇸 to 🇩🇰, but still going strong at 74+ years.
Here’s what a 105mm M101 mentioned below looks like in action.
Lacking the range of the more modern L118/M119, it’s still a reliable piece of kit that Ukraine can put 100s of rounds through each day.
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🇩🇰 Danish instructors salute 🇺🇦Ukrainian soldiers at the farewell from the training ground in the UK, where the training culminated with a night live firing exercise. (Danish Army FB).
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Now, apparently, the top of defence and defence acquisition, has decided to go back to ATMOS to replace CAESAR without acknowledging the fundamental changes in operational environment since 2014, selection of artillery in partner countries and not least NATO requirements. 4/6
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Great with today’s 🇸🇪Swedish 1bn SEK (89m EUR) addition to the 🇩🇰Danish 1.8bn DKK (241m EUR) for the joint project of CV90 for 🇺🇦Ukraine. With an average price of 8.5m EUR it equals ca 39 CV90.
We can also hope the 🇩🇰 part is a warm up to acquire CV90 for the heavy brigade…🤩
6
24
202
Much awaited mid-life update of the Danish CV90 fleet. It will follow the Dutch mid-life update version with only a few variations.
The next contract will likely be for additional CV90 for the heavy brigade.
6
22
200