Hussain Nadim
@HNadim87
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Mostly thinking, otherwise building. Founder @3RD_AI_ | Professor of Practice in International Affairs @GWtweets
San Francisco, CA
Joined March 2012
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It's finally done. I'm migrating from Twitter to my own Substack. Welcome to Chaos Theory:
Why?
For years, I wrote columns for mainstream publications including Express Tribune, Sydney Morning Herald, Foreign Policy, and others until I was repeatedly
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Nothing is more powerful in politics than a sense of tragedy and betrayal. PTI just got one!
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From “Absolutely Not” to “Beggars can’t be choosers”, hope for an independent foreign policy is going to go a long way in only a day.
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You can’t fight a 5G war with a 2G mindset and 1G tactics.
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If it takes 13 political parties spending billions to oust the PM, they don't have much politics to begin with.
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This is a clear verdict against the crooked politics that was openly on display for weeks in this country.
Those that want
#PuranaPakistan
may have to wait.
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If
#Pakistan
is the reason for the US failure in
#Afghanistan
, I wonder who is responsible for the failure in Iraq, Syria and Libya?
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Here is one interesting way to show public pulse:
This is the live viewership of TV channels on Nayatel as of 11:35pm in 15 cities all over Pakistan.
Notice how the media blackout of
#Peshawar
Jalsa is impacting the viewership of all the channels compared to ARY.
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For them it’s another day in politics, for him it’s the future of Pakistan. And herein lies the difference.
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All kings think they can live forever. All kings are wrong.
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Pakistan is now at war with India, Afghanistan, Iran and Pakistan.
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“Insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results.” Einstein
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The opposition may have the numbers in the parliament, the public mood is overwhelmingly in favour of the PM.
With the credibility of 'letter' now confirmed by the NSC, a move against PM will forever be remembered by public as an act of treason.
Sanity must prevail.
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Here is how the Indian disinformation industry works:
Step 1: Pick a non-issue & spin it into a religious issue
Step 2: Act deeply "concerned"
Step 3: Get sock-puppets to tweet it
Step 4: Have Indian verified profiles tweet
Step 5: Use Indian media to amplify it globally
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You can’t run politics as a family business and call it “democracy”.
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Highly condemnable that a sitting Prime Minister in his official address declares the largest political party & its protestors as ‘terrorists’, for demanding elections and rule of law in the country.
This is a dangerous narrative to play with at a time when emotions are high.
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Not even a PM yet and already getting excellent global coverage for
#Pakistan
The brother of a disgraced prime minister, Shehbaz Sharif has been plagued by accusations of nepotism and corruption
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India’s disinformation machine trying too hard to make it a sectarian issue.
The entire country stands with Hassan Ali.
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A very positive message in favour of Pakistan Army by the PM in these sensitive & emotional times encouraging his young supporters to respect institutions that are keeping Pakistan together.
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Pakistan did honour these guys with Lux Style Awards. But I agree there is a lot more that needs to be done.
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PM Imran Khan delivered one of the best speech of his tenure at
#ISD2022
today. Laid out 3 things that make a nation:
- Welfare of the people
- justice for all - rich & poor alike
- independent foreign policy
Appeared to be in high spirits preparing for the next phase of war
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Imran Khan asking IMF to press for election audit and voter sanctity is an attempt to "harm the country".
Meanwhile, those that stole the public mandate to form an illegitimate government is super positive for the country.
Such are the analysis ..
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If you have to shutdown internet and ban social media to stay in power, you have absolutely no reason to be in power.
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Bat or no bat, election or no election, Imran Khan or no Imran Khan, the simple fact is that the people have lost faith and trust in the state.
And there is no survey, national song, paid social media trend, or economic boom that is going to undo that.
What they don’t get is
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They first took his premiership, then tried to take his honour. That didn’t work so they tried to take his life. Failing to do so they took his top leadership, his home, then took his party, and now his wife.
Yet, he’s stands, and stands taller than ever before.
#ImranKhan
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The writing is on the wall, probably a good time to to wake up.
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If engineering seats for PMLN was hard, selling Nawaz Sharif as a legitimate PM to the international partners is going to be even more difficult.
The shamelessness with which the elections were engineered and manipulated is not just part of the public record but part of the
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Full points to BBZ on this new charade to pretend like PDM never happened, that he was never the Foreign Minister under Sharif family, and that he was not a party to the greatest assault on democracy, human rights and freedom in Pakistan.
Luckily, the social media remembers.
I invite the PM candidate of
@pmln_org
,
@NawazSharifMNS
, to engage in a debate with me anytime, anywhere before Feb 8. Globally, Presidential and Prime Ministerial candidates participate in televised debates, providing voters with crucial insights into their plans. This
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5 takeaways from yesterday:
1. Deeply disturbing & deplorable level of state brutality against unarmed protestors many of whom were actually women, children & old. The images & videos will haunt this nation for a long time. Shameful to justify or celebrate it.
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It’s becoming horrifying, with every new piece of rigging evidence, just how brazenly they bombed the entire electoral process to defeat PTI and turn it into PMLNs victory.
What an embarrassing day for Pakistan because some small men couldn’t accept defeat.
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Pakistan has just one problem; unfortunately that problem thinks it’s the only solution.
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A nation's foreign policy is based on its strengths not weaknesses, self-confidence not a defeatist mindset.
What PM Imran Khan tried to do is to change the national mindset in how to approach foreign policy from a position of self-esteem & self-respect.
#ISD2022
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My niece told me that it’s too late for her to change her career track now since she already decided to be a doctor two years back. She’s 5 now.
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Afghanistan too was once a stable and prosperous country until its ruling elite screwed it up. 50 years on, millions of Afghans continue to suffer due to the greed of their leaders.
And yet we learn nothing.
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The ruling elite got bigger, and the pie got smaller. With the baker now dead, the folks are out with forks.
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PTI still retains a clear monopoly on putting up massive political shows.
For a party apparently at its lowest, it’s a statement of intent - unlikely to be irrelevant anytime soon.
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PayPal is available in 200 countries but Pakistan isn’t one of them. Here is why:
It empowers the digital class at the ‘expense’ of the policy class that views any type of tech as inherently anti-status quo.
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Zardari as a President & Shahbaz Sharif as a Prime Minister, both on a stolen mandate. Welcome back to 2008.
It does now feel that someone is playing a really dark comedy with a country of 240 million people.
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We don’t believe the reality in front of us, we like to read it as history in books years later.
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Correction:
He’s not arrested for “corruption”. In fact none of this has anything to do with corruption, not even remotely.
A little intern-level research into Pakistan’s political landscape wouldn’t hurt.
Pakistan’s ousted prime minister, Imran Khan, was arrested on corruption charges Tuesday in a major escalation of a political crisis that raises the prospect of mass unrest by his supporters. Khan was at a court hearing in Islamabad when he was arrested.
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When the dust settles down, which it will, the true extent of damage will haunt us for decades.
Will make plenty of material for the history books.
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Basically, he outsmarted the combined overlords of Pakistani politics that for last 2 decades laughed him off as politically "clueless", "dim" & "idiot".
Confirmation bias is your own worst enemy.
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PTI should fight for every single seat where it clearly had a lead before the election results were halted and hours laters completely changed.
This isn’t an election, this is a national level robbery against people and their vote.
#Election2024
#PakistanElections
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The crowd left and commentators went silent, let the world know,
#Pakistan
is back!
#PakvsIndia
#indiaVsPakistan
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The reason why it’s so easy for them to shutdown internet for ~100 million people across the country is because their family isn’t in tech business yet.
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State institutions have violated their oath. They are no more the guardians of national or public interest.
#Election2024
#PakistanElection
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Regime change & interference in foreign countries is a recorded & proven fact. No amount of denial or mockery over it is going to change that.
What is unbelievable is that this even needs to be said in a country that has seen it all.
It needs to be investigated!
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#MoeedYusuf
is what happens when you place a policy scholar as NSA to deal with
#India
You take them down with evidence.
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Islamabad doesn't work on data, evidence or even facts. It only works on who is friends with who and who is obliged by who.
Most apparent now.
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Which of these institutions do you trust the most?
Political Parties
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Media Houses
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Armed Forces
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Judiciary
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I get a lot of messages from well wishers here to tone it down/remain neutral, otherwise it is not good for 'career'.
Firstly, I don't know why is there even this silly expectation out of academics or those with public voice to remain neutral in the face of oppression and
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Between elections and civil war they have chosen civil war.
What a sad day for Pakistan and what a shameful conduct by the government - expected no less from them.
#ImranKhanArrest
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Panic has now hit them hard. They are manipulating, rigging, and doling out votes without thinking.
Making a good mockery of the electoral process.
#Elections2024Pakistan
#ElectionResults
#Election2024
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He was charged with corrupting the youth, and standing against the status quo.
The gentleman was Socrates. Names change, stories remain the same.
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When the fight is worth fighting, the outcome becomes irrelevant.
That's what he is proving everyday from the jail.
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With that speech it appears NS has decided not to return to Pakistan at all.
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Someone naively jumped the gun to release the confession video in an attempt to control the narrative.
Ends up opening more deeper and serious questions than answers anything.
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The bad news for Pakistan is that the chaos is out of control now.
The good news is that everyone knows the source of chaos, and what needs to be done.
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We are truly living through strange times.
Saudi Arabia & the United Arab Emirates refuse calls from Biden.
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The more you try to control, the less you actually control.
Decision making at the moment is self destructive.
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Interesting turn of events today at SCO’s National Security Advisor’s meeting.
Notice that empty chair? That’s Ajit Doval walking out because his protest over Pakistan’s new political map displayed behind
@YusufMoeed
was overruled.
Clearly the map got under his skin.
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Nations can survive weak economies, political instabilities & raging terrorism but no nation can survive without hope!
When people protest it is because they have hope. I fear the day when there is no more hope left to protest.
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LUMS should take this moment to launch Prime Ministerial Debates before elections so that the entire country can see how their leaders fare up in a debate on key issues.
Pretty sure there is going to be only 1 candidate that will instantly sign up for this and appear for the
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From PIA, and Pakistan Steel to PCB and Aitchison College, same story and same actors.
The message is clear: Go crook or go home.
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What I keep hearing is: “Imran Khan/PTI should have dialogue with PMLN/PPP”
What I don’t hear is: “PPP/PMLN have stolen the mandate and should be barred from making the government until a full investigation and audit of the elections.”
It’s like ignoring the elephant in the
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All brutal dictators have a similar end. All brutal dictators think otherwise.
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They made a 15 minute long documentary against Imran Khan of which the first 2 minutes is a “cunning” attempt to show him positively as a build up to the “bad stuff”.
TikTok Generation average attention span: 8 seconds
Chances are, nobody got to the bad stuff.
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PMLN making sure that people continue to reject its tyrannical and anti democratic politics.
قومی اسمبلی حلقہ NA-121 لاہور سے کامیاب آزاد امیدوار وسیم قادر کا باضابطہ طور پر پاکستان مسلم لیگ (ن) میں شمولیت کا اعلان۔
#ElectionResults2024
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Like I argued previously, in the absence of a corruption scandal or wrongdoing, it is extremely hard to explain the no-confidence motion.
Especially now, in the presence of confirmed US threats & "regime change" narrative deeply imbedded, the public will be unforgiving.
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Here is the science behind what is happening;
They used to say PTI is just one man, Imran Khan. So they put him in jail expecting the end of it.
But in a world increasingly driven by decentralised power structures, putting IK in jail forced decentralisation on PTI that
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Let me be blunt; Imran Khan probably doesn't have a solution to Pakistan's existential problem. But what he does have that no one else has at the moment is the foundational element needed to stand even a remote chance to put Pakistan on a recovery path: Public Trust.
Like it or
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What strikes me isn’t the state brutality that is a hallmark of postcolonial states where the ruling elite deploys colonial era tactics to “manage” people, but that there is not a single person of honour in the state/politics to resign in protest.
That’s what our real crisis is.
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How long before the international community realises that
#India
is on a dangerous path to extremism that endangers the peace and stability across the region.
Kashmiri students beaten and bowler Mohammed Shami faced online abuse after India lost to Pakistan at
#T20WorldCup
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Plan: $100 billion IT exports
Reality: 👇
BREAKING: Pakistan shuts down access to X, Facebook, Instagram and YouTube amid online rally by supporters of Imran Khan
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In a world full of chaos and wars we are all Mister McAdams
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The scale and shamelessness with which the elections are being rigged wouldn't be needed if:
Nawaz Sharif was truly popular or IK was truly "selected".
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They were promised 2/3rd, they are being delivered 2/3rd; public vote, democracy and logic be damned.
A direct martial law would have been less humiliating than this charade.
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The fact that they have to ban twitter, censor media, abduct journalists, arrest political opposition, black mail officials, and steal public mandate to come into government says everything you need to know about the legitimacy of this circus and just how long will it last.
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This "fresh elections" nonsense is basically them wanting another chance at rigging properly and discreetly this time.
PTI should reject this as it rejected the "flexibility" on rigging suggestions.
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100 analysts per second - the rate at which Pakistani twitter is currently producing foreign and security experts on Russia.
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This is explosive on its own but when put in context to the damning silence from the Biden admin on gross human rights violations & practical death of democracy in Pakistan since IK’s ouster, questions will be raised.
WH needs to come clean on its Pakistan policy!
The Intercept obtained a leaked Pakistani document showing the U.S. threatened severe consequences if Imran Khan were to stay on as prime minister because of his neutrality on the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
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There is an attempt to frame the PM’s trip to Russia under "bloc politics" discourse suggesting that somehow it is "poorly timed".
Truth is, the Washington & its experts are triggered over how Pakistan could possibly pursue its national interest. Turns out, it very well can.
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Be it cricket, geopolitics or economy, no matter how tough it gets or the pain we have to go through, I am convinced that
#Pakistan
is destined for greatness. It’s only a matter of time.
#PAKvIND
#IndvsPak
#PakistanZindabad
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You don’t have to be an economist to know what’s wrong here..
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None of this is new. The European powers have been fighting for centuries & will continue to do so. Not our place then to be a party of their conflict by cancelling the pre-scheduled trip.
The West will forget PM's visit in 24 hours, Russia, however, won't forget the insult.
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The genius that discovered 17 > 180
According to you, who is the greatest mathematician of all time? ✍️
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Been following Pak-US relations for 15 years. Never have I come across a more cold & unenthusiastic welcome to a senior visiting US official by the Pakistani side.
Everyone here may have met out of courtesy but Pakistan is either upset or have moved on. May both? [1]
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