Goalimpact
@Goalimpact
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Compare Players. Globally. ⚽ Betting: @GoalimpactOdds Mastodon:
Hamburg, Germany
Joined October 2012
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Pinned Tweet
It's showtime 🇪🇺🇩🇪⚽🏆
Our Goalimpact EC 2024 prediction.
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Jinxed it. Sorry.
We no longer have a case within 50,000 random scenarios where Liverpool isn't champion. Congratulations.
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4K
Bayern München yet to concede a goal in the "group of death".
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We no longer have a case within 50,000 random scenarios where Liverpool isn't champion. Congratulations.
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The German football association seems to be trying its best to prevent any foreign born player having a choice opting to play for Germany. Crazy how they treat Özil. Appalling team spirit.
#Grindel
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Headlines read "Özil steps down from German national team"
"Özil pushed out by racist tendencies" seems more accurate
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Swapping Alexis Sánchez against Henrikh Mkhitaryan is a steal. Just we seem to disagree with most on who stole here.
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All teams but Bayern have a negative goal difference. Same for Group B and Liverpool. UCL is a famers' league.
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Often people write that
@Benzema
became good after Cristiano Ronaldo left. But the truth is, he was world-class all the time, but people have trouble to evaluate players in support roles.
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Cristiano Ronaldo scored more Euro goals than any other player before him. Messi yet to score his first. Let that sink in.
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Germany still with the "wildcard"
@esmuellert_
in the deck.
2nd best player after Carvajal considering the last 20 years.
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I don't rate Löw that much, but the German players are quite ok and they have some matches with home field advantage.
#EURO2020
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"Danish defense was hardly tested, so we can't tell if it's any good."
Maybe, just maybe, a team that's defense is never tested has a very good defensive setup.
#CRODEN
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"Each tackle adds randomness. Therefore I prefer intercepts by blocking passing options" - Julian Nagelsmann
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Top-30 all time. Field players that already ended their careers only.
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Bundesliga. The model expects still some changes at the top of the league towards a more "conventional" finish, but Union is expected entering UCL. Still feels like an error in the Matrix, but the players are actually that good.
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What do you call the right top corner of any football statistic chart?
Messi.
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Mohammad Hamidul Malita died at the age of 41 while working on a construction site for the
#FIFAWorldCup
. Rest In Peace. This tweet is dedicated to him.
Some roster changes, no big movement from initial numbers.
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What if Liverpool isn't incredible good, but the rest of the Premier League is just bad this season?
#CHEBAY
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Bundesliga relegation battle will be a photo finish. Dortmund wit >50% back in the UCL.
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Ligue 1 domination by PSG is worst ever thanks to Messi et al joining. Can we still call it a "competition"?
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Humans judge performance only on a very narrow set of information.
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#Neuer
and Bayern in conflict?
It is impossible to overestimate his performance in the last decade.
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Julian Brandt is one of the best in the game.
Wenn das gerade Julian Brandt ist, der sich in Richtung seiner Prime bewegt, macht es riesengroßen Spaß, ihm dabei zuzugucken. Immer weniger schlampig, immer weniger fehlerbehaftet, und dann bleibt fast nur noch ein genialer Fußballer übrig.
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Mohammed Suman Miah died 34yo on a construction site when it was 38°C in shadow. This Tweet is dedicated to him. Rest in Peace.
Deserved draw, but 2nd match Germany couldn't win despite higher expected goals.
#FIFAWorldCup
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Bundesliga. We no longer need an absolute freak season to see Union in the Champions League. A simple streak of luck would do.
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Only Olympiacos managed to lose only by one goal against Bayern this
#UCL
season. The English teams lost, on average, by more than three goals per match.
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There will be no prediction for the outcome of a
#SuperLeague
unless that's a real league with normal promotion and relegation for all teams.
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What a statement would it be if all national players with foreign ancestors would step down now to side with Özil. That would be nearly all.
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Bundesliga. We are traditionally bullish for the promoted teams. This year is no exception. As always, player quality only and squads "as is" assuming no further transfers.
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Upon popular request, here Özil's Goalimpact though I don't think it's relevant in the current issue. He's still world-class.
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Bundesliga to start tomorrow. Some picks by the model may be controversial. As always this is players-based only.
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If Dortmund can sign Geertruida,
they should definitely do it.
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Updated version. Unless I find a bug this is the final pre-tournament prediction.
#WorldCup
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Nor did the model in the entire history of football.
.
@ErlingHaaland
: "Moukoko is much better than I was at his age. I have never seen such a good 15-year-old in my life."
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Erling Håland is in the top 10% of goal scorers in Bundesliga now. He played less than 60min.
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Bayern still more likely then not to win Bundesliga, but with the accrued points lost it may at may not be cruising. Union reaching UCL? Why not.
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Updated prediction for the
#EURO2020
using the nominated squads. As always this is player based only and does not account for coach quality.
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Donny van de Beek's path to world class. Above expectations all the time.
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Early sneak peek, but the hope for a Bundesliga season that features a title race after March is there.
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An army of bots is spamming the fans with pro-
#SuperLeague
statements.
"the super league is a good idea and will revolutionize football"
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Bundesliga kicks off tomorrow. No surprises to be expected in the upper half of the table. For a change, both promoted teams are facing high relegation risk according to their players Goalimpact. But they are in good company. Hertha probably the most surprising one here.
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Fastest Hattricks at new club
Håland 23min @ Dortmund 2020
Ohlicher 62 @ Stuttgart 1973
Olaf Marschall 69 @ Dresden 1993
Adhemar 79 @ Stuttgart 2001
Aubameyang 79 @ Dortmund (actually 2nd match)
Berti Kraus 84 @ 1860 München 1963
Martin Fenin 90 @ Frankfurt 2008
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Bayern 1-0.
Müller out.
Bayern loses 1-2.
A recurring pattern.
#b04fcb
Thomas Müller - The Raum-Zeit Deuter
Why Thomas Müller is "the ideal player"
goalimpact.substack.com
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Premier League. Case closed. Liverpool's waiting for the title will come to an end.
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2. Liga ist about to start. Looking forward to Magdeburg. They are at 1/30 to win in the markets. Titz's work looks promising, so HSV might outperform belows prediction.
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Bundesliga is closing in. Top ranks are all but settled. Relegation still very open.
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Niclas Füllkrug another German squad surprise.
Well deserved however.
Especially in the last two years he performed on a world-class level.
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The start of the Bundesliga season nears. Still a lot of transfers can happen after the start, so the uncertainty is higher than usually on matchday one.
The Bundesliga teams for next season are complete. So let's have a look.
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This year's
#UCL
semi-final is then
RB Leipzig vs. FC Porto
PSG vs. Dortmund
I'm all up for it.
#SuperLeague
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@Patrick_Bamford
@analytic_footy
Yes, you are good enough to be EPL starter. Certainly, if you continue on the level of last season.
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I think I never appreciated Robin Gosens enough. Here you are: <3
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Premier League is ending the summer break. Predictions based on players only assuming no further transfers. City and Liverpool are expected to exceed this due to excellent coaches.
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Bundesliga can enjoy Hertha next season too. They are nearly safe.
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The
#SuperLeague
is no "revolution". It's a "coup". The participating clubs and investors want to secure the Champions League millions for themselves indefinitely. For this to achieve they need to continue to perform in the national leagues. This is better not granted to them.
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The list of 50 top talents of the
@WorldSoccerMag
from Nov 2007 is actually quite impressive scouting. I checked what Goalimpact could have added. (List via
@iammoallim
)
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