In-play is a massive part of my betting. Some of the value you get in game states is insane. Looking at potentially setting up a Telegram channel and trialing it for a while if there’s enough interest👍🏼
Referee averages 5.42 cards per game in Portugal and 5.0 in Europa (small sample)
Malmo have had some needle with Rangers recently, with their ex manager openly having digs at Rangers financial issues.
Malmo also put out a troll video this week due to winning their last clash.
Busanello the Brazilian Malmo LB has fouled: 4,2,2,3,2,2 this season
1.62 on Sky for comparison - huge value here.
I’m personally not playing it, but his direct oppo Cerny’s fouled prices are huge on Skybet, although his data is pretty shit.
Andre has only played 2 game for Wolves, drawing 2 fouls and 4 fouls. In Brazil, he drew: 2,2,3,2,2,1,1,3,1,3,0,5,1,0,2,3,3
Liverpool’s midfield love a foul, and wolves matches have seen some mad CM foul counts
Olayinka: 2,2,1,3
Andrich: 2,0,3,0
Andrich data not as good as hoped but should be floating around Timber who draws 1.95p90.
Andrich can also be a monster on his day
PLACE 1.5u ON LAVALEE
Lavalee: 2,2,2,1,3,2,4,2
Faivre his direct oppo was fouled 6 times in his last game🤣
Reminder we have the Le Nordmand bets I posted a few days ago.
All daft longshots here, back the single games
If I get enough interest I’ll post some card fancies👍🏼
+29.39u for September on tracked bets.
There have been countless longshot winners that are untracked that aren’t accounted for. Not bad for my first full month at this.
Still thinking about moving to Telegram in near future to track an in-play service separate👍🏼
I’m personally playing 1u on every selection. I’ll also be playing the to be fouled acca and the fouls committed acca as 0.25u.
I’ll have a stab at higher lines also, 3+ fouls committed and 2/3+ fouls drawn.
Good luck👍🏼
I’m personally playing 1u on every selection. I’ll also be playing the to be fouled acca and the fouls committed acca as 0.25u.
I’ll have a stab at higher lines also, 3+ fouls committed and 2/3+ fouls drawn.
Good luck👍🏼
1.25,0.75,0.25,0.25🪜
Duran 7 shots p90 so far this season and in great form. Has fouled twice p90 both this and last season. Fancy him to play most of the game here and prices are lovely
Following on from last weeks success with these 2, we’re going in again.
Ait-Nouri 2+ fouls 1u @ 3.2 PP
Latest prem games: 2,2,2,2,2
I’ll also be playing this longshot combining some picks I like.
Andre has only played 2 game for Wolves, drawing 2 fouls and 4 fouls. In Brazil, he drew: 2,2,3,2,2,1,1,3,1,3,0,5,1,0,2,3,3
Liverpool’s midfield love a foul, and wolves matches have seen some mad CM foul counts
Some drama in the Serbia camp with some big players refusing to be called up.
Portugal up against an aging Croatia side where some of their seasoned pros have hung up the boots.
Myko fouled:
0(injured after 26),1,3,3,1,1,3,2,2
Ayew fouls:
2,1,1
Averages 1.6+p90 in the premier league
Can see this game being a real tight affair with both teams struggling at the start of the season.
Slight chance he is still out but he should be back.
P.S see quote👀
Data is very nice for all angles, Salah pressing high under Slot has a nice foul trend. Kulu has a nice fouled record for his prices - add in NLD and a weakened Arsenal side with more minutes for Partey makes it a nice angle
I’ll be playing the longshot as doubles/trebles/4fold
Strefezza: 3,2,1,3
Roque is averaging 4.29 shots per 90 since joining Betis, expect Mallorca terrorism
Some FH punts to follow, if enough interest I’ll share some card fancies as we have some decent refs and I bagged a double and forgot to tip for Milan derby🤦♂️
PLACE 1.5u ON LAVALEE
Lavalee: 2,2,2,1,3,2,4,2
Faivre his direct oppo was fouled 6 times in his last game🤣
Reminder we have the Le Nordmand bets I posted a few days ago.
All daft longshots here, back the single games
If I get enough interest I’ll post some card fancies👍🏼
Won’t be around for lineups so cash if any don’t start.
Kulusevski was fouled 4,1 in his 2 pre season games with data (in limited minutes), averaged 1.01 fouls drawn per 90 and his recent PL form is: 0,1,3,1,0,3
Both teams scoring for fun in pre season.
Falkirk match goals: 4,6,1,2,4,5
QP match goals: 6,4,6,5,10
Macgregor with 5 in his last 4 including back-to-back braces in his last 2!
No Joy with Kuhn to be fouled.
Recap of some winners from the weekend:
Gallagher card✅
Tanser card✅
Tanser/Smith card double✅
Johnston to be fouled 1+✅
Johnston to be fouled 2+✅
Trapanovski to score✅
Over 20u profit from starting this last week👍🏼
Kilmarnock v Tromso
St Mirren v Brann
Fancy both teams to be in for tight games here, Kilmarnock always a fancy on that park & St Mirren in excellent form.
May have some other bets when St Mirren lineups are out.
PLACE 1.5u ON LAVALEE
Lavalee: 2,2,2,1,3,2,4,2
Faivre his direct oppo was fouled 6 times in his last game🤣
Reminder we have the Le Nordmand bets I posted a few days ago.
All daft longshots here, back the single games
If I get enough interest I’ll post some card fancies👍🏼
Ferry with 8 cards in 43 apps last season. He’ll be making his derby debut in his first league match since joining.
Simon Murray a big Dundee fan and former Utd player with 7 cards in 39 league apps last season.
Will have a couple untracked longshot trebles upon lineups!
Friday night football is back.
Hedges/Wilson should be a fun watch with both committing and drawing fouls at a good rate. Unfortunately not priced Wilson fouls (yet)
Both teams scoring for fun in pre season.
Falkirk match goals: 4,6,1,2,4,5
QP match goals: 6,4,6,5,10
Macgregor with 5 in his last 4 including back-to-back braces in his last 2!
Final pre match bet.
A lot of bets out tonight, majority low stake punts with potential high rewards.
After a lovely FH acca winner earlier and being 1 off the 70/1 full house, here’s another 2😍
Reminder we have McGrath tonight⬇️
Trapanovski bagged yesterday so lucky 15 still has a chance for nice profit.
Nilsen has a pretty good card record in Norway, also booked in one of his first 3 pre season games.
Cameron priced as low as 2.7 & 2.88 elsewhere.
Change of heart here.
I’ll be tracking 0.5u on both Trapanovski & McGrath. McGrath with 9 in 34 last season, is on pens & last year of contract so will be playing to impress against a poor St Johnstone side. Trapanovski impressed in pre season.
Friday night football is back.
Hedges/Wilson should be a fun watch with both committing and drawing fouls at a good rate. Unfortunately not priced Wilson fouls (yet)
Olayinka: 2,2,1,3
Andrich: 2,0,3,0
Andrich data not as good as hoped but should be floating around Timber who draws 1.95p90.
Andrich can also be a monster on his day