Global InfoAnalytics
@GInfoanalytics
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Reliable and Independent Opinion Research company in Ghana. .
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Joined April 2019
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BREAKING NEWS:
A new tracking poll for the Ashanti region shows DMB leading the race in the region by 65% and JDM 24%, AKK 9%
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BREAKING NEWS: NORTHERN REGION
JOHN MAHAMA 55%
DR BAWUMIA 37%
ALAN KYEREMANTEN 4%
FULL REPORT HERE
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Ayawaso West Wuogon parliamentary election. Margin of error, 4%.
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Ablekuma West Parliamentary election. Margin of error, 4%.
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BREAKING NEWS!
JDM leads with approximately 49%, Dr Bawumia, 28% and Mr Kyeremanten, 11%.
Against Agyapong and Kyeremanten, Mahama's lead drops to approximately 47%, Agyapong, 30% and Kyeremanten 11%.
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Constituencies with significant Zongo communities polling report (Madina, Ashaiman, Ablekuma Central, Ayawaso East, Ayawaso North, Ayawaso Central, Asawase):
John Mahama 73.1%
Dr Mahamudu Bawumia, 21.2%
Alan Kyeremanten, 2.5%
Sample size: 2,745
Confidence level: 99%
Margin of
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Fresh poll released by Global InfoAnalytics shows JDM has taken a commanding lead over DMB in the racer for the Jubilee House.
Obtain full report here:👇👇
@Citi973
@Joy997FM
@metrotvgh
@GTV_Ghana
@ghonetv
@tv3_ghana
@FitchRatings
@TheEIU
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Ashanti region results could be an outlier even with the limitations of online polls, but certainly food for thought.
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Analysis of the online poll.
NPP Voters
JDM 8.6%
DBM 74.1%
AKK 15.8%
NDC Voters
JDM 98.3%
DBM 1.4%
AKK 0.1%
Floating voters:
JDM 69.6%
DMB 23.6%
AKK 4.9%
Undisclosed voters
JDM 64.8%
DMB 24.9%
AKK 6.7%
Though online polls have many
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Seat projections using MRP model for parliamentary seats in Ghana for the December 2024 elections.
NDC - 159
NPP - 96
IND - 1
TOSSUP- 20
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BREAKING NEWS:
An online poll carried out by Global InfoAnalytics on 10th December 2023 with a sample of 5,488 respondents shows John Mahama with a commanding lead in the race to become the next president . The unweighted poll shows JDM on 61.1%, DMB, 30.4% and AKK, 6.9%.
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Ledzokuku parliamentary elections: Margin or error, 4%
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Provisional result compared to the opinion poll
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Central Region
First-Time Voters: JDM 50%, DMB, 27%, AKK, 0%, NKB, 20% and others 3%.
Non-First-Time Voters: JDM 60%, DMB, 34%, AKK, 2% and NKB, 3%.
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Poll from Madina, Ayawaso East, Ayawaso North, Ayawaso Central, Ashaiman, Ablekuma Central and Asawase consittuencies.
Sample size 2,745, confidence level, 99% and ±2.41% margin of error.
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April 2024 poll:
Unweighted
John Mahama 54.3%
Dr Bawumia 34.6%
Alan Kyeremanten 7.5%
Nana Kwame Bediako 2.3%
Weighted poll:
John Mahama 55.5%
Dr Bawumia 33.9%
Alan Kyeremanten 7.1%
Nana Kwame Bediako 2.1%
Questionnaire:
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Mahama extends his lead over Dr Bawumia in the race to the Jubilee House.
@JDMahama
now leads
@drbawumiah
55% to 37%.
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Madina- Special Zongos Poll
JDM 86%
DMB 13%
See Electoral Areas result.
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Assin North Report will now be released on Metro TV at 7 pm. Twitter space events has now been cancelled.
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Asawase- Special Zongos Poll
JDM 74%
DMB 18%
See Electoral Areas result.
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Bawumia leads JDM in Ahafo, Ashanti, Bono, Eastern, North East and Upper East regions whilst Mahama dominates Bono East, Central, Greater Accra, Northern, Oti, Savannah, Upper West, Volta, Western and Western North.
Mahama leads in 10 out of the 16 regions, translating into 55%
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In a runoff, among all voters, Alan leads Bawumia 54% to 46%
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Ashaiman- Special Zongos Poll
JDM 66%
DMB 32%
See Electoral Areas result.
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BREAKING NEWS:
Asunafo South, Asutifi South, Tano North and Tano South presidential race. Analysis of the results from the four constituencies shows that compared Nana Addo's performance, DMB is down 14 points (55%-41%), while JDM is up 13 points (44% to 57%).
More soon
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With the exception of Tano North and inconclusive Yendi constituencies, all candidates that had clear lead in our polls won their races.
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The Advisor to the vice president, Dr Gideon Boako under water in Tano North as Hon Pius Opoku of the NDC leads in the poll in what could be a landslide if the poll holds. More soon!!!
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Results from the Swing Regions (Greater Accra, Central and Western Regions) unweighted
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NPP likely to lose Berekum East as Simon Amoaben Kyeremeh, NDC leads Hon Nelson Kyeremeh, NPP 53% to 38%.
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NPP leads NDC by 1.1% with 6.9% votes undecided.
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Tema Central parliamentary elections. margin of error, 4%.
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Our first MRP projections for parliamentary seats for the December 2024 parliamentary elections shows the NDC is on course to be the majority in the next parliament.
The MRP model projections will be updated periodically when new polling data becomes available. The model will
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A new poll conducted in Okaikwei Central, Okaikwei South, Anyaa Sowutuom and Trobu put the opposition candidate ahead in what should be deep blue constituencies in the Greater Accra region.
Download summary of the report from here:
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Ayawaso Central parliamentary election Margin of error, 4%.
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According to the Zongos special poll which was conducted with a sample of 2,745 respondents, 61% did vote for JDM in the 2020 election, 37% voted for Nana Akufo Addo and nearly 2% voted for someone else.
Analysis of the poll also suggests that of the those who voted for Nana
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Changes in the tracking poll between July 4th and August 1.
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NPP losing the youth vote who constitute newly 50% of voters in Ghana.
Data from the April 2024 poll shows that, 54% of voters age between 18-35 voted for Nana Addo in the 2020 elections compared to 45% for John Mahama.
However, the current poll shows a huge swing to John
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Special Northern region poll for the 2024 general elections will be out tomorrow.
Is Dr Mahamudu Bawumia at the cusp of snatching the region from the NDC or John Mahama still holds the region firmly?
Tomorrow 09:00 GMT
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Analysis of the July 2024 poll when compared to how John Mahama and Nana Addo performed in the 2020 elections among those who voted in the 111 constituencies.
The poll shows that JDM is doing better in the July poll than how he did in the 2020 elections in all the 16 regions.
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Special poll conducted in Asunafo South, Asutifi South, Tano North and Tano South shows John Mahama leading with 57%, Dr Mahamudu Bawumia on 41%.
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We await for the final results from the election
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How would you rate Dr Mahamudu Bawumia's campaign launch speech?
Excellent
759
Very Good/Good
145
Poor/Very Poor
3465
Average
472
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Details of the April 2024 polls using 'likely committed voters and all voters model is presented below.
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The July poll shows the race is tied among voters who work for private companies (JDM 45% and DMB 44%)
Among self-employed, JDM leads 51% to 40%. Among Govt/NGO employees, DMB leads 52% to 39%. Among seasonal/casual workers, JDM leads 53% to 36%. JDM also leads among
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Ablekuma Central - Special Zongos Poll
JDM 70%
DMB 26%
See Electoral Areas result.
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Focus on Ayawaso North- Special Zongos Poll.
JDM 81%
DMB 17%.
Also see how the two performed in the various Electoral Areas polled.
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Breaking News from Tano South in the Ahafo region.
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According to the April 2024 for the parliamentary voting intentions, 90% of NPP voters intend to vote for NPP parliamentary candidates (83% of NPP voters will vote for DMB in the parliamentary elections). 8% of NPP voters will vote for NDC parliamentary candidates.
For NDC
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Ablekuma North parliamentary elections. Margin of error, 4%.
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Updated constituency forecast from our MRP model as at 19th August 2024.
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Voting intentions based on party affiliations:
The poll shows 9% of NPP voters opting to vote for John Mahama, 16% for Alan Kyeremanten and 74% for DMB
For NDC, 98% intend to vote for JDM, 1% for DMB. For Floating Voters, 69% intend to vote for JDM, 24% for DMB and 5% for
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Voting intentions by gender and educational level according to the July 2024.
JDM leads DMB among men with tertiary level education, 47% to 40% and among women with tertiary education. However, DMB has a slender lead over JDM among women with tertiary education, 45% to 44%.
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Early data from the Northern region appears to shows a close contest between JDM and DMB in the presidential election in 2024 though JDM leads in the poll with little over 500 samples completed and 1,000 more to go.
While NDC voters support JDM with over 96% support, nearly 3%
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In the parliamentary polls conducted in the six constituencies in the Greater Accra, the constituency with the highest likely swing when the polls are compared to the 2020 parliamentary results is Tema Central, once a stronghold of the ruling party now the most vulnerable in 2024
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Northern Sector Poll (Northern, North East, Upper West, Upper East and Savannah regions)
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Parliamentary elections in Greater Accra:
According to the April 2024 poll, which sampled over 1200 voters in the Greater Accra, 60% of the respondents said they voted for NDC candidates in the 2020 parliamentary elections while 40% voted for NPP. However, when their voting
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CENTRAL REGION - TELEPHONE TRACKING POLL- AUGUST 2024
Likely committed voters: JDM 59%, DMB 33%, AKK, 2% and NKB, 5%.
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The June/July poll will be conducted in 111 constituencies across all 16 regions of Ghana, with a minimum sample size of 7400 and a confidence level of 99%.
Constituencies to be covered are:
Asutifi South
Asutifi North
Manso Nkwanta
Offinso North
Subin
Nhyiaeso
Akrofuom
New
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The alarm bell is sounding in Bantama in the Ashanti region according to the sample from the April 2024 poll.
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Only Eastern region out of the 26 regions believes the NPP will break the 8 with majority of 6.6%. More soon!!!
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Nearly half of Ghanaians believe coups are durable solution to bad governance (49%), including 56% of Ghanaians with tertiary education.
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Analysis of the December 2023 points to worrying development for the governing NPP as evidence of skirt and blouse emerge nationwide.
The poll suggests that while 94% of voters who intend to vote for NDC MPs are also voting for JDM. 77% of voters who intend to vote for NPP MPs
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Looking at the analytics of the April 2024 poll from the lenses of those who voted in the 2020 elections has revealed significant change which seems to explain the headline poll: Mahama on 54.3% and Dr Bawumia on 34.6%.
According to the poll, among voters who voted in the 2020
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Providing detail data on the April poll with regards to voting intentions of party supporters, floating voters and those who did not disclose their party affiliation. Additionally, we present the polls on voting intentions of voters who voted for Nana Addo and Mahama in 2020. The
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Western Region:
The overall swing to NDC is currently 35%, worse than Greater Accra.
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Majority of first time voters aligning themselves to NDC and floating voters according new poll.
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The 2024 elections will be fought on trust as the Director of Communication of NPP has always alluded to and I agree with him.
The campaign messages and promises will come thick and fast as the elections approach but the question will who the voters trust on the key issues which
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DMB leads JDM in a special poll conducted in Berekum East, Berekum West, Sunyani East and Sunyani West constituencies .
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For voters whose top issue is job, JDM also leads.
Among voters who said the jobs is top issue, JDM leads with 46% among all voters, follow by DMB with 31%, AKK, 12%.
Among floating voters, JDM leads with 54%, DMB, 15% and AKK, 15%.
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On the question of campaign promises/slogan/policy:
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Analysis of the July 2024 poll has revealed that 55% of voters who say candidates' competence in managing the economy matter to them prefer JDM 55% to 36% for DMB.
For those find competence as importance, JDM 55% and DMB, 39%. For those keen on fighting corruption, JDM 54% and
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Focus on Ashanti region:
The December 2023 national poll for the Ashanti region suggests that JDM leads with 48%, followed by DMD with 33% and AKK, 8%. We consider this poll as an outlier as DMB continues to lead in the trend poll for the region but clearly it is a show
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In the NPP parliamentary primaries held yesterday, 28 sitting MPs lost their bid to be their party' candidate for the December 2024 elections.
The records shows that GIA has polling data in 15 out of the 28 constituencies. The polling data shows the ruling NPP has edge in 8
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EJISU OPINION POLL RESULT:
KWABENA BOATENG : 50.6%
KWABENA OWUSU-ADUAMI: 47.5%
ESTHER OSEI: 0.2%
UNDECIDED: 1.7%
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ANNOUNCEMENT
We are building an MRP model to predict constituencies which party is likely to win in the 276 constituencies. The model uses Multilevel Regression and Post-Stratification (MRP) Analysis to ensure that even if we have not been to a constituency, we would be able to
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Analysis of the January poll among voters who voted in the 2020 elections have revealed interest facts.
Among voters who voted for Nana Addo (6.7 million), 1.6 million of them intend to vote for JDM (24%), 3.6 million will note for Dr Bawumia (53%), 0.8 million will vote for
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In the parliamentary election, 48% of Central region voters intend to vote for NDC candidates, 32% will vote for NPP candidates, 2% for others and 18% are undecided.
The poll also shows that 24% of voters who voted for NPP candidates in the 2020 elections intend to vote for NDC
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Exit poll of 2020 voters shows that if the 2020 election were to be restricted to those who voted in 2020 elections, JDM could win with 52%.
The exit poll results means that the NPP will have to win the first time voters by landslide to have any chance of making an impact in
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In 2020 elections, 69% of Akans voted for Nana Akuffo Addo but now the polls shows only 51% intend to vote for Dr Bawumia. In the 2020 John Mahama share of the Akan votes was only 29% but now 38% intend to vote for him in the 2024 elections and further 8% intend to vote for Alan
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How Do you rate Dr Mathew Opoku Prempeh's speech his inauguration in the Ashanti region today?
Excellent
79
Good/VeryGood
75
Poor/Very Poor
1643
No opinion
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The latest poll by Global InfoAnalytics in June/July shows that 63% of voters believe Ghana is headed in the wrong direction while 27% say it is headed in the right direction. Details coming soon!!!
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Analysing the result of the online poll from religious perspective and party lines.
The poll shows 98% self identified NDC voters who are Christians are voting for JDM, 2% are voting for DMB and none for AKK.
For NDC Muslim voters, 99% are voting for JDM, 1% for DMB and none
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Central region parliamentary voting intentions
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We are launching online version of the our next poll. The objective of the poll is to spot the differences between the online result and field work. It will also enable us to decide whether we can use online polls in aggregating polls as part of our analytics.
To take part in
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In Okaikwei Central, John Mahama leads Dr Bawumia across board. Among first-time voters, JDM 52% and DMB, 35%, representing a 17% point advantage. AKK is on 9% and NKB, 4%.
Among non-first-time voters, JM's lead is narrow, 53% to 45%, a margin of 8%.
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Special polls conducted in the Bono region shows JDM leading in Berekum East, Berekum West, Synyani West while DMB wallop JDM in Sunyani East
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Today, I will look closely at the current polls within the context of religion, comparing how Nana Addo and John Mahama performed in 2020 among the various religious groups and how the three leading candidates for the 2024 elections are currently performing among the same group
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Mahama takes commanding lead as Alan drains Bawumia's vote.
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Now let's look at the behaviour of Central region constituency of Gomoa East according to the April 2024 poll.
49% of the respondents voted for NDC candidate in 2020 parliamentary elections compared to 42% for the NPP. However, currently, 51% intend to vote for NDC, just 2%
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Only 35% of voters approve of job performance of President Nana Akufo Affo while 60% disapprove. More soon!!!
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In the Pru East, Sene West, Kintampo South and Techiman South constituencies in the Bono East region, JDM leads DMB 56% to 26%, AKK, 6% and NKB, 9%. However, when the actual results of the 2020 elections were analysed, the poll shows JDM remained unchanged as he obtained nearly
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Special poll is ongoing in the following Zongo constituencies with significant proportion of Muslims to assess the strength of JDM and DMB:
Madina
Ayawaso East
Ayawaso North
Ayawaso Central
Ablekuma Central
Ashaiman
Asawase.
Among the key questions to be answered include
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Data from the October 2023 poll suggests that on the economy, the top issue for voters in 2024, John Mahama has a strong lead over his rivals.
Among voters who said the economy is top issue, JDM leads with 50% among all voters, follow by DMB with 30%, AKK, 10%. However, among
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