Ed Bradford
@Fullcarry
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US government bond trader since '93 with the usual stints along the way at primary dealers and HFs. Now on my own. Pseudonym
Darien, CT
Joined February 2009
“It can be very expensive to try to convince the markets you are right.” Another Ed
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First Trump term tariffs were viewed as a hit to growth and gave USTs a bid. This term with inflation still a concern, they weigh on Ts especially the front-end. My take it should be more an uncertainty and growth concern but market not seeing that way for now
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RT @DeItaone: PRESIDENT TRUMP TOLD REPUBLICAN LAWMAKERS HE PLANS TO ISSUE RECIPROCAL TARIFFS AS EARLY AS FRIDAY - SOURCES
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RT @ForexLive: ISM services and UMich both disappointing this week. UMich says "The decrease was pervasive, with Republicans, Independents,…
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RT @NickTimiraos: As more accurate but less timely data become available, government statistical agencies revise monthly job data as part o…
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RT @ernietedeschi: The payroll survey's AHE is not the best way to look at wages from a macroeconomic standpoint anyway, since they're susc…
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It's been the typical recent pattern of a curve flattener leading up to NFP. With USTs generally up the past few days though, price action suggests a weak(ish) print. We'll see at 8:30 am
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Big chunk of yesterday's move can be explained by 30y swap spreads and issuance relief after no change QRA. The spread is a decent proxy for US Treasury funding needs
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