#ForceThirteen
has confirmed a catastrophic landfall in
#Catanduanes
with winds of 195mph and a pressure of around 876mb. This is the strongest landfall in recorded history. The
#Philippines
are receiving catastrophic impacts right now. We are live here:
#BREAKING
-
#Tauktae
makes an extremely dangerous Category 4 landfall in Gujarat, India, near Jafarabad. This is an extremely dangerous situation, and the storm is forecast to weaken as it moves inland.
#Tauktae
breaks records in Mumbai, with the highest wind gust ever reported in the region. We will be going live shortly to cover the storm, going until landfall.
#BREAKING
-
#Felicia
becomes a Category 5 hurricane based on our estimates, and a powerful one at that with winds of 165mph. It is uncertain how much this storm may continue to intensify, but weakening could begin at any time.
#Typhoon
#Rai
has continued to intensify in the South China Sea and the JTWC has now estimated that the storm has once again become a Category 5 Super Typhoon, making it one of the strongest ever recorded in the South China Sea. The storm from here on out is forecast to weaken.
This is a life-threatening situation!
#Noru
#KardingPH
explosively intensifies to Category 5 status based on our analysis, which is a tad higher than JTWC. Additional intensification is forecast prior to Luzon landfall. Destructive winds, very heavy rainfall, and surge ongoing.
#BREAKING
- This is a life-threatening situation!
#Rai
(
#OdettePH
) intensifies even further, now with sustained winds of 160mph (255kph), making it a Category 5. This storm is extremely dangerous, with a landfall in a few hours. Our live coverage continues on our YouTube channel.
#BREAKING
- Force Thirteen analysis determines
#Tauktae
has regained Category 4 intensity, and will likely make landfall at that intensity within 60 minutes. This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation - seek shelter NOW!
#Mawar
rapidly intensifies, and is now a category 5
#typhoon
by our estimates. It’s heading towards
#Guam
and is expected to pass through the islands in the next 24hrs still as a super typhoon. Conditions are worsening in those areas with showers and gusts.
#BREAKING
-
#Mindulle
has been upgraded to a Category 5 Super Typhoon by the JTWC's ATCF, following the rapid clearing of its eye this morning. The storm is forecast to deepen further over the next day or two.
This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation!
#Mocha
continues to intensify, and has now breached the threshold for Category 5 intensity, with 1-minute winds of 260kph (160mph). Some additional intensification cannot be ruled out in the short-term. Prepare now!
#Nammadol
has further intensified. By our analysis it becomes the second category 5 of the year. This is a very dangerous typhoon to
#Japan
, especially areas near
#Kyushu
as it is expected to approach there on Sunday as an intense, broad typhoon with devastating impact possible.
#BREAKING
- We have designated a fully Tropical Storm in the South Atlantic, located east of Uruguay. Its satellite appearance is looking spectacular and has chance to intensify even more before interacting with the jet stream.
#BREAKING
- This is an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS and life-threatening situation! Category 5 Hurricane
#Otis
makes landfall near Acapulco, Mexico, becoming the strongest landfall ever recorded, and the only Category 5 landfall in the East Pacific. The eyewall is passing over Acapulco.
#Breaking
our analysis now has
#cyclone
#Tauktae
as a
#category4
on the saffir-simpson scale. We will have a video update out by 18:30UTC to give the latest information on Tauktae.
#Freddy
impresses and has reached category 5
#cyclone
by our analysis based on Dvorak estimates. It is expected to maintain for a period of time. Despite slight weakening in the next 2 days, a major cyclone landfall with catastrophic impact is expected over
#Madagascar
.
#BREAKING
-
#Rai
#OdettePH
makes landfall on Siargao Island, with winds of 160mph, marking the strongest landfall on the island since 1964. This is an extremely dangerous situation, and the storm will weaken as it moves inland. Our live coverage on this historic storm continues.
#BREAKING
- Dvorak Fixes for
#Typhoon
#Chanthu
(
#KikoPH
) have begun to indicate a Category 5 storm, which is what our unofficial estimates now place the storm at. Official numbers from the JTWC have maintained the storm at 140 mph at their 03z update,
#Taiwan
still in their cone.
#BREAKING
-
#Surigae
#BisingPH
intensifies to Category 5, It may bring dangerous winds and heavy rainfall that may bring flooding, Residents living there should prepare as it is expected to impact
#Philippines
#BREAKING
- The National Hurricane Center have upgraded the odds of development for Invest
#95L
to 50% over the next 5 days from the 20% odds earlier this morning as the system moves through the Eastern Tropical Atlantic
#BREAKING
- The National Hurricane Center has upgraded
#Sam
to a Category 4
#Hurricane
. NOAA Hurricane Hunters are enroute to the storm to investigate the intensity of this impressive system.
Hurricane
#Raoni
has put up quite a show for the weather community, becoming only the second system in South Atlantic records to reach hurricane strength. Raoni should last with us a little more before it weakens and merges with the jet stream later this week
Our latest forecast and key messages show that
#Tauktae
is getting closer and closer to landfall. Our forecast shows landfall in a little over 12 hours (~14hr) as a very strong 140mph category 4
#cyclone
.
#CycloneHabana
continues to rapidly intensify and is now as
#Category5
#Cyclone
by our latest estimates.
#Habana
is expected to move westward before another sharp turn and weakens. It is not a threat to any landmass.
#Cyclone
#Tauktae
is closing on the coast of Gujarat and is expected to make landfall in a few hours time. Rapid weakening will take place after landfall. Residents around the landfall area should now be fully prepared. This is a life-threatening situation, please stay safe.
Hurricane
#Lee
has become the first Category 5 storm of the Atlantic Hurricane Season and has now cemented the record of every major basin having a C5 storm this year. Lee is expected to further intensify into an extremely powerful Category 5 over the next 12-24 hours.
#tropics
This is an extremely dangerous situation!
#Mocha
continues to intensify as it is within 24 hours of landfall on the coastline. Right now the storm is bearing down on Category 5 intensity, and could reach it briefly prior to landfall. The storm likely will not peak at landfall.
#Grace
has become the first major hurricane in 2021 Atlantic season. It's expected to make landfall over Veracruz,
#Mexico
at midnight. Devastating winds, torrential rainfall and serious flooding impacts are expected near landfalling areas, and is a particularly dangerous system
Sunrise over Cyclone
#Dovi
this morning as it intensifies south of New Caledonia with winds of 105mph.
We will be having live coverage on the storm as it moves southward in 3 hours.
#Mawar
is an extremely powerful typhoon - some stort-term weakening is likely due to an eyewall replacement cycle again, but restrengthening is likely after. Our forecast calls for a peak of 190mph, and a close pass to Luzon in 4-5 days. Some additional shifts are possible later.
#BREAKING
-
#Surigae
#BisingPH
intensifies even further to Category 4 intensity, remains an extremely dangerous situation for the Philippines, which it continues to approach.
#Emnati
continues to strengthen and is now a 125mph intense tropical cyclone. It is expected to remain broad and strong as it bears down towards
#Madagascar
and make landfall Tuesday afternoon. Catastrophic damage is forecast given our stage 7 rating on CDPS.
#BREAKING
-
#CycloneBatsirai
has now reintensified to a Category 4-equivalent
#cyclone
according to Météo France's latest advisory. Preparations in
#Madagascar
must be nearing completion, as the storm crawls ever closer to its landfall tomorrow.
#Hinnamnor
an explosively intensifying typhoon, likely to become a super typhoon soon and develop into a powerful Category 5 storm. The storm will then stall south of Okinawa, bringing prolonged impacts to the region and could be a significant storm for the region.
#Surigae
(
#BisingPH
) is continuing to intensify, now up to a Category 2 equivalent
#Typhoon
. However, after 48 hours, the track is very uncertain and chances of a landfall in the
#Philippines
are increasing gradually. Please continue to pay close attention to this storm.
#Noru
continuing its extreme development - now a Super
#typhoon
with winds of 150mph by our unofficial estimates. Its development is expected to continue in short order. Outer bands of the storm are currently effect
#Luzon
. Preparations must be done as soon as possible.
#BREAKING
- The
#JTWC
has just upgraded
#TyphoonMalakas
to a Category 4 equivalent typhoon. Gradual weakening is then forecasted as it continues its trajectory north.
A resounding view of cyclones
#Asani
and
#Karim
spinning at either side of the Indian Ocean. They are the dynamical responses of equatorial Rossby wave generated by a westerly wind burst. Asani at the north is expected to impact
#India
, while Karim is not expected to affect land.
Morning shots of
#HurricaneDora
, which is now visible both from the GOES-18 and Himawari-9 satellites as it continues through the Central Pacific. Dora is a Category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale.
#BREAKING
-
#Jova
officially becomes the first Category 5 storm in the Eastern Pacific since Hurricane Willa in 2018, with winds of 160mph. Additional intensification is forecast up to 175mph before weakening occurs.
A special video update is coming soon on our YouTube channel.
#Typhoon
#Chanthu
has continued its Extreme Rapid Intensification, and as of 2am PHST the JTWC has the storm on the verge of
#SuperTyphoon
status. F13 agrees with their analysis; which operationally suggests Chanthu has strengthened an incredible 45mph in the last 6 hours.
The
@WMO
Hurricane Committee has retired the names
#Fiona
and
#Ian
due to the devastating impacts both storms brought during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season.
The new names replacing Fiona and Ian are Farrah and Idris and will be used in the 2028 Atlantic Hurricane Season.
Typhoon
#Bolaven
spending its second day as a very powerful Category 5 storm, with winds near 180 miles per hour. Tropical storm winds are still occurring on some of the Northern Mariana Islands.
Follow our automated stream at
#Mawar
an extremely dangerous typhoon undergoing rapid intensification as it nears Guam. The storm is forecast to pass very close, if not over the small island as a strong Category 4. Continued intensification is forecast afterwards. Preparations need to be nearing completion.
#CycloneTauktae
continues to produce heavy rain and damaging winds in Mumbai as it approaches the Gujarat Coast this afternoon, with the eyewall expected to move onshore imminently. Landfall is projected to happen 5 hours from now, with destructive winds, storm surge and rain.
#Mawar
undergoing rapid intensification - our latest forecast still calls for the storm to make a very close pass, or even a landfall on Guam as a Category 4. Additional intensification up to a strong Category 5 is forecast after. Where it goes after that is a bit of a mystery.
After completing an Eyewall Replacement Cycle, our latest intensity estimate is that
#Chanthu
(
#KikoPH
) has reached Category 5 status once again near the Northern
#Philippines
. This estimate is higher than official estimates, nonetheless Chanthu remains a very dangerous
#Typhoon
.
#BREAKING
- The National Hurricane Center has upgraded PTC 05L into Tropical Depression
#Five
. We have designated this a Tropical Storm. The system may threaten the Lesser Antilles. Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for St Lucia, Barbados and Martinique.
#F13TWO
#Koinu
rapidly intensifying in the West Pacific on it's way to Southern Taiwan
#Philippe
near the Leeward Islands
#98E
expected to become a significant hurricane in the East Pacific, and the AOI behind it may follow a similar path
#Rina
dissipating in the Atlantic
#Surigae
#BisingPH
rapidly intensifying, an eyewall replacement cycle is beginning so some short-term weakening may occur, however conditions become more favorable as the storm nears the
#Philippines
, where a Category 5 peak is now forecast and typhoon conditions are possible.
#Larry
has become the third major
#hurricane
in 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Further intensification to category 4 is expected as it continues moving northwestward in the next few days.
#Bermuda
could get considerable impact from it later next week.
#Mawar
expected to re-intensify after completing it's eyewall replacement cycle. A peak higher than what is forecasted here (190-195mph) cannot be ruled out. The storm will then make a close pass to the Batanes Islands, where signal warnings are likely to be issued soon by PAGASA
#Tauktae
about to make landfall along the coast near Jafarabad as a high-end Category 3 with winds of 125mph. The storm is forecast to weaken as it moves inland.
#Saola
rapidly intensifies to Category 5 status, additional intensification in the near term cannot be ruled out. The storm is bearing down on the Batanes Islands right now, and residents there should seek shelter as the core of Saola is approaching.
Tiny but ferocious
#Darby
rapidly intensifies into a major hurricane, per the NHC's latest update in the past hour. The storm may continue to rapidly intensify and could become a Category 4 hurricane later today. Darby still poses little to no threat to land areas.
The latest model guidance for
#cyclone
#Tauktae
shows us that the models are getting a grip on where Tauktae will make landfall, intensity is relatively similar on all 4 models shown here. Regardless of intensity, this storm is extremely dangerous.
#F13
#ArabianSea
#India
#BREAKING
- BoM has upgraded
#Vernon
to a Category 4-equivalent severe tropical cyclone per their latest advisory. The storm is forecast to shortly enter the Météo-France's area of responsibility and weaken temporarily.
#Darby
an impressive Category 4 storm with 140mph winds. Darby has intensified 75mph (from 65mph to 140mph) in the past 24hrs, and more intensification is forecast in the next 12 hours.
#Mawar
is approaching
#Guam
as a Category 4 typhoon. The storm just finished its eyewall replacement cycle before possibly making landfall over the island in a few hours. Typhoon and TS Warnings are still in place in the Marianas. Anyone in the storm's path should seek shelter.
#BREAKING
-
#Shaheen
made landfall over Al-Musannah,
#Oman
. Shaheen is expected to pour heavy rainfall and produce damaging winds as it moves further WSW in Oman.
This is continuing to be a life threatening situation.
#Typhoon
#Rai
(
#OdettePH
) is now closing in on
#Cebu
, Philippines as it weakens below Super Typhoon status. PAGASA declared its sixth landfall in Bien Unido,
#Bohol
at 7:30PM PhST.
#Hinnamnor
has likely regained Category 5 status, although JTWC has it down at 145mph Category 4. Either way, the impacts remain the same - heavy rainfall and strong winds are likely to impact multiple areas over the next week as the storm stalls, and then moves northward.
Incase you missed it,
The
@WMO
Hurricane Committee has retired
#Ida
from the naming list used during the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season and has replaced it with
#Imani
, which will be used if the 2027 Atlantic Hurricane Season reaches the name on the list.
#BREAKING
- Typhoon
#Infa
is now a Category 3 typhoon according to our analysis. The storm is approaching the Ryukyu islands and
#Taiwan
. It is forecast to make landfall in
#China
. Please stay safe and be prepared If you live along the track of In-fa.
#BREAKING
-
#Typhoon
#Chanthu
is undergoing Extreme Rapid Intensification this evening, as declared by JTWC. The JTWC has also released a Dvorak fix of T5.5, which is the basis for F13’s unofficial estimate of 100kt. A Super Typhoon peak is forecast before impacting Taiwan.
Very Intense Tropical
#Cyclone
#Freddy
is continuing to strengthen once again as it passes close to
#Rodrigues
. Our latest forecast depicts the storm slowly weakening on approach to
#Madagascar
, but remaining a powerful storm nonetheless. (1/2)