Winner of
@CPBMedia
’s Community Lifeline Award (2019), serving Florida public media audiences with hazardous weather alerts and information since 2013.
NHC is now forecasting
#Idalia
to be a major category 3 hurricane at landfall early Wed. The most likely area for landfall is from Tallahassee to Sarasota. To be safe, the entire Gulf Coast & some inland areas need to prep for dangerous storm surge, flooding & destructive winds.
NEW: Subtropical Storm Nicole formed overnight & will strengthen as it approaches FL Thu AM. Tue-Wed, the FL east coast needs to plan for dangerous rip currents, rough surf, beach erosion, coastal flooding & the onset of tropical storm force winds. Start hurricane preps today!
FINALLY: Hurricane
#Dorian
has begun the much-anticipated turn to the west-northwest. Confidence is increasing that the forecast track for the center to stay offshore will come to pass. However, this does NOT change the projected impacts along the Atlantic Coast.
#FLwx
2 PM NHC Update: Ian remains a strong category 4 with winds up to 155 mph. Although Ian has not officially made landfall, the eyewall is onshore over the island of Captiva and Sanibel near Ft Myers. Increasing winds, rain, and storm surge will continue to increase across SW FL.
#Nicole
is expected to be near-hurricane strength as it approaches the
#Florida
coast Wed/Thu. Rain, wind, storm surge, coastal erosion/flooding will all be possible. Do not let this system catch you off guard!
#FLwx
This is not a spaghetti plot.
It's a map (and story ) created by our team of meteorologists to communicate two possible outcomes from the developing system (
#95L
). We chose the colors carefully to send one message: keep calm and stay informed.
#FLwx
Tropical Storm Ian is finally offshore but will likely strengthen into hurricane later today then head toward SC. Tropical storm force winds & flooding rains will continue in NE FL through this evening. Lots of water & damage across the state so please travel only if necessary.
Hurricane
#Idalia
will likely be a cat 3 (111 mph+) at landfall tomorrow morning somewhere across the Big Bend Coast. Depending on the final track, hurricane force winds may spread will into the Panhandle & down the west coast. These areas must have preps done today.
#Idalia
likely to be a category 4 hurricane (~130 MPH winds) at landfall. Rapid strengthening continues right up until it comes onshore, 7-10 AM. The most destructive winds near the center will be very close to Tallahassee. Catastrophic storm surge 12-16' across Big Bend Coast.
10 PM NHC Update: Ian's sustained winds continue to drop & now sustained at 100 mph making it a category 1. Ian is located in Highlands County and will keep weakening as it moves toward Orlando overnight. Still lots of wind and rain to go before Ian is offshore Thu evening.
SHIFTING WEST! Hurricane Warning issued from Boca Raton to Brevard-Volusia Co line as track of Hurricane
#Isaias
now expected to directly impact Florida's Atlantic Coast Saturday night. Residents near/east of I-95 should prepare for a hurricane >>
#flwx
Significant flooding is possible the next 24-36 hours across the Panhandle and parts of N. FL. Expect 1-4" rain totals through tomorrow afternoon with some places picking up over 5-6". Storms will come in waves and some may be severe with damaging winds and hail. Stay safe & dry!
The latest advisory on Hurricane
#Ian
depicts a Category 1 hurricane with sustained winds of up to 75 mph. For areas along I-4, the biggest risk through the early morning hours will be for flash flooding. A number of flash flood alerts are in place through 5 AM.
Ian now forecasted to make landfall as a Cat 4 near Fort Myers 1-2 PM Wednesday. Storm surge 5-12 feet along the west-central & SW Florida coast plus 5-15" of rain in same area will have devastating impacts. Most of Peninsula will experience hurricane/tropical storm conditions.
Unless absolutely necessary, traveling is highly discouraged anywhere across the Peninsula. Isolated tornadoes will drop unpredictably the next 48 hours and many roads will soon be covered with water. Please take care.
Amen! Sunday morning models and NHC Tropical Outlook showing higher confidence that all 5 areas of interest will stay or steer away from Florida. The past 5 days show how things can change on a dime entering peak season. Keep your guard up and stay prepped.
Nicole has been officially declared a category 1 hurricane with winds up to 75 mph & will remain in that status until the storm makes landfall near Fort Pierce near or after midnight The wind & rain will keep increasing through the Peninsula now through tomorrow.
Ian's wind and rain fields will continue to expand through the overnight. Storm surge has peaked but damaging winds, life-threatening flooding, and isolated tornadoes will be threats through tomorrow. Ian will likely be a tropical storm near Orlando near sunrise Thursday.
Latest NHC update for Tropical Depression Nine has the possible, initial impacts to the central-south parts of the Florida Gulf Coast as a Cat 3. This system is constantly evolving & this path will adjust daily. For now, stay plugged in & prep so you can calmly execute your plan.
Very heavy, flooding rain will be one of the main threats with this weekend's storm. Most locations will average 2-5" of rain but local amounts over 7" are possible. Motorists are urged to avoid water-covered roadways and adjust travel plans as necessary.
#BREAKING
Hurricane Watches, Tropical Storm Watches, and Storm Surge Watches have been issued for much of the east coast of
#Florida
ahead of the arrival of
#Nicole
. Finish preparations today and tomorrow, as conditions by Wednesday will quickly deteriorate.
#FLwx
#Tropics
And then there were FIVE. We now have Tropical Depression Six replacing INVEST-99, but no concern for us. INVEST-90 near the Caribbean is still the only one we need to pay attention to, for now.
Latest NHC forecast for
#Idalia
has landfall on Wednesday as a Category 2 hurricane somewhere along the FL Gulf Coast. Hurricane, TS & Storm Surge Watches are now posted. Highest impacts currently expected across Big Bend Coast but residents outside the cone also need to prepare.
Future Radar shows us the timing for this huge wave of rain that will take over the state today and tonight. The winds and severe risk really do not increase until around sunset, but will last all night. Please plan ahead!
Here's the latest alerts in effect ahead of Nicole: TS Warning along the Atlantic Coast. Hurricane Watch from Volusia/Brevard line to Hallandale Beach. TS Watch from Sopchoppy to Bonita Beach. Floridians: It is encouraged that you wrap up preparations today.
#FLwx
#tropics
This morning, we continue to watch the orange area east of the Bahamas. A tropical depression could form early next week but regardless of development, rip currents, rough surf, and gusty downpours are increasingly possible along the Florida Atlantic Coast next week.
#FLwx
Tropical Storm and Hurricane Watches are in effect along most of Florida's Gulf coast this morning, from the Keys to the Emerald Coast. Alerts stretch inland too. Today's the day to make storm preparations. Conditions deteriorate Wed.
#FLwx
Saturday through Sunday AM, expect 20-40 mph winds and gusts up to 50 mph capable of structural damage, downed tree limbs and power outages. Gale Warnings and Small Craft Advisories are posted for all coastal and offshore locations. Secure your boat and outdoor decorations!
You've probably heard. A tropical system might develop in the NE Gulf this week. REGARDLESS, several days of heavy rain is likely from the Florida's Big Bend to Fort Myers - areas in yellow - where 4 or more inches is possible through Friday.
#FLwx
A lot of work went into this update to get you the most comprehensive, forward-thinking forecast possible ahead of your holiday weekend. Tropical storm conditions are possible along portions of Florida's Gulf coast by Sunday. Full story at
#flwx
The tropics historically get more active heading into September, but even this is a little ridiculous. We have 6 tropical systems, 4 of which are named storms. For now, the orange blob is the only one we need to watch. It'll stay well into the Atlantic for at least 10 more days.
Feels like temperatures up to 120⁰ are likely in the Excessive Heat Warning that takes up more than half of the state. Plan for heat indices over 105⁰ everywhere, so take it easy no matter what you’re doing out there!
Nicole is starting to strengthen, and now has winds up to 50 mph. Additional intensification is expected and Nicole is expected to make landfall with Florida as a hurricane late Wed/early Thu. Interests along the Florida Atlantic coast should finish preparations today.
#FLwx
Good morning.
#Dorian
has weakened some and is still stationary, but expected to resume motion to the NW later today. This is when the hazards - storm surge, winds, heavier rain bands, poss tornadoes - will all begin to ramp up across east-central and southeast Florida.
#FLwx
.
@FLGovScott
: "The time to evacuate has passed," but there are things you can STILL do to save your life:
Move to interior room, highest level of home in surge area
Protect head with mattress or helmet.
Do NOT try last-minute repairs. Listen to local NPR station.
#flwx
#Michael
As a reminder, home/boat preps need to be completed before the arrival of tropical storm-force winds. That would be mean Monday before sunset since those conditions spread across the Peninsula Tuesday morning then into the Panhandle during the evening.
New at 11 am: Hurricane
#Dorian
now forecast to have winds up to 130 mph (high end Category 3) as it approaches Florida's east coast Sunday Night. The storm is also expected to slow down after landfall, prolonging inland hazards through Tuesday.
#FLwx
#Ian
is now a hurricane and intensification is expected to continue over the next several days as the storm enters the Gulf and parallels the Florida peninsula. Florida's entire Gulf coastline should finalize preparations today.
#FLwx
Tropical Depression Ten intensified overnight & will likely be Tropical Storm
#Idalia
later today. For now, NHC is forecasting landfall as a Category 1 on Wednesday along the FL Gulf Coast. Check your plan, supplies, & start prepping today. Impacts will be well outside the cone.
5 AM UPDATE: Ian has weakened to a tropical storm, but heavy rain continues to fall over Central and North Florida. Tropical storm force winds gusts are still expected over this region through at least the evening.
#FLwx
No relief from the heat today with "feels-like" temps up to 115 expected nearly statewide. This is dangerous stuff if you're not careful, so please take care of yourself and our furry friends!
Repeating: "There is a real possibility that Michael will strengthen to a major hurricane before landfall." - Specialist Robbie Berg from
@NHC_Atlantic
.
Latest forecast and suggested actions at
#flwx
11 AM: Ian remains a category 3 hurricane & is expected to intensify further later today. The latest forecast from the National Hurricane Center suggests that landfall could occur south of the Tampa Bay area, closer to Sarasota & Venice. Additional track shifts are possible.
Idalia is still a tropical storm but hurricane status is expected tonight. The cone has narrowed & shifted a bit west. But landfall is still most likely from the central Panhandle thru the west-central coast. No changes to the storms surge or flooding risks. Finalize your preps!
Please take these warnings and advisories seriously for heat indices up 115⁰. If you’re not hydrating and spending as little time outside as possible, this heat will make you sick real quick.
We’re waking up to better news this morning on Major Hurricane
#Dorian
, but Florida is nowhere close to being in “the clear”.
Significant hazards are still likely along Florida’s Atlantic Coast.
#FLwx
The latest below, as seen in the ...
Chances of tropical development are increasing near
#Florida
this weekend. Two takeaways...
1) It is unlikely be a significant coastal event.
2) Heavy rain and gusty winds will probably affect more Floridians than experienced from
#Dorian
.
#95L
#FLwx
We now have Tropical Depression Ten. Landfall forecasted along the FL Gulf Coast late Tue-Wed as a hurricane, but tropical storm conditions possible early Tue. Check your plan and supplies and get updates several times a day because the track and intensity are certain to change.
Even with 4 areas of disturbed weather in the tropics, lots of forecast uncertainty prevails and there is no immediate threat for us. This is a 7-day outlook so no need to panic, just prepare as always.
NHC 1 pm Update: Nicole stays in tropical storm status. Tropical storm force winds (39 mph+)l keep spreading across the Peninsula through this evening. The wind & rain will keep increasing with landfall expected overnight in SE FL as a category 1 hurricane, winds up to 75 mph.
Confidence has increased that a winter storm may affect travel in north
#Florida
and SE
#Georgia
Wednesday morning. Even some minor accumulation of snow is possible near/north of I-10. Changeable situation, as always.
#flwx
1 pm NHC Update: TS Nicole strengthens & will likely be a category 1 hurricane this evening near Bahamas. Tropical storm force winds & heavier rain bands hit the FL east coast Wed AM. Nicole landfall expected Thu AM near Melbourne with higher impacts spreading across Peninsula.
The storm surge threat along the west-central and SW FL coast has become even more extreme this morning, if that's even possible. Inundations of 8-16 feet are forecasted to be common and devastating.
8 am NHC update: T.S. Ian will rapidly intensify tonight into Mon then track into the NW Caribbean and eastern Gulf as a powerful hurricane starting Tue. Nearly all of Florida is in the cone but impacts will be felt statewide. Forecast will change so check back but keep prepping.
Dangerously cold Artic air (from the North Pole!) arrives tomorrow & hangs thru the holiday weekend. North & central FL should plan for AM temps in the teens/20s along with wind chills in the single digits/teens. Take care of you & your furry friends and limit your outdoor time.
NHC 7 am Update: Nicole not a hurricane yet. Tropical storm force winds are expected to increase along FL Atlantic coast this AM & spread across the Peninsula thru the day. Landfall forecast for late this evening in SE FL as a hurricane with winds up to 75 mph. Finish preps ASAP.
BREAKING: Tropical Storm
#Isaias
now forecast to become a hurricane before brushing by Florida's Atlantic Coast this wknd. However,
@NHC_Atlantic
says still "too soon to determine magnitude and location" of potential impacts.
#flwx
Full advisory >>
Invest 98-L will impact Florida this week with storm surge, wind, and heavy rain. While uncertainty remains in exact track, all residents along Florida's east coast are urged to not let their guard down in the days to come. Read more here:
Subtropical Storm
#Alberto
has formed in the western
#Caribbean
. The official
@NHC_Atlantic
forecast is for it to have winds up to 65 mph as it nears the western side of the
#FLPanhandle
Monday. No changes to overall forecast ideas detailed at .
#flwx
It's the second strongest storm ever recorded in the
#Atlantic
. Hurricane
#Dorian
has wind speeds up to 185 mph and the pressure has continued to drop now down to 911 mb. Mandatory evacuations have begun for parts of the east coast of
#FL
.
#FLwx
#BREAKING
#Ian
is still a major hurricane (Category 3) with winds of 115 mph as of the 8 PM advisory. Wind gusts even hours after landfall are still over 100 mph in spots. The Peninsula continues to be battered with catastrophic storm surge and flooding rains.
#FLwx
#Tropics