Figurei8ht
@Figurei8ht
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Basketball Advanced Stats and Charts | Projections | Plays
Greece
Joined April 2018
📈Projection to EL Playoffs as of R26/34 @EuroLeague Top 4 🔹Olympiacos 🇬🇷 Top 4 in all 10k simulations! 🔹Fenerbahçe 🇹🇷 | Panathinaikos 🇬🇷 | Monaco 🇲🇨 with clear advantage for seeding position to PO Top 6 🔹Crvena Zvezda 🇷🇸 and Bayern München 🇩🇪 complete the list, both with >50% probabilities. Top 4 for them is a stretch, but model favors Top 6 over lower teams 👇 Top 10 🔹Clear advantage to Partizan 🇷🇸 | Paris 🇫🇷 | Barcelona 🇪🇸 all with >80% chances ❓Big battle for 10th position between Milano 🇮🇹 and Real Madrid 🇪🇸, while Efes 🇹🇷 lags behind. Prediction model by @g_giase with 10k sims on a weighted probability of teams' ✅Elo rankings (past 2 seasons) & ✅Net Advanced Rating (Offensive - Defensive) of this season split by home / away games. #EveryGameMatters #EuroLeague #Simulation #basketball
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@d3biant Indeed, Efes has the smoothest Strong of Schedule ahead. This is embedded in the simulation model. However, Efes performance is not stable this year in terms of offensive & defensive ratings, that’s a key reason on why Efes in the sims model is out of play-in.
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RT @clutchdata_: 📊 During these two long weeks until #EuroLeague returns, let's analyze the Strength of Schedule for the final sprint (last…
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@clutchdata_ @Ioakeim_Thanop @EuroLeague @GIGANTESbasket @TheUpset_media @Sh_Cl_Pod @chrisalucard @euroleague_time @EuroLeagueFr @EurohoopsES @mstef80 @augis04 Thank you @clutchdata_ you are a great account 🏀.. I think the combination of your post on SoS with my projection model share extensive insights on what comes in the next rounds.
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📉 Projection on Expected Wins by Team @EuroLeague | Update: R26 out of 34 - Low expected wins by Virtus, Maccabi, and Alba have increased the required wins for playoffs and play-in. - Tight race for Top 4 and Top 6 around 20-21 wins. - Recent EL champions Real Madrid and Efes are out of the play-in. Simulation model forecast in cooperation with @g_giase
#EveryGameMatters #Simulation #EuroLeague
📈Projection to EL Playoffs as of R26/34 @EuroLeague Top 4 🔹Olympiacos 🇬🇷 Top 4 in all 10k simulations! 🔹Fenerbahçe 🇹🇷 | Panathinaikos 🇬🇷 | Monaco 🇲🇨 with clear advantage for seeding position to PO Top 6 🔹Crvena Zvezda 🇷🇸 and Bayern München 🇩🇪 complete the list, both with >50% probabilities. Top 4 for them is a stretch, but model favors Top 6 over lower teams 👇 Top 10 🔹Clear advantage to Partizan 🇷🇸 | Paris 🇫🇷 | Barcelona 🇪🇸 all with >80% chances ❓Big battle for 10th position between Milano 🇮🇹 and Real Madrid 🇪🇸, while Efes 🇹🇷 lags behind. Prediction model by @g_giase with 10k sims on a weighted probability of teams' ✅Elo rankings (past 2 seasons) & ✅Net Advanced Rating (Offensive - Defensive) of this season split by home / away games. #EveryGameMatters #EuroLeague #Simulation #basketball
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RT @RedPointGuard: Η φάση έγινε viral, αλλά αξίζει άλλη μια ματιά! Ταυτόχρονα, Παπ, Γκος και Σάσα δείχνουν στον Φουρνιέ το mismatch με τον…
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@dejan_bunos Hello, check my post below 👇
Only 8 rounds to go and the battle for the playoffs in @EuroLeague is heating up🔥 Below are the projected wins by position: 🟢 Top 4: 21 Wins (seeded - direct to PO) 🟠 Top 6: 20 Wins (unseeded - direct to PO) 🟤 Top 10: 18 Wins (play-in) The projected difference from 7th to 10th position is only 1 win.. Prediction model by @g_giase with 10k sims on a weighted probability of: ✅ Elo rankings (past 2 seasons) ✅ Net Advanced Rating (Offensive - Defensive) of this season, split by home/away games. #EveryGameMatters #EuroLeague #Simulation
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Only 8 rounds to go and the battle for the playoffs in @EuroLeague is heating up🔥 Below are the projected wins by position: 🟢 Top 4: 21 Wins (seeded - direct to PO) 🟠 Top 6: 20 Wins (unseeded - direct to PO) 🟤 Top 10: 18 Wins (play-in) The projected difference from 7th to 10th position is only 1 win.. Prediction model by @g_giase with 10k sims on a weighted probability of: ✅ Elo rankings (past 2 seasons) ✅ Net Advanced Rating (Offensive - Defensive) of this season, split by home/away games. #EveryGameMatters #EuroLeague #Simulation
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Career-high 37 PIR and scoring 30 points in the second half🤯 Kendrick Nunn from @Paobcgr is the Round 26 MVP☘️ MVP of the Round I @PaniniAmerica
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@EuroLeague Hi @EuroLeague , indeed it will be a wild race for Top 6 and Top 10 as well. Confirmed from the simulation model below, see my post 🖇️
📈Projection to EL Playoffs as of R26/34 @EuroLeague Top 4 🔹Olympiacos 🇬🇷 Top 4 in all 10k simulations! 🔹Fenerbahçe 🇹🇷 | Panathinaikos 🇬🇷 | Monaco 🇲🇨 with clear advantage for seeding position to PO Top 6 🔹Crvena Zvezda 🇷🇸 and Bayern München 🇩🇪 complete the list, both with >50% probabilities. Top 4 for them is a stretch, but model favors Top 6 over lower teams 👇 Top 10 🔹Clear advantage to Partizan 🇷🇸 | Paris 🇫🇷 | Barcelona 🇪🇸 all with >80% chances ❓Big battle for 10th position between Milano 🇮🇹 and Real Madrid 🇪🇸, while Efes 🇹🇷 lags behind. Prediction model by @g_giase with 10k sims on a weighted probability of teams' ✅Elo rankings (past 2 seasons) & ✅Net Advanced Rating (Offensive - Defensive) of this season split by home / away games. #EveryGameMatters #EuroLeague #Simulation #basketball
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RT @loupaya: Most pts per game by a duo in EL: 37,4 Vezenkov-Fournier 37 36 35 34,5 Mirotic-LeDay 34,4 Edwards-Booker 34 33,9 Nunn-Lessort…
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@scout_Bluu Το clutch καλάθι του Fournier και ο MVP λόγω PIR Vezenkov τράβηξαν τα φώτα αλλά η πραγματική ηγετική εμφάνιση είναι του Goss.
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@G_Orfan @g_giase Καλησπέρα! Ευχαριστούμε για τα θετικά σχόλια. Μέχρι πριν λίγες αγωνιστικές το επικρατέστερο σενάριο για Top4 ήταν 20 νίκες 👇 Αύριο μετά το τέλος του R26 θα ανεβάσω το updated model, αποτι φαίνεται θα ανέβει στις 21 νίκες το πλεονέκτημα.
No significant changes vs. previous round on projected wins needed for @euroleague playoff - play in 🟢 Top 4: 20 Wins (seeded - direct to PO) 🟠 Top 6: 19 Wins (unseeded - direct to PO) 🟤 Top 10: 17 Wins (Play-in) It's going to be a tight battle; schedule and score ties will play a big role. #euroleague25 @Olympiacos_BC @Paobcgr @FBBasketbol @asmonaco_en @kkcrvenazvezda @ParisBasketball @FCBBasketball @PartizanBC @OlimpiaMI1936 @bczalgiris @Baskonia @AnadoluEfesSK @LDLCASVEL
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RT @loupaya: Zach LeDay since Mirotic’s injury (6 games: 4 EL, 2 LBA): 20,7 pts 59,1% 2pts 60,9% 3pts (!!!) 100,0% (30/30) FT (!!!) 4,2 re…
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Οντως, μερικές φορές αγνοούμε πως σε ένα format πολλών αγωνιστικών όπως αυτό στην EL με αρκετές καλές ομάδες δεν αρκεί μια καλή αλληλουχία νικών για να «περάσεις». Δεν είναι όμιλος των 4 η έστω 8 ομάδων, κάνει μια ομάδα στο τέλος 3 νίκες και προκρίθηκε. Είναι πιο «απλωμένες» οι πιθανότητες.
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