Zia Mohammed
@FPL__Z
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FA Certified Coach ⚽️ Data Analytics Expert 📈 Best rank - 2364, 4 x Top 15k
Joined July 2022
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Pinned Tweet
GW38 - The Preview
In this thread, I discuss:
⁃ Short GW37 review
⁃ Differentials to target in each position
⁃ Transfer plans
⁃ Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
4
13
59
GW27 - The Preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- My chip strategy
- Short GW26 review
- Fixtures to target and my predictions
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
7
29
723
10 FPL rules to win FPL this season
In this thread, I will highlight the main macro points that are essential to win FPL.
All likes and retweets will be appreciated!
10
65
739
GW4 - The preview
Deadline on Friday at 6.30pm UK time‼️
In this thread, I discuss:
- Short GW3 review
- Review of GW3 predictions
- 3 fixtures to target and my predictions
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
6
10
693
GW19 - The Preview
A Boxing Day special ‼️
In this thread, I discuss:
- Short GW18 review
- Fixtures to target and my predictions
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
- Boxing Day records
Please feel free to give your feedback!
8
26
589
GW30 - The Preview
In this thread, I discuss:
⁃ Short GW29 review
⁃ Fixtures to target and my predictions
⁃ Transfer plans
⁃ Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
3
20
485
GW10 - The Preview (Wildcard Special)
Top 100K‼️
In this thread, I discuss:
- Short GW9 review
- Review of GW9 predictions
- Wildcard draft
- 3 fixtures to target and my predictions
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
4
33
432
GW7 - The preview
TOP 50K‼️
In this thread, I discuss:
- Short GW6 review
- Review of GW6 predictions
- 3 fixtures to target and my predictions
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
2
21
426
GW13 - The Preview
Top 100K ‼️
In this thread, I discuss:
- GW 12 review
- Fixtures to target and my predictions
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
6
15
409
GW9 - The Preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Short GW8 review
- Review of GW8 predictions
- 3 fixtures to target and my predictions
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
5
12
408
GW21 - The Preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Fixtures to target and my predictions
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
6
14
380
GW4: Tactical Preview - A thread
This thread gives my predictions on the key fixtures and player match ups which I expect to define GW4.
Please feel free to give your feedback!
4
7
350
GW14 - The Preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Short GW13 review
- Review of GW13 predictions
- Fixtures to target and my predictions
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
7
19
343
GW35 - Wildcard Special
⁃ Short GW34 review
⁃ Wildcard picks
- Wildcard drafts
⁃ Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
3
21
325
DGW37 - Bench Boast Special
In this thread, I discuss:
⁃ Short GW36 review
- Review of GW36 predictions
⁃ DGW37 players to target
- DGW37 discussion
⁃ Transfer plans
⁃ Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
1
7
310
GW8 - The preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Short GW7 review
- Review of GW7 predictions
- 3 fixtures to target and my predictions
- Wildcard discussion
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
4
14
302
GW24 - The Preview
24 hours until the deadline ‼️
In this thread, I discuss:
- Short GW23 review
- Fixtures to target and my predictions
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
3
13
299
GW22 - The Preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Short GW21 review
- Review of GW21 predictions
- Fixtures to target and my predictions
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
3
8
297
BGW29 - The Free Hit Special
In this thread, I discuss:
- Free Hit draft
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
5
8
284
DGW25 Preview
- Short GW24 review
- Review of GW24 predictions
- DGW25 teams to target
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
9
8
295
GW11 - The Preview
Top 100K ‼️
In this thread, I discuss:
- Short GW10 review
- Review of GW10 predictions
- Fixtures to target and my predictions
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
1
8
286
GW17 - The Preview
Top 100K ‼️
In this thread, I discuss:
- Short GW16 team review
- GW16 Predictions
- Fixtures to target and my GW17 predictions
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
8
18
256
GW31 - The Preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Short GW30 review
- Review of GW30 predictions
- Fixtures to target and my predictions
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
4
18
268
GW3: Tactical Preview - A thread
This thread identifies key player match ups, which I expect to influence the final outcomes in GW3.
Please feel free to give your feedback!
3
10
252
BGW26 - The Preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Short GW25 review
- Fixtures to target and my predictions
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
3
14
243
GW32 - The Preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Short GW31 review
- Review of GW31 predictions
- Fixtures to target and my predictions
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
4
16
241
GW11 Preview - A THREAD
In this thread, I discuss:
- Key fixtures and predictions
- Best defenders until World Cup
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
2
8
222
GW15 Preview - A THREAD
In this thread, I discuss:
- Key fixtures to target and my predictions
- Captaincy
- My transfer considerations
Please feel free to give your feedback!
5
24
231
GW2 Preview - A THREAD
This thread summarises the key fixtures, my predictions, my watchlist, transfer considerations and captaincy picks.
Please feel free to give your feedback!
3
12
230
GW12 Preview - A THREAD
In this thread, I discuss:
- Key fixtures to target and my predictions
- Best Maddison replacements
- Captaincy
- My transfer plan
Please feel free to give your feedback!
9
30
218
GW15 - The Preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Short GW14 review
- Review of GW14 predictions
- Fixtures to target and my predictions
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
4
17
224
10 rules for a top 10k finish - A thread
In this thread I will highlight my main macro points that have allowed me to have four strong finishes in seven seasons.
All likes and retweets will be appreciated!
7
13
199
GW13 Preview - A THREAD
In this thread, I discuss:
- Key fixtures to target and my predictions
- Wildcard drafts
- Best Trossard replacements
- Captaincy
- My transfer plans
Please feel free to give your feedback!
17
29
202
GW1 review - A THREAD:
In this thread I will review GW1 using a combination of data and the eye test.
Looking forward to hearing your feedback!
3
18
201
GW5 - The preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Short GW4 review
- Review of my GW4 predictions
- 3 fixtures to target and my predictions
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
5
11
189
GW26 - A Wildcard Special
In this thread, I discuss:
- Review of GW25 predictions
- Wildcard draft
- Key GW26 fixtures to target and my predictions
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
8
21
197
GW6 - The preview
Top 100K!!
In this thread, I discuss:
- Short GW5 review
- Review of GW5 predictions
- 3 fixtures to target and my predictions
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
3
8
186
GW22 - The preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Review of GW21 predictions
- DGW22 discussion
- Key single GW fixtures to target and my predictions
- Captaincy
- My transfer plan
Please feel free to give your feedback!
5
15
180
GW14 - The preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Key fixtures to target and my predictions
- My watchlist
- My transfer plan
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
3
24
168
GW33 - The Preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Short GW32 review
- Review of GW32 predictions
- Fixtures to target and my predictions
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
3
6
163
GW6: Tactical Preview - A THREAD
This thread identifies my predictions based on key fixtures and player match ups, which I expect to define GW6.
Please feel free to give your feedback!
2
5
143
DGW38 - The Finale
OR = 54,444 , target = top 50K
In this thread, I discuss:
- Key fixtures to target and my predictions
- 3 bonus predictions
- Captaincy
- My transfer plans
Please feel free to give your feedback!
9
19
133
GW34 - Free Hit Special
⁃ Teams to target and best players from each team
⁃ Free Hit draft
⁃ Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
1
12
119
GW2 review - A THREAD:
In this thread, I will review GW2 using a combination of data and the eye test.
Looking forward to hearing your feedback!
1
10
115
DGW36 - The preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- DGW teams
- Key single GW fixtures to target and my predictions
- Captaincy
- My transfer plans
Please feel free to give your feedback!
6
19
112
GW2: Tactical Preview - A THREAD:
This thread identifies 5 key player match ups, which I expect to influence the final outcomes of GW2.
Please feel free to give your feedback!
2
5
113
GW9 - The Preview - A Wildcard special
In this thread, I discuss:
- GW9 WC Draft
- Top players in each position
- Predictions based on key fixtures and player match ups
- Captaincy debate
Please feel free to give your feedback!
4
6
91
BGW32 - Free Hit special
In this thread, I discuss:
- Review of GW31 predictions
- Key fixtures to target and my predictions
- Free Hit draft
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
2
14
97
DGW37 - The preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- DGW discussion
- Captaincy
- My transfer plans
Please feel free to give your feedback!
5
12
95
DGW29 - The preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Review of GW28 predictions
- DGW29: Teams to target
- Key single GW fixtures to target and my predictions
- Captaincy
- My transfer plans
Please feel free to give your feedback!
6
19
93
GW21 - The preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Review of GW20 predictions
- Key fixtures to target and my predictions
- Captaincy
- My transfer plan
- Summary of key decisions
Please feel free to like, retweet and give your feedback!
7
13
87
GW24 - The preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Review of GW23 predictions
- Key single GW fixtures to target and my predictions
- Captaincy
- My transfer plan
Please feel free to give your feedback!
8
13
85
GW33 - The preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Review of GW32 predictions
- Key fixtures to target and my predictions
- Captaincy
- My transfer plans
Please feel free to give your feedback!
5
19
80
GW2 - The preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Review of GW1 predictions
- 3 fixtures to target and my predictions
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
6
6
79
GW30 - The preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Review of GW29 predictions
- Key fixtures to target and my predictions
- Captaincy
- My transfer plans
Please feel free to give your feedback!
7
12
77
GW1 - The preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- My GW1 draft options
- 3 fixtures to target and my predictions
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
7
6
78
GW16 - The preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Key fixtures to target and my predictions
- My favourite one week punts in each position
- Captaincy
- My transfer considerations:
Please feel free to give your feedback!
1
9
76
GW16 - The Preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Short GW15 review
- Review of GW15 predictions
- Fixtures to target and my predictions
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
10
14
74
Quick review of the GW3 predictions above:
1. Sterling vs Leeds - One big chance in the opening 15 minutes, but was unable to convert. ❌❌
2. Salah vs MNU - Malacia and Martinez definitely negated his threat more than I expected, but the FPL king delivered once again. 👑✅
1
1
73
GW25 - The preview (blank and double GW)
In this thread, I discuss:
- Review of GW24 predictions
- DGW25
- Key single GW fixtures to target and my predictions
- Captaincy
- My transfer plan
Please feel free to give your feedback!
4
12
74
DGW34 - The preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Review of GW33 predictions
- DGW34: Teams to target
- Captaincy
- My transfer plans
Please feel free to give your feedback!
4
6
71
GW20 - The preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- DGW20
- Key single GW fixtures to target and my predictions
- Captaincy
- My transfer plan
Please feel free to give your feedback!
5
16
67
GW4: Tactical Preview - A thread
This thread identifies my predictions, based on key fixtures and player match ups, which I expect to define GW4.
I will also give my views on the captaincy debate.
Please feel free to give your feedback!
3
3
54
GW23 - The preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Review of GW22 predictions
- DGW23 discussion
- Key single GW fixtures to target and my predictions
- Captaincy
- My transfer plan
Please feel free to give your feedback!
8
14
57
GW17 - The preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- My GW17 draft
- Key fixtures to target and my predictions
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
1
10
52
GW36 - The Preview
Deadline is Friday at 6.30pm UK time‼️
In this thread, I discuss:
⁃ Short GW35 review
⁃ Fixtures to target and my predictions
⁃ Transfer plans
⁃ Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
4
10
54
GW31 - The preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Review of GW30 predictions
- Key fixtures to target and my predictions
- Captaincy
- My transfer plans
Please feel free to give your feedback!
2
11
54
GW3 - The preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Short GW2 review
- Review of GW2 predictions
- 3 fixtures to target and my predictions
- Transfer plans
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
3
11
49
1. Fixtures are king 👑
- Favourable fixtures can provide better opportunities for points, so try to pick players from teams with a good run of games.
- Pay attention to the upcoming fixtures, planning 6-8 weeks in advance, looking out for any major fixture swings.
1
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46
Top 5 FWD’s, 8M or below to start the season:
- This is one of the main positions that can help us to get ahead early on, as there is no clear stand out options.
- I hope the information provided in this thread can help you to make the optimal decision for your team structure.
3
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44
BGW28 - The preview
- Key GW28 fixtures to target and my predictions
- Captaincy
- Transfer plans
Please feel free to give your feedback!
3
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44
2. Value every transfer
- Treat every transfer as if it is a -4 and have a strict criteria for making transfers.
- For example, are you going to captain the player? Is the player a rotation risk? Are they injury prone? Is it a double GW? etc).
- Do not rush these decisions
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This brings me to the end of this thread.
Please feel free to like, retweet and give feedback.
Follow for weekly threads all season.
Let's win those mini-leagues together!! 💪🤝
#FPLCommunity
1
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38
GW18 - The preview
In this thread, I discuss:
- Review of GW17 Predictions
- Key fixtures to target and my predictions for GW18
- Top 3 Reece James replacements
- Captaincy
Please feel free to give your feedback!
5
9
33
- Wildcard draft:
Locked:
1) GK's: Raya and Kepa
2) DEF's: Trippier, Gabriel, James
3) MID's: Saka, Rashford, March
4) FWD's: Haaland, Kane and Toney
Considerations:
1) DEF's: Estupinian vs Dunk and Botman vs Henry
2) MID's: Odegaard vs Maddison and Mitoma vs Mac Allister
1
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5. Be patient
- Find the balance between being patient and being proactive.
- Sometimes, it's tempting to make multiple transfers to react to a single bad GW.
- However, being patient can pay off in the long run.
1
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3. Use your chips wisely 🍟
- Players often try to get ahead in their mini leagues by using chips at the beginning of the season.
- I would recommend saving your chips for DGW’s and BGW’s, increasing the probability of your chips being maximised.
1
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6. Ignore ownership
- The biggest differential is consistently making the right decisions.
- There is no need to force differentials, especially in the first half of the season.
-Play your own game and never go differential for the sake of it!!
1
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4. Structure is crucial
- By building a GW1 team using specific price points, you can facilitate easy sideways moves, keeping your team flexible, so you can jump on this season’s bandwagon without taking unnecessary hits.
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25
10. Do not overspend on your bench
- This season has provided us with some really great bench optionsso there is no need to overspend on your bench. (17M is a good benchmark)
1
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25
- Social Media makes it increasingly hard to not knee-jerk, but we must trust our decisions for at least a 3-4 week period, unless something major changes that would affect the logic behind our initial decision.
1
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9. Do not chase team value
- Waiting until the end of the week allows you to make the most informed decision possible.
- Managers press conferences are crucial to help us understand the likely starting eleven for the following GW.
1
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- My transfer plans: (1FT)
1. Haaland —> Kane
2. Grealish —> Odegaard/Eze
3. Shaw —> Gabriel/Tierney
- All transfers depend on early team news.
- I do not want to take a hit, but will do so in order to field 11 starters.
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8. Own your decisions
- Use a combination of the eye test and data to make your OWN decisions.
- Nowadays, the community provides us with so much information that it can be overwhelming.
1
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21
Key fixtures to target and my predictions:
1. LIV vs WHU
- Liverpool looked like themselves again with a very impressive victory over the best team in the World.
- Salah played more centrally in GW11, generating an xGA of 1.2. I expect this to continue vs WHU. (con'd)
1
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Other considerations:
1. GK’s - Johnstone/Leno
2. Def’s - Anderson/Moreno/Castagne
3. MF’s - Gakpo/Olise/Eze/Andreas/Wilson/Maddison
4. FWD’s - Toney/Solanke/Jota/Isak
1. Toney and Gakpo vs Jota and Maddison
2. Toney and Olise vs Solanke and Maddison
What do you guys prefer?
2
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7. Never read too much into any single game
- Things change really quickly in football and each match up is independent.
- Eg. In last season’s Community Shield, Haaland missed a few big chances and many people started without him
- Against WHU he scored and the rest is history.
1
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20
- Liverpool have performed well in big games of late and I am backing them to dominate this fixture.
- Salah playing centrally seems to have benefited him, and I am backing the Egyptian king to continue his goalscoring form.
- Prediction: Salah to score ⚽️ and Liverpool CS
1
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18
- 3 bonus predictions:
1) CRY vs NFO - Eze ⚽️
2) AVL vs BRI - Watkins ⚽️
3) MNU vs FUL - Rashford ⚽️
1
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18
- With this in mind, if Haaland is declared fit, he is easily the best captaincy pick.
- I also think KDB could explode in this fixture, and if Haaland is not on the team sheet, I think KDB is the next best captain.
- Prediction: Haaland to score ⚽️
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Captaincy:
1. Haaland
2. KDB
3. Kane
*Strongly considering KDB as he is expected to play 90 minutes and there is a small chance Haaland is rotated.
The question is: Am I brave enough?
1
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15
- Captain picks:
1. Saka
2. Haaland
3. Kane
- This week is another really close call between Haaland and Saka.
- Whilst I do think Haaland is the safer pick, I expect Arsenal to score more than City this week, so I do think Saka has the higher ceiling.
3
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- West Ham played a makeshift defence in GW11 and will be hoping to have Zouma and Dawson back for GW12.
- West Ham created a lot of chances themselves in GW11, amassing an xG of 1.68.
- I expect them to get some big chances on the break, with Bowen being the biggest threat.
1
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16
- Even when Arsenal have showed weaknesses, Odegaard has really been the leader on the pitch, fighting until the end.
- Additionally, Wolves have been toothless in attack.
- They have the 2nd worse xG in all away matches (16.06)
- Predictions: ARS CS and Odegaard ⚽️
1
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16
- Over the last 6 home matches, Leeds have conceded a league high 13.19 xGC.
- With that in mind, I am backing Spurs to make better use of their chances on the counter attack.
- Predictions: Kane ⚽️ and Son ⚽️
1
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16
Summary of key decisions:
1. Start White over Shaw
2. Save a transfer if you can
3. Keep faith with Mitrovic despite Toney, Nketiah and Wilson being strong alternatives.
2
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16
My transfer plan:
GW12: Maddsion to Trossard
GW13: Trossard to Foden and Perisic/Trippier to Cancelo (-4)
1
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16
1. NFO vs TOT
- With both teams deploying a 5ATB system, they are heavily reliant on their wing backs for creativity.
- Perisic vs Neco will be a really intriguing match up.
- Even with NFO at home, I expect Perisic to push Nico back, really negating NFO's attacking threat.
1
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