Ethan Corey
@EthanSCorey
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Research & Projects Editor @theappeal ; @theappealunion for life; spreadsheets are how I practice self-care (he/him)
Joined July 2011
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This morning, the FBI released annual crime statistics for 2021. I've summarized what you need to know about what crime data can and can't tell us:
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People have highlighted the fact that the Louisiana abortion bill (arguably) bans IUDs and IVF, but can we talk about the fact that it says that any federal law or court ruling protecting abortion is null and void and that any state judge who overturns it will be impeached?
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A quick summary of everything
@Taniel
and I have found today:
-6 precincts with duplicated results
-84 reporting more voters in the final alignment than in the initial alignment
-471 with candidates in final alignment below viability threshold
-dozens awarding extra delegates
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One last example of a totally bizarre precinct tonight:
Vinton 4
First alignment:
-Buttigieg: 5
-Sanders: 3
-Klobuchar: 2
-Everyone else: 0
Final alignment:
-Buttigieg: 16
-Sanders: 9
-Klobuchar: 5
20 voters appear out of thin air between first and final alignment. Huh?
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Short parable on the need for local journalism: My wife and I live in a small town (~25,000 people) in Middlesex County, NJ, where we recently had a referendum on whether or not to increase the fire department budget by about 60% (🧵 continues)
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BREAKING: A DOJ report and Senate investigation have revealed that dozens of states have failed to report in-custody death data as required by the Death in Custody Reporting Act. Upwards of 5,000 deaths are missing from the official data.
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If NY Mag wrote an in-depth work of literary journalism about drama at your high school, what would it be about?
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I just got laid off from my job at The Appeal, along with several other colleagues. I'm really proud of the work I did, and I'm even more proud of the fact that my colleagues have announced their formation of a union today. I'm also looking for a new job, so hmu!
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We're a small town — we don't need a huge news operation to get a decent sense of what's going on. But right now we don't have _any_ dedicated news coverage beyond whatever the already atrophied regional outlets can spare. If "democracy dies in darkness," then we're already dead.
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@SenTedCruz
@mtaibbi
@ShellenbergerMD
Do you think Matt was dreaming of this day when he wrote this back in 2016?
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Isn't the whole point of "How the Grinch Stole Christmas" that the town of Whoville responded to the Grinch's crimes by inviting him to join in their Christmas celebrations *instead of* punishing him?
"ARRESTING" THE GRINCH: Officers saved Christmas in Hewitt, Texas, on Thursday, as they stopped the Grinch from ruining the city’s tree-lighting.
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After a very eventful 30 hours on the job market, I'm thrilled to say that
@theappealunion
won me my job back at The Appeal! Solidarity works. Thank you again to everyone who offered me their support in the past 30 hours; it meant so much to me.
I just got laid off from my job at The Appeal, along with several other colleagues. I'm really proud of the work I did, and I'm even more proud of the fact that my colleagues have announced their formation of a union today. I'm also looking for a new job, so hmu!
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As far as I can find, the last time Louisiana included a provision like this in state law was back in the 1950s, when they tried to nullify Brown v. Board of Education
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"They defunded the police. What do they get? Rising crime..."
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.
@Taniel
and I found many other counties that potentially awarded too many delegates. The most egregious example: Scott County, which awarded 307 county delegates (126.893 SDEs), instead of the 300 (124 SDEs) it was allocated. Working on identifying the precincts responsible.
NEW: I obtained the results sheet of Dubuque 31. (That's where IDP is reporting an extra delegate than precinct was allocated: 12 vs 11.)
Results card only allocated 11 delegates, not 12.
IDP defense for not correcting errors was that it must stick by local sheets.
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All of this is information that a journalist could find, compile, and summarize with ease. But we have no local news outlets for our town, nor do we even have a beat reporter assigned to cover our town specifically at any of the regional news outlets. (🧵 continues)
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The net result is that the people who voted in the referendum had no independent information or analysis to help us decide whether the budget increase was worth it. What's the point of holding a referendum like that? (🧵 continues)
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An interesting fact I learned today: The LAPD doesn't count force used against protesters in its use-of-force data. I assume this is partly for practical reasons (it's hard to accurately count), but it also sends the message that violence against protesters is per se legitimate.
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The U.S. Department of Justice just filed a motion for summary judgment opposing
@USATODAY
's efforts to obtain prison death data submitted by state governments under the Death in Custody Reporting Act (DCRA), arguing that the public has no right to access this information. 🧵
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Given these competing arguments, I tried to do some independent research. I found exactly 1 (one) news article on the referendum that merely summarized the statements that each side had released, so it didn't really tell me anything new. (🧵 continues)
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The only communication I saw in favor of the referendum was a post from the fire department on its FB page, noting that calls for service had increased by about 40% since 2020 and the referendum would allow them to have eight full-time firefighters. (🧵 continues)
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I didn't realize that mothers of infants who died from SIDS typically hogtied and tased their babies multiple times prior to their deaths -- learn something new every day!
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Our town doesn't publish data on fire calls for service, and the town budget is posted as a scanned PDF (so no searching for text!). The fire department is a separate tax authority, so it doesn't show up in the budget anyhow, and it doesn't post its budget online.(🧵 continues)
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The updated Iowa Caucus results still show that in 20 precincts, delegates went to candidates below the viability threshold. These kinds of errors are essentially uncorrectable, because there's no way to know who the non-viable candidates' supporters would have backed instead.
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Town meeting agendas are available online, but the minutes aren't, nor are video recordings of the meetings. In other words, the only way to really know what's going on is to attend in person. (🧵 continues)
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monster thread on police involvement in the assault on the Capitol
You mean to tell me that the white supremacist mob included off-duty police officers? Wow! Who could have guessed
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That doesn't even touch the issue of how many precincts awarded incorrect numbers of delegates to individual candidates. Other people who looked at it suggest it's probably a lot:
Here is the full list of errors that I found:
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Somewhat less important fact check on that Maureen Dowd column: She cites graffiti reading "Eat the rich and their piggies too"; if you Google it, however, the only other source is a column she wrote in June 2020, in which she describes seeing it on a protest sign, not graffiti.
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Imagine travelling back in time to 2015 and showing this to your past self
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In the lead-up to the referendum, we received a letter from our mayor (who's been in office for 44 years and was recently re-elected in an uncontested election) urging us to vote against the referendum because it would increase property taxes. c
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New, from me: A report released today by researchers at Loyola University Chicago found that bail reform initiatives in Cook County reduced pretrial incarceration without increasing crime
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The US government has no official data on the number of people killed by police every year, even though Congress passed a law 20 years ago requiring them to track that information. In my latest for
@theappeal
, I try to figure out what the hell happened:
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Another interesting detail: About 90 percent of people convicted of federal simple possession since 2008 were non-U.S. citizens. Presumably, most of them were deported after their convictions. Will Biden's pardon help them?
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My meal went from $10 to $10.40, but thousands of workers are better able to pay their rents. Which one of these is the more important story here?
Chipotle Mexican Grill has hiked menu prices by roughly 4% to cover the cost of raising its workers’ wages.
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Oh, wow, this is fascinating: Nearly everyone convicted of simple marijuana possession since 2008 was prosecuted in Arizona.
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The spider that lives in my apartment stairwell is a New York Times reader, apparently
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"safetyism" is apparently the ideology of people willing to get shot with rubber bullets and teargassed in service of a cause they believe in, while people clutching their pearls from the sidelines are the real defenders of free speech
The New Guard has a different worldview, one articulated best by
@JonHaidt
and
@glukianoff
. They call it "safetyism," in which the right of people to feel emotionally and psychologically safe trumps what were previously considered core liberal values, like free speech.
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This is what I imagine
@Taniel
's home office looks like (except each screen is a different electoral precinct)
One day more! My cheatsheet of all I'm watching sits at ≈460 items, incl. legislatures, Congress, referenda, DAs, judges, & more.
PDF is ***UPDATED*** with additions & minor corrections:
Site will update with results. Bookmark!
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Awful new story from
@LVikkiml
: At least 26 women face deportation after they reported sexual abuse in federal prison, despite being eligible for visas meant to protect immigrant victims of crimes.
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🚨🚨🚨🚨BIG NEWS:
@theappeal
just published our first originally reported story since we relaunched as a worker-led nonprofit last month🚨🚨🚨🚨
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This is imprecise. There was a large increase in homicides, but overall violent crime remained mostly flat, according to the latest FBI data.
Violent crime is spiking. Homicides in cities were up by 25-40 percent in 2020, the largest single-year increase since 1960. And 2021 isn’t looking any better.
This is a crisis on its own terms. But it’s also a crisis for the broader liberal project in two downstream ways.
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The guy was already eligible for release anyway! That's what's so galling about the reporting (or lack thereof) -- the release and subsequent (alleged) murder are incidentally related to COVID19, at best.
So weird the NYT is publishing local Florida crime news!
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👎 This is just union-busting copy pasta
MSNBC won't voluntarily recognize the WGA, and wants a vote on unionizing, per email
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Adding all of those together, at least 161 precincts had some kind of uncorrectable error. That's about 9 percent of precincts in the entire caucus, comprising about 20,000 voters (~11 percent).
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The main message from Biden tonight: The crisis is bad, but we should do absolutely nothing to address the causes of the crisis.
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This just makes the fact that several precincts are missing results altogether even more important, because those are the errors that IDP has said it will address
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Tonight, the IDP voted down a measure that would have allowed them to fix the incorrect results
@Taniel
and I identified in Des Moines County 3, as well as the precincts that incorrectly awarded extra delegates found by
@Prodigawd
and others
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Just quizzed my 13-year-old brother on critical race theory. He couldn't even give me a basic summary of Kimberlé Crenshaw's oeuvre. If teachers are indoctrinating our kids, they're doing a shit job of it.
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Today has been a really weird day, but I've been blown away by the support and solidarity I've received from friends and strangers alike. Thank you all!
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Yesterday showed me the power of solidarity in a union, and I'm thrilled that we saved my job and the jobs of eight of my colleagues. But I wish we had that power years ago: Too many talented people were pushed out of The Appeal without a union to support them. 1/
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Pete's attack on Sanders's M4A plan is highly misleading, at best. Denmark allows for complementary insurance to pay for expenses not already covered under the national health plan. The Sanders M4A bill would allow the same -- Section 107(b)
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Today is my second anniversary working
@theappeal
. During that time, I've fact-checked nearly 700 stories, written/co-written nine stories of my own, and worked with a team of amazing writers and editors. Here are some highlights of that time:
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I'll try to get a spreadsheet up with our findings tomorrow
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Pitch: New Spiderman series, in which Alden Global Capital has acquired The Daily Bugle. As a cost-saving measure, _all_ reporters are now required to be photographers *and* super-heros, so that they can get exclusives without leaving the office.
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Restricting this to convictions for _possession_ leaves out a huge portion of people convicted for violations of federal marijuana laws. Just 29 percent of federal marijuana convictions between Oct. 2014 and Sept. 2021 were for possession.
Whoa, Biden just pardoned everyone convicted of the federal crime of marijuana possession. And set in motion a process to reschedule or deschedule cannabis under the Controlled Substances Act.
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@keribla
And a dragon in front of those other boxes, who must be lulled to sleep by the sweet chords of an expertly played harp
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Nevertheless, putting quotation marks around a claim doesn't relieve you of the duty to make sure the claim is accurate!
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TIL: The ugly Nathan Bedford Forrest statue was sculpted by none other than Jack Kershaw, the lawyer who defended James Earl Ray and a co-founder of neo-Confederate org League of the South. His justification for building the statue: "Somebody needs to say a good word for slavery"
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(I haven't completely verified either of these results, but they look right for the most part so far)
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The minute-by-minute breakdown of Dartmouth's protest arrests is incredibly brave (at least two student journalists were arrested while reporting on the protest) and harrowing to read
According to eyewitnesses, officers have been spotted bringing zip ties on the Green. An additional three protestors — at least one of whom had occupied a tent earlier this evening — were taken by troopers.
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Big news for FOIA/BJS nerds: In response to a FOIA suit from USA Today, the Bureau of Justice Statistics just published a heavily redacted dataset of deaths in custody reported by state prisons from Oct. 2015 through Sept. 2019.
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Really great (and frustrating) story: Unwilling to jettison the filibuster and unable to get 60 votes, Senate Democrats are reduced to debating which symbolic votes on doomed legislation would make the most effective political theater.
I was frustrated that I couldn't understand what was going on in Congress following the overturn of Roe. Do Democrats have a plan? Will they hold more votes? What's the Kaine-Collins-Murkowski idea?
spent the last week reporting and here's what we know:
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Obligatory caveats:
- Some cities only report murders on a monthly basis, so I had to do January through April
- Budget figures aren't necessarily comparable across cities
- I spent about 15 minutes on this, so it may contain errors
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$700,000 / $1 billion = $0.0007 lost for every $1.00 in revenue, or a 0.07% shrink rate
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1) I've read multiple emails from attorneys who tried (sometimes successfully) to kill sexual violence stories by raising the specter of the Rolling Stone/UVA debacle
2) Amber Heard was sued for _describing herself as a victim_ without mentioning Depp by name
Jackie from Rolling Stone rape story didn’t tank anti-rape mvmt, nor did associated defamation suits tank free speech. I realize there are differences btwn that & Depp/Heard, but there will always be cases that counter political narratives and need not existentially threaten them
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Wild new story from
@haydenbetts
: A jail telecom company offered sheriffs *free cruises* and trips to a Florida resort in exchange for signing contracts with the company, all while charging people in jail up to $3 for a 30-minute video call
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Can't wait to be forced into mandatory retirement in 2058 by my future managers Cassian and Kaeli
It's the most wonderful time of the year...most popular baby names press release season!!
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In addition to widespread sterilization programs in the South, the US also sterilized roughly 1/3 of all women in Puerto Rico between 1930 and 1970:
Once upon a time, this procedure was known in the South as a “Mississippi Appendectomy,” a reference to the state’s eugenics-inspired sterilization law and the frequency of its imposition.
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The Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations is holding a hearing on DCRA implementation at 2:30pm Eastern today.
At tomorrow’s hearing I will release the findings from our 10-month bipartisan investigation of deaths in America’s prisons and jails.
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The right says that schools are trying to indoctrinate kids with CRT and "gender ideology," but just about every social studies textbook I had in my public high school 10-15 years ago was written by some dude who carried around a set of calipers and really loved "states' rights."
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This quote encapsulates everything wrong with that bad AP piece on San Francisco. Like, dude witnesses a man having a medical mishap, and his response is to _immediately_ move out of the city, instead of, you know, seeing whether the man needed help or something.
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NEW from
@elizabethweill
: The sheriff in Clayton County, Georgia, has been stonewalling investigations into a spate of recent deaths at the Clayton County Jail, violating a state law requiring the sheriff to report jail deaths to the medical examiner.
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Allowing organ markets would just add to the exploitation of society's most vulnerable. Instead, I propose an organ tax--if you earn more than $1 million in a year, Uncle Sam gets to take your kidney.
The Wall Street Journal is approaching parodic levels of Wall Street Journal-ness this morning
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Ugh, I am now realizing I should have used fiscal year data instead of calendar year data for the murders. I don't think it would change the results meaningfully, but these are the things that keep me lying awake at night.
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Whoever pioneered the use of "thanks for your patience" as a substitute for "sorry this took so long" in emails is a genius.
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Despite the (partially) corrected results, there are still a bunch of counties awarding more delegates than they were allocated:
-Black Hawk (502 vs. 500 CDs, .404 SDEs extra)
-Decatur (86 vs. 85 CDs, .047 SDEs extra)
-Dubuque(271 vs 270 CDs, .533 SDEs extra)
...(continued)
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Because I have a strange idea of "fun" I spent about an hour last night putting together this spreadsheet of Bloomberg's charitable and political contributions. Enjoy!
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@JoshuaPVaughn
documented systemic failures by local jail officials in PA to report deaths earlier this year. The new reports show underreporting is "is widespread, and not the result of a small number of lagging or uncooperative states."
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All you need to know about that "Shrek is bad" essay is that the author's principle complaint appears to be that Shrek's outhouse has a working toilet, among many other "anachronisms." The author also complains that a children's movie uses, horror upon horrors, crude humor.
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The claim here is that the officer OD'ed because the bag of fentanyl tore open while he was arresting a man, and the fentanyl was on the man's hands. If that's the case, why wouldn't the man have OD'ed too? 🤔
Billerica police officer hospitalized from fentanyl exposure during traffic stop
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Great news from
@elizabethweill
! Reginald Randolph, who spent more than two years behind bars in New York for stealing cold medicine, was released from prison today.
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In the first place, DOJ argues that FOIA exists to "shed light on the operations of the federal government," therefore it has no applicability to information submitted by state and local governments. 🧵
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@ShellenbergerMD
@adamjohnsonNYC
Notably, Walgreens makes no mention of shoplifting (in the Bay Area or elsewhere) as a business risk in its annual report:
Moreover, rates are meaningless if you don't know what you're comparing them to.
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You've heard all about Britney Spears, but
@HeidilBlake
and
@katiejmbaker
reveal how guardianships allow more than a million adults to be stripped of their rights with little oversight or recourse in cases of abuse.
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Nearly every single staffer at this jail has COVID. _None_ of the people detained in the jail have even been tested.
Nearly all of the 15 full-time employees at the Chattooga County (Georgia) Jail have either tested positive for the coronavirus or are out sick with symptoms of the virus.
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One thing I missed here. Biden's pardon also applies to people convicted of simple possession in Washington, D.C., which will help a lot more people.
Restricting this to convictions for _possession_ leaves out a huge portion of people convicted for violations of federal marijuana laws. Just 29 percent of federal marijuana convictions between Oct. 2014 and Sept. 2021 were for possession.
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Many of the problems highlighted in the reports were predicted by experts I spoke to back in 2020. The DOJ's approach to implementing DCRA effectively destroyed its ability to accurately track deaths in prisons and jails.
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I was bullied into writing the most recent newsletter column for
@theappeal
. I think I was supposed to write it about police use of force, but I decided to talk about bail reform instead — check it out!
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In our latest newsletter,
@jerryiannelli
tackles the RICO case against Young Thug, which claims that, among other things, YT's 2016 song "Slime Shit" was an "overt act" in furtherance of a racketeering conspiracy:
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More than 90 percent of U.S. adults have positive or neutral feelings about interracial relationships, but the ~9% who oppose them are the Weirdest Dudes Who Ever Lived. They've been all over my TL recently, and I'm not a fan!
Most relationships come about for pretty basic reasons (she’s cute, we click), yet this crowd require chin-stroking pseudo-intellectual explanations for why a white man could possibly love a non-white woman. They think they’re being normal & it’s everyone else who is brainwashed.
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I'm thrilled to see the managing editors, all of whom I cherished as colleagues, support the new union at The Appeal.
As Managing Editors at The Appeal, we strongly support our colleagues' right to organize. Our statement:
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Do you have questions about the criminal-legal system? If so, you're in luck: We're launching a new series at
@theappeal
in which members of our staff tackle reader questions on police, prisons, politics, and more. Check out the first installment today:
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More than 600 people have been arrested at antiwar protests at colleges across the U.S.
More than 50 prosecutors now must decide whether or not to pursue charges.
@elizabethweill
,
@megoconnor13
, and
@jerryiannelli
asked them what they'll do.
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