ElliottWaveCafé
@ElliottCafe
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The most important thing in trading is to KNOW WHEN TO SELL.
It's the hardest aspect to master, and the least talked about.
Nothing, nothing even comes close.
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I don't usually like to project too far into the future, but an ending diagonal in
#BTC
would be quite a surprise. This is another way to explain the 3-wave drop to the 15,460 low.
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I might be way out of my depth here, but I will continue to stress this count until the market proves me differently. I see
#Bitcoin
at 200k by end of this year.
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9
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Regarding
#BTC
it should not be much debate over the fact that we're currently in the 5th wave on this timeframe. RSI divergence hints at that. Once completed, 3 wave decline will be the largest since 16.3k lows. Prior 4th wave low targets.
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3
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#Bitcoin
flat scenario on display. It would lead to a devastating move lower in (5). Keep a close eye on this one. Below 19k, I'd say it's game on for the bears.
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45
How many of you think that this disaster is still about to happen in the SP500?
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#BTC
arithmetic, the 100% eq C vs A has been reached. Not sure what else u would want from a flat measurement but its quite near perfect . The more I look at it the more I like it. This structure is giving u something to work with, which wasn't the case since March 2020 lows.
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@GerberKawasaki
yeah, go ahead and show up at a construction site in a cybertruck see how that works out for you
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The break below 43k in $BTC is significant. Here are the comments from my daily market updates yesterday.
#bitcoin
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Sorry but I call bullshit on this SP500 count, whoever these guys are.
You're really gonna tie that little 4th wave with that 2nd?
I'd say try again.
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#BTC
has hit 161.8% for that 3rd. We need 5 waves to grow bullish ambitions. We will find out if it's C of a flat, A of a zigzag, or C of a flat.
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7
35
If this market begins a large 3rd wave down, which nobody expects, the vibes will be very different. Always watch your 6. $spx
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Here are some of the mistakes I see aspiring Elliott Wave traders making. If you see yourself into some of these, know that they pass as more experience comes along /thread
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If this was the low in
#Bitcoin
, it will go down as one of the most perfect double zigzgas in
#ElliottWave
history.
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There is a large debate about where this 4th wave gets placed. It makes all the difference in how you can still interpret the next possible outcomes in
#BTC
. The highest one leads to a 3-wave move to new lows. Both are ugly and far from perfect 4's.
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I don't want to boast here as I hate people that do, but hear me out. We turned bullish on
#BTC
on Jan 23rd. Everything is time stamped and charted with explanation in the pro room. Sometimes we miss, its part of the game. But what we don't do ? We don't lack in hard work.
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I have been warning and preparing for this
#Dow
breakout. Today is the beginning of a large 3rd wave advance.
4
1
19
Yes, I am bullish on the markets now that we have cleared the main trendline. Here is the main
#SP500
count from the daily updates. You can read the rest of the report for free here
4
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17
"They" keep trying to break this ceiling in
#BTC
. Multiple failures. Even if "they" succeed, these are early signals a pullback to at least 20k is coming.
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1
18
Do not ignore this chart of $SPX. Huge trendlines confluence right here. Big chance of a bounce!
#SP500
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15
This came on my radar today and shared with members, quite a speculative stock but 5 waves are visible. A play to 3.88 could work here. $FUBO
0
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Large move in
#Bitcoin
. The bullish case from an
#elliottwave
perspective. If true, waves ((iv)) and ((v)) should unfold next. Below 18,385 it's a failed rally.
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Not showing often the longer-term count in $BTC, but here it is.
Wave ((3)) would reach equality with wave ((1)) at $256,230.00
Presented in today's note.
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$BTCUSD is in a 5th wave here; I would be careful with heavy long positions.
0
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15
No,
#BTC
is not bullish yet on longer time frames. A drop from 69k to 16k and a rally from 16k to 18k it's not even in the neighborhood of bullish. Unless you're on mushrooms. Get it above 21.5 and then I will join. I will probably hear crickets from haters if we drop below 15k.
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13
We are two days away from when the dollar peaked on Sept 28th last year.
I think the dollar peaks this week once again. $DXY
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Those who follow my work know that at the end of October, I offered plenty of reasons why I thought that the market would be bottoming.
This current rally has exceeded my expectations. Tonight's update will be out shortly.
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$TSLA is quite close to getting into a rally back towards 222.
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This
#DowJones
rally was made so all the big guys can get out with little or no losses before the next larger decline begins. You have been warned.
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$TSLA its not done yet. Far from done. And when you think it's done, there will be some more.
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We knew this was a long and the market told us, way before any tweet by Elon Musk. Prepare for news , don't react to them.
#Bitcoin
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13
Curious how many people would like this bearish count in
#Bitcoin
. Not my main count, but something I have as a bearish alternate. Those 2 blue lines show equality wave proportion.
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13
It’s funny how some people think that just because I closed positions, now they take a victory lap. Speaks to their insecurities. Most of them learned EW from me by the way. I trade multiple markets.
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Are you ready for 1.70 in the EUR/USD ? That's about 10yrs of Dollar weakness coming.
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12
The Fed had nothing to do with it. It was a 5th wave top. $SPX
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I lost 0 followers after the purge. All mine are real, yes!
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12
That gap in $NVDA is not an exhaustion gap. It's an acceleration gap typical in strong 3rd waves. Eventually, we will head to $450-500.
0
1
12
Speaking of upside obstacles in
#BTC
, there is a 200-week MA sitting at 24,700. Combined with the July 2022 swing highs, these are very big levels.
3
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12
Don't be fooled by this crypto rally. Just a bunch of kids trying to get rich quick again. It won't happen. We go to new lows one more time.
3
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11
Another amazing day in
#natgas
. 5 waves down are over, and corrective recovery is underway. It could be a C or a 3 , don't really care. All I care about is a rally up to $3.30. Long until April/May . Maybe the 2nd chart is better.
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People are bullish and excited about this rally. That's now how we bottom. More pain ahead.
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The number of really good elliott wave analysts has grown tenfold over the past 2-3 years. There is a lot more free information and available resources. I will continue to do my part to help this growth. Continue to practice your skills day in and day out.
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5th wave in $NVDA don't get your boobs in a twist. Last grasp for air.
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Happy New Year to all my Elliott Wave friends, may 2023 bring more 1,2 1,2's and be on the right side of it!
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The 10yr yields now have a ceiling at 4.02%. Big resistance level and with the Fed expected to reach their hiking peak, we should be settling into a 4th wave decline/sideways next. This should help risk assets, lead to a weaker dollar and support overall positive sentiment.
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11
We will know soon because wave C's in flats are trap waves, and they reverse very quickly. If this one doesn't, then we have our answer. It will be either A or 1 of the next leg higher.
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So much bearishness I can cut it with a knife. Wait until the real rally starts.
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11
#BTC
can stage a little advance, but even if it does, the price should trend lower to correct the large increase since 17k. Targeting below 20k shorter term.
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15
Above 22,500 in
#Bitcoin
, 27k is the obvious target. We should be getting there fairly soon.
2
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10
Happy 2023 to all. I am squinting for evidence that
#CardanoADA
has bottomed, but I don't see any. Do you?
2
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10
Just as my stream was filling with excitement about the
#DAX30
bullishness, we could be about to fail miserably.
1
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11
Shorting the SP500 right here feels so wrong, so that's why I will do it.
2
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11
DXY about to correct higher, Gold about to correct lower, and
#BTC
trapping a bunch of longs soon. Don't you think it will be smooth sailing. It rarely is.
1
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11
This corrective channel in
#BTC
is getting a bit too long. We need to break upwards soon, or else wave (iii) top might be already secured.
3
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11
Earlier this morning $TSLA reached 100% equality of C leg vs A leg.
Lower incoming.
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9
If the outside day in the
#SP500
fails, which I think it will, be prepared for a huge move in the opposite direction, which is higher. Can take many by surprise and we can get to new ATH by the time August is over.
RSI looks very strong.
0
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11
Seems that we got a lot of excited shorts based on yesterday's price action. I think they're about to find out we're in a bull market and the trend is higher, not lower. $spx $ndx $Indu
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10
It's very easy to become a bear after you've taken profits by being a bull.
Very quickly you can find yourself fighting a market that once you were a part of.
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Don't get blinded by excitement in crypto, please.
There are such things as liquidity, dollar cycles, and yields.
I doubt that market will trade in a vacuum. No free lunches. Be careful.
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From my note last night, I see $NDX as coming for a check back of the broken trendline for a wave (ii).
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Just finished a very bullish note to clients. Stars are starting to line up.
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They say if something makes new ATH, its pretty darn bullish. These are networks not tulip bulbs.
#ADA
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Excuse me, but I think $TSLA is in trouble here. Even if it manages to rally a bit, the stock will likely get cut in half on the next selloff. That topping formation is just too evident.
#Tesla
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thanks all 600 of you ! not bad , not bad . I hope you're real !
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Welcome to
#NATGAS
markets if you're ever looking to expand beyond shitcoins. 😂 Not for the faint of heart.
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The Bear Market ended on Oct 13th 2022. Wall Street has been quietly accumulating shares, while bears think that every 50bps drop is the start of the next crash. As long as they act like that, we're going higher.
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