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Ethan Kagno
@Ekagno32
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Senior Draft Analyst @ProspectsLive, Data Operator @MLB | Former: @BrewsterCaps, @KeystoneBase, @CleGuardians, @OfficialCCBL, @BlastMotion, @HawkEye_View
Holliston, MA
Joined December 2013
I’m excited to share that I have accepted two new roles for the upcoming baseball season! ⚾ I’m thrilled to be joining @MLB as a Data Operations Associate, working directly from Polar Park, home of the @WooSox to digitally score games. This role allows me to provide real-time data that powers MiLB’s live applications, highlights, sports betting platforms, and drives pitch and player tracking. Additionally, I’m stepping into the role of Senior Draft Analyst with @ProspectsLive, where I’ll be covering the Northeast region and providing national draft coverage. Huge thanks to the PLive staff for bringing me back! Lastly, I’m happy to share that I’ll be continuing my work as a High School Sports Correspondent for @GlobeSchools, covering high school baseball this spring in Massachusetts.
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RT @ProspectsLive: 🚨NCAA Top 25 Preseason Rankings🚨 Your comprehensive evaluation of the nation's top college programs Our draft director…
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RT @BrewsterCaps: Congratulations to former Whitecap Billy Wagner on his election into the National Baseball Hall of Fame!
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RT @ProspectsLive: 🔥Top 1300+ Dynasty Rankings🔥 The long awaited update to our Dynasty rankings are here! @Smada_PLive has taken the reign…
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Cam Schuelke (@Northwood_BSB) won the Outstanding Relief Pitcher Award. 5-0 w/ a 0.81 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 3 SV, 19 K, in 22.1 IP for Cotuit. The DII standout is very deceptive with his submarine delivery and mixes in 3/4 arm slot. @OfficialCCBL | @CotuitKettleers | #CapeLeagueAwards
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Awesome stuff from Joe and Doomey! Spot on with his answers from the Cape 😂
Cal Baptist outfielder Nick Dumesnil is one of the hottest names in Draft circles this winter after a scorching summer and Cape performance. He's flashed five tools and is blossoming into his own. Will he hear his name called in the first round in July?
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Quinn put in great work as a Baseball Ops Intern for me with the Whitecaps this past summer. Glad to see him continue to make an impact at the next level!
Extremely excited to announce I will be joining the Chicago Cubs as a MiLB Technology Coach for the 2025 season! Can’t wait to get started and impact this amazing organization. #GoCubsGo
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Bounce-back candidate: Ha-Seong Kim Ha-Seong Kim is a player I’d expect to produce better in 2025. He enjoyed three straight seasons of double-digit HR and SB. He’s a + defender (GG in '23 at 2B/SS/3B) with 9 OAA (95th %) in '23 and showed elite plate discipline in '24 with a 18.6 Chase %, 15.9 Whiff %, 16.4 K %, and 12.3 BB %. He is an above average runner between the basepaths and stole a combined 78 SB since joining the Padres in 2021, including 38 in 2023. His 5.8 WAR in ’23 was solid enough to obtain some NL MVP votes where he finished 14th. However from an offensive production standpoint in '24, it was a different story. His WAR was more than cut in half to 2.6 and his overall offensive output declined. His OPS+ went from 107 to 96. I expect Kim to bounce back in '25 where we potentially see an above average xwOBA (.308 wOBA in ’24) as it was higher than the mark he set in his breakout '23 campaign. In addition, Kim had the highest Hard-hit % of his career, up roughly 9%, to 35.4%. Although still considered below average, Kim has shown improvement and may be able to tap into some more PS power to hit 15+ HR with 25+ SB in '25. Kim was also unlucky at times, with a .261 BABIP. This number should likely increase considering another increase in Hard-hit % and the ability to get into more hitter’s counts. As a free agent, I think Kim signs a 4-year, $48M ($12M AAV) deal with the Seattle Mariners; a team that is in need of just about every infield position this winter. He'd provide defensive versatility with speed and an on-base threat at the top of the lineup in front of Julio Rodriguez. Kim could work his way back to becoming an All-Star caliber player following a torn labrum late last season and revitalize an impotent Mariners offense.
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@TJStats 🫠
The Next Red Sox Closer Should Be... - #DirtyWater Justin Slaten should ascend to the closer role following the departure of Kenley Jansen in free agency. Slaten has the metrics and predictive stats to shut down games for a potential playoff team next season, and here’s why. His 3-pitch mix includes a cutter, 4SFB, and sweeper. He occasionally mixes in a CB but only around 8% of the time. The FB and SL are both plus offerings and he relies on them over a third of the time, with the FB reaching up to 19 inches of iVB and the sweeper generating up to 18 inches of HB. Slaten has shown the ability to keep runners off the bases with a .253 wOBA (top 8% in the MLB), and limits free passes with a 4.0 BB% (top 3% in the MLB). When trying to predict a pitcher for a high leverage situation, often times you want to look at a pitcher’s LOB%. This is a useful stat because it shows how often a pitcher will strand base runners and potentially limit the amount of damage in a tough situation if he is coming into the game with runners on base. In his 2024 rookie season, Slaten had a 70.6 LOB% which was similar to already established closers like Mason Miller (70.6%), Clay Holmes (70.5%), Aroldis Chapman (69.2%), and Josh Hader (69%). Another important category to look at is hard-hit balls and barrels against. Slaten is tied for 16th in the league with a 2.7 Brls/PA % and again compares to Emmanuel Clase (2.6) and is tied with Raisel Iglesias (2.7), and Tanner Scott (2.7), all of whom are elite closers. When solely looking at Slaten’s stuff, his curveball ranks the highest in the league in with a 158 Stuff+ (per FanGraphs). His FB (113) and SL (115) are both above league average in terms of Stuff+ as well. Combining all the numbers mentioned prior, and given his excellent statistical season as a rookie, the Red Sox should be poised to promote Slaten to the closer role while only having to pay the right-hander approximately $800,000 in his second full season with the team. This move doesn’t only make sense in terms of his talent, but also makes financial sense for the Red Sox organization, as they won’t have to pay Jansen coming off a contract that saw him net $16 million/year over the last two seasons. Slaten is under team control and won’t hit arbitration until 2027 making him even more of an asset not only in the bullpen, but in high leverage situations for the foreseeable future.
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@darvari_mazdak I compared Williams ‘23 stats to Iglesias’ stats from ‘20-‘21, prior to his signing in 2022 at age 30. Very similar numbers across the board. I do think Williams will command more than 4/58, but not sure it’s more than Hader’s 5/95. $14-18M AAV seems to be in the right ballpark.
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The Next Red Sox Closer Should Be... - #DirtyWater Justin Slaten should ascend to the closer role following the departure of Kenley Jansen in free agency. Slaten has the metrics and predictive stats to shut down games for a potential playoff team next season, and here’s why. His 3-pitch mix includes a cutter, 4SFB, and sweeper. He occasionally mixes in a CB but only around 8% of the time. The FB and SL are both plus offerings and he relies on them over a third of the time, with the FB reaching up to 19 inches of iVB and the sweeper generating up to 18 inches of HB. Slaten has shown the ability to keep runners off the bases with a .253 wOBA (top 8% in the MLB), and limits free passes with a 4.0 BB% (top 3% in the MLB). When trying to predict a pitcher for a high leverage situation, often times you want to look at a pitcher’s LOB%. This is a useful stat because it shows how often a pitcher will strand base runners and potentially limit the amount of damage in a tough situation if he is coming into the game with runners on base. In his 2024 rookie season, Slaten had a 70.6 LOB% which was similar to already established closers like Mason Miller (70.6%), Clay Holmes (70.5%), Aroldis Chapman (69.2%), and Josh Hader (69%). Another important category to look at is hard-hit balls and barrels against. Slaten is tied for 16th in the league with a 2.7 Brls/PA % and again compares to Emmanuel Clase (2.6) and is tied with Raisel Iglesias (2.7), and Tanner Scott (2.7), all of whom are elite closers. When solely looking at Slaten’s stuff, his curveball ranks the highest in the league in with a 158 Stuff+ (per FanGraphs). His FB (113) and SL (115) are both above league average in terms of Stuff+ as well. Combining all the numbers mentioned prior, and given his excellent statistical season as a rookie, the Red Sox should be poised to promote Slaten to the closer role while only having to pay the right-hander approximately $800,000 in his second full season with the team. This move doesn’t only make sense in terms of his talent, but also makes financial sense for the Red Sox organization, as they won’t have to pay Jansen coming off a contract that saw him net $16 million/year over the last two seasons. Slaten is under team control and won’t hit arbitration until 2027 making him even more of an asset not only in the bullpen, but in high leverage situations for the foreseeable future.
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@emptyideas The Red Sox will only move Abreu to headline a package for Crochet or another proven arm. But I do think the Pirates could look for a corner outfielder via trade or free agency.
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I’m excited to attend the @MLB Winter Meetings next month in Dallas, Texas! I’m looking forward to expanding my network and chatting with my connections, former colleagues, and MLB teams! #MLBWinterMeetings
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