Scott James
@DrScottJames
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Reader in Political Economy @KingsCollegeLon | Finance, British political economy, epistemic politics | Convenor @PSAPolEc | Author BANK POLITICS @OxUniPress
London
Joined May 2015
🚨Delighted to guest edit this @NPEjournal Special Section on EPISTEMIC POLITICS: Constructing Economic Knowledge & Contesting Expertise with papers by Mat Watson @JacquelineMBest @clift_ben @BenRosamond1 @Oddny_Helga Lucia Quaglia & me 🧵1
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Mark Thatcher on Populism and Cultural Heritage, Thursday 16th Jan. Sign up👇
📆#SaveTheDate! Our first event of the year (and the first in our #JMCESchoolOfDiplomacy series) is now live: Populism and Cultural Heritage. More info and registration on Eventbrite!
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The worry must be that Sept 2022 has irrevocably weakened the UK’s ability to control the narrative
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@mkeremcoban Indeed, although this in itself may become a source of tension between the government and OBR in the future
The @OBR_UK today projected only modest GDP growth effects of higher public investment. They're still projecting much lower GDP returns than standard approaches from the literature (see Ramey 2020), because they're not modelling general equilbirum effects. Could be 2x higher.
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RT @ChrisGiles_: If I had to bet, this is where Labour hopes to get additional headroom for more spending and some tax giveaways in future.…
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RT @Frencheconomics: Mini Budget 2022 vs Autumn Budget 2024. Market reaction (for now) many magnitudes different.
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RT @Frencheconomics: And for balance this position on sovereign markets has shifted over the last hour. The dangers of live tweeting the ma…
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Labour’s challenge is not the material reality of slightly higher yields or a weaker pound, but confronting the folk narrative that naturalises these as some simple binary metric of economic competence
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#AutumnBudget policies temporarily boost output in the near term, but leave GDP largely unchanged at the end of the five-year forecast. Alongside the drag from tax rises, increased government activity crowds out some consumption, investment and net trade in a capacity constrained economy.
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The problem with explaining away Trussonomics as a moronic episode is how it detracts from a historicised account of the political economy of British exceptionalism
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‘As much as the Commission aspires to become a sovereign-style issuer, its ability to secure cheap funding in the long run remains uncertain’
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The power of puzzling over the seemingly endless rise of gold is that it fits multiple narratives and agendas: - asset price inflation - geopolitical uncertainty - fiscal profligacy - central bank purchases - dollar decline
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‘I think [the job of historians] is to try to stand there at this arsenal of dangerous ideas and to make it more difficult for people to raid that arsenal to use it for their political projects.’
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UK regulators plan to ease post-crisis bonus rules so bankers can get some of their cash immediately and are no longer forced to wait more than five years for full payouts.
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It’s alarming that we’re casually putting things in our diaries for November 6th as if it will be a *perfectly normal day*
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