Diamond_Trader_10
@DiamondTrader10
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Former Hedge Fund Trader, Futures, Options, FX, Stocks. Editor - Ten Stock Trader - Stansberry Research
Joined September 2020
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Einstein - didn't talk til 3, teachers ? no hope.. failed science tests = greatest mathematical genius of a generation
Gann - hated, did not graduate from high school or college, avid reader of the bible = best trader of all time
Don't judge a book by its cover.
Believe in YOU
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I’m introducing a new technical indicator this year.
I’m calling it the GTX (Gann Time Index)
It will be used in conjunction with other indicators, specific time factors, cycles, and price.
3 years of research led to this.
Never stop learning.
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85 degrees in April. Love this weather and love a bull market too. Which not many believe in yet. But regardless of what happens - be happy. Life is good.
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Life is not fair. The world is not fair. No one owes you anything. The market is not your friend. Respect it, but Learn to take advantage of it through math - and a genius who's name is W.D. Gann.
#gann
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We should all start a hedge fund, but call it a bank, take billions in customer deposits, trade those deposits like a hedge fund and not worry whether we win or lose because the govt will bail us out.
Oh wait
#SVB
beat us to it.
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My daughter earned her first dollar today for chores. She worked hard for it cleaning off the dinner table, feeding the dog, and taking the cardboard out to the garage.
She’s 4.
She doesn’t know much about money but she WORKED for it and was happy.
Work is the key.
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April will lead to “foolish” investment behavior. Biggest divergence in stock market history. Rising rates in the middle of a banking crisis. War, politics, elections on deck, Artificial intelligence, and earnings.
I haven’t been this excited since the nov 2016 lows.Get ready.
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The only reason to remove someone from a ballot is that you don’t want them to win. Which means you don’t like your own party candidate to win.
If you have the power to remove someone from the ballot you don’t care about democracy.
You care about power and not democracy.
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To the algorithm traders out there front running my subscribers on recommendations - your game has come to an end.
You have no skill or talent in your endeavor.
You are a virus.
And now I have the cure.
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Just completed my first 72-hour fast.
Let me tell you…
The first 71 hours and 59 minutes is really hard.
After that it’s smooth sailing.
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I can't wait for economists to come out and say that last year (2022) was the recession or soft landing or whatever they want to call it.
And when they do - that is the "time" to sell. I have a few thoughts on "when" that will happen.
#GANN
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#CPI
tomorrow has all the makings of a massive head fake pop n drop. Haven’t seen this much price divergence since August 2021.
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Europe inflation ticking higher, US inflation ticking higher. We give hundreds of billions to a proxy war overseas, poke the bear and dragon while keeping millions dependent on welfare here and ignore crime, chemical disasters, and the constitution.
Good luck
@federalreserve
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95 years ago (tomorrow) W D
#GANN
predicts the greatest market call of all-time months before it happened with pinpoint accuracy…
Happy Thanksgiving 🙏
@Stansberry
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A long term forecast of interest rates in US. So far spot on. Look at the DATE OF THE LOW in 2024. Magnitude doesn’t mean percentage in terms of a move but perfect time and price inflection point. More to come.
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The more research I do on the cycles for this year the more excited I get.
Get ready for fireworks in 2024.
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Looks like I was 1 day early.
Game. Set. Match. For Bulls.
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Pro tip…
Anything
@GoldmanSachs
says regarding the direction of stocks (or any other market) either ignore it or do the opposite.
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Its sad in a “free market” the words of
@federalreserve
in one minute, on one day can change the entire global capital markets. And when they screw up - which they always do - They bail out their buddies with trillions yet we still have to pay taxes.
Why?
Power and control.
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Sometimes I’d rather be out of a trade wishing I was in it, than in a trade and wishing I was out of it.
Patience is a good trade right now.
#GANN
#stocks
@Stansberry
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Inflation is up and not relenting
Government power/spending is up and not relenting
War is up and not relenting
How can anyone want more of this? Political party aside.
You either trust the government or you understand history.
You can’t have both.
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A tip I learned over 15 years ago. Never look at just at just one trend line and think you have it all figured out. Continuous
#SPX500
futures market from the high + Negative divergence on CI...
#TRADINGTIPS
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Don’t worry about inflation - the hundreds of PhDs
@federalreserve
have it all figured out.
What a pathetic bunch of hacks.
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Do NOT short this market…
That time will come, but not yet.
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2-Year Gann Cycle. One of many time factors lining up. My private charts. Never shared. 2-yr cycles mark tops. short-term moves and bigger - 2020/2022 obviously. This week is important. Won't see it again until 2026 (see Samuel Benner for this)...
I'm sure it's nothing.
#GANN
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The more emotional you are about investing the more mistakes you make.
The more mistakes you make the more emotional you become.
Don’t make the mistake and get emotional about the news.
Follow price and time to limit mistakes and control your emotions.
#GANN
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This was the random glass of wine I was handed for dinner. Just sayn’
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The 20-yr cycle, the most important according to
#GANN
, is still on track. Expect higher highs in most major indexes over next 2-3 (maybe 4) months.
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27 trades with 25 winners since 11/6/23.
Long call and long puts with 3x leverage ETFs.
It’s amazing how adults complain like my toddlers wanting ice cream.
Not every environment every day is suited to trading long options. If you can’t handle the heat don’t be a chef.
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Always observe these dates which r based on permanent yearly cycle. Any stock/market that makes highs or lows into these dates likely mark reversals on deck…
FEB 8-11
#GANN
TLT not buying the stock rally plus stocks spiking into these dates+o/b levels = caution.
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Hedge funds net short, Wall Street “strategists” who take no risk but make 7 figures are bearish, the bobble heads in media outlets left and right calling for USD collapse for the one millionth time since I’ve been alive.
And stocks keep rallying.
Leave your bias at the door.
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To the permabulls and permabears in stocks and gold. This one’s for you…
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Bears are about to learn a painful lesson of price coming first - fundamentals second.
Jan-March (3 months chop)
April - July (breakout)
August - October (3 months chop)
November - January 2024?
Impulse/corrective waves have relationships as well as price.
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Debt ceiling, CRE loans, inflation, the Fed. The price action in stocks suggests it’s all good. Just as my son thinks he’s all good in my sunglasses he just broke…
#BeHappy
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As a “public” trader I will forever be amazed at how my 4-yr old daughter has more emotional control than most grown men.
One day, many years from now, I’m going to write a book on my feedback email.
#NYTimes
best seller 2045.
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It’s a driveway but you park on it.
It’s a parkway but you drive on it.
It’s earnings and analysis from Wall Street which should make sense but it’s just as confusing.
Ignore it.
It’s price action and you trade on price action.
Let’s keep it simple.
#technicalanalysis
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There is a crowd or fraternity on sayings on Twitter like ‘unpopular opinion’ or ‘few’.
I never joined a frat and I never followed the crowd - I made my own path.
But here’s a good one that will piss off everyone.
Perma-bulls and Perma-bears will both be pissed off in 2023
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#GANN
Square of 14 (196 bars) from Top 1/3/2022 = Bottom on 10/13/2022. Square of 14 from bottom 10/13/2022 = upcoming date of 7/25/2023. How prices trade into this date will be important...
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Can't wait for the talking heads to talk about Sep/Oct crash 'seasonality' to kick in. I won't know, bc I don't watch it, but I'll guess.
Meanwhile if you want to buy a home... wait.. Interest rates topping out...
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Only things that matter in life and the only books that matter in trading. You don’t need the library of Congress to know how to trade.
#CMT
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If u find yourself hanging on to WHY the stock market will crash know this:
Stock market crashes r actually rare and when they end it is quick with new leaders that emerge followed by FOMO moves which is EXACTLY what we are seeing now. Manage risk, not what u think shld happen.
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I’m not crazy about
#bitcoin
$bitcoin for a variety of technical reasons long term, but this is ONE major cycle that is relatively accurate. (One cycle doesn’t make a forecast btw) Remember no holy grail but worth sharing especially given current setup in other risk on assets.
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“Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect.”
Mark Twain
True in many things in life - trading especially.
Enjoy the ride of trading against the crowd.
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One thing I’ve learned in my 5-6 years in the newsletter business… no matter how well you do someone always thinks you suck. In some ways it’s good, keeps you motivated. In other ways you realize some adults are children whose brains haven’t developed completely.
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Recent inquires (many) and emotions I’ve seen on ‘x’ have compelled me to write a book.
Yea there will be charts, TA,
#GANN
etc. but the majority of the book??
That space between your ears.
It’s the MOST important part of being a successful trader and the LEAST understood.
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The USA came to a halt over last 12 hrs for a football game.
#nflrefs
Millions zoomed into investigate 1 play of a game.
But insider trading in congress, campaign finance fraud, trillions lost w/in Pentagon, election integrity, millions poring over the border?
No big deal
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1913 -
@federalreserve
and
#incometax
began. Since, one bails out banks in trillions and the other has been wasted by govt in trillions. See the result? We lose every time. If Fed/govt can spend trillions on a Sunday we don’t need to pay taxes. Ever. End the income tax.
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I’m more excited about trading 2024 than I was about 2022…
If you know, you know.
@Stansberry
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Something to consider aside from
#Nvidia
earnings and
#JacksonHole
.
#stocks
bottomed 10/13/22 with TLT(bonds) a week later. Stocks may have bottomed 8/18/23(SMH most likely) with TLT again a few days AFTER to continue the bull market in stocks.
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Bullish thesis many aren’t considering:
The market is adjusting to a higher level of inflation from generational interest rate lows and no more QE.
Yes, stocks can rally with higher rates.
This is actually the “normal” environment pre-2000.
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Short-term &long-term cycles together. Just a taste.
Remember, you need a lot of data sets to create a model, but these 2 are 1 of them. Look how they mark good highs and lows (not crashes and booms). Its part of my model coming out soon. Look at whats up next (2/15 and 3/8)
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Late July/early August are important
#Gann
time factors.
Meaning depending on how the major indexes trade INTO them will determine a low/high/breakout/breakdown.
This is the KEY to timing the market, not relying on MSM media/Wall Street
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An email admit he has an algo/bot on my trade recs. And he wants me to have all of you sign up for his bot to beat other bots. As if that will help us somehow
And won't tell me his real name - Trustworthy!
But I "changed his life" HA
This is war - and I don't lose...
@Stansberry
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One of the many benefits of technical analysis is SEEING what is happening w/out getting overly emotional
One of the benefits I’ve found on twitter - maybe the only one - is SEEING the emotions and extreme bias in others in the markets.
And knowing who I’m trading against.
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What computer company is the “Toyota 4Runner engine” for laptops? Serious question. All we hear is how great technology is and I find it getting slower and worse. I put 330,000 miles on my 2001 4Runner.
I’m lucky to get a year out of a modern laptop.
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Semiconductor Index
#SOX
squared price and time today. The last 2 times this happened…
January 2021
March 2000
Significant highs in both.
Chart coming Monday
@Stansberry
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Former president and current (R) nominee to run is shot in the head.
Congress: Let’s have a meeting, shout some stuff that leads to nothing then take a month off to go home and raise money for the next election.
The system is broken.
One could argue it never worked at all
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Understand how markets discount the future- look past present “news”and focus on fear/greed/positioning to follow the path of least resistance and hurt the most people.
Don’t let bias/emotion change ur trading system/risk management.
This week is going to be a gr8 example.
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9 years ago today according to my Google reminders. Which reminds us to revel in our youth but learn from the battle it takes to get to where you are. There is always the next fight - so never let your guard down. Success is not final and failure is not fatal.
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Guess we’ll c who
#FOMC
chooses to help. Your monthly grocery bill via the inflation they+govt created over last 3 years or their banking buddies balance sheet full of bonds that can’t survive more rate hikes? They are b/w a rock and hard place and have to pick one next week
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When debt ceiling passes. Which is a dog and pony show always between the uniparty (be honest) Then what will take the bull down?
China and Taiwan? The Fed? Earnings?
It’s the biggest bear squeeze you’ve seen and it’ll be tough for bulls too.
Slow grind higher. Own ETFs
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Professionals focus on risk; amateur's on reward...
One group makes money over time; the other goes broke
What's your mindset?
#trading
#GANN
@Stansberry
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Pro technical tip after seeing a LOT of
#SPX
analysis in here…
You don’t get a Head and Shoulder pattern in the MIDDLE of a range.
These should ONLY be used after a market makes ATH or the inverse H&S at a major low.
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"Worry never robs tomorrow of its sorrow, it only saps today of its joy" - Leo Buscaglia
Great mindset for traders. No matter right or wrong, always (ALWAYS!) focus on what you are going to do next.
#TRADINGTIPS
#GANN
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They spied on him before he was prez, made up Russian connections, impeached him, tried to remove him from state ballots, tried to jail him, and now tried to kill him. But somehow he and his fans are a threat to decency and democracy.
The media and the left hate this country.
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This week March 23,2023 (day AFTER Fed meeting) marks 3 years or 36 months (Square of 6) from THE low on March 23,2020. Will history repeat or will we see a cycle inversion of epic proportions? It will be big regardless.
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Football and Basketball season coming.
For those who think sports are dumb or meaningless, I encourage you to try any and all sports for your kids. It can be an escape, experience, or in my case a life long learning experience… my HS Coach reading SR Digest:
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Almost every single Wall ST Bank or Broker has raised their price on
#CAT
My favorite are those that raise it from $250 to $275 but still maintain an “underweight” holding when the stock is up to $325?
They’re sheep
They’re all on board- get ready to be a contrarian trader
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