Dave Essler 🌟
@Dave_Essler
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Originating - Influencer. Handicapping champion. Mensa-level actuary. We ARE the market. Predictive Analytic Wagering . Power ranking aggregate. John 3:16 🙏
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Joined March 2011
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I don't use Twitter to tell you we've got big plays, or that we won a bet or five. You guys know when we win, when we lose, and where to find plays if you want. It's far more enjoyable to interact with like-minded people. I put my shoes on one at a time, too.
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I'm not betting the Bucs/Eagles game, but
#sources
have told be the weather won't be quite as bad as some say. It's not a beach day, tho. The source: I am the source. I've been looking out the window.
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I truly want to wish you guys (and girls) a Merry Christmas and happy/healthy holiday season. My friendships and families I've met are so much more important than wins, losses, and "units." At least today and tomorrow. 🔥
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Niagra U ✅
N Texas ✅ 😅
FIU ✅
Hawaii ✅
OKC ✅
OKC U ✅
Rockets U ✅ 😅
Memphis ✅
It doesn't happen often, but when it does it's fun.
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Content.
NFL:
Patriots U 37 ✅
Saints +1.5 ✅
Saints/Packers U 41.5✅
Lions -3 ✅
Bills 1H ✅
Biggest bet today:
Kansas City -7 1H ✅
Dream pod:
Miami -6.5 ✅
CFB:
Oregon State ❌
Alabama -7 ✅
Notre Dame TT U ✅
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Before you argue with someone, ask yourself, is that person even mentally mature enough to grasp the concept of a different perspective. Because if not, there's absolutely no point.
#Twitterversary
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I've unfollowed or muted more people than in my Twitter history. Just fucking stop politicizing it
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I understand the Dolphins have "issues," but are the Chargers really good enough to lay -16.5, especially given the heat and humidity in South Florida? I don't think so.
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Love the
@CanesFootball
getting all excited with a turnover in the fourth quarter when they have exactly zero points. The chain is more important than the score.
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Podcast: "I trust Rivers to throw the ball more than I trust Jackson to hold on to it."
@RJinVegas
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I can't believe he's taking some shit for making it public and not just quietly doing it. MAYBE he's trying to set an example for others with considerable extra cash. Goodness gracious - MAYBE he just that kinda guy -- WTF.
Brittany and I are committing $5,000,000 to the State of Louisiana in 2020. The priority now is helping our communities get through this tough time.
After considerable research and conversations with local…
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The Bills and Chiefs are celebrating as much as the Bengals.
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Mahomes interception O.5 +165 ✅
Gronk TD +225 ✅
Brady First TD pass +125 ✅
Brady fumble +350 ✅ (Thanks)
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My body has absorbed so much soap and disinfectant lately that when I pee I clean the toilet at the same time.
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The Colts were the least prepared playoff team I think I have seen. It's that simple.
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Winner. With far less views because we lost Monday.
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I decided to do something different this year. I am making the Super Bowl package cheap ($15). Everyone should be able to play. Yes, we had TB last year, but we also cashed a TON of plus-money props. It's ONE game. Let's make it fun and profitable.
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He's not wrong.
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So wait, the Blue Jay's are playing in Pittsburgh. The Penguins are playing in Toronto. Check.
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People wanna know. Here it is. I'm playing Alabama +3.5 (-560). 🙄
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Here is the simple rationale for taking Iowa. They have a good coach and the pac-12 isn't good. if these two teams even approach that posted total I cannot think it will be Iowa's offense that scores all those points. And since it seems the Free world all like Iowa give me USC.
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U48. 💰 We got ' er done. It amazes me how many people care!
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Well, wife's getting tested tomorrow. Not sure I've seen her this sick for this long. She hasn't been out much at all, so hopefully just an inconvenience. Gotta at least make it til sports start up.
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If (big if) Troy cover we'll be 100% in CFB. Today. Did take La Tech too, though. Always said when it wasn't fun I wouldn't do it but it's usually fun thanks to the great support system on shit days.
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#GamblingTwitter
- two types of folks.
A. Quiet when losing (turtle)
B. Noisy when winning (neighbors dog)
There's a small % that help and share without the ego. We'll call them a protected species.
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I did this but it was my wife's choosing, and the clarity was about the same. 🤷♂️
Cam Newton says he’s giving up sex for a month in hopes it “makes my mind stronger”
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I see that bettors new to Twitter are followed by 90% people wanting to sell them something.
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I'm seeing mostly NE +2.5's out there. +3.5 would cost -160 at most books. But go ahead, just give out 3.5 without any adjusted vig. That's how the internet works.
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Just now? Why not right when it happened? Sorry I can't support this one when the NBA worked do hard to play and get fans back. Bad look IMO.
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I am curious as to why people pat themselves on the back on Twitter, since their followers already know if they won or not. Isn't winning just doing your job?
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Mississippi State didn't go to -3 until this morning, so most people would have lost without that last TD. RIP, coach. You covered.
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Me, sitting on my ass, betting.
Jays/Angels F5 over 4.5 runs.
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I'm amazed at the number of people that bet against Minnesota with their only explanation being Cousins' record in non 1PM EST games.
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Dub. 💰
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My favorite prop bet so far this NFL weekend. It's expensive, but Marvin Jones (JAX) O 3.5 receptions. He needs 4 for a $500,000 bonus and what else do the Jags care about this week?
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So the Bills are -17 point favorites over the Dolphins. The preseason look-ahead line was -4.5. 🤔
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Apparently tickets for the Dolphins game with Washington are selling for less than tickets to the Miami zoo.
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2-1 if UNC doesn't melt. One bucket or a more timely Iona bet and we get the brooms out. A winning card, so we'll call the
@CircaSports
cap undefeated. Or at worst it's never cost anyone money. The videos and the hat were free, too.
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Wear a mask. I didn't. Once. And here we are. We still cashed the GOY yesterday so there's good news.
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Why are people giving out the Chargers at -2 (or worse) today when they could have had +1.5 (or better) days ago?
#sharpnotsharp
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Most of you know I'm a Patriots fan. I'd rather lose getting annihilated with less talent like they did last night, than get completely beaten by your own self with a shitload of talent. So, thanks,
@dallascowboys
for helping me remember how good we have it as
@Patriots
fans.
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A destructive state of mind is what compels bettors to chase losses with bigger bets or more games. It's been my experience that it's that poor state of mind that can preclude reasonable judgement and potentially compound the problem.😉 Keep the mind right. Not always easy.
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So, teams that scored 39+ points and didn't turn the ball over were 440-0 before Sunday. Now they're 440-1.
#RiseUpATL
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The most inspiring emoji. 💰
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Nothing like having +7.5 and losing by 9 in triple overtime.
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Very cool. 👋👋
Raptors and Spurs both let the 24 second shot clock run out on the first 2 possessions of the game. Tribute to Kobe Bryant
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With the fourth pick in the 2005 NFL draft, the
@ChicagoBears
select, Cedric Benson, RB, Texas.
With the 24th pick, the
@packers
select, Aaron Rodgers, QB, Cal.
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It seems like a lot of people like the Packers this week. Stafford is one of the best comeback quarterbacks in the league, and that line not going above six tells me the Lions could well be the right side.
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I think I'll start using -400 free plays to make my record look good. Isn't that how it's done when you're "being creative?"
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Let's look on the bright side. Here in Florida we had 4000 less cases today than yesterday. Or, we still had 5000+. Pick which media slant that fits your narrative.
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Chubb over 69.5 yards is/was easy money. We (I) don't use them for record keeping. Low limits and not always available to everyone. Now the Heat, on the other hand, counts.
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People giving out Bears/Lions U43 as a big play. Classic example of not really giving a shit about clients. Should/could have released that at 45 days ago. I hope it's 23-21.
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