Jan Kallberg, Ph.D.
@Cyberdefensecom
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Cyber Defense | Cyber | InfoOps | EW | Ph.D., LL.M. | CISM, CISSP | Snr Fellow @cepa | Fellow @ArmyCyberInst | Fmr prof. @WestPoint_USMA | adj. prof. GWU |
New York, USA
Joined March 2013
Every Ukrainian downing of Russian hypersonic Kh-47M2 Kinzhal with the Patriot missiles will improve the Patriot missile intercept algorithm - and increase accuracy for all Patriot systems, a benefit for the US, the rest of NATO, and other Patriot AD users. The same goes for any
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Have no illusions. The attacks in Israel, killing civilians, and kidnapping of children and parents as bargaining chips are directed from Moscow. The Putin regime needed to escalate without getting into a direct conflict with NATO, divert interest from Ukraine and wipe out any.
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I get a Germany 1943 feel when it comes to Russia today - unsustainable losses in soldiers, tanks, and artillery, a war economy running full throttle but getting short on material, key components, and resources "Everything for the Final Victory!", and increased crazy-making (many
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When Putin says he will retake what is "historically his" - and restore the Russian "borders" - I present you a map of Russia 1914. @cepa #RussiaUkraineWar #RussianUkrainianWar
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FOR NATO, RUSSIAN OFFICER LOSSES MATTER. The Russian junior officer losses have been staggering, and the inability to conduct effective counter-attacks against the slow but steady Ukrainian advance resides partly in the fact that the Russian Army is running low on capable company.
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I firmly believe that behind the scenes Russia is becoming weaker every day, first, the Russians, and the Soviets, have been good at keeping up appearances. In the mid-1980s, the Soviets (Russia) were very bellicose and threatening to the West, expanded the wars in the developing
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DAY 26: I started to believe that General Gerasimov could be dead. If he is - if the Russians say that he died from a medical condition, then the Ukrainians killed him. If the Russians say that the Ukrainians killed him, then the Kremlin killed him themselves. That is how Russian
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I can't avoid posting this. The Internet is a source of confusion - but also true clarity.
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@lexa_lrnt The Russians have used magnesium/phosphorus ammunition since day 1 - and thermobaric rockets, even thermobaric RPGs, so the Russians have waived what ever "moral protection" they had.
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@wartranslated HIMARS will start using M30A1 designed for large soft targets. The mobilized will have no armored vehicles, just trucks, no body armor. The Russian casualties have just started.
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Before the Second World War, Sweden and Norway had large merchant fleets, most sailing far beyond their home countries. When the war broke out, about 30,000 Norwegian and 8,000 Swedish sailors volunteered to sail in the North Atlantic convoys to supply the UK and later the US
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@nexta_tv More and more cases are revealed, which only shows the Ukrainian government deal with the problem. That is naturally, when you open the lid to something that has been closed, crap will jump out. I see this as a positive sign - action is taken.
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@UKikaski The Russians seem to have a major hang-up on the British - like there are British everywhere with superpowers.
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@front_ukrainian Depends on the radar and equipment. The plane is just a platform to move stuff to the point of firing. .
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@Tendar If this is true, and an A-50 was shot down either by Ukrainians or Russian mistake, then there was a Russian AWACS (Signal intelligence - whatever they were doing) crew that went down consisting of maybe a colonel (or senior Lt. Col), a few Lt.Col., 3 - 4 Maj., and a 5-6 Capt.
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As I said yesterday - Russia wants to escalate the conflict without fighting NATO and divert the interest from Ukraine. Russia gave the OK for the Gaza-attack, it fits their strategy. From ISW - see link below:."The Kremlin is already and will likely continue to exploit the.
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The HAMAS attack: I don't think they are Moscow trained, or RUS provided any infrastructure, it might be all Iranian - but in today's Axis of Evil ecosystem, an attack of this size would need an OK from Moscow because they are the Cheif Perpetrators. It is like you ask Luca Brasi.
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@RyanMcbeth I don't think they are Moscow trained, or RUS provided any infrastructure, it might be all Iranian - but in today's Axis of Evil ecosystem, an attack of this size would need an OK from Moscow because they are the Cheif Perpetrators.
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@ptaipale Yes. And production records. The production of examples ME109 and FW109 peaked in 1943-early 1944, but losses were worse.
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Rumors/images tell that another Russian A-50 has been shot down by UKR - and there is likely a Russian COL, 1-3 LTC, 7 - 9 MAJ, and CPTs. Survival rate zero. For a tight-knit A-50 community, a group of maybe 10 - 15 crews who likely knew each other, losing two complete crews
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@RALee85 I believe Russia has to divert more and more resources to internal/domestic population control you can't leave a country of that size empty of troops - if you are a totalitarian state. That will remove any upper hand they have here and there.
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@front_ukrainian No, but it will gradually remove the Russian ability to use airpower to glide bomb UKR defenses. So, it is a necessary tool, and it will help, but it is not the one and only one.
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I am grateful to the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) for providing me with 227 new exciting voices to follow on X (Twitter). Hard work! Here are the 227 great freedom and liberty voices that have been sanctioned recently - these dudes are _good_, actually so good that.
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@JayinKyiv Trump is asking to lose the elections in November, more Americans care about Ukraine than the GOP understand.
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The Russian's massive officer losses in Bachmut and along the front of junior officers are now playing out in Kursk. With no experienced junior officers that can lead, the Russian units become just a mass of individuals, and they will take massive losses. I wrote this 1½ years.
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Russia are providing terrorist, as HAMAS, with technology, knowledge, and hardware in a new proxy war. We don't need to fear escalation; it is already here.
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@jurgen_nauditt It is time to seriously consider kicking Hungary out of the EU and NATO - these are organizations based on solidarity, not egoistic illusions.
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RE: Russian Junior Officer Losses in Ukraine . I received a question - how about the remaining Russian officers in this war? They must be experienced. No doubt, they have fought, and they have survived. Hundreds of Russian junior officers, who have been fighting since the
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Delayed but set to arrive in Ukraine in 2024, the SAAB-Boeing designed GLSDB (Ground-Launched Small Diameter Bomb) has an operational range of 150 km (93 miles), fired from both M270/M142, extends the range of Ukrainian rocket artillery to cover the whole land bridge between
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@InfoAgeStrategy Who cares about fuel prices? It is a minor issue compared to losing against an evil empire.
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@JayinKyiv The Russians cover up their murders with these claims. The plane came from Iran ( likely with drones). The thing that falls out looks like the cockpit/front area broke off.
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@jurgen_nauditt I am Ok with kicking out Slovakia from EU and NATO ( or to Russia as the peace deal - haha). Just saying. Like Westphalia 1648 - everyone goes where they belong, and let's separate. EU is built on solidarity and support for others and democratic principles, not pure self-interest.
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@wartranslated The Russians are louder. Empty drums make the most sound. The Russians are running low on armored vehicles, their artillery has taken a beating, and about 2,000 capable company commanders are either decommissioned or dead. The Russians don't have the thrust to retake the Kursk
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@hedgemars I thought there would be more follow-up to it like there was a broader resentment, but it never took off. Stunning then was how passive Putin's forces were against the march.
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@JamesSurowiecki Carter's leadership during Three Mile Island is underappreciated. Out of the blue, he was a rock.
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"I think Russia sees Capitol Hill as the shortest route to Kyiv." Clever. Exactly.
"This whole fatigue thing, everyone’s supposed to be tired, is ridiculous. We’re just sitting here watching and occasionally voting on something. That doesn’t make you tired. I think Russia sees Capitol Hill as the shortest route to Kyiv.". Watch at:.
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@ukrainiansquad USA: I have the Ukrainian flag on the garage for everyone who passes to see.
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UKRAINE: WHEN THE LEAVES FALL, NEXT ACT BEGINS. Watching the leaves change color and fall is a joy in parts of the northern hemisphere. In Ukraine this year, it is a matter of life and death. Why? Because much of the Southern Ukrainian battlefield is flat and open, with dense.
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The Ukrainians have learned to fully utilize their Bradley. The US has a significant number in storage that will never return to active service again. Time to ship to Ukraine.
#Avdiivka Sector: A Russian BMP is unloading katsaps when a Ukrainian M2A2 Bradley pulls up and ruins their day. #OSINT #Russia #Ukraine
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@ImiNazw78750293 @Tendar Yes. Definitely. And demoralizing because the A-50 community might be a tight group of 100-200 officers - suddenly 14 are killed.
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Russia is trying to light fires everywhere to distract and sow chaos. I believe the next stop is an open conflict Venezuela / Guyana.
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@KilledInUkraine Russian state media outlets continue to talk about Anglo-Saxon bases in Ukraine. There is just one tiny detail. All Anglo-Saxon bases were closed after the battle of Hastings year 1066.
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@Alexandernewry @Alexandernewry No, it should hit the ground without being detonated. The main risk is the pollution and radiation from the radioactive material if the weapon is disintegrated.
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@nexta_tv As soon as something goes against them - Hungarian leadership is such crybabies. .
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@anneapplebaum Directed from Moscow - seeking to widen the conflict, destroy any normalization in the Middle East, make US busy with other thing than Ukraine.
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@banowany97127 True - but they have to catch up and changes in existing missile stock is not always that easy.
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@Tendar If this is true, and an A-50 was shot down either by Ukrainians or Russian mistake, then there was a Russian AWACS (Signal intelligence - whatever they were doing) crew that went down consisting of maybe a colonel (or senior Lt. Col), a few Lt.Col., 3 - 4 Maj., and a 5-6 Capt.
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@randymot4 "Pro-Ukraine Republicans are older and more educated" and they all vote. They actually show up at the booth.
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Look at the manufacturing dates on many of the weapons/arms - the late 1980s, 1990s, and early 2000s. These have been sitting in warehouses for decades and are ready to be destroyed after passing the expiration date - at a high cost for US taxpayers. So what sounds like millions.
Inside Republican Politics on Ukraine.#Republicans4Ukraine #UkraineAid. It is important to look at recent developments on the Republican side dealing with Ukraine with realism and depth. There will be a growing level of support among Republicans going back to the levels seen
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The apologist crowd is now cheering that the Russian economy has grown - maybe so - with massive military expenses and a war economy going full throttle. Germany and Japan in 1944 had no unemployment as their manpower was consumed by war production, war machine, or WIA/KIA. So, I
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@ChrisO_wiki And before 2030, the nuke equilibrium is punctured when the Russians use tac nukes in Eastern Europe. US should listen to the countries who have experience with dealing with Russia - hundreds of years of experience. Beat any 3 credit class at Yale.
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Medvedev, who is 2nd fiddle under Putin, isn't a nobody with weird opinions but a reflection of the Russian state and its state of mind. Here, again, today Medvedev threats to execute the Latvian President Rinkevics, a democratic leader of a NATO and EU state, only because he is
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@general_ben Can't agree more "Not passing Ukraine aid would be a mistake 'of historic proportions", @general_ben I wrote this for @cepa today
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@jurgen_nauditt No. The population is already refugees and chased away and replaced by many Russians.
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Everyone should stop calling Putin for President and just for Mr. Putin. Churchill always called Hitler Mr. Hitler to deny any legitimacy.
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@jurgen_nauditt I am so tired of Hungary in the EU and NATO. Only in it to siphon off resources, never provides anything, free loaders.
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RUSSIAN WILL TO FIGHT . Ukraine’s strategy of corrosion has exhausted Russian grit, spirit, and morale, and inflicted massive material losses. It might be even better as a strategy of erosion, as it removes the underpinnings of the Russian authoritarian regime — its authority.
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@RALee85 If it is a tank ditch, to prevent armored assault, it only takes a few tanks with a blade to bulldoze passages. The ditch can't be extremely deep. This technique became obsolete somewhere between June 1941 to April 1942. .
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Good news. In Ukraine, the UKR AD US-made Patriot batteries (given by Germany I think) downed 10 out of 10 Russian Kinzhal Kh-47M2 missiles in the last few days. Why does it matter? It is Putin's premier hypersonic Mach 10, primarily designed for AD penetrating low yield 5-100 KT.
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@anneapplebaum I would say that it already does; today's political class in Europe is in their 40s, and they don't remember the Cold War. Right now they only see - when the shit hit the fan, US pulls out.
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After pulling soldiers from the air force, strategic rocket forces, and joint signal to be ground war fighters, the Russians now have to pull crews from inactive warships. That is a German late 1944 type of drastic measure.
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@front_ukrainian If this is true, and an A-50 was shot down either by Ukrainians or Russian mistake, then there was a Russian AWACS (Signal intelligence - whatever they were doing) crew of maybe a colonel (or senior Lt. Col), a few Lt.Col., 3 - 4 Maj., and a 5-6 Capt. together with pilot and.
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When I look at videos you (see the @ crowd) post from catastrophic T-72/T-80 explosions after being hit by an FPV drone, several of these drones strike 6 o'clock high and just between the turret and the engine compartment. See the yellow line in the image. The yellow box is the
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@wartranslated If this is true, and an A-50 was shot down either by Ukrainians or Russian mistake, then there was a Russian AWACS (Signal intelligence - whatever they were doing) crew of maybe a colonel (or senior Lt. Col), a few Lt.Col., 3 - 4 Maj., and a 5-6 Capt. together with pilot and.
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@visegrad24 The Tucker Carlson interview sealed Alexei Navalny's fait. You have to think like a dictator. Putin sits and thinks; the Americans allow me to sit and tell their people my life's story, how I am the anointed leader of an epic people who have not only created the civilization, we.
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@JayinKyiv Good. Now the Russian non-minority middle class gets a taste of it and hailed the war as long as Muslims and central Asians died.
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The journalists didn't even print the story; they got taken away thinking they might cover the event. Even if the population supports the fascist war, the regime is so afraid of the opposition that any sign of "Hey, is this right?" requires police action.
Police in Moscow 🇷🇺 detained journalists who were covering the action of the wives of the mobilized soldiers. The wives were also taken away.
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@jurgen_nauditt "The ceasefire will speed up the pace of negotiations with the russian Federation, - Orban." . No, it will only allow Russia a reprieve to reload and start all over.
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DAY 28: Friday is day 28 of General Gerasimov's disappearance. A US advent calendar has 25 days for comparison. Another comparison is that General Gerasimov starting his 5th straight Spring Break. Something has happened. #Gerasimov
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Think Ukraine’s Expensive? Wait for the New Cold War. Aid to Ukraine is under threat, but surrendering a democratic ally to Russia would be hugely more expensive in terms of cash and US global standing. It is a time of stark choices. The United States has channeled considerable.
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@Gerashchenko_en What has been like a red thread through this war - Russians bragging about killing off all dills and then showing up on twitter as a death notice 3 - 6 weeks later.
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The West has to stop telling Ukranians that they can't hit "Mainland Russia," because by creating this sissyville-mental Yalu River, you never will have a chance to degrade Russian strategic abilities. Their logistics and infrastructure will always be intact. The Russian.
A useful map of what this could mean--and what it could already have meant had they come much earlier.
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@jurgen_nauditt When the Soviet Union provided arms to SWAPO, were they at war with South Africa? Le pen using Moscow retrhetoricsorics. No one is at war by providing arms to one party.
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If this is true, and an A-50 was shot down either by Ukrainians or Russian mistake, then there was an AWACS crew of maybe a colonel (or senior Lt. Col), a few Lt.Col., 3 - 4 Maj., and a 5-6 Capt. together with pilot and co-pilot. that makes 12 - 14 officers. Russians are.
Ukrainian media is reporting the shoot down of a VKS A-50 AEW&C and a Il-22 Coot ELINT plane over the Sea of Azov. Russian signals intelligence warnings shut down the Kerch Bridge earlier in the day, thinking the PSU sorties were a Su-24 strike. 🧵.1/.
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I am Ok with kicking out Slovakia from EU and NATO ( or to Russia as the peace deal - haha). Just saying. Like Westphalia 1648 - everyone goes where they belong, and let's separate. EU is built on solidarity and support for others and democratic principles, not pure self-interest.
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Sweden will announce its most extensive military aid package to Ukraine tomorrow - 700 million. USD - according to Swedish major newspapers. @general_ben .@PhillipsPOBrien @KilledInUkraine @officejjsmart .
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@KpsZSU If this is true, and an A-50 was shot down either by Ukrainians or Russian mistake, then there was a Russian AWACS (Signal intelligence - whatever they were doing) crew that went down consisting of maybe a colonel (or senior Lt. Col), a few Lt.Col., 3 - 4 Maj., and a 5-6 Capt.
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@D46440858 During the Wagner rebellion, he was gone 16 days; tomorrow, I think it will be 27 days. If alive, he is in ICU or similar.
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Russian Troll Farms - .1) They use the official Russian vocabulary - they can't call it war. Ukrainians are Nazis - who else says it? There are Anglo-Saxons in Ukraine. Nobody in Europe or the US calls Brits Anglo-Saxons. 2) They gravely misspell and use words that are uncommon.
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