***BREAKING***
Now beyond any reasonable doubt that a
#Russian
Navy Alligator Class landing ship exploded in
#Berdiansk
, Ukraine
Reportedly a Ukrainian ballistic missile strike. Two Ropucha Class ships also present, observed sailing away as fire raged
***BREAKING***
A sudden mass exodus of warships and submarines from Novorossiysk today. Very unusual, may be a leading indicator of an operation of some kind
***UPDATE***
Now beyond any reasonable doubt that the type of surface drones used by
#Ukraine
to attack Russian Navy in Sevastopol today were same as one previous found near the base.
#OSINT
Reference
And
***UPDATE***
There is still a massive fog of war surrounding the
#Ukraine
️ attack on
#Russian
forces at Sevastopol. All UNCONFIRMED
3 parts to reports:
1. Reports in Russian media /SM that some Russian navy ships damaged. Reportedly including frigate Admiral Makarov
#OSINT
***BREAKING***
We pinpointed the location of Moskva using radar satellite imagery from April 13 after she was hit.
You can see the rescue efforts
#OSINT
*** NORD STREAM 2 incident ***
/Thread
I am getting a lot of questions re
#Russian
underwater sabotage capabilities due to the leak on the
#NordStream2
pipeline off Denmark.
I do not have time to respond to media right now (sorry)
So just lay out some background reference.
***BREAKING***
Sudden Increase In
#Russian
Navy Activity In Black Sea
Been watching the Russian Navy carefully. A sudden change in activity levels or patterns may indicate impending operations
#OSINT
#Ukraine
***BREAKING***
Substantial
#Russian
Navy force, including landing ships, advancing on Odessa area today. Seen 09:47 UTC in satellite imagery
Found together with
@detresfa_
***BREAKING*** ->
#Moskva
Sinking: Images Reveal Once Powerful Russian Navy Ship On Fire
First analysis shows fire aft of Vulkan missiles and ahead of S-300 missiles, Possibly this is before a larger explosion
First analysis, caveats apply, OSINT
***BREAKING***
Videos of another important naval action(s) off Crimea today.
Possibly
#Ukraine
hit a
#Russian
ship in north of Crimea (dark smoke).
Then Russian patrol ship near Sevastopol in second images, unclear what is going on
Awaiting further clarity
Shoigu: So you took the missile systems we sold you, reverse engineered them and built a bunch of frankenSAMs, and now you want to sell them back to us?!?!
Iran: exactly
Shoigu: do you accept Rubles?
Iran: …
I don't normally post about aircraft, but here are 5 awesome and usual loadouts from the Cold War which really interest me from a design perspective.
In descending order of awesomeness
5. A-5 Vigilante US Navy bomber with nuclear bomb up backside
**BREAKING**
Thread 🧵
#Ukrainian
strike on
#Russian
Navy base at Sevastopol in Crimea appears to have damaged, possibly seriously (TBC), the submarine support ship Kommuna (ref )
***BREAKING***
Here->
#Russia
Faces New Threat:
#Ukraine
’s ‘Toloka’ Armed Underwater Maritime Drone
Being an underwater vehicle it is less prone to detection and harder to neutralize with gunfire
***UPDATE***
Indications are that
#Russian
Navy KILO class submarine has been hit by
#Ukraine
in Sevastopol. Unconfirmed at this stage.
This is a big deal.
More info on KILO ->
#OSINT
Thread 1/n
***NEW ANALYSIS***
The
#Russian
Navy is on paper one of the most powerful on the planet. Yet it has lost 4 or 5 vessels to enemy action. In a land war, against a country with barely any navy.
*Top 10 coolest planes that got cancelled*
Scope:
Must have reached at least prototype phase
Cancelled, not just losing in competition
Not in much order. Thread.🧵
1. Northrop YB-35
***UPDATE***
Thread
Slowly information is coming out about the
#Russian
Navy ships operating around
#NordStream
before the attacks. E.g.
The presence of SS-750 with a DSRV submersible is **highly suspicious**
1/8
***UPDATE***
Thread 1/n
Refined likely damage assessment: this is an ex-submarine
New photos of
#Russian
navy submarine hit by
#Ukrainian
cruise missiles in Sevastopol show damage is even worse than previous noted. Photos appear credible. Pressure hull has massive breaches
***BREAKING***
U.S. Navy Submarine First In World Fitted With Silent Caterpillar Drive
#USNavy
submarines will take stealth to a new level. American submarines will now be fitted with magnetohydrodynamic drive.
***UPDATE***
#Russia
has begun moving air defense systems around in Crimea, possibly to reduce risk of HARM or other
#Ukrainian
attacks
However they are now storing $$$$ of S-300 (/S-400?) missiles in open at Dzhankoy Naval Air Base (45.68899°, 34.41081°)
#OSINT
today:
***UPDATE***
Thread
New info on Nord Stream attacks confirms Russian Navy ships repeatedly visited area in months / days leading up to explosions
Pattern of activity revealed by Nordic journalists from DR, SVT, NRK and Yle
#OSINT
BBC article, English
***UPDATE***
Since
#Ukraine
attacked
#Russian
Navy in Sevastopol on October 29. Russian Navy activity has decreased noticeably
This was unthinkable just a few weeks ago, no Russian warships are visible patrolling outside the port
Both Admiral Grigorovich frigates in port
***BREAKING***
Indications that a
#Ukraine
'maritime drone' attacked Novorossiysk last night
Story was reported in local Russian sources but some are now being taken down. Story may be being suppressed in
#RussiaIsLosing
#OSINT
unconfirmed but credible
***BREAKING***
Likely response to
#Ukrainian
air threats, possibly news that Storm Shadow may be used on Russian territory.
#Russian
Navy vessels appear to have completed evacuated Novorossiysk today.
This follows a similar drill on September 11 2024
#OSINT
***UPDATE***
#Ukraine
is quickly gaining a reputation for innovation and ingenuity. Faced with the
#Russian
invasion, many inventors and small businesses are answering the call of national defense....
Toloka TLK-150 maritime drone
***BREAKING***
Developing situation, pending updates and clarity
Attack on
#Russian
Navy headquarters today appears to have been carried out by a weaponized commercially acquired drone. Similar attacks have been made in high-value targets in Russia previously
#Ukraine
#OSINT
Imagine seeing 5 AEGIS destroyers under construction at the same time in a single dry dock in a Western country?
And this isn’t China’s biggest shipyard
***UPDATE***
Based on the Airbus satellite images shared by UK MoD, it appears that that
#Russian
Navy Pr.636.3 Improved-KILO class submarine was hit about here.
Downward penetrating warhead may have penetrated main pressure hull, and almost certainly mangled TT etc.
#OSINT
***UPDATE***
Reports that Transnistria (part of Moldova) may request annexation by Russia.
May trigger action from Moldova with
#Ukraine
help
#Russia
realistically unable to intervene, in part because Ukraine has sunk so many of its landing ships in past 2 years
Thread 🧵
***UPDATE***
The recent
#Ukrainian
attack on the
#Russian
spy ship Ivan Khurs in the Black Sea has lessons in explosive boat concept. But probably not what you think!
Thread 1/10
#OSINT
Expect people to play it down as an old ship etc.
But this is major as an individual action, and more so as validating the threat of USVs. That’s how they shape ops.
Right now the USV threat is interrupting
#Russian
plans to board grain ships
#Ukraina
***BREAKING***
Updated article at
Tonight, Russian Navy warships have been sailing out of Sevastopol. Too soon to say destination but direction Ukraine. There were more landing ships near Crimean coast
**OSINT**
Controversial Russian Spy Ship Yantar has left its base in Russian Arctic ->
Yantar is the 'special mission' ship reputed to be involved in spying on undersea internet cables
***UPDATE***
Iranian warship involved in failed attempt to seize 2 tankers July 5 was Bayandor class. Significant as this is a Iranian Navy warship, not IRGC.
Attempt stopped by US Navy
***UPDATE***
Despite
#Russian
State TV threats of destroying UK (and Ireland?) with a Poseidon nuclear torpedo, the only Poseidon submarine is actually in dry dock. Image from a few days ago but confident Belgorod is still unavailable. The submarine hasn't been commissioned yet
***UPDATE***
13+
#Russian
Navy ships active in Northern Black Sea today.
* Includes frigate Admiral Makarov (!)
* Landing craft near Snake island
Haven't ID'd all of them. Thanks to everyone who pinged me
***UPDATE***
Reports that
#Russia
is going to get more weapons from Iran to hit
#Ukraine
, including new types of drone and missile.
Russia will be mocked. However, realize that Iranian weapons in these categories are mature and generally good. Not to be dismissed.
***UPDATE***
Here ->
#Ukraine
's new maritime drone (USV) with which to strike
#Russian
Navy in Sevastopol, Crimea and beyond.
Funded largely by donations?
#OSINT
***BREAKING***
#Iran
's IRGC attempted to take a US Navy Saildrone Explorer uncrewed surface vessel (USV)
US Navy patrol boat, USS Thunderbolt (PC 12), intervened. Tow released.
Nod
@ryankakiuchan
***HOT TAKE***
#Russia
has withdrawn from Snake Island. This is important, and it is a significant victory for
#Ukraine
.
Why...
Thread. Usual caveats. Alternative analysis welcome
***BREAKING***
Evidence
#Russian
Navy trained dolphins deployed to entrance of Sevastopol Harbor during
#Ukraine
war. You heard it here first.
First found in low-resolution Sentinel 2 imagery
Thx for help from
@COUPSURE
and unnamed others
***UPDATE***
Swedish journalists got permission to image one of the Nord Stream explosion sites using an underwater drone (ROV)
Caution against listening to the impending wave of explosives experts on Twitter
Their article (in Swedish)
BREAKING. Narco submarine interdicted by navy sailing ship!
The beautiful tall ship Guayas is a training ship of the Ecuadorian Navy. BZ
@armada_ecuador
***UPDATE***
Weaponized Yamaha jet ski with two warheads found on Turkish beach, likely
#Ukrainian
. Sensible design.
Update on Covert Shores pending.
#OSINT
#RussiaUkraineWar
**UPDATE** Unusual Russian Navy Concentration Seen In Eastern Mediterrean
Literally the whole
#Russian
Navy in Med (that we know of) sailed to Syria this morning, while invasion of Ukraine was unfolding. Two SLAVA class cruisers, DDGs, FFGs, 2 Submarines
***CONFIRMED***
#Ukrainian
maritime drone strike on Novorossiysk, far away from Odesa
It was initially reported in
#Russia
local media but then denials emerged. These are misinformation. It did happen.
Re USV (uncrewed surface vessel) found near Sevastopol
Very interesting in a few ways
Will pull together some notes and post later. Please bear with me.
#OSINT
***ANALYSIS***
The October 29 Ukrainian attack on the
#Russian
Navy in Sevastopol is historically significant. It is a glimpse into the future of naval warfare
See subsequent tweet for link
#OSINT
***BREAKING***
Credible drone imagery shows
#Ukrainian
forces hitting two
#Russian
Navy Russian Navy Raptor (or BK-16/18 assault boats - all like Swedish CB-90).
Possibly linked, two of these were seen heading towards Snake Island / Ukraine on April 27. Might be same pair
***UPDATE***
Beyond any reasonable doubt that the 11,490 ton SLAVA Class cruiser
#Moskva
has been hit off Ukraine
Even Russian sources report it
She had been operating in relatively predictable patterns in the Northern Black Sea
The close-in defenses on this ship were dated
Seems topical
Rumors (/unverified reports) that Ukrainian forces have struck the Russian navy cruiser Moskva in Black Sea
Currently UNCONFIRMED, treat with caution at this stage
***UPDATE***
Here ->
1/4
Spy Ship Attacked: Russia Implies Ukrainian/NATO Threat To TurkStream Gas Pipeline
This may indicate Russia trying to frame Ukraine for an as-yet unrealized attack on the pipeline
Of interest, fire in vicinity of Azov Port near Rostov.
(Possibly it’s a sign that the mechanized battalion formed from the crew of the Admiral Kuznetsov have arrived?)
***BREAKING***
#Russia
Navy now applying deceptive camouflage to warships in Black Sea
Likely designed to trick
#Ukrainian
maritime drone (USV) operators.
Like the battleship Bismarck
#OSINT
Nod
@MT_Anderson
***UPDATE***
Credible reports that the
#Russian
navy project 22870 Rescue Tug Spasatel Vasily Bekh (SB-739) has been hit and sunk by
#Ukrainian
navy missiles.
Short thread on why this is important, aside from obvious morale boost for UKR side
**NEW CUTAWAY**
Here->
#Ukraine
long range attack drone to strike
#Russia
made out of plumbing pipe and plastic bottles. The definition of minimum viable product. (MVP)?
If it works, it works.
#OSINT
***NEW ANALYSIS***
The Ghost Of Snake Island
Incredible Success Of Ukraine’s Bayraktar TB2
#Ukraine
has shown that they are more potent than many analysts would have dared to imagine.
#Russian
Navy is being stalked by the Ukraine’s Bayraktar TB2 UAV.
What’s a still from a movie or TV show that will completely devastate anyone who has seen it, but seem completely unremarkable to anyone who hasn’t?
(I almost couldn’t even post it)
***BREAKING***
A
#Russian
ship loaded with war supplies (highly likely) has sailed into the Black Sea, from Syria
It apparently shipped humanitarian aid one way, and military gear for the invasion of
#Ukraine
the other
Photo by
@YorukIsik
#OSINT
Amazing photo of a submerged # Italian Navy
@ItalianNavy
Type-212A submarine. Taken from an maritime patrol aircraft during a NATO exercise.
Photo via
@K3_GrafZeppelin
People often joke that the
#Russian
navy needs to take ‘tugs’ along on long voyages (this one entered Havana, Cuba, today)
Actually it is a smart move and the tugs are for more than just towing. They are support ships. Logistics and support are key, plus Russia doesn’t have a
***UPDATE***
Photo circulating of the NewNew Polar Bear, the ship suspected of cutting the Balticconnector gas pipeline and two communications cables with its anchor.
Everyone is looking at the (missing) anchor
However, look at the containers…
#OSINT
***UPDATE***
Picture of yesterday's
#Ukraine
raids on Crimea coming together. TARANTUL Class missile corvette Ivanovets sunk in or near Lake Donuzlav.
Provisional ID on same ship patrolling there hours earlier.
#OSINT
Also 6 vessels near headland (nod
@bradyafr
)
***BREAKING***
A previously unreported
#Ukrainian
USV (uncrewed surface vessel), appears to have slipped past
#Russian
Navy patrols
The device was found on a beach close to the major Russian Navy base of Sevastopol in Crimea.
#OSINT