Hon Prof Colin D Butler
@ColinDavdButler
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Epidemiologist; "1 of 100 drs for the planet" (2009), co-ed: Climate Change & Global Health; Biosafety Now!, MD equiv, PhD; Australian Nat'l Univ, own opinions
Australia
Joined February 2012
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In Jan 2024 I led submission of letter to Lancet arguing their 7 "countdown" reports on climate change & health too optimistic. On May 29 we were advised of "shortlisting", ie fate still uncertain. It contains this figure. Excessive fear is harmful; so too is excessive optimism.
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@jbkinney
@BiosafetyNow
You leave me to speculate that someone has warned that your role with BSN! will harm your career. I was warned off this topic by (Nobel Laureate) R. Rich, in Jan 2021. I kept going, despite that; but I'm much older than you, I guess I had less to lose. There is so much struggle.
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We didn't choose headline, but we did write the text. We don't know the cause but we know the doubt re a lab origin was hidden, by so-called leaders in public health, and then suppressed. With insufficient transparency & humility trust in science erodes.
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House Committee Votes To Defund Labs In Foreign Hostile Countries, Including Wuhan Institute Of Virology via
@dailycaller
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short 🧵: Dr. Peter Daszak has been ordered to testify before US Congress in Washington DC today (Nov 14, 2023) regarding his alleged involvement in the creation and accidental release of SARS-CoV-2, and his involvement in a conspiracy to cover this up. I hope I'm wrong but [1/4
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1/14 By far, best summary of this sordid story that I have read. Some snippets: "The evidence assembled by
#DRASTIC
amounts to what prosecutors call probable cause—a strong, evidence-based case for a full investigation."
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I'm still obsessed with covid-19 .. apart from direct/indirect death toll there is long covid and repeat covid. Almost alone among Australian epidemiologists I think a lab leak plausible. Is it coincidence that I worked as a co-editor of EcoHealth for 4 years? Character matters.
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Redfield (former director US CDC): "As far as we’re concerned, if a virus is taught to or evolves in a lab to infect human tissue more efficiently, that’s gain of function." "hallmarks of scientific arrogance and failures in the containment system".
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"Well, he could have explained to me right from the beginning that there was a big research program and that they were manipulating the viruses, and here’s how. He could have given me the research proposals. .. & when I asked him for 1 of the research 1/2
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Thank you
@emilyakopp
. From someone who used to work with PD (as a co-editor of his journal): IMO he is the most arrogant, least ethical, least transparent scientist I've ever met. From a big field! Those who protect him need to be shamed.
@USRightToKnow
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@hholdenthorp
@sciencecohen
One side has conflicts of interest; the other fears a human-made tragedy based on the hubris of "gain of function" of potentially pandemic pathogens. This is a terrifying possibility your own journal greatly underestimates. History will judge.
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In 2020 UNEP commissioned me to lead a 70 page report, funded by govt of Norway, into origin & implications of the pandemic. Called "Covid-19 - a warning" it had 34 named reviewers. UNEP are now delaying its publication; I can only speculate why, but I have 2 main theories 1/3
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Scientists with connections to the Wuhan Institute of Virology — including Anthony Fauci — steered the U.S. national security state away from hypotheses about the origins of COVID-19 that could implicate their research
@USRightToKnow
@emilyakopp
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1/6 I tweet into the wilderness, I know. Every day I hear horrible stuff re the pandemic. I have excellent reasons for thinking COVID-19 was caused by a lab leak - and even if it wasn't, the next one could be. I also have excellent credentials; I worked with Peter Daszak as 1 of
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@RonniSalt
Covid-19 is much worse than SARS, maybe 1000 times worse; because of its capacity for significant asymptomatic transmission; SARS can be controlled by good barrier nursing (same as Ebola, Nipah etc), but SARS-CoV-2 requires lockdowns
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Launched!
To all those doctors who think that Frankenstein lab viruses are science fiction - please think again; explore this website, raise awareness, take action. Virologists did not prevent COVID-19; in fact they may have caused it. And could again.
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Despite the complacency (complicity?) of NYT, Nature and Science I think the global compass is shifting: covid-19's origin was a lab accident until proved otherwise; if so its foundation was hubris, its burial by Fauci, Farrar etc is a form of contempt of public interest.
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"there is far too much “denial” going on at high levels of science around the COVID-19 lab leak theory. People, including in the media, need to consider the conflict of interests of people who completely ridicule this idea as a conspiracy”. Sky News May 18
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Lab Leak 2.0 Very interesting. Was omicron engineered (live attenuated vaccine, like polio though not quite as good, not as attenuated)?
Too hard for mainstream virologists to take seriously, as it gives credibility to lab leak explanation of SARS-CoV-2?
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@ClimateHuman
@JimBair62221006
@ClimateHuman
I've been arrested for climate activism once (2014) even though I was an IPCC author at the time it made little public impression and it harmed my academic career. I'm too intimidated to do it again; but I agree we are in deep trouble.
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@WHO
This is a dreadful decision, for several reasons:
1. Wellcome Trust's hypocrisy during Farrar's leadership (re climate change and their investment in Shell).
2. Farrar's indisputable role in covering up uncertainty re the origin of SARS-Co-V-2.
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Hubris, madness, no apology: EcoHealth Alliance, working with Wuhan Inst of Virology, aimed to create mutant viruses “to better predict the capacity of coronaviruses to infect people.” To sequence spike protein from bat coronaviruses “creating mutants"
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David Baltimore was awarded the Nobel Prize in medicine, in 1975. He discovered reverse transcriptase, an enzyme that synthesizes DNA from RNA. He was president of Caltech (1997-2006). How is that mainstream science is not questioning COVID's origin? Conflicts of interest? China?
David Baltimore: "When I first saw the furin cleavage site in the viral sequence, with its arginine codons, I said to my wife it was the smoking gun for the origin of..virus..These features make a powerful challenge to..idea of a natural origin for SARS2"
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Excellent
@ianbirrell
; I cannot understand how Science could publish Michael Worobey's report; which, as you quote, “piled wishful thinking on deception”. Since cases appeared in Nov, if not Oct 2019, analysis of Dec 2019 cases of no origin value
@UnHerd
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I am very cross - not only at the waste of resources; $, time & expertise, of myself and many others, but by what increasingly smells like censorship by a UN body.
@vukoje_ana
@EmmaReillyTweet
@JamieMetzl
@JeffDSachs
@LNLonRN
@JulianCribb
@serge_morand
#OneHealth
@CroakeyNews
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“It is very concerning that Daszak & Baric appear to have considered it legitimate to move high-risk experiments from BSL-3 to BSL-2."
Deceit/arrogance of these researchers is well documented. Yet, even now US govt (etc). is supportive.
@USRightToKnow
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No comment.
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Derrick Rossi .. Moderna co-founder.. among 7 vaccine researchers who received Princess of Asturias Award for Technical & Scientific Research. Many consider the prize a stepping stone to the Nobel."
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IMO, some language in this Nature news item reminds me of Chinese propaganda
@amymaxmen
eg words like "aggressive" & "lashed out". Also, no mention of anomalies eg Mojiang miners' deaths, Shi Zhengli's documented inconsistencies, nor P Daszak's COI. Bias?
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6/6 chance of a past & risk of future lab leaked pandemic was simply a right wing conspiracy, not a plausible horror. A mass movement of citizens & scientists is needed to better regulate rogue virologists & others who are complacent, including many science & health journalists.
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N Wade's interpretation of data by
@VBruttel
et al &
@emilyakopp
shifts chance of synthetic origin of pandemic from 99% to 100%. When will "elite" of global science & journalists concede their earlier errors? It's way past time they take a fresh look.
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Additional misconduct .. comes unexpectedly from the anti-scientific behavior of the National Institutes of Health (NIH) leadership, who support GoF research, and a small clique of GoF virologists, some of whom have undisclosed connections to Wuhan labs."
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I'm intrigued Dr Gao feels able to state this. Yes, a lab leak is obviously plausible. Yet the "elite" of western virologists and media continue to suppress this possibility - in so doing they increase the risk of a lab leak causing a new pandemic.
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Australian TV, led by
@normanswan
gave enormous, completely unwarranted publicity to this non-reviewed preprint; also highlighting
@edwardcholmes
(who blocks me); this is not science, this is propaganda. Cause of pandemic is almost certainly hubris/error.
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NIH has not told American people, or scientific community, what it knows about the origins of SARS-CoV-2. NIH has resisted release of critical documentation, dragged its feet until forced to disclose highly redacted material by FOIA lawsuits.
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It seems that many "top scientists" decided to suppress debate in order to protect science, especially in China. What a misjudgement, to politicise science, including by Sir Jeremy Farrar, head of Wellcome, journal editors and some universities.
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IAN BIRRELL: UN appointed experts say lab leak was the 'most likely' cause of Covid-19
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"Right now, it's quite dangerous for scientists to stick their necks out and go against some very powerful scientists who have made it clear that they prefer a natural origin."
No one has directly threatened me, but silence from most colleagues is clear.
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"To Baker, Fauci is guilty not of malevolence but of the scientist’s cardinal sin — hubris."
“He built way too many high-containment laboratories and funded way too much dangerous — really appallingly dangerous — research.”
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"The alternative hypothesis is quite straightforward. And that is that there was a lot of research underway in the United States & China on taking SARS-like viruses, manipulating them in the laboratory, and creating potentially far more dangerous viruses"
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@thackerpd
terrific criticism of pernicious influence of Bill Gates circa 90 mins Paul Thacker (journalist) with Dana Parish and Bryce Nickels - UNCOVERING THE $88 BILLION BIODEFENSE COVERUP
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Looks like a hell realm.
The videos being shared by people from ICU’s in the U.S. right now look virtually identical to the videos that were coming out of Italy, France, and China at the height of the pandemic back in February. This was just shot in McAllen, TX.
#WearADamnMask
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@KelseyTuoc
UNEP report (I'm lead author) published 2 days ago builds on recent WHO report (below) to warn of significant risks from virological research. Link to recent UNEP report via my pinned tweet; it had 34 reviewers, concluded GOF is possible cause of covid-19
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1. It speculates & reviews evidence of a lab origin, and it criticises gain of function; 2. It doesn't strongly link covid to either biodiversity loss or to climate change (though each is remotely plausible) - hence, I think, this unsettles some UNEP power holders. Either way 2/3
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@HansMahncke
@USRightToKnow
Shame C Calisher didn't review our letter to Lancet, rejected Jan 2021, in response to Calisher et al, making this point. And why was Richard Horton so hostile? Our main point (that a lab leak was not necessarily conspiracy) was obvious - yet suppressed
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Do authors live in Middle Ages? I live in Anthropocene, where many things are possible, including chimeric (hybrid) organisms (plants, animals, viruses, more) & even (with enough energy) alchemy. Spillover evidence is circumstantial. via
@ConversationEDU
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At times, Griffith was almost speechless .. the EcoHealth Alliance violated their contract .. they were negligent .. were sloppy .. didn’t do their job. Why in the world wouldn’t we debar them?”
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1/n Thread (rumination) on conflict of interest (COI) "Dr. Peter Daszak admitted on Friday (ie Jan 15) through a spokesman that he issued the [Lancet] statement to protect Chinese scientists from online criticism.” Let's assume PD did, though with others.
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I think NIH is getting nervous. IMO, their denial is sophistry, avoiding the spirit of the issue; presumably to reduce their moral and legal liability. Good tho' that they strongly support need for further investigation by the WHO into pandemic origin.
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"Without a positive host or hard genetic evidence, it is simply incredulous that this virology clique is asking the public to accept their faulty logic, with a docile media repeating their lines ad libitum."
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Slide 4 states the threat from "lab-enhanced" viruses is intensifying. Does Daszak still stand by this statement? The GVP took this risk so seriously in 2017 that they had two slides making the same point, also Slide 2 of the same set (pic follows).
@RandPaul
(etc) I was one [4/5
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“There was an arrogance that they could contain this, that it wouldn’t escape” .. “I worked with Chinese CDC for many years while in military and while at the Uni M/land. Viruses get out of labs. That’s just the nature of the beast.” via
@realnewspunch
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of 4 co-editors [under Peter Daszak] from 2010-early 2013, for the journal EcoHealth. At that point I could not bear it any more - and I resigned. I resigned knowing scarcely anything about these issues compared to today. It is vital to get to the bottom of this. Good luck. [5/5
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WIV continued receiving NIH funding even after State Department officials in China warned Washington in 2018 about the lab’s inadequate safety protocols, ominously noting that the lab could unleash “a new SARS-like pandemic” on the world.
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@LawrenceGostin
@ScienceMagazine
@oneillinstitute
@GeorgetownLaw
@GUGlobalHealth
Why no mention of GOF? Next pandemic may be deadlier than COVID-19 esp if we continue to reward virologists to create lab-variants, in whatever country they want, governed by local standards. Is this topic in yr f/coming book? "Global Health Security: A Blueprint for the Future"
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(Also with Dr Laura Kahn) "If scientists are doing work on Nipah to try and see how it develops or becomes more contagious - please don't," "It clearly should be banned. It's highly dangerous. It's not just Nipah, there's quite a few more like that.
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“When pride comes, then comes disgrace, but with humility comes wisdom,” (Proverbs)
Ask whether a multi-billion dollar industry tinkering around with our entire existence is .. humanity being a little too haughty and high on itself. via
@pgcitizen
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Virological hubris past & present: "promised HIV vaccine within 2 years"; I agree with Simon Wain-Hobson: all virological gain of function (as defined herein) should be suspended "until virologists open up and engage in public discussion of their work".
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@harishseshadri2
@R_H_Ebright
@dr_handler
Prof Weiss is correct that in some cases grant creators have a moral right to their IP; this is not one of those cases; even 1000 deaths should cause them reflection; here we have millions. Arrogance of GOFOC supporters is off the scale; they need governance & a social license.
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@JamesCTobias
NIH have much to hide, "NIH itself had deleted the sequences from its own archive at the request of researchers in Wuhan. Now, he was hoping Fauci and his boss, NIH director Francis Collins, could help him identify other deleted sequences that might shed light on the mystery."
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"According to Ms. Kopp, more than 1000 documents and progress reports from NIH and EcoHealth have still not been released."
If the pandemic is natural, then why not reveal all this?
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Slide 39 states "foster transparency" as a "core principle".
@RandPaul
etc I suggest you ask Dr Daszak how this principle squares with so much deception by him, eg his 18 month delay declaring his COI to the Lancet, for his role in Calisher et al, etc [3/5
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"EcoHealth Alliance should have been more rigorously scrutinized by federal officials regarding assurances that its partner lab in Wuhan was not using U.S. funds to conduct gain-of-function research".
via
@YahooNews
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Chan asked more questions about who had the ability to do the chimeric virology research.
“UNC, right?” Wang responded, with a squirm.
But documents disclosed last week: EHA stated “UNC has no oversight of chimeric work, all of which will be conducted at the WIV".
New Documents Expose Duke University Researcher Linfa Wang’s Dissembling via
@DisInfoChron
Why does Science Magazine keeps swooning over EcoHealth Alliance researchers?
#originsofcovid
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Bruce Haigh: a farewell - A fascinating and important life, from racism in the Kimberly, driving to Afghanistan, to Steve Biko, to the Balibo 5; a member of the Refugee Review Tribunal; someone who railed against the darkness in this world
@JulianCribb
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This is a brilliant effort by
@KatherineEban
; EHA: a grandiose, chaotic, self-serving NGO, ultimately naive. Thanks to all the whistle blowers; my great respect for Robert Redfield (former CDC director) who could smell a rat, and was then excluded by Fauci and Farrar
@ianbirrell
BREAKING: my
@VanityFair
investigation into
@EcoHealthNYC
,
@NIAIDNews
transparency and debate over
#COVID19
origins is live. Vanity Fair obtained over 100,000 internal EcoHealth Alliance documents including meeting minutes, internal emails, reports. /1
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this may prove frustrating. He seems to have complete self-belief; questioners may not be sufficiently adroit. Here are 2 suggestions, each inspired by slides from the Global Virome Project (GVP) (for which Daszak and EHA were key, see slide below), number 40 of 41, from [2/4]
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proposals, he said, “No, my lawyer says I can’t give it to you.” "I said, “What? You’re heading a commission. We’re a transparent commission". .. "I said, “Well, then you can’t be on this commission. ut there were so many other things. He was just filled with misdirection." 2/2
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@jbloom_lab
@KatherineEban
Thank you for providing these additional details. As someone who lost respect for PD in 2012 I feel a mixture of sadness and schadenfreude;
@KatherineEban
has done a great service; one lacking in Science's coverage of EHA by Holden Thorp and Jon Cohen
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Congrats to
@StevenSalzberg1
for explaining that attempts to predict the next pandemic by collecting & testing newly discovered viruses is not only destined to waste vast $$$, but could trigger a pandemic., eg via gain of function studies that backfire
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My UNEP report "Covid-19: A Warning" released October 20, 2022 cannot be found by searching for key words, exact title or ISBN. No press release. It discusses role of lab/medical procedures contributing to zoonotic outbreaks & potentially to pandemics 1/5
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"The origin of COVID-19, “gain of function” research and the Anthropocene" (longer version) - also rejected, this time by the International Journal of Epidemiology. Genetically modifying pathogens with pandemic potential is crazy hubris; must be banned.
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@emilyakopp
This virus seems v dft "Spanish" flu - once a person had that, reinfection did not occur or v rare (though vulnerability to other flu "strains" persisted) .. Reinfections with closely related (maybe identical) Covid forms seems common; each time increasing risk of long covid.
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Co-authors claim Sachs inappropriate as chair, as an outsider. But this is one of the strengths. He's claimed to have no expertise in public health (PH); this shows the co-authors' poor understanding of the scope of PH, an important contributor to (1/4)
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3/6 response to pandemic. I also publ'd (12/20) one of 1st papers warning it could be a leak. In 01/21 our letter to Lancet, responding to Calisher et al, was rejected, but almost identical version was published 09/21 after (as now known) Lancet editor
@richardhorton1
changed his
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under-appreciated is potential conflict of interest among scientists who dismissed lab leak hypothesis at outset in prestigious scientific journals eg Lancet, Nature Medicine. This provided false impression that natural spillover was scientific consensus
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The scandal involving Fauci, Farrar & Collins should provoke an editorial in every leading medical & scientific journal - and I believe will, but when? Who will break ranks? "In times of universal deceit, truth telling is revolutionary" (George Orwell)
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14/14 either "natural" (not really - it's attacking nature) or lab-associated; perhaps vaccine gone wrong; maybe EHA/NIH GoF hubris. Either way, we need fresh thought about civilization's fate. Thank stars for twitter,
#DRASTIC
members, some in media. We need much more thought.
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This morning I watched a video on Covid-19 origin. Most participants Chinese. Prof Jonathan Stoye (Francis Crick Inst) called for cooperation & transparency, including an audit of WIV. Then, link died. Yet again, a sense of Chinese govt interference
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Chinese authored paper from 2007 about using chimeric mice (with human ACE2 as receptor) as model for SARS investigation. Paper discusses claimed benefits, but does not contain word "risk", nor discuss it, nor mention ethical approval, as far as I can see.
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Harshly critical of Gao et al (preprint & final version); ignores lab pathway possibility; states some Chinese pubns completely contradicted others (re bats). Alas, this author, based in HK, is likely subject to censorship & may know more. via
@spectator
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Lipkin (5th author Proximal Origin paper); 2/11/20, admits SARS-2 could have arisen via "adaptation through selection in culture"; ie serial passage. This revelation is better late than never. When will the "zoonati" admit that their 2+ years of outrage has been grossly overdone?
The story has been updated to incorporate this email and add context, shedding further light on how scientists' private deliberations over a
#LabLeak
possibility diverged from public letters/papers: /2
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2/6 4 co-editors of the journal EcoHealth (2010-13); I have circa 300 scientific papers, chapters & letters to my name; almost all relevant to ecological change and future health (many as 1st or sole author); I am lead author for a 25k word report, in press, for UNEP on cause &
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Investigation by Republican leadership of US Senate concludes lab leak theory is stronger than that espoused by Holmes etc. Also suggests Chinese researchers began development of at least 2 COVID vaccines in Nov 2019, including at Wuhan Inst of Virology
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13/n
@BillyBostickson
was v helpful for my own summary of this (current to 11/20) when I published (12/20) I used to be a co-editor of EcoHealth (2010-13), working with Peter Daszak (who blocked me on twitter months ago). There remain two key explanations:
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4/6 mind; perhaps
@JeffDSachs
too (including as PD & EHA were so slow to admit their COIs). Y/day Lancet published "it's surely right to be concerned about the security of 59 Wuhan-like biosafety level 4 labs in 23 countries". This is s/thing Simon Wain Hobson,
@R_H_Ebright
&
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@DianneCostin
If Dr Chant resigns vital that she then speaks out to explain how the politicians misused; probably abused her advice. She should also tell all re the Ruby Princess. I was a hospital whistleblower in 1988, and I have great sympathy for her. Gladys/Hazzard likely true culprits.
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Leigh Sales - voting Greens is NOT a protest vote - it is the planet trying to protect itself; I am fed up with inaccurate, discriminatory putdowns like this; ones I have endured from mainstream media representatives, such as yourself, for over 30 years.
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Fascinating back story on formation of Cambridge Working Group, world's 1st organized effort to resist dangerous Gain of Function research; also shows how US govt nullified their own Potential Pandemic Pathogen & Care & O/sight Framework (P3CO).
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When WHO investigators went to Wuhan .. they visited the wrong lab (with wrong biosafety level) on wrong campus. "As far as we know the WHO investigators were not shown the lower biosafety labs where the SARS-like virus work had been conducted."
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@SharriMarkson
Congratulations
@SharriMarkson
It seems, too, that US Dept of Defence has been a big funder of the EcoHealth Alliance; perhaps (like the Chinese authorities) that thought these mad practices would promote peace. We need a free media & I appreciate your work.
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Prof Raina MacIntyre "clearly falls into the camp that yes, the likelihood is it did spread from a lab in Wuhan but that the evidence suggests this was an accident."
@normanswan
@LNLonRN
via
@ABCaustralia
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@Ayjchan
@aaas
@ScienceMagazine
@sciencecohen
Linfa Wang fails to see any problem with the lack of transparency concerning 2018 grant proposal to insert a furin cleavage site in a coronavirus; nonchalantly states "of course" you can do such experiments; also confirms that the planned experiment was real, just not funded.
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via
@undarkmag
"even if human contact with a virus happened in a lab, virus still would have originally come from a bat"; no discussion how serial passage or directed engineering could have generated pandemic; o/wise an excellent idea, leave bats in peace
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@Bryce_Nickels
Daszak, as far as I know, has no formal qualifications in epidemiology, population health, medicine or vet science. And, it appears, a rudimentary understanding of ethics. I'm long used to his "silverback" behaviour but can't fathom loyalty of his coterie.
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5/6 many others have warned of with urgency - some for far longer than I have. Yet, even now, mainstream media in Australia, including Dr Norman Swan, almost completely ignore this issue - it's left to The Australian,
@SharriMarkson
& others dismissed as on the Right. I wish the
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"Jonna Mazet wrote that the primary cause for the increase in EHA’s budget was personnel costs, adding that Peter Daszak’s “compensation increased by 24% from last year.”"
Biden Administration uninterested in reviewing activities by the EcoHealth Alliance
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Strong evidence SARS-CoV-2 circulating Europe late 2019 -- exactly when was it introduced? Case 4 (ELISA +ve) died Dec 09, 2019 (new finding); sewage in Milan +ve mid-Dec (old finding); in sum, enormous shadow now cast over absurdly publicised preprint
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🧵Flo DeBarre mentions she was once part of Paris Gp; b4 concluding LL evidence too tenuous. Her right to do so. H/ever, evidence of raccoon dogs for sale in market is: a) not new; b) so what? Raccoon dogs have sold for years in China with no pandemic 1/5
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Brilliant, by Nicholas Wade. Also has speculation [from
@R_H_Ebright
] that KG Andersen was disappointed to not be able to publish on lab leak. In any case, he was soon rewarded by NIH, with another PO co-author (RF Garry) sharing $17M grant (with others).
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Letter to Dr. K Andersen, from US congress, 04/19: "This paper, written by Dr. J Bloom, revealed that early viral sequences of COVID-19 were deleted from National Institutes of Health (NIH) databases at the behest of Chinese researchers".
#Covid
-19 origin
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