So Jonathan Taylor went from being a dynasty stud in August....to being slow hot trash w/TRich vision in weeks 8, 9 & 10 and a complete bust as a top 3 rookie pick....to being the greatest rookie RB to ever play the game.
Fantasy twitter swings like a barnyard fence in a tornado
So I was just offered a 2022 3rd for Antonio Gibson in one of my dynasty leagues. Literally had to check to see if he was placed on I.R. until 2025 or if he had a leg amputated before rejecting....lol.
Last week it was Waddle = the top rookie WR & Tee Higgins was the best WR in Cincinnati. This week Ja'Marr shoots lighting bolts from his eyes & is the 1.01 in dynasty, redraft & even fantasy baseball leagues. Recency bias is undefeated when it comes to twitter & fantasy football
So a bit of an announcement.
I’m joining the
@Footballguys
staff. That’s where you’ll be able to find all of the new content I drop going forward.
Very excited to start contributing to the FBG's team!
Those who follow me know my mom's health has been deteriorating the past 18 months & it's been challenging for me to watch it firsthand. Tonight she passed & while I'm saddened, I'm also relieved that her daily struggles are over. Such an amazing woman & mother. Love you mom.
Guy at work says to me today - "I'd be really good at FF if I played. I'd draft players based on what they could do on the field, not which NFL team they play for." He was straight faced, 100% dead serious & proud of his statement like he just invented a FF cheat code.
Rebuilding a dynasty squad. I've talked about it on here many times, and since the season is coming to a close, I thought it was worth throwing out a thread rehashing/compiling some of the posts I've made in the past. Long winded for sure - lots of tweets/lots to digest....
Todd Gurley's knee has fallen off, DeVante Parker is balling out like the league's top wide out, James Conner is merely a back up, Sony's body is disintegrating before our very eyes........all that's missing from this early off season is a little RICO GATHERS hysteria!!!!!!!!
Some of the folks I want to kick the tires on during the next few months as rookie fever sets in....
TJ Yeldon
C. Godwin
E. McGuire
Ito Smith
D. Guice
A. Cooper
C. Herndon
DJ
M. Mack
R. Penny
R. Anderson
Corey Davis
C. Kirk
C. Kupp
A. Miller
DJ Moore
Honestly I couldn't care less if you're full time in this FF industry, part-time, verified, paying for verified, not verified, have a zillion followers or you have 0. If you're insightful, respectful & bring some value to discussions....we're good & I'm glad you're here.
I hate when owners actively list a player on their "trade bait" and you follow up with a few offers only to hear "fair offers but not really what I'm looking for".........sooooo how 'bout a counter? Or you tell me what you're looking for? Or is that too much work?? 😒
Pet peeve of mine. "Experts" in a start up who draft an older squad looking 2 win out of the gate while being critical of drafters focusing on youth. Then bail after 3 years cuz their squad gets ancient & their ego can't digest losing or they don't have the skills to rebuild.
Had a check up today. So 2 & 1/2 years ago I found out I was a diabetic & my health was spiraling out of control. Since then I've dropped 60 lbs. cut my A1C in half (10 to 5) dropped my triglycerides from 500 to 70 & cholesterol from 230 to 120.
Wentz's 30 for 30 - What if I told u a Bison would fly like an Eagle but end up a Colt. That a QB could throw for 4k yards in a season by tossing 100 yds to 40 different WRs. That all the king's horses & all the king's men failed & only Frank Reich could put Carson together again
Wrapping up a successful regular season. Going to make the playoffs in 80% of my dynasty leagues. Honestly tho the enjoyment is missing. First year I didn't have fun. Time to reevaluate. May be time to step away after 30+ years of FF.
Recently I've shared a bunch of tweets about rebuilding dynasty squads and profiling league-mates. Thought some of my new followers might enjoy seeing some of the categories I apply across my leagues.
yesterday my wife's dad passed. It wasn't a surprise & we prepared for it as much as possible, but losing my mom 3 months ago & now this loss, well..it's been a challenging holiday season.
My point in sharing - life is too short. Hug the ones you love...tell them how you feel.
Trading, constructing offers & negotiating can generally be some of the most difficult aspects of dynasty football for many folks. This weekend I'm planning on putting together one of my long winded threads on how I approach it & discuss the strategies I've applied over 30+ years
I mentioned earlier this week I wanted to talk dynasty trading. This is where I’ve landed after 30+ years of doing this & is really an overview. This will likely be multiple threads over the next few days not one Titanic sized thread. I'll talk establishing values in 2nd thread.
Made a post about Hayden Hurst potentially cutting into that Andrews love be4 I called it a night. Woke up to 15 less followers....lol. Tough crowd. I'm going to be candid/transparent/honest w/u all....if u only want praise/confirmation about "your guys" - probably start packing
I've tweeted some of these
#SFB
tips out in previous years (and will likely do so again as
#SFB11
draft day approaches), but for any new followers or folks who might've missed 'em, here they are again....
Sammy Watkins blowing up for 9-198-3 in week one plus Tyreek on the shelf for a few weeks sets the stage for Sammy to pull up lame early on in week 2 while the expectations are the highest. It’ll be the most “Sammy” thing ever.
Spent the day at the hospital....my mother is in the ICU and she's got a fight on her hands. Won't be around here much but would appreciate any prayers/positive thoughts you folks can send her way. Every little bit of positive energy helps.
So we got the results for our lil' Peanut. She has advanced lymphoma. Have to say goodbye to my precious little girl tonight. I'm absolutely wrecked. Most amazing pet ever.....
I've tweeted these
#SFB
tips out in previous years (and will likely do so again as
#SFB14
draft days approach), but since a bunch of invites landed the past few days - here they are once again....a quick 🧵
I say the playoff system is working perfectly in college football. Either Alabama or Ohio State is gonna get left out & be really pissed off. That's a win for everybody.
Stopped for dinner tonight at one of our favorite restaurants sporting the new
#SFB9
attire. One guy was like, "is that some kind of SEGA logo?" I told him let me tell you about a really cool charity started by a great guy....
@ScottFish24
Dynasty has changed so much over the years. So many resources now, tons of year-round content & even with all that noise there are more talented "sharps" in this space than ever before. That said, there was such a big advantage to being good at rookie evals 10-15 years ago. (1/5)
August - Jonathan Taylor will be amazing ✅
Weeks 8-10 - Jonathan Taylor is trash ✅
Weeks 13-17 - Jonathan Taylor is a RB god ✅
Dynasty twitter is made up of 50% recency bias, 30% victory laps, 10% eval absolutes & 10% film vs analytics bickering.
Take a breath.
Celebrating my son turning 30 this week. Wow.....😳. If I've done anything right in life, it's raising/guiding a critical thinker who values his family, friends, & service to others. So proud.
welp..I did it. Notified the commissioners of my 7 remaining dynasty leagues that I won't be back in '22. The only league I want to be part of is
#SFB12
. After 30+ years w/multiple leagues (some years w/close to 40 leagues)...feels like a breath of fresh air to pull the rip cord.
Saturday morning dynasty thread. During my time in this industry, hosting podcasts, writing articles and simply interacting - the one topic/question/weakness that has always been a constant = how to be a better trader. I generally refer to the Big Six.
Took N. Chubb at 1.03 this morning in a rookie draft....ahead of Penny. He'll own that backfield, I'll wait for him...I dont care, I don't care, I don't care.
This space is filled w/so many content creators vying for market share & trying to capture your attention even for a second. I just want to say "thank you" to anyone who has followed me, read an article I've written or listened to a podcast I was on. I appreciate you all...🙏
Someone in one of my ongoing rookie drafts traded away P. Garcon for the 4.12. The FREAKIN' 4.12!!!!! Then drafted Deon Cain w/that pick. I don't care if Garcon is missing his entire neck...still awful. Rookie fever craziness.
Spent the morning w/my mother. It's been a rough week....mini stroke on Monday and subsequent tests w/all the poking & prodding all while fighting thru significant health/memory issues. Such an amazing lady....I couldn't have asked for a better mom.
A fantasy football conversation regarding dynasty trading. Ten thoughts/pointers below to help you navigate the challenges associated with crafting and negotiating dynasty trades....⬇️
Talk in my TL about folks making Chase Edmonds the top waiver claim this week. In what league is Chase Edmonds even available on the waiver wire??????? Gott'a be a 4 team league with automatic point deductions for starting any player on an NFL team with a bird mascot.
Witnessed a few interactions on here recently that left me shaking my head. Not everyone is going to eval prospects the same, or reach the same conclusions. Respect the grind/time investment even if you don't agree. Be civil to each other. It's really not that difficult.
My one undefeated dynasty squad started this play-off round w/Keenan in my line up & going against MWill. That's a nice start 🤢. Gonna suck running the table all season only to get punched in the face....lol. FF in a nutshell.
The crap you ladies deal w/on this app is insane. SO MANY smart, articulate, talented fantasy football/sports minds in my TL are women but the tsunami of shit they have to swim thru daily because they're female is absolutely ridiculous. (1/2)
Here are my 1st RD tiers after digesting everything that transpired this weekend. 1QB/PPR. Moved Mecole up & yes, Butler is there.
1-N'Keal
2-Jacobs
3-Montgomery
4-Sanders
5-AJ
6-DK
7-Hock
8-Parris
9-Fant
10-Deebo
11-Butler
12-Mecole
Justice Hill seems to create ever changing & almost impossible angles of pursuit. He's a roadrunner w/more wiggle than Jello & doesn't lose his effectiveness when changing direction. Glad I have shares.
I often post my dynasty trades on here regardless of feedback (good or bad) in order to share the strategy behind the moves. I also discuss rebuilds & the focus/energy/strategy involved. Working on one now – so I’d thought I’d walk thru the progress w/you all as this one unfolds.
Folks who follow know I lost my mom about a month ago. This is our first Thanksgiving without her. Today also would've been her 85th birthday. I'm glad she's no longer suffering, but we miss her.
Take the time to truly appreciate those you care about. To tell them. To show them.
As the trading deadline locks things down for many leagues, let's talk about dynasty trades & concepts regarding strategy & approach. I've mentioned some of these before but these are the things that I try to apply/execute & grade myself against every year:
Twitter on Rashaad Penny end of last season - "irrelevant...walking injury"
Signs w/Eagles - "HE'S A LEAGUE WINNER!!!!"
Contract details come out - "🤢🤮 Gainwell will out touch him, that's back up to the back up type money"
This site cracks me up....🤣🤣
Said my goodbyes today at work after 32 years. New job starts on Tuesday. A little surreal for sure. Lots of memories/reflecting. Excitement about the next chapter far outweighs any other emotion tho.
I've come to the conclusion that after almost 40 years in FF, the game/hobby has pretty much lapped me and I see my role as more of a guide/story teller in today's community.....and I'm ok with that.
This space is 30% trolls, 30% morality police and 20% "your opinion sucks, you should think like I think" mob.
That leaves about 10% who are good people & 10% who just enjoy watching this place burn to the ground. My lawn chair is a permanent fixture on my twitter front lawn. 😎
I like Troy Franklin.
BUT this is where older me turns to younger me & says:
"draft capital matters & the hit rate of WRs taken in the 4th (or later) is worse than Rusty Lisch's career passer rating. Eval conviction is sweet but don't be a fool. No need for a line in the sand."
It wouldn't bother me if the NFL playoff game was on Prime since there's already a season long Thur. night package. But Peacock? Just feels calculated/grimy/greedy.
I'm at my streaming max. Not adding anything else regardless of promotion/price. Hard pass regardless of the game.
I get the sads over Laquon Treadwell, Kevin White, Donte Moncrief, Josh Doctson, DGB, Leonte Carroo & Corey Coleman....but the disappointing WR who crushes my soul the hardest is DeVante Parker.
After 30+ years I think I've hit my FF wall. Keep hanging on thinking I'll find that enjoyment window again, but nothing - win or lose, title contention or rebuild. Next year I think I'll do a few daily contests, but I'm leaning toward pulling the rip cord 100% with league play.
My TL w/a bunch of FF playoff complaining. Look, my best 2 squads wrecked havoc during the reg season, stealing the very souls of my fellow owners. Both squads were ousted this week handily. Congratulate the opposition & then focus on the dynasty off-season. FF life goes on.
I've known
@RyanMc23
for about 20 years & value our friendship. We've interacted regularly & worked on content together thru the years - but we'd never met in person. Truly fantastic to finally meet in person. Trust me, I'm smiling ear to ear on the inside....🤣🤣
#SFB14Gala
My father is having significant eye surgery this morning. I'm sitting in the parking lot waiting & thinking just how important it is to me to pay back his never ending commitment to being a "dad" .....even in his 80's...he's a goddamn rock star.
See quite a few folks in our community moving up, transitioning to bigger platforms this off season. Glad for every single one of them. Work hard, be transparent, listen, treat others w/respect & generate quality work over clicks.....and doors will open.
Folks who follow know my mom passed almost 3 months ago after a tough bout w/Alzheimer's. Christmas was always her favorite holiday & there's such a void this year for those of us who loved & treasured her. Miss you mom....❤️
I've been off grid most of the day so I'm just seeing the gut wrenching news about
@MikeTagliereNFL
now.
While I never met Mike in person, we often discussed fantasy football & life in general. He was so supportive, encouraging & always a positive force. Such a huge loss.
Heading into the draft....here's my top 15
Barkley
Guice
Chubb
Michel
Jones
DJ
Penny
Sutton
Freeman
Washington
Ridley
ESB
K.Johnson
Kirk
Kelly
Everything after 1.06 is sooo landing spot dependent. Can't remember a 1.07 thru 2.12 being this close before.
I've tweeted some of these
#SFBX
tips out already (and will likely do so again as draft day approaches), but for any new followers or folks who might've missed 'em, here they are again....
One more FF thought for this Saturday morning. Be a content "connoisseur." Just because someone has a twitter account, is associated w/a FF site or has a podcast, that doesn't make them knowledgeable or their advice sound/valuable. Be discerning, find talented voices u can trust.
1st Mother's Day without Mom. Spring may seem a little less vibrant this year without her, but my focus is on remembering the invaluable tints & hues Mom painted into our lives & appreciating the infinite amount of love & support she selflessly shared.
Miss you, Mom.
The crazy part is we're all "great googly moogly" over these combine results from yesterday, but watch DK, Harry & Butler end up in Miami, Tennessee & Jacksonville & we'll all be punching our computer screens come April
busy 12 hours after the
@Footballguys
announcement. I've tried to respond to everyone who reached out on here or privately offering congratulations. If I've missed anyone, I apologize. I'm humbled by all the support & kind words. I appreciate you all......thank you again......🙏
Got my DNA test back from Ancestry - all it said was I have a genetic predisposition to draft big WRs.....lol. Guess I'll end up w/a bunch of ESB & A.Tate shares once rookie drafts start popping.