Caley Graphics
@Caley_graphics
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Expected goals maps and other datavizzy goodies from @MC_of_A
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What is expected goals? Read my discussion of the concept and my full method, or watch the video version:
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combined xG map for Manchester City vs Tottenham Hotspur this season
ur welcome
51
529
3K
Two-legged xG map for Ajax - Juventus. This isn't one of those underdog runs where you defend like hell and get a little lucky. Ajax are running folks over playing their game.
13
607
2K
xG map for VVV-Venlo - Ajax
here ya go ya filthy animals
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1K
xG map for City - Spurs
Mel Brooks said, "tragedy is when I cut my little finger, comedy is when you walk into an open sewer and die"
27
516
1K
xG map for the League Cup final
it just wasn't really competitive
20
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1K
xG map for Italy - North Macedonia
as Mel Brooks said, tragedy is when I cut my little finger, comedy is when you fall in an open sewer and die
10
220
1K
xG map for Liverpool - Atletico Madrid
sometimes in football, one keeper has a great game, one team takes a few great shots, the better team doesn't win
44
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1K
xG map for Newcastle - Man City
sometimes it just ain't your day
sometimes you really really fuckin needed it to be your day
10
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823
Two-legged xG map for Liverpool - Barcelona
Both legs were the same story -- not complete dominance like the score suggested, but the home team was better and all the finishing went the same direction. Overall basically even, but that's not what made it a classic.
8
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780
xG map for Tottenham - Liverpool.
so liverpool, seem like they're not bad at the football
15
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710
xG map for Liverpool - Manchester United
while I am loath to criticize Jose Mourinho, it seems like "bench our best player and let Liverpool take as many shots as they want" didn't work out for him today
11
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xG map for Arsenal - Manchester United.
If you chose to spend time with your family instead of being glued to the tv watching this match, I'm sorry for your bad choices.
42
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xG map for the North London Derby
what a time for Spurs to suddenly play one of their best matches under Jose
20
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xG map for Barcelona - Bayern Munich
..................................................................................................................................................................................that's a paddlin
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Two-legged xG map for Bayern Munich - Real Madrid. There's little question which team was better. But "playing better football" is no match for the uncanny power of the threepeat.
27
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xG map for Chelsea - Arsenal
score was closer than the game
5
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xG map for Leicester City - Liverpool
that's a paddlin
11
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538
two-legged xG map for Chelsea - Real Madrid
the scoreline significantly overstates how close this was
8
170
529
xG map for Man City - Liverpool
What a game. Classic example of how basically any result is possible in a match where two good teams play well.
13
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xG map for Bayern - PSG
why watch this game when you can simply snort cocaine and ride a motorcycle out of a helicopter
5
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540
xG map for Liverpool - Arsenal
oh. oh dear. oh my.
18
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481
xG map for Chelsea - Man City
total control from City
9
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xG map for Tottenham - Man City
WHAT A GAME FOOTBALL IS
14
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459
xG map for the Champions League final
a competitive match in midfield but Chelsea were much better in both penalty areas
3
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458
xG map for Southampton - Leicester
sometimes you dominate *and* every shot goes in
9
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xG map for Manchester United - Leicester City.
united devil magic, how i missed you
17
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450
xG map for Southampton - Arsenal
another solid performance from the Gunners, been a bunch of these recently
5
47
434
xG map for Fulham - Arsenal
love too start the season with a competitive match
10
50
434
xG map for Leicester - Tottenham
the shot map makes you feel almost as crazy as watching it live did
10
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436
xG map for Liverpool - Napoli. This one never should have come down to a last-second save by Alisson. Really great performance by Liverpool besides finishing.
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xG map for the World Cup final
Argentina, man, they were just kinda excellent
4
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two-legged xG map for Arsenal - Olympiakos
football is a good sport that people like for good reasons
10
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416
xG map for Chelsea - Man City
City fall apart, several times in succession, and Liverpool are the champions
10
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417
xG map for Arsenal - Man City
an excellent performance by the Gunners except for... you know
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two-legged xG map for Liverpool - Inter
one of those ties with lots of little interesting periods but when you look at the aggregate it wasn't actually close
4
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xG map for Tottenham - Newcastle
as Mel Brooks said, tragedy is when I cut my little finger, comedy is when you fall in an open sewer and die
5
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xG map for Liverpool - Man United. The usual narrative after a Mourinho team takes an away draw is, "Jose done it again." This was not that.
18
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xG map for Argentina - KSA
there's a pure football sicko sport story here with KSA scoring twice, somehow, but the defensive performance to keep Argentina under 1 xG chasing the game for 40 minutes was pretty spectacular
7
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xG map for Liverpool - Bayern. Both sides had to cobble together a lineup without some key pieces but only Bayern looked it. They managed to scrape, claw and sadio-mane-missing-shots their way to a fortunate 0-0.
13
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xG map for West Ham - Tottenham
no passers, no problem, it's Joseball
6
44
370
xG map for Germany - Mexico. Because xG is based on shot attempts, this map does not include the eighteen gabillion 3-on-1 counters that Mexico wasted.
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xG map for Chelsea - Real Madrid
a veritable champions league semifinal paddlin
4
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367
xG map for Arsenal - Atletico Madrid.
There are many takes available, but the most straightforward and statistically correct is that Jan Oblak is a dimension-travelling space octopod whose true form was glimpsed in the London night.
8
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xG map for Vitoria - Arsenal
truly a crime against football
9
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xG map for the Champions League final
Bayern did a great job shutting the game down after taking the lead, but it was a dead even game up to that point
8
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xG map for Real Madrid - FC Sheriff
we love football don't we folks
8
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xG map for Man City - Lyon
as Mel Brooks said, tragedy is when I cut my little finger, comedy is when you fall in an open sewer and die
8
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xG map for Chelsea - Sevilla
lol this game was so bad
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xG map for the Euro 2021 final
England never got their attack going at all after scoring early and were deservedly pegged back
5
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xG map for Bayern Munich - Real Madrid.
Instead of asking, "do we want the threepeat" instead we should ask, "what does the threepeat want of us?"
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xG map for Manchester City - Atletico Madrid
there was a great defensive performance here but it wasn't by the team that did the most defending
5
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xG map for Manchester United - PSG. There was just not that much question which was the better team today.
5
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xG map for Tottenham - Bayern Munich
Spurs were not good in the final 50-60 minutes. This was also a ludicrous finishing performance from Bayern.
15
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xG map for Real Madrid in the knockouts
it's not that they've been *bad* but you need a lot of bounces to go your way to win three in a row with a +3 goal difference even before getting into the xG
8
40
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xG map for Everton - Spurs
some incredible Everton finishing made for a classic
5
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xG map for Man City - West Ham
been forever since City were outplayed like this and they won anyway
4
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two legged xG map for Atletico - Chelsea
ultimately just not that close
1
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xG map for Arsenal - Manchester United
the way statistics work is, if you have very good luck, you will then later have very bad luck to even it out. this is known as regression to the mean
10
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xG map for Crystal Palace - Arsenal
dominate for 30 / defend for 60 performance from Arsenal -- obviously enough to win here but it's got some slim margins on it
9
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xG map for Dortmund - Mainz
they had so many chances my god
4
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xG map for Tottenham - Manchester United
sometimes you eat the bear and sometimes, well, he eats you
14
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xG map for Aston Villa - Tottenham
<wipes away tear> it's so beautiful
2
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xG map for Arsenal - Liverpool
absolute xG per shot masterclass
12
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296
just delightful, the game is undefeated, we've all missed it so
4
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xG map for the North London Derby. Spurs escape with a point despite getting ripped up on the counter by the Gunners.
7
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xG map for the Merseyside Derby.
Mel Brooks said, "Tragedy is I cut my little finger. Comedy is when you fall in an open sewer and die."
11
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xG map for Real Betis - Levante
lol betis outshot them 22-6
5
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xG map for Brighton - Manchester United
hard luck Brighton again
5
48
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xG map for the North London Derby. Tottenham utterly dominated the second half, then escaped in stoppage time after some poor finishing.
6
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xG map for Real Madrid - Club Brugge
Real banged their head against the wall until it broke, but this was no kind of lucky, just hanging in there performance by Brugge. They deserved at least the point.
8
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xG map for Arsenal - Burnley
excellent finishing from Arsenal's strikers takes them through a weirdly even match
18
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xG map for Barcelona - Liverpool
Really rough for Liverpool not to come away with an away goal from a wild, wide-open match. But also they got pretty much wrecked by Messi going the other way.
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guess we'll do some sporadic historic xG maps or some shit
2010 to present hit us up
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xG map for Burnley - Arsenal
it's an old-fashioned burnleying, by gar it's been a while
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xG map for City - Spurs
a classic possession vs counter match and a classic possession vs counter xg map
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xG map for Luton Town - Arsenal
a whole lot of drama because ball went goal
4
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xG map for Barcelona - PSG.
someday, people will seek to explain the events we just witnessed. they will fail.
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xG map for Manchester City - Tottenham
they smashed
they grabbed
they conquered
12
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xG map for Juventus - Ajax
Ajax for a second time went away to one of Europe's biggest clubs and just whupped em
3
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