Bjorn Lomborg
@BjornLomborg
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Author of 'Best Things First', 'False Alarm', and 'Skeptical Environmentalist', President Copenhagen Consensus: smart solutions through economic prioritization
Malmö, Sweden
Joined December 2009
Yeah! Best Things First just named. one of 2023 Best Books. How do most good in world:. For $35bn/yr. save 4.2 million lives. & make the poorer world $1.1 trillion richer—every year!. Maybe a Christmas present? Audiobook, paperback, kindle, and hardback
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Polar bear population increasing. But doesn't fit climate narrative, so info cancelled. Reality:. Polar bears were intensely hunted. 1976 world banned much hunting. Polar bear population recovered and now at its highest in 6 decades. 🧵 + refs below
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Climate-related disasters killed ever fewer in 2022 — 97.6% less than a century ago. Richer and more resilient societies reduce disaster deaths . and swamp any potential climate signal. Why is this not reported? Instead, media only delivers climate-doom.
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Polar bears used to be the poster child of climate change. But their numbers have been increasing: from 5-10k #polarbears in the 1960s, up to around 26k today. We don’t hear this news. Instead, campaigners just quietly stopped using them in their activism.
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Five years ago Greta Thunberg tweeted that. “climate change will wipe out all of humanity unless we stop using fossil fuels over the next five years.". The tweet is now deleted.
Five years ago Greta Thunberg tweeted . “Climate change will wipe out all of humanity" in five years. Now, she's deleted it.
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Just silly:. John Kerry claims at Davos that 50% of all species have been killed. No. The right number is about 0.7%. Just one of the many remarkable things he's been saying at Davos
Honest: green transition will cost you a fortune. No, won't make us rich. Cost us $5+ trillion every year. (if green was cheaper, we'd all be doing it). John Kerry, flying into Davos, telling everyone:. green transition needs money, money, money.
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Doesn't fit the narrative, but. Great Barrier Reef: Better than ever. Two-thirds of all reefs hit all-time high in 2022. Thead:
Doesn't fit the narrative, but. Great Barrier Reef: Better than ever. Two-thirds of all reefs hit all-time high in 2022. Thead:
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Five years ago Greta Thunberg tweeted . “Climate change will wipe out all of humanity" in five years. Now, she's deleted it.
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Polar bears used to be the poster child of climate change. But their numbers have been increasing: from 5-10k #polarbears in the 1960s, up to around 26k today. We don’t hear this news. Instead, campaigners just quietly stopped using them in their activism.
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Polar bears used to be the poster child of climate change. But their numbers have been increasing: from 5-10k #polarbears in the 1960s, up to around 26k today. We don’t hear this news. Instead, campaigners just quietly stopped using them in their activism.
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Why is the World Economic Forum taking climate advice from a 16 year old climate campaigner instead of the world’s only Nobel climate economist?
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The fundamental immorality of prioritizing climate trillions to achieve little a century from now. When people across the world struggle with poverty, disease, malnutrition, and bad education — which can be efficiently tackled at a tiny fraction of the climate trillions. #COP29
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Climate oops. Keeping nuclear in 2002 would have saved Germany half a trillion euro and today produced more CO₂-free power than all renewables . Had Germany invested in more nuclear from 2002. emissions would be reduced 73% more and saved €300bn.
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The polar bear used to be the emblem of climate apocalypse. And then in the 2010s, campaigners just stopped talking about them. Why? It finally became impossible to ignore that the global polar bear population has increased substantially.
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Misinformation experts are perhaps not quite unbiased. "Experts leaned strongly toward the left of the political spectrum". Data from Harvard Misinformation Review, survey of 150 misinformation experts,
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Satellites: world is burning ever 𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙨 . Media: world is burning ever 𝙢𝙤𝙧𝙚 . This falsely scares everyone. And that's not okay.
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Hurricanes in 2022 were unprecedented — as in 𝘂𝗻𝗽𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗲𝗱𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗱𝗹𝘆 𝘄𝗲𝗮𝗸. Globally, 2022 had the 2nd weakest hurricanes in the satellite era (1980-2022). Did you see that reported anywhere?. 🧵
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Doesn't fit the narrative, but. 2024 record coral cover for Great Barrier Reef. Based on official data for all 11 sectors of GBR, . Last three years, 2022-2024, have been unprecedented. Data:
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𝗖𝗼𝗹𝗱 𝗸𝗶𝗹𝗹𝘀 𝗺𝘂𝗰𝗵 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝗻 𝗵𝗲𝗮𝘁. Each year, heat kills half a million people. but cold kills 4.5 million people — 𝟵𝘅 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲. Yet, most reporting focus on heat deaths, because it fits the climate narrative.
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As winter descends in Northern hemisphere, stay warm!. Despite the climate narrative, almost everywhere cold is much more deadly than heat. Cheap and reliable energy to keep us warm used to be the hallmark of prosperous countries; no more because of our climate obsession. 🧵+refs
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UN routinely warns us that we have just a few years left until catastrophe:. In 1972, half a century ago, Maurice Strong, first UN Environment Programme director warned that . the world had just 10 years to avoid catastrophe.
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Greta Thunberg believes that climate change means "people are dying", but the fact is that the number of deaths due to weather-related disasters has decreased 95% over the past century.
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Satellites: world is burning ever 𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙨 . Media: world is burning ever 𝙢𝙤𝙧𝙚 . This falsely scares everyone. And that's not okay.
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Quite astounding:. Sweden took a lot of flack for its Covid19 policies. But actually, Sweden has done best in Europe over 2020-22. measuring excess mortality in percent of total mortality.
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Dishonest climate report:. Temperature rises cause heat death to kill 68% more old people. No. Almost entirely because the world has many more old people. The deceptive 68% claim flooded the news. Intentionally misleading because they've been called out before. 🧵
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Doesn't fit the narrative, but. Great Barrier Reef:. The last two years: Best ever on record. Did you see that reported anywhere?.
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Embarrasing. Climate activists skipped court for their blockade last fall. Instead, they went on holiday to Asia. Their defense?. "They booked their flights as private people, not as climate activists". Prohibitions for thee, not for me.
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Today, the Great Barrier Reef is better than ever. But 12 years ago, we were told about the "Great Reef Catastrophe". and how the reef would be almost gone today. Moral of the story: Don't always believe the scare stories. Refs in🧵
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Your risk of dying from climate-related disasters dropped 99% since 1920. This is because richer societies are much more resilient to disasters . Read more in my peer-reviewed article:
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Climate alarmists scare us of ever more fire. But satellites show the world is burning ever 𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙨. In 2022, the world burned the least ever in the satellite era. Why haven't you seen this?.
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The UN asked 10 million people their top priorities. Top: education, jobs, health, nutrition.Bottom: climate change. Read my 2020 peer-reviewed article:
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Did you know that hurricanes hitting the US are not more but slightly less frequent? That climate disaster costs are declining? . That our current climate policies costs a lot and deliver little?. You can read more in my peer-reviewed article here
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The cheap green lie. You are told that solar and wind are cheap. But cramming in more solar and wind just makes power more and more costly. because solar and wind are worthless when not sunny and windy. WSJ:
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We need to stop scaring kids about global warming. Climate change is a problem, but not a meteor hurtling toward Earth to destroy humanity.
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Do we live in a world on fire?. For more than two decades, satellites have recorded fires across the planet’s surface. The data are unequivocal: Since the early 2000s, when 3% of the world’s land caught fire, the area burned annually has trended downward.
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You must reuse an organic cotton shopping bag 20,000 times before it will have less climate damage than a plastic bag.
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The polar bear used to be the emblem of climate apocalypse. And then in the 2010s, campaigners just stopped talking about them. Why? It finally became impossible to ignore that the global polar bear population has increased substantially.
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Data: Fire has burned 𝙡𝙤𝙬𝙚𝙨𝙩 area in Europe in a decade. Media: constantly shows pics of fire from Greece (much more burn), but ignores Bulgaria, Ukraine, Portugal and all other places with much less burn. We need better information.
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Paul Ehrlich has been wrong about almost everything. In 1970, he predicted the world would utterly break down before 1985. It would be unable to support humanity. Didn't happen. That's not a mistake, Ehrlich. It is called being fundamentally wrong.
60 Minutes extinction story has brought the usual right-wing out in force. If I'm always wrong so is science, since my work is always peer-reviewed, including the POPULATION BOMB and I've gotten virtually every scientific honor. Sure I've made some mistakes, but no basic ones.
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Congrats on going green!. The UK is leading the world in decarbonizing and switching to renewables. Quite predictably, this means:. The UK now has some of the highest household electricity prices (36p or 46¢/kWh).
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So, Denmark just passed its new climate law with everyone cheering. But no estimate of costs: Truth is, additional cost is 1-6% of GDP (>$120bn). No estimates of benefits: Truth is, it will cut temperature in 2100 by a ten-thousandth of a degree Celsius. Nothing to celebrate.
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Changes in CO₂ emissions from energy last 2017.Surprisingly, the US, out of Paris, led the world in reducing emissions.Why? Cheap shale gas, with half the CO₂ emissions of coal, which it replaces.
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Paris climate policy will cost a sizable fraction of 21st century prosperity. Two new, explosive, peer-reviewed papers show net-zero/1.5°C :. Benefit $4.5 trillion/year. Cost $26.8 trillion/year. Total loss is $1,800 trillion over the century. We must do better. 🧵 + refs
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Data: Fire has burned 𝙡𝙤𝙬𝙚𝙨𝙩 area in Europe in a decade. Media: constantly shows pics of fire from Greece (much more burn), but ignores Bulgaria, Ukraine, Portugal and all other places with much less burn. We need better information. Thread:
Data: Fire has burned 𝙡𝙤𝙬𝙚𝙨𝙩 area in Europe in a decade. Media: constantly shows pics of fire from Greece (much more burn), but ignores Bulgaria, Ukraine, Portugal and all other places with much less burn. We need better information.
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Doesn't fit the narrative, but. Great Barrier Reef: Better than ever. Two-thirds of all reefs hit all-time high in 2022.
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We need to stop scaring kids about global warming. Climate change is a problem, but not a meteor hurtling toward Earth to destroy humanity.
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Today, the Great Barrier Reef is better than ever. But ten years ago, we were told about the "Great Reef Catastrophe". and how the reef would be almost gone today. Moral of the story:. Don't always believe the scare stories. Refs in 🧵
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Today, the Great Barrier Reef is better than ever. But 12 years ago, we were told about the "Great Reef Catastrophe". and how the reef would be almost gone today. Moral of the story: Don't always believe the scare stories. Refs:
Today, the Great Barrier Reef is better than ever. But 12 years ago, we were told about the "Great Reef Catastrophe". and how the reef would be almost gone today. Moral of the story: Don't always believe the scare stories. Refs in🧵
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This has to stop:. AP makes up story to blame Hawaii fires on climate. Peer-reviewed science finds no climate signal in Hawaii drought In unrelated news: AP gets $8 million to push climate alarm
We're well into the "have you no shame?" phase of climate reporting where "facts" are just invented out of whole cloth . AP: "Hawaii went from lush to bone dry and thus more fire-prone in a matter of just a few weeks" Data: HI drought to 8 Aug 23
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Misinformation experts are perhaps not quite unbiased. "Experts leaned strongly toward the left of the political spectrum". Data from Harvard Misinformation Review, survey of 150 misinformation experts.
Misinformation experts are perhaps not quite unbiased. "Experts leaned strongly toward the left of the political spectrum". Data from Harvard Misinformation Review, survey of 150 misinformation experts. (here with left to the left and right to the right)
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79% of all global energy comes from fossil fuels . Renewables produce 16%. most of it from wood (11%) and hydro (3%). Solar + wind is 1.8% of global primary energy. p294
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Electricity is now so expensive that the average German used less electricity in 2023 than in 1978. Greens praise the lower emissions. but German de-industrialization is nothing to celebrate. Data:
Congrats to Germany. Super-expensive but ineffective climate policies mean. De-industrialization. with small climate benefit.
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Being stupid has real-world consequences. Prison sentences for soup on Van Gogh. Judge: “You clearly think your beliefs give you the right to commit crimes when you feel like it. You do not,”.
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Al Gore climate catastrophizing in Davos. No, oceans not boiling.No, you can't just claim a billion refugees. — in 2005 UN predicted 50m refugees by 2010. Didn't happen, got scrubbed from website. We need smart climate policy, not catastrophizing
.@algore goes on an epic rant at @Davos - amid charges of climate hypocrisy. @BjornLomborg weighs in today on @AmericaRpts
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Great Barrier Reef never better. Annual measurements since 1986 show their highest point for 2024. But you won't know because. 1) The measuring institute stopped publishing a reef-wide index when things got too good. Instead, their 2024 report, published this week, mostly talk up
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Blaming deadly weather events on climate change instead of taking responsibility for mismanaging flood warning systems or forest management is convenient for politicians. But their claims aren't supported by the data. My new op-ed for @WSJ:
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The UN asked 10 million people their top priorities. Top: education, jobs, health, nutrition.Bottom: climate change. Read my 2020 peer-reviewed article:
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This can't go on:. We used to spend 4% of global GDP on energy. Now, we spend 14%. Current energy crisis costs us 10% or $10 trillion each year. (caused both by war in Ukraine and bad, climate-focused policies).
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Fake news doesn't just come from foreign enemies. Friday, WHO claimed that 175,000 Europeans died from extreme heat. I pointed out that was untrue, almost 4x exaggerated. Saturday morning, WHO admitted this in the smallest possible way — they simply changed their website (and
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Net zero hypocrisy:. The UK has sent 470 delegates to the ongoing climate conference, including seven ministers, more than 100 civil servants and two official videographers. That is 2.3 million air miles to tell others to stop flying.
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Electric cars won't save the planet. The IEA estimates that if every nation achieves their ambitious EV targets, it will reduce CO2 emissions in this decade by 235 million tons. That will reduce global temperatures 0.0001°C by 2100. My new op-ed:.
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Study shows that. people who possess 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲 overall environmental knowledge or climate-specific knowledge experience 𝗹𝗲𝘀𝘀 climate change anxiety. (and less knowledge, more anxiety). Can we go back to educating our kids instead of scaring them?.
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The elite use false, emotional climate arguments. to take trillions of your money. Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank, in Financial Times: . 'Extreme weather ruins us'. Reality: No.
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Disinformation on climate:. "Extreme heat is the number one weather-related killer in the US". No, it is not. Cold kills 25x more: 152,000 Americans each year. Extreme cold kills 12,000/year. Heat kills 9,500. Extreme heat 6,000.
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As cold envelops the Northern Hemisphere, stay warm!. Despite the climate narrative, almost everywhere cold is much more deadly than heat. Cheap and reliable energy to keep us warm used to be the hallmark of prosperous countries. no more because of our climate obsession. 🧵+refs
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Hilarious.Greta's boat trip to the US might emit 6x a flight, because the 5 people taking the boat back will fly over to NYC .
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The risk of dying from climate-related disasters has declined precipitously. As the global population quadrupled over the century, the risk declined by 99% from the 1920s to the 2010s. A spectacular 99.4% reduction from 1920s to 2022. Update of
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Currently, batteries can power the US for less than 7 minutes. To avoid blackouts, solar and wind need months of storage, costing trillions. Fossil fuels don't need storage because they are their own storage. Solar or wind alone
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What is the world’s deadliest environmental problem?. Not climate. Outdoor and indoor air pollution. Let’s not get so scared about climate that we forget the much bigger problems . Read more in my peer-reviewed article:
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Your risk of dying from climate-related disasters dropped 99% since 1920. This is because richer societies are much more resilient to disasters . Read more in my peer-reviewed article:
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We're not being informed well:. This week, Nature magazine (and most other media) played up a new paper predicting the end of the Great Barrier Reef. Same week, the actual data: never better. data and links:
Great Barrier Reef never better. Annual measurements since 1986 show their highest point for 2024. But you won't know because. 1) The measuring institute stopped publishing a reef-wide index when things got too good. Instead, their 2024 report, published this week, mostly talk up
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The UN wants to control climate information so you only hear facts that "boost support for urgent climate action". That's just blatant activism. Imagine a similar initiative for information integrity on migration. Depending on your viewpoint, at least one of these objectives is
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Congrats to Germany. Super-expensive but ineffective climate policies mean. De-industrialization. with small climate benefit.
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Great Barrier Reef report by the Australian Academy of Science:. Lots of facts and figures on gender and race of participants. But it forgot to mention 𝙝𝙤𝙬 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙧𝙚𝙚𝙛 𝙞𝙨 𝙙𝙤𝙞𝙣𝙜. Well, here are the newly released stats, although inconvenient.
"I have been saying for some time that many of our #science institutions have become totally untrustworthy. By its wilful abandonment of quantitative analysis, the AAS has destroyed its reputation as a source of useful scientific advice." - Peter Ridd.
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This is how crazy climate alarmism has becoming. 41% of French people are in favor of max 4 flights 𝗶𝗻 𝘆𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗿𝗲 𝗹𝗶𝗳𝗲. Let's just say this once more. Climate is a problem, not end-of-world.It will not be solved by making people worse off but through innovation.
41% of French population is in favour of a proposal to limit everyone to 4 flights in their entire life. 59% of 18-24 year-olds agree. 2 return flights. Not per year: per life.
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Climate oops. Climate models say the Gulf Stream (AMOC) is declining. and climate campaigners scare you, insisting climate will shut it down and plunge Europe into an ice age. Reality: no decline 1963-2017. New study in Nature: .
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Disinformation on climate:. "Extreme heat is the number one weather-related killer in the US". No, it is not. Cold kills 25x more: 152,000 Americans each year. Extreme cold kills 12,000/year. Heat kills 9,500. Extreme heat 6,000.
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"But it is not good news": how climate science has to be presented today. Greening is good. Imagine if the researchers had found that Peru had become less green. Yet, all stories have to be bad news. (Nothing in article about why greening is bad news).
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There are consequences to climate action:. Founder of Just Stop Oil and Extinction Rebellion sentenced to 5 years prison for planning “the biggest disruption in British modern history”. Judge: Sure there is climate change. “But the plain fact is that each of you has some time ago
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Just recorded a wonderful podcast together with @JordanbPeterson in Calgary. We talk about how to best make the world better. and I highlight the 12 most effective solutions for the world's poorest. We got to cover some amazing information — great to see you again, Jordan!
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Cold kills much more than heat on every continent. US+Canada: 20K heat but 171K cold (8x more). Europe 179K vs 657K cold (4x). Africa 1.2m cold deaths. Asia 2.4m cold deaths. Yet, most reporting focus on heat deaths, because it fits the climate narrative.
Cold kills much more than heat on every continent. US+Canada: 20K heat but 171K cold (8x more). Europe 179K vs 657K cold (4x). Africa 1.2m cold deaths. Asia 2.4m cold deaths. Yet, most reporting focus on heat deaths, because it fits the climate narrative.
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Will electric cars save the world? No. Even if all nations achieved all of their ambitious EV targets, emissions will be reduced by about 0.1%. If this is continued throughout the rest of the century, temperatures will be reduced by 0.002°C by 2100.
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Hurricanes in 2021 were unprecedented — as in 𝘂𝗻𝗽𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗲𝗱𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗱𝗹𝘆 𝗳𝗲𝘄. Globally, 2021 had the fewest hurricanes 𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗿 in the satellite era (1980-2021). Did you see that reported anywhere?.
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We are being inundated with scary stories about climate change. Fortunately, the actual data shows that most of these tales aren't even remotely true. From my latest newsletter: Sign up here:
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Your risk of dying from climate-related disasters dropped 99% since 1920. This is because richer societies are much more resilient to disasters . Read more in my peer-reviewed article:
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Did you know that hurricanes hitting the US are not more but slightly less frequent? That climate disaster costs are declining? . That our current climate policies costs a lot and deliver little?. You can read more in my peer-reviewed article here
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Despite breathless climate reporting about ever more fire. The US burned area last year was the lowest this century. It was less than 7% of the 1930s. Climate does increase the burned area. but zoning and forest management are much more important. Thread + refs
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Fake news doesn't just come from foreign enemies. WHO claimed that 175,000 Europeans died from extreme heat. I pointed out that was untrue, almost 4x exaggerated. The next morning, WHO admitted this in the smallest possible way. Thead&refs:
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Congrats: European flight costs will almost double because of climate policies. Costs €819 billion more to 2050. "waving goodbye to the low prices that made globetrotting accessible to millions of people.".
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As 90,000 participants from the latest UN climate negotiations fly back, many in private jets. Ordinary people are being told that we need to ration our travel with a carbon passport to force less travel. Sometimes the elite is astoundingly tone-deaf.
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Did you know that hurricanes hitting the US are not more but slightly less frequent? That climate disaster costs are declining? . That our current climate policies costs a lot and deliver little?. You can read more in my peer-reviewed article here
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De-growth in the name of climate change is an incredibly misguided idea. Look at Europe, which opted for a ‘sustainable’ economy over a sound one. The cost is likely to top several trillion euros for a trivial temperature reduction of 0.004°C by 2100.
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Astounding. Half the world's GDP is produced inside these tiny black spots. A quarter of humanity lives here (2bn). It takes up 0.9% of the global land area. About the size of Colombia (130Mkm²*0.9%). or 2x France. or Texas + California.
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It is really hard to argue that greening the planet is bad — would you really rather have had it browning? . The world is greening, and it is good.
CO₂ and climate make the world greener. Over 2001-20 the world added so many new leaves. the additional leaf area is equivalent to 1.4x the area of the Contiguous US. Climate net problem. but breathless reporting ignores an ever-greening world.
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Across Europe, Sweden saw lowest total death during and after Covid. The data shows the relative cumulative age-standardized mortality rate, meaning it controls for non-modifiable population characteristics, such as the age structure and size of differing populations, so that
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We're not being informed well:. This week, Nature magazine (and most other media) played up a new paper predicting the end of the Great Barrier Reef. Same week, the actual data: never better. data and links
Great Barrier Reef never better. Annual measurements since 1986 show their highest point for 2024. But you won't know because. 1) The measuring institute stopped publishing a reef-wide index when things got too good. Instead, their 2024 report, published this week, mostly talk up
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A new study in the renowned medical journal The Lancet shows that as temperatures have risen since 2000, today about 116,000 more people die from heat each year, but 283,000 fewer die from cold.
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How stupid.
Yesterday, Germany closed down its final 3 nuclear reactors. Calls had been made to keep them open until 2033 & to reopen another 3 reactors shut down in 2021. However, Scholz decided to continue the accelerated phase-out plan announced by Merkel 3 days after Fukushima in 2011.
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This can't go on:. We used to spend 4% of global GDP on energy. Now, we spend 14%. Current energy crisis costs us 10% or $10 trillion each year. (caused both by war in Ukraine and bad, climate-focused policies).
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Congrats: European flight costs will almost double because of climate policies. Costs €819 billion more to 2050. "waving goodbye to the low prices that made globetrotting accessible to millions of people.".
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