Ashres
@Ashres5
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He/Him🇳🇵. @talkofthecharts . pfp: Chaewon from LE SSERAFIM ❤️
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I cannot believe I had to tweet this sentence.
Ben Shapiro is expected to earn his first entry on the Billboard Hot 100 with “FACTS” (with Tom MacDonald), predicted to debut at
#25
.
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@feliciaismother
@talkofthecharts
@sza
Recurrent = under top 50 after 20 weeks with no active gains
Super recurrent = under top 25 after 52 weeks
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@DucLe77693417
@ChartEssentials
@taylorswift13
It passed the amount of points needed to be on Billboard’s Year-End (based on this year’s chart) so it’s locked to be on the 2023 year-end.
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Stan Twitter learns that straight people listen to music too
Tommy Richman’s “Million Dollar Baby” earns the biggest U.S. Spotify streaming week of all-time with over 43.02 million streams this week across both the original and VHS version.
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Last Night is also easily outpacing Old Town Road on US on-demand audio right now; on its 25th week, OTR did 18.4M while Last Night is on pace for 23M…
this is how big of a hit Last Night is in the United States. This is its week 25 comparison to “Stay” and “As It Was”, both of those songs are among Billboard’s 5 biggest Hot 100 hits of all time.
Last Night is doubling both songs up in streaming and sales.
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@Unapologetic_Z
@talkofthecharts
@Beyonce
No, but it’s rare. Only a few songs this decade like Easy On Me, Last Night, and Flowers have done it (unfortunately nobody seems to have an archive of US Amazon charts so it’s hard to tell).
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Due to the lack of interest on the Hot 100, I am happy to announce
@ChartEssentials
is now beginning the switch over to Rolling Stones and HITSDD Revenue predictions. Our first projections for both charts will be out this Saturday!
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This is the most obvious instance of label-bought sales I’ve ever seen...
Seven versions of Teddy Swims’ “Lose Control” enter the top 20 of US iTunes at ranks 14-20, each selling nearly identical downloads.
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Don’t let Stan Twitter fool you, this chart is insanely strong and there are so many massive hits here.
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They’ve been messing with Trav for some reason; “I KNOW ?” should have also bypassed recurrency the week before its music video dropped but I guess it just isn’t country enough to bypass recurrency.
.
@trvisXX
’s “FE!N” feat. Playboi Carti departs from this week’s Billboard Hot 100, despite having enough points for top 60 and earning active radio gains. Meanwhile, Parker McCollum’s “Burn It Down” and Jessy Murph & Jelly Roll’s “Wild Ones” were allowed to stay on the chart due
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Aged well!
Billboard 200:
#1
(new)
@taylorswift13
, THE TORTURED POETS DEPARTMENT 2,610,000 [891.37 million on-demand streams | 1,914,000 pure sales].
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This is 3 million more than Drivers License… yet some people don’t wanna call it a hit 😭
Tommy Richman’s “Million Dollar Baby” is aiming for the second biggest U.S. Spotify streaming week ever with roughly 33 million streams across the original and VHS tracks. The only bigger week comes from Taylor Swift & Post Malone’s “Fortnight” (39 million).
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There were 10 top 10 debuts by this time in 2021 btw:
1. Anyone (6th)
2. Drivers License (1st)
3. Wasted On You (9th)
4. Up (2nd)
5. Calling My Phone (3rd)
6. What’s Next (1st)
7. Wants And Needs (2nd)
8. Lemon Pepper Freestyle (3rd)
9. Leave The Door Open (4th)
10. Peaches (1st)
Every song to debut in the top 10 of the
#Hot100
this year, so far:
"Pushin P"
@1GunnaGunna
&
@1future
ft.
@youngthug
(No. 7; 1/22/2022)
"Do We Have A Problem"
@NICKIMINAJ
&
@lilbaby4PF
(No. 2; 2/19/2022)
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Her or Kanye def would have gotten it with a full tracking week. The double self-sabotage is unreal…
if Bey can pull off a
#1
debut with a country song and just a half week I’ll be absolutely stunned…
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Hot 100 predictors never get the respect they deserve and it’s heartbreaking.
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Warner after failing to sales fraud a song to
#1
for the third time in a row.
All nine versions of Teddy Swims’ “Lose Control” are back inside the top 200 of US iTunes, with seven versions currently inside the top 100.
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@chartdata
Via: Talk Of The Charts
Future & Metro Boomin’s “Like That” feat. Kendrick Lamar is aiming for a top 3 debut on next week’s Billboard Hot 100 (chart dated April 6th, 2024), currently challenging for
#1
.
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@pioneerrwill
Lots of people consider name dropping the runner-up as “shady” so we try to not do that. We’ve done this before as well.
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Reminder that the actual tracking period is November 10th, 2022 to October 12th, 2023 cause they date charts 9 days after the last tracking day; that’s closer to summer than thanksgiving 😭
Billboard announces that the 2023 tracking period for their year-end charts ended 2 weeks ago, encompassing charts from November 19th, 2022 to October 21st, 2023 (49 weeks).
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@AustinRioux3
@ChartEssentials
yes, we're not actually quitting predictions; i just wrote that for April fools day😭
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Drake the type of guy to occupy the top 24 of Apple Music with a 23 song album.
Drake now occupies the entire top 24 of US Apple Music with tracks off ‘For All The Dogs’ and the single version of “Slime You Out”.
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@arianaunext
@talkofthecharts
WDTAB was mostly free/video streams which are weighted less than paid streams which N95 had a lot more of.
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Apple will always be stronger for new releases, it’s just frontloaded as hell. Songs like Hiss and Big Foot were doing well over 2M streams per day on there, while Amazon hasn’t seen even 1M+ per day outside of the holiday season.
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@BeysRenaissance
@ChartEssentials
We had her at 16 which was just one spot off but yeah not impossible. It is a prediction 🤷♀️
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@00dlo_
@talkofthecharts
@Drake
@taylorswift13
@21savage
@LilTunechi
@PostMalone
@JuiceWorlddd
@sza
That’s global Spotify; this is US on-demand streaming.
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Or maybe that person wasn’t a Billboard admin and just some random user on Discord.
@JORDANZFRIDAY
No. As I said. I am standing on business till Monday. If I’m wrong ROC nation and billboard gave it to her. There is no way you can gain 3 points in a matter of 2 hours when there was a surge in Jack sales and streams for “Lovin on Me” + it had a lot of radio.
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If “Like That” was the only song on the album, it still would have been the biggest hip-hop album of the week (460K song units aka 46K album units).
‘WE DONT TRUST YOU’ sold more total units this week than the next 13 best selling hip hop albums did COMBINED… 🤯🔥
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(Via
@talkofthecharts
) takes two seconds but you should know that by now.
Miley Cyrus' "Used To Be Young" is aiming to debut in the top 10 of next week's Billboard Hot 100.
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PERFECT TOP TEN OMGGG
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@WinstonNuo
here is the full article if you'd like to read it
If you take the easy job of searching for the source chartdata used for this tweet you can see they updated their article a few weeks after saying this
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They? We haven’t got a
#1
wrong in a year and a half LMAO
They made this same prediction last year lambs and Mariah still went number one so hopefully it's wrong 😭
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Upping all of my TTPD pre-release predictions 😭
Pure: 2.1-2.7M
SEA: 530-640K (685-830M streams)
TEA: 15-20K
Billboard 200: 2.6-3.36M units
Taylor Swift’s ‘THE TORTURED POETS DEPARTMENT: THE ANTHOLOGY’ has now been released, including 15 new tracks.
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This is funny to look at because I’m a massive Drake fan and FATD is already my 3rd most streamed album of the year.
The reason we didn’t post as often about IDGAF is because it was never a “front runner”; it was always challenging for
#1
but never in the lead. (1/2)
Literally every “charts” account on this app has an agenda against Drake. So much for getting factual, unbiased reportings
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@lippredicts
Pop Tingz is literally the only account I have blocked on Twitter 😭 Stealing tweets, projections, and blatant misinformation—it does not get worse.
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Every moderately big hit does 40+ weeks now, while in pre soundscan surpassing 20 was record breaking. Does it make sense for 3 of the top 10 biggest hits since the 60s to be from 2020-2023? Plus it isn’t even the longest charting song of all time, heat waves beat it.
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Rest in peace to the only thing making chart watching fun this decade 🫡
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@_at_heus_
@ChartEssentials
@ItsBennyBlanco
@BTS_twt
@SnoopDogg
@NICKIMINAJ
@lilbaby4PF
@johnrich
@Beyonce
Digital sales aren’t pure sales; pure sales includes digital and physical sales.
.
@ItsBennyBlanco
,
@BTS_twt
and
@SnoopDogg
's "Bad Decisions" earns the biggest US pure sales week for any single in 2022, with 66,000 copies sold.
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Welp, I guess we’re always wrong.
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People don’t realize that 261 points now is basically the same as 300 in 2022.
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YouTube needs to change how they process views cause this is insane 😭
Now I need an artist to do this with Discord.
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The floor for hot 100 projections has always been high but now I don’t think it’s even possible to do without already being good at them.
Starting today, All Access has officially stopped sharing the top 50 radio chart for each format.
As an immediate consequence, the “Overall Radio Chart” as we know it will stop existing.
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Like That earned over 2 million radio audience impressions in the U.S. first day… we really trusting a random screenshot leaked in a Kendrick Lamar discord server?
WOW: Leaked email shows legal correspondents from Republic Records (Drake’s label) trying to block ‘Like That’ from getting radio play 🤯
The email was sent to Epic Records (Future’s label) saying: “We are not granting radio rights for ‘Like That’…Epic does not have the right
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Love all of these and am eternally grateful for them but Taylor’s hits different.
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@mitoteo_
@talkofthecharts
It says “at the same point” so it only displays the peaks from Jan 1st to August 1st 2022 so that it’s a fair comparison of both years.
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@lexsamoneee
@ChartEssentials
@iamcardib
This is the only time we posted this though? We have 11 other artists we’ve done for too; this is not a one time occurrence 😭
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@musicalbops
@ChartEssentials
@sleezyjamie
Breaks down to around 6M US Spotify, 4.5M US Apple, 2M Pandora, 3M video (3M Facebook + 5M US YouTube but Facebook counts 1 second streams so about 10-20% will count there and YouTube includes UGC so around 52-58% will count), 500K miscellaneous.
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@lippredicts
People have their egos up when they project one thing right, but bail when they realize they have to do it every single week. That’s why these other alleged “predictors” online only project their fave (aka taking our projections and changing a number or two).
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One of the best songs on the album, despite what people were saying about it first week 🔥🔥
Drake's "Rich Baby Daddy" feat. SZA & Sexyy Red is expected to become this week's highest-charting track off 'For All The Dogs', predicted to re-enter the top 15 of the Billboard Hot 100.
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When will people realize that HITSDD does predictions; they don’t report actual sales 🤣
The top 2 on this week's Billboard 200 chart were separated by around 500 units, with Rod Wave's 'Nostalgia' earning 88,000 units and Olivia Rodrigo's 'Guts' earning 87,500 units.
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@pumpkineaterXXX
@talkofthecharts
Not all streams count for Billboard units (programmed streams don’t count) and not all streams are worth the same (premium streams are worth more than ad-supported) so total streams don’t always align with units.
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I love when stans act like they know everything about projections cause you know damn well who’s getting the last laugh 🤣
Princess Diana
Barbie World
Bongos
AIWFCIY
300 other songs
When will stans realize they don’t know better than us LMAO
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Ik the 26 mfs who bookmarked are feeling goofy as hell right now
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How do people still believe this website 💀 Wallen is selling 1.5K a day 😭
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Even last year, First Person Shooter’s first 24 hours on Apple approached 7 million streams, which was even larger than Spotify’s biggest U.S. day that year. People just don’t realize that they have two completely different listening communities.
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The average number one in 2022 is 269 points currently 😭💀
Average est. points of a Hot 100
#1
by year since 2010:
2010: 347
2011: 370
2012: 411
2013: 644 (YouTube added)
2014: 595
2015: 634
2016: 578
2017: 707 *peak*
2018: 623 (streaming tiers)
2019: 602
2020: 436 (UGC changes)
2021: 361 (long term COVID effects)
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Change in Christmas consumption from 2022 to 2023:
AIWFCIY:
-Hot 100 Points (+2%)
-Sales (-27%)
-Streams (+7%)
-Radio (-25%)
RATCT:
-Hot 100 Points (+8%)
-Sales (-27%)
-Streams (+17%)
-Radio (-16%)
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TTPD pre-release predictions:
Pure: 1.8-2.1M
SEA: 400-450K (520-590M streams)
TEA: 5-7K
Billboard 200: 2.2-2.55M units
Expecting RSD to play a huge role.
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Well she definitely outperformed ours! Queen.
SZA on chart predictions:
“I hate predictions. I hate when everybody else buys into predictions because then it could set you up for embarrassment. I just wish everybody has no expectations. It’s scary being in this public arena.”
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8/10 Let’s go! That’s the best it’s been in a while 😭
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It’s coming for Hot 100
#1
Zach Bryan’s “Pink Skies” has entered the top 10 of U.S. Apple Music, currently at
#6
. (
@zachlanebryan
)
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@chartdata
@kendricklamar
Via Talk Of The Charts
Kendrick Lamar’s “Not Like Us” is aiming for a
#1
debut on the Billboard Hot 100 with roughly 5 available days of tracking this week.
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@yubmp
@ChartEssentials
Nope; this is just cumulative weekly chart points, not directly based off position or multipliers like the GOAT list.
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Plus the Saweetie <5K projection includes streams too and they most likely comprise the vast majority of units because people don’t buy digitally like that anymore unless you have an exclusive digital version or sumn you have to buy + have a fanbase who wants it.
(2/2)
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2 more next week? 👀
Every song to debut in the top 10 of the
#Hot100
this year, so far:
"Pushin P"
@1GunnaGunna
&
@1future
ft.
@youngthug
(No. 7; 1/22/2022)
"Do We Have A Problem"
@NICKIMINAJ
&
@lilbaby4PF
(No. 2; 2/19/2022)
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611
4K
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@lexsamoneee
@Kevsulvaran
@ChartEssentials
@iamcardib
We’ve done 12 artists so far and planning to do more.
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The way it got the biggest sales week of the year with just two days 😭
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