Dr. Amira Jadoon ***امیرہ جدون
@AmiraJadoon
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AP @ClemsonUniv Former AP @WestPointSOSH/@CTCWP NRF @StimsonCenter @ICCT_TheHague former consult @DeloitteUK @LSEnews & @RockefellerColl Int'l Security & PV.
Joined July 2009
Extremely grateful to @NCITE_COE & the Center for Afghanistan Studies for hosting our first book discussion on IS-Khorasan's resiliency & to @sherahmadzai for being an excellent moderator. A big thanks to @ginaligon @austincdoctor @KearnsErinM @GraceWrote and many others for
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Very happy to share my @USIP report on the Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan, "The Evolution & Potential Resurgence of the TTP." Thread with summary findings to follow soon. A big thanks to the fantastic USIP team @colincookman @richardwalker!.
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It’s Friday and I’m exhausted - so this seems funny right now:
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(1/n) In light of recent discussions regarding the threat posed by Islamic State's affiliate in Afghanistan (Islamic State Khorasan) - reposting some of my recent pieces on the group on the group, which discuss its strategy & tactics as well as strengths and weaknesses:.
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Professional update! I'm pleased to share that I will be joining Clemson University's Pol Sci Dept @ClemsonUniv this Fall! So excited to work w/ Clemson's incredible students & faculty, and shift to an R1 environment. But of course, MOST importantly: year-round sunshine!! 🌞.
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Happy to announce that our book on #ISKP "The Islamic State in Afghanistan and Pakistan: Strategic Alliances and Rivalries" will be coming out in paperback later this year. at a much lower price tag! (thanks to all those who bought the hardcover!)
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Super excited to share my major CTC report on the Islamic State Khorasan's (ISK) operations and alliances in AFG & Pak. The report dives deep into ISK's geography, operational trends, and the source of its resiliency. Thread of key findings to follow soon.
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I told my students to be creative in how they would raise money for a militant group. Wasn’t expecting #6 but okay.
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My new article with @Victor_Asal -merry academic Xmas! What factors make insurgent groups more likely to recruit women as fighters? We argue and test the role of female labor force unemployment & territorial control. 50 free e-prints!.
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Some exciting news: @Dr_DMilton, @warnjason & I have been awarded a book contract w/ Columbia Uni Press to co-author “Pledging Allegiance: the Islamic States’ Global Provinces in Comparative Perspective.” Will be an exhilarating scholarly journey w/ these two brilliant minds!.
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Absolutely thrilled to see our new book out on IS-Khorasan with my brilliant coauthor @mines_andrew! And of course what better way to celebrate this but with a book talk at @NCITE_COE . Key highlights coming soon!!
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Always been a big fan of the @StimsonCenter; of course because of their insightful research & considered views, but also 'cuz of the diversity of voices they support @SAVoices. Super pumped to be a non-resident fellow in their South Asia program!
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(1/n) NEW article (w/ @abdsayedd, & @mines_andrew) in @CTCWP Sentinel traces ISK's resurgence in AFG. We draw on new attack data, propaganda, docs recovered from AFG, & interviews w/ former AFG govt members,Taliban & tribal elders
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So excited to have finally gotten round to printing out this picture I took a while back in Lahore and putting it up in my home office 😊
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U.N. envoy says Islamic State now appears present in all Afghan provinces
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(1/3) Islamic State Khorasan update: What explains ISK's choice of rivals and alliances? I conducted a deep analysis of ISK's rivals & alliances (working academic project w/ @nakissapjahan & E Fruchtman), accounting for the quality of relationships. Some preliminary findings:.
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Research on leadership decap often focuses on targeting the *topmost* leader of militant orgs (think Zawahiri/UBL). In our new piece in JCR, (w/@mines_andrew & @Dr_DMilton), we explore whether/ how the *rank* of a targeted leader shapes a militant group's short term op behavior
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My new piece w/ @mines_andrew in the @WarOnTheRocks: Relying solely on the Taliban to defeat ISK is a high-risk approach- likely to result in a prolonged battle b/w the two, with heavy human costs.
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So here’s a thought: if academic journals are struggling so much to find reviewers that articles are languishing in a dark abyss for months on end…why not use some of the journal profits to start offering honorariums to reviewers? May not solve the issue completely but def help.
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Found a lovely picture with my lifelong advisor @Victor_Asal from exactly 10 years ago - May 2013. What a great picture- had to share!
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For the time teaching at West Point, I have 50% women cadets in my class and its wonderful !.
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Super excited about winning this grant and getting started on this project which explores domestic-international connections in counterterrorism! @warnjason @Aud_Alexander.
We're very proud to share that our center has been awarded a @CarnegieCorp grant to analyze overseas & domestic counterterrorism approaches, w/ an eye to integrating the two realms. The project will be led by CTC’s @AmiraJadoon @warnjason & @Aud_Alexander
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Pleased to share that my new article with w/ Caleb Lucas will be out soon in the @The_JOP. In this paper, we revisit the notion of "winning hearts & minds" in the context of leadership decapitation & pose the following question. "When state actors undertake kinetic operations
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Excited to share my article @PSQuarterly exploring links b/w military aid, conflict intensity & militant retaliation. This one is close to my heart - it combines fieldwork in Pak w/a global analysis (yay mixed methods!). Also rooted in my doctoral work.
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ISK will now tackle the Afghan Taliban as more of a state actor – whose credibility can be undermined both domestically and internationally. Our new piece w/@mines_andrew @abdsayedd w/ @LowyInstitute , takes a deep dive into the ISK-Afghan Taliban rivalry.
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To all my fellow terrorism/conflict scholars/analysts/researchers who live and breathe difficult topics & often study the worst of human behavior
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A (semi-serious) request to fellow scholars; to avoid unintentional international crises in the Indian subcontinent please avoid abbreviating the newly announced Islamic State -India Waliyah to “ISI” 🙏🏽.
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Grateful and excited beyond words for our NIJ grant!! But even more so to work with @APerliger @aysed_9 and Bart K - a truly interdisciplinary team!
Looking forward to working with the amazing @AmiraJadoon @aysed_9 and Bart Knijnenburg on our new NIJ grant to study networks of disinformation.
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I told my students they could use their own version of the definition of 'terrorism' if they could defend it against the class' collective critique. And they sure did. Diversity.
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"The deaths underscore the pervasive sense of fear in Taliban-controlled Afghanistan. reprisal killings of people linked to the previous government. ".Women’s rights activist shot dead in northern Afghanistan
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Join us (me, @tricbacon and @asfandyarmir) on June 8th for a talk hosted by @USIP discussing the potential revival of the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan.
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Very excited about an upcoming piece (soon!) on the Islamic State Khorasan w/ @abdsayedd @mines_andrew - the piece uses a combination of original data, interviews, primary sources and insights from materials recovered from AFG - watch this space!.
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My Co-authored piece is finally online! "Using the Carrot as the Stick." We show that the more foreign aid the U.S provides to target states, the more likely its sanctions threats are to succeed & the more aggressive the US becomes in imposing sanctions.
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Excited to share my co-authored article with my brilliant colleague and friend @Dr_DMilton. How does the potential to participate in illicit activities (shadow economy) within a state affect the nature and magnitude of terrorism? .
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Arriving in the U.S. months before 9/11 (over TWO decades ago), as a teenager I learned to live with the guaranteed '"random" extra security airports. As an adult, I’ve spent over 12 years studying US national security & CT/COIN issues and worked countless hours for the.
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(1/2) A quick note: understandably, I am receiving a steady stream of messages from analysts/media outlets who want to discuss ISK. Unfortunately, I am also dealing with a current family emergency. Please be patient with me, and I will respond as soon as I can.
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Caught the sunset on my walk this evening. Truly refreshing.
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For the past few years, the Pakistani Taliban have been working hard to REINVENT themselves - in this piece, @abdsayedd and I summarize how:.
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(1/3) Seeing a lot of Questions on the rivalry b/w ISK and other 'jihadist groups"; a few quick points:.a. ISK’s territorial ambitions encroach upon existing spheres of influence of dominant groups;.
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From a fantastic all-women team of scholars! New pub w/ @JuliaLodoen @futuredrwillis @nakissapjahan. Our article explores how linkages w/ transnational groups shape female participation within their overseas affiliate organizations.
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Talib (singular). Taliban (plural). What is this new “Talibs” that I’ve been seeing floating around? Did I miss something?.
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Truly honored to be included in the @CSIS @NatSecDiver 2022 U.S. National Security & Foreign Affairs Leadership List🙏 with such an outstanding group.
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My parents keep sending me pictures of their new kittens. So I’ll spread the joy.
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It’s officially out: my article looks at how development and coercive aid shapes govts’ tendency to use repression - Persuasion and Predation: The Effects of U.S. Military Aid and International Development Aid on Civilian Killings
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New paper (w/ @B_R_Early) in @FPA_Jrnl reveals the unintended effects of arms embargoes: while intended to curb conflict, they can drive target governments to increase indiscriminate violence/repression.
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Exciting news! @matthewpurdy123 @aysed_9 and I are.thrilled to have received a DOD grant to study U.S. security cooperation with Pakistan and the Philippines! Exciting work ahead on critical defense partnerships in an era of info warfare & great power competition 🇺🇸🇵🇰🇵🇭.
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Thank you @tabadlab & @mosharrafzaidi for including me in this great panel - excellent discussion on the security risks in AFG and CT implications.
Dr. Amira Jadoon (@amirajadoon) believes that the Afghan Taliban will find it difficult to cut ties with the TTP and other militant groups in Afghanistan.
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Wow - seeing a lot of conspiracy “research” work on Islamic State Khorasan. Great.
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I think I worked pretty hard in 2020, so this is my 2021 gift to self, the concept 2 rowing machine 😍 it’s awesome!
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If you missed my virtual talk yesterday @START_UMD here's a recording. Interesting Q&A at the end!.
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Delighted to release the inaugural issue of the West Point Journal of Politics and Security (WPJPS) w/ co-editor @warnjason - Six outstanding articles by undergraduate authors! Access here: (See issue for submissions guidelines, due Nov 15th, 2021)
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For my first (online) class meeting next week, I've asked my students to send me a slide each with 4 pictures which tell us something about them. no words. Hopefully we get to know each other, but also learn how signaling works/ can go wrong, & learn to question our assumptions.
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Indeed. Targeting leaders of ISK has always yielded short-term results. We examined this quantitatively in our JCR article. The issue is that this rarely leads to permanent degradation of groups - especially resilient ones like IS-Khorasan -leading us into a false sense of
My colleagues @CrisisGroup are working on analysis of the Islamic State claim of responsibility for the Moscow attack. It's worth noting that ISKP has not flourished under the Taliban, suffering losses of personnel and territory. This is @ACLED data, with our calculations.
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Just a tweet to show off how beautiful the Hudson Valley can be. moments before it turns into a frozen dungeon. (ok kind of)
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(2/n) "Upon a complete US withdrawal, if violence continues to spiral out of control and the Afghan Taliban seeks to overwhelm the Afghan government and security forces, this will create the most permissive environment for ISK to flourish." w/ @abdsayedd .
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This is how I'm teaching my students about terrorist innovation.
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My first interview in Italian! (Well, I mean I spoke English but it's been published in the Italian media). More to come. Thank you @petro_francesco .
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Always been a big fan of the insightful CT analysis by the @ICCT_TheHague- honored to be a part of their fantastic editorial board!
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This year we plan to continue to hike into the winter months. Today, the forest looked magical ❄️
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The West Point Journal of Politics and Security invites submissions from undergraduates (current and recent grads) for its inaugural issue! We are super excited about this new journal to showcase some of the best undergraduate research around. See link for details:.
Are you a BA student studying politics or security?. @WestPointSOSH is excited to announce the launch of its new undergraduate journal, the West Point Journal of Politics and Security, now accepting BA student submissions of 3,500-5,000 words. Info below:.
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What do we know about the targeting of IS-Khorasan leaders? Who? How Many? Where? So What? In our article in the @CTCWP Sentinel, Andrew Mines @mines_andrew and I examine Islamic State Khorasan’s (ISK) leadership Losses b/w 2015-2018.
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Islamic State Khorasan's (ISK) recent attack is a reminder of the violent potential of the nascent organization. But what exactly is ISK?What explains ISK's ability to survive and thrive in the AfPak region? Find out here: My report on ISK's to be released Monday, Dec 3rd, 2018!
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Good news: our book is finally out in paperback!! (at a much lower price than the hardcover!) Order yours here:
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Happily traded NY snow for this: Wishing everyone a beautiful Xmas from Doha!
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An absolutely fantastic lecture delivered by @Drjohnhorgan on the psychology of terrorism hosted by @WestPointSOSH and @CTCWP. The cadets were in awe of Dr. Horgan’s incredible research!
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But of course, no Eid is complete without some homemade sooji halwa
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Our new paper in Asian Security is out today! ."What factors explain whether local groups will.cooperate with an emergent transnational affiliate, or engage in a rivalry?" @nakissapjahan .
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The US decision re: the May deadline for troops withdrawal has implications for #IslamicState #Khorasan's future. In this piece, @abdsayedd and I examine ISK's activities in 2020 and the group's likely future trajectory.
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New Dataset released - Girl soldiering in rebel groups, 1989–2013 Haer & Bohmelt @JPR_journal .
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Excited to share an excerpt from my forthcoming CTC report, “Allied and Lethal: Islamic State Khorasan's Network and Org. Capacity in AFG & PAK” (releasing November 2018). ISK's heavy reliance on suicide attacks to maintain its lethality in both AFG and PK
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We were lucky to have an opportunity to host @Julie_C_Hwang at West Point @CTCWP @WestPointSOSH. The cadets had a unique opportunity to hear all about about Dr.Hwang's compelling research experience in SE Asia about why/when jihadists disengage! Thank you for visiting us!
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Sand dunes bring back lovely childhood memories…a refreshing break!
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New Article w/ @Dr_DMilton in which we explore explore how the size of a state's shadow economy influences militant groups' funding tactics. From smuggling to kidnappings, groups in states with larger informal sectors tend toward complex, high-yield activities. We analyze global
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I asked my mom to translate an unusual Urdu word which appeared in a jihadi document. She texted back after a minute with the English word. Me: cool mom, you’re so smart. How did you know that?.Mom: thanks! I googled it.
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1st dose of Covid vaccination✅ *grateful*.
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Springtime in Abbotabad. Can’t wait to visit. 😍
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Happy to share new publication w/ @Victor_Asal, @clinebarger101 and @MichaelGreig. In this piece, we explore the following Q: under what circumstances do rebel groups target Americans? We test the effects of a a wide variety of direct/indirect motives.
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So proud of my student who presented his thesis today on Hezbollahs links with cartels in South America. He even managed to do field work in Colombia - instilling a love for research in our future leaders @WestPoint_USMA 😊
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A quick visual showing clashes b/w IS-Khorasan and the Afghan Taliban between 2015-2019. In 2015 & 2019, ISK's attacks on the Taliban slightly exceeded attacks by the Taliban. In 2018, ISK not only exp losses due to CT but also due to clashes with the Taliban. @mines_andrew
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"Treacherous Triangle: Afghanistan, India, and Pakistan After US Withdrawal" - interesting piece abt local dynamics by @UmairJamal15 w/ quotes from @Watandost @MichaelKugelman and me.
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When your student tells you that they can't find any articles on regime type and terrorism. *sigh*.
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Eid Mubarak to all! (A picture from tonight’s walk)
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There are many things that I love about being at West Point- but one of them is that students never try to negotiate their grades. 😊.
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New piece w/ @nakissapjahan on #ISIS-K attack in #Iran "The bombing is significant for another reason: It takes ISIS-K’s fight directly to a symbol of Shia leadership. A deadly attack against Iran, a formidable Shia state, lends ideological credence to ISIS-K’s words in the
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With multiple deadlines looming, I have a new appreciation for months which generously come with 31 and not 30 days.
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A big thanks to @CSSPR_UOL for reviewing my USIP report on the Pakistani Taliban!.
CSSPR reviews @AmiraJadoon's latest @USIP report on the Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan entitled "The Evolution and Potential Resurgence of the Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan." Download it from this link:.
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I’m nearing the end of my winter leave. (sad), but I am delighted to report that I did not work a single day during my 10-day break. It has been amazing and a real break! Eager to get back into it though on my long plane ride home cuz I love what I do! Happy new year everyone!.
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(2/2) In the meantime, I highly encourage you to reach out to @mines_andrew and @abdsayedd (amongst others) who are ISK experts, and have an unparalleled understanding of the group.
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An extraordinary man, but an even greater father. Happy Father’s Day and happy 75th birthday - we miss you every single day. A conservative Pathan man from Abbotabad who empowered his daughters to forge their own path and never “settle” for anything.
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I was inspired to teach students via simulations and games by working with @Victor_Asal over many years. Here's another useful piece by him &co: Mini-Games for Teaching Political Science Methodology
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