Shai |
@Am_Shai
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Trader @ .Building @Vtrender Advanced Charting tools, mentoring, & e-courses.- Your gateway: WA 9284331270
Joined April 2010
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Pinned Tweet
Why do we call this seller an Initiative Seller and an IS bar at 24460 F
I'd like to take a moment to walk you through this process- The more knowledge you have , the better will be your experience giving yo a better end result.
Let's focus on this bar but you can do this for
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I'm planning a free one hour webinar on
#MarketProfile
basics coming Saturday at 11 am or 12 noon.
Plan is to clear the noise around the Profile.
Saturday's are imp for me and I will confirm based on the likes and the RT's I receive
So if you want it - like or RT this tweet.
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When Icici moves 1 point , it takes BNF along 12.90 points
when hdfcbank moves 1 point, it takes BNF along 8.72 pts
when axis moves 1 point , it takes BNF along 4.52 pts
I know all this because I trade the BNF all day
It's my job to know .
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Emotion flowing high post budget due to those higher taxes.
I'll say only 1 thing- the ruling regime lost lots of loyal voters today.
We expected tax cuts and you hit us with more taxes.
This will not be forgotten .
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If
#Hyundai
was listed in India, tomorrow would have been down by a major major percent.
What a PR disaster by the company
#BoycottHyundai
Stupid as a word is inadequate
I think some showrooms will have to down shutters this week for safety
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We are living in days of high
#Vix
with added volatility & movement in our favorite indices
There have been strange opens & very quick movements some to profits, others to losses
There is always a message in the data. Data speaks
Let's explore what Vix wants to tell us
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People look at Dow, SGX, $ ,10 yr Yield, FED, inflation to trade the
#Nifty
BIG BOYS have already studied all of that & taken a position on the chart which makes the chart what it is now
Follow the BIG BOYS . They create charts
1 chart is enough if you know what to look for.
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The average capital in trading intraday is INR 500,000, some have more some less.
1% of 5L is 5000 rupees.
If you are not fighting in the market to make 5k daily, what are you here for?
Get massively pissed off if you are not making. Educate yourself, kick yourself .Learn.
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When i started off in
#derivatives
#trading
, some 15 years back, the "default trade" taught to us was to trade in Futures or to BUY calls or BUY puts as the need arose.
These days the "default trade" is to SELL calls and SELL puts.
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2 books which have immensely helped me in
#derivatives
Mind over markets- James Dalton
Option volatility &Pricing- Sheldon Natenberg
I recommend reading both at least 2 times.
It is 1 of the reasons I'm 15 years in markets actively trading till today
It will help you also
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If you are around from 2 years & struggling still, don't think of quitting now & let this experience of these 2 years go waste
You have seen the most of what a market can do
Now dig in, learn more and get onboarded for a larger ride
Keep going.
You quit. You lose all.
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Waiting for the day when Modiji will come on TV at 09 00 am and say
" We repeal STT"
"We repeal Cap Gains tax"
☺️😁🤔
#traderlife
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People waiting for a stimulus are big industrialists, big businesses, small setups & stock market traders
People who really want a stimulus are the neighborhood rickshawwala, small shop owner, hathgaadis, hamaals, daily labourers & all.
They are silent not saying anything
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If the markets continue like this for a few more sessions, most new traders in small and midcaps would be like
"mutual funds sahi hain" :)
#correction
#Nifty
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Want to know more about the Volume Profile?
Grab a cup of coffee or a few minutes to read unhindered and I'll walk you through how we use the information from the Volume Profile
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In just under 5 years GST collections India have gone from 90000 CR to 1.5 L CR average per month.
This is the kind of economic data you and I SHOULD look at not some lousy inflation and jobs data somewhere in the US .
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I trade only the index & have always believed in specialization of a chosen instrument or 2-3 instruments.
But I am seeing more and more new traders flock to stocks, trading one stock one day, another next.
You will burn out soon with stress
Longevity is in specialization.
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How many of you would like me to post a simple, clean
#Orderflow
based
#trading
#strategy
like this one below every morning before the Open here?
//(09:07) Shai : 12360 zone is huge supply for day
(09:07) Shai : expect the NF to move down to 12280 with 12360 as supply//
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NSE is blaming telecom for the issue.
"2 service providers responsible "
Are we a bunch of kids?
How was Futures and Options updating on telecom issues?
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As the
#nifty
&
#banknifty
travel higher, do remember to think of down sides in % points
For ex.
#Nifty
at 18500, a 10% correction is 1850 points
At 40000, a 10% correction in
#banknifty
is 4000 points
Think. Don't get carried away Markets have been kind, but don't lose focus
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Why should the market pay you?
Trading is a difficult profession and Facts do tell us that 98% of traders do not make money. Nitin from Zerodha has put several tweets on this before
The market does not pay the majority of traders
Why should it pay you?
Read on..
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25.84 CR options index contracts traded today.
#nifty
#BankNiftyOptions
Saw 2.07 CR in Open interest at 18400 CE today which is the Highest I have ever seen trade at a strike.
Game is getting bigger and bigger.
Exciting times definitely ahead:)
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Looking ahead over the next few sessions for the Nifty, we should focus on the Volumes at 16600-16650 lower side to 17400-450 supply above .
17450 tough to cross immediately , but 16650 a good support for a base to build
Let's see if we do time here 16600- 17450
#Nifty
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My strong belief is that what the PM did earlier this week, the FM yesterday and the RBI today is the best coordinated response anywhere in the globe to tackle the
#coronavirus
It is exemplary.
This battle is ours to win now
#IndiaFightsCorona
and we should prevail.
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A gap up tomorrow will shut the door on bears
A drive up from Open will terminate them
No gap up, same old Boring Boring day
That's how the
#MarketProfile
placed it
#Nifty
#banknifty
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Everyone is an expert in the markets before 09.15 am & after 03.30 pm
& on Spaces, YT, & weekends in 5 star conferences:)
Find guys who can be live with you in Market hours . Only they can help
Discl- my mentees will tell you I shoot live in markets and shut up on weekends :)
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Ding Dong moves- 3rd straight day
Market punishing people who overstay in positions
See profit . book profit
#Nifty
#banknifty
If you go to the washroom, you see your profits also in the loo :)
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The
#Nifty
and the
#Banknifty
both closed at important supports.
#Orderflow
was neutral at the close.
If there is no gap down near the open, this should potentially start moving back up from here
A large gap down however may change things .
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Now our media and the circus will scream that the price was minus 37 $ on April 20 and Modi and Team got paid $ 37 to Buy crude plus they are charging us excise and making huge profits.
Just watch the fun on local media.
Let them explain. :)
Fun starts tom.
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@darshanvmehta1
@AnilSinghvi_
@TCS
wrong take.
He speaks of retail traders as if his channel has all the retail. And all non hindi traders are FII's :)
What about people from Karnataka, Kerala and AP, Bengal. Very large section of retail traders are from these 4.
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I don't believe in posting screenshots of MTM, cos'
a) when the trading is good, u stay humble before the Gods
b) don't have anything to prove to anyone. I'm not insecure
c) Someone must have had a bad day. Never poke a fellow trader.
d) Don't attract bad energy from mad twitter
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9.83 CR in
#optionmarket
today
Only retail carried new puts today
Everyone else trimmed existing positions, long and short
#Nifty
#banknify
#options
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When I started off, my mentor told me to put 10% of my earnings back into learning about the markets.
Books, workshops, dvd's ,courses &I did. I still do
My first workshop cost me USD3K in 2008 and it was the best investment ever.
I ask around and attend workshops even today.
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You are trading that phase of the market where you should know the difference between
a) bounce
b) pullback
c) reversal
Learn and then see it in charts. Thank me later :)
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Of all the days of Feb, Putin could have chosen to go to war, he had to choose settlement Thursday
Heaviest blow is on Option traders caught on the wrong side & the option market
Those who made profits at the open, remember it was not great skill, but a gift from the universe
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When a man with money meets a man with experience,
the man with the experience ends up with the money,
and the man with the money ends up with the experience
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Call writers yesterday & Put writers today have been thrown out of positional strategies in both
#Nifty
&
#banknifty
Net 13 CR contracts were traded in options both days
If the US stays flat tonight, expect a quiet 15300- 15500 ranged session tomorrow
will post notes at open
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I like to tweet information on markets, designed to assist and improve your understanding of how the marketplace works.
A few of my threads are below
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So for those who asked , here are the index weights
AXISBANK 10.52
BANKBARODA 0.73
FEDERALBNK 1.11
HDFCBANK 36.32
ICICIBANK 21.25
IDFCFIRSTB 0.51
INDUSINDBK 5.47
KOTAKBANK 14.09
PNB 0.42
RBLBANK 0.88
SBIN 7.75
YESBANK 0.95
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You get tested the most, when it is your time to Rise
Don't break !
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It's very fashionable for people to use the word "trap"
But it defies logic
No institution has time to set traps for traders and ignore their own profits
what does he gain by trapping traders with 1- 10 lots?
It's a busy world & all are focussed on what they can do best
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Trading is about You and your system or Process .
A good harmonious You and a great system can do wonders.
But given the same process, 2 different individuals can get many different results, 'cos the "You" is different
This thread is about the "You" in trading
Read on...
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A lot of people will tell you
Bhav Bhagwan Che
Price is King!
All Bakwaas.
ONLY DISCIPLINE BHAGWAN CHE!
Discipline in following your system.
Now you know why the algos win! They have it. You don't.
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On
#MarketProfile
I read the basic book "mind over markets" dozens of times, cover to cover,
Why?What makes you read books again & again?Even though not 1 word changed between the covers?
A person evolves, you are not the same person reading it again.
Teaching becomes deeper.
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Most people blindly trust on
#OpenInterest
number without knowing the basic rule
#OpenInterest
created on a
Friday > Monday
Monday> Tuesday
Tuesday > Wednesday
Wednesday> Thursday
( > is stronger than)
Weakest players are wed and thurs parties.
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There are 2 kinds of traders when it comes to the
#openinterest
in Futures & Options
One who look at charts and understand demand and supply and create the Open Interest
The other who looks at Open Interest of others and sees it as support and resistance
Which one are you?
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🧵 As a
#MarketProfile
trader on
#NSE
, I want to emphasize the importance of the TIME component in trading
Time, along with Price & Volume, is a crucial factor in making informed decisions
In this 🧵, we'll explore the A to M periods or 09.15 to 03.30 pm. Let's dive in
#trading
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We now average 10-12 Cr option contracts on a non settlement day against 4-5 L Futures contracts daily.
Thurs is different and options do 30 - 40 Cr contracts easy.
Option market is 240 -300 times the Futures market these days.
Something for you to think about.
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We got a
#Nifty
which was pushing the highs and a
#Banknifty
which was pushing the lows today.
You don't get a trend when the 2 major indices are pointing opposite.
Some of you asked me why wait for Tuesday. Hope you got the answer
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(13:38) Shai : If we break 11146 in K , I'mm looking at a close of 11080
This is what was discussed , hence the 11150 PE.
I'm done for the day.
Gave you all real time advice and hope you all benefited.
Show me some love now and will do it next time also!!
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The US market sell-off is a tell tale sign of liquidation of 1 or more big funds
We will not know till a few days more.
Not sure if it is the first domino or can cause many other dominoes to trip
Consider this, 50% of stocks in
#NASDAQ
are now down 50% , 20% are down 70%
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123000 contracts covered in 1 go at 56 in 19700 CE of
#Finnifty
he gave no chance to the others to cover. he cleaned it
#Orderflow
This is big
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#Options
market is quiet on the 1st day of the new series
Big boys are on the sidelines
When the cat is away, the mice are at play.
Range not defined yet
When this happens, they are planning a big directional move in the second half of the series.
#Nifty
#Banknifty
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Writers are expecting a quiet expiry tomorrow. They have managed the tape very well even through the holiday yesterday.
But
#MarketProfile
readings are pointing to an explosive move tomorrow.
Even if we get a quiet open, chances of a quiet day like today are remote.
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You don't have to be a genius to make money in markets.
#DerivativesTrading
doesn't demand you to be a genius, but it absolutely requires you to not play the fool!
People who have made money are not always the smartest brains.
But you do need to get rid of stupid mistakes
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I worked with traders over 10 years, now
I know who can make money , who does not
Your negativity&frustration&the finding fault in others is the reason you do not make money
Clear your energy. Practice Gratitude
If you cannot & come spoil the energy in my TL, I will block you
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So many people worried about the FED rate hikes liquidity squeeze etc etc
Bhailog, how much of that FED liquidity did you get? And how much was invested in the market by you?
Zero.
We are the best economy in the world, If they come they gain. If not their loss.
Stay invested
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We don't waste our time tracking 100 charts and 500 scrips
One chart- One instrument is enough
I'm not in the business of impressing followers with 1 trade a day of 1 random instrument x 365 a year.
Choose 1 . Stay with it.
Specialize.
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There is always a debate between buyers & writers of options
writers know the trend well & make money in trending + sideways markets
writing requires more capital
Buyers require precision & make money in trend & counter trends
Buying options is an art . Not every1 can do it
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We've been working hard on a secret project that we can't wait to share with you.
Get ready for something amazing ready to be revealed.
Tomorrow it is!
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If you travel from Mumbai to Pune post 8 or 10 pm from Mumbai on the
#expressway
, stop. Don't do it.
The Ghat section (once upon a long time ago), a scenic beauty is now a metallic gridlock.
Horning, frustration, discontent, resignation , exhaust fumes, drivers looking at
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Change your mindset
work like a PRO trader
Pros are at the desk early, leave late, but do a job at it.
Pros do not bother about things they cannot change
But they go to work on things which they can change
Good luck.
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The book I recommend for
#MarketProfile
is Mind over Markets by James Dalton. That is for beginners.
To go beyond look up Pete SteidlMayer and read up all he has written.
Pete is a heavier read & will challenge you to stay in the book. But once you are through, you are made!
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Fastest way to lose money trading derivatives
#Nifty
#Banknifty
a) Starting capital < 5L
b) Trading randomly all over charts
c) No system or process
d) Putting all capital in 1 trade
e) Looking to double profits every trade
f) Get rich quick mindset
g) Following tips
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Most new traders are gamblers & end up putting 60 to 75% of their capital on 1 trade
Some smart ones even put 100% for 1 trade.
If the trade goes bad , they lose 25 to 50% of their capital .
4 trades they are wiped out
Gamblers do not make it in markets.
Do not be a gambler.
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Today's bad show by bulls has tilted the scales more to the sellers again.
#NIFTYFUTURE
16370 mostly will not hold
Looking for a test of 16220 again.
That 16220 for me decides the fate of bulls in March
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For those who are new to trading and I'm told there are 4 crores of you from March 2020, let it be known that
Since the last hike of the FED rate from 2015 to 2018, the market survived
a) Trade wars
b) Covid
Don't panic. The markets have seen this before
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The
#budget
day is an annual event and people want intra day strategies.
And also want to be profitable that day!
NSE has opened doors for suckers to come & lose money
If you have never traded the budget before , continue to keep the record.
The market will open on Monday.
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Thanks to the
#UkraineRussiaConflict
all have forgotten
#COVID
And,
The experts on Covid are now the experts on Ukraine :)
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On fintwit you can get distracted so quickly by all the
fights between handles, random comments on others, loose talk etc
Once you tune in, the algo will keep sending you more
None of it will help you make money
Ignore the entertainment
Use twitter to upskill yourself. Grow
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I saw at least 2 generations of traders wiped off 2 years back in March
They had no training or experience to trade markets like the one we are in now
Protect your capital, which is your most important asset.
Without it, the doors close for you.
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If you go to the gym just one day in your life, will you be fit for life?
Absolutely not
Trading markets is similar
Train in the markets everyday. Then keep training some more
Learn, train, then learn more & train yourself some more
Be unstoppable
The training never stops
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This
#Nifty
train is out to get Call writers this weekly settlement
So far 11000 CE and 11100 CE have been shown the door
The 11200 CE naked writers sleep uneasy tonight.
They have written at 26 & 46 last 2 days & cmp is 58 and they know they are under water
Examination tom
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The coming 2 and half months are the best season for traders and come once in 5 years only
Vix will rise, and that means higher ranges for us and classic 2 way moves
If you have a process in place, these next 2 months are your best
Gear up and trade well
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Not much supply seen today in the
#Orderflow
at 16190-200 F zone allowing bulls a clean pass
I think supply is holding back for the bigger battle at 16350 F ahead
If bulls manage it past 16350 F for 2 days straight, all these baby bears will be running back into their holes
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Behind every good trader is the same trader who got frustrated with his losses, but took the time to learn and did something about his losses.
The easier option was to quit.
But Sikka jahan kho jata hain, usse wahin pe khojana padhta hain!
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Every big decline on a Friday means extra doomsday predictions, bear hunts , bear targets and extra videos by your favorite bearish analyst on YT :) .
Ignore and mute all.
Yeh sab chalta rahenga:)
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My trading plan for the day which I so generously share with you. I don't have to , but I do it.
It's your Time to show some gratitude for the work done
Day 1 played to the plan as we expected
#Nifty
Moving on..
I don't expect 21420 F to break tomorrow, but they taught me "never say never" in markets
So 🤞to see Buyers again tom after a 1 day holiday in markets today.
Rest is easy...Oops they never taught me that also :)
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Today's sell off in
#Nifty
and
#Banknifty
done with the same volume as Friday in index Futures ~ 4.15 L contracts
Was predominantly cash based selling today
Option volume was 30% higher than Thursday at 7.44 CR in contracts
#OptionsTrading
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I have been in markets for 2 decades & the last decade+ half as an active derivatives trader
Wasted my early time in markets & lost a lot of money too
Here are 10 pieces of advice I'd give to my younger self:
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Bulls could not manage 10 minutes above 16350.
2 days was a wild thought.
Saw demand disappearing twice today from the tape again
#orderflow
At this rate we would open doors for 14400-14700 soon.
Not much supply seen today in the
#Orderflow
at 16190-200 F zone allowing bulls a clean pass
I think supply is holding back for the bigger battle at 16350 F ahead
If bulls manage it past 16350 F for 2 days straight, all these baby bears will be running back into their holes
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Tom is
#settlement
day again
As usual the greedy writers will come &write 15 bucks for 0
Max return expected 15
Risk - max
Bros, if you want to make 15/- only why not do directional trading esp this market
Even if you want to write, sell ATM 100 & cover 85 , much easier no?
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