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We are pleased to announce the release of our Q4 US Macroeconomic
#Outlook
.
Key Highlights:
- Our analysis suggests the regional bank crisis is far from over. We project a potential -48% downside for the $KRE ETF from its current price of $42 per share.
- Persistent
@dampedspring
If people weren't struggling with this concept, we wouldn't have this massive
#housing
price bubble.
House prices, relative to rent prices, are above 2008 levels. This means the yield on these investments, minus the risk-free rate, is negative, and yet people are still buying...
$ATOM HAS SURGED +0.73% Today
Some Stats:
> Today 35083600 ATOM were traded!
> This volume was -1.9 standard deviations from the YTD mean
Will
#ATOM
keep rising?
Comment your reasons!
#crypto
#bitcoin
#news
#trading
#stocks
Equity market bottom with US unemployment at 3.6%?
➡ Top 10 12-month forward returns occur when the unemployment rate peaks on average around 8.49%
➡ Worst 10 12-month forward performance occurs when the unemployment rate is on average around 4.92%
$SPY $SPX
#Unemployment
$SHIB HAS SURGED +0.45% Today
Some Stats:
> Today 18353544 SHIB were traded!
> This volume was -1.21 standard deviations from the YTD mean
Will
#SHIB
keep rising?
Comment your reasons!
#crypto
#bitcoin
#news
#trading
#stocks
$SPX increased by 0.4627% since last week!
Latest
#CFTC
reports show that:
> Hedge Funds increased their positions by 11660 contracts
> Retail Investors increased their positions by 7766 contracts
Will $SPX keep increasing?
Comment your thoughts!
$SPY
#SP500
#ES_f
$LINK HAS SURGED +0.44% Today
Some Stats:
> Today 19902968 LINK were traded!
> This volume was -1.85 standard deviations from the YTD mean
Will
#LINK
keep rising?
Comment your reasons!
#crypto
#bitcoin
#news
#trading
#stocks
⚠ $BTC increased by 10.6149% since last week!
Latest
#CFTC
reports show that:
➡ Hedge Funds decreased their positions by -685 contracts
➡ Retail Investors increased their positions by 177 contracts
Will $BTC keep increasing?
#Bitcoin
#Crypto
#DeFi
$LEO HAS SURGED +1.76% Today
Some Stats:
> Today 198941 LEO were traded!
> This volume was -1.82 standard deviations from the YTD mean
Will
#LEO
keep rising?
Comment your reasons!
#crypto
#bitcoin
#news
#trading
#stocks
Everything OK in the banking sector?????
Some institutions are desperate for these short term gobbies.
Liquidity in the banking sector is getting compromised...
$SPY
$SHY
$FRC
#investing
#markets
#bonds
#Crisis
#Liquidity
$BTC decreased by -4.2613% since last week!
Latest
#CFTC
reports show that:
> Hedge Funds increased their positions by 388 contracts
> Retail Investors increased their positions by 196 contracts
Will $BTC keep decreasing?
#Bitcoin
#Crypto
#DeFi
$BTC HAS SURGED +0.99% Today
Some Stats:
> Today 1655372800 BTC were traded!
> This volume was -2.34 standard deviations from the YTD mean
Will $BTC keep rising?
#crypto
#markets
#trading
#stocks
#BTC
@KobeissiLetter
Nominal Figures look scary. But reality is different.
Relative to household disposable income, credit card debt is no worse than in 2019.
Interest Rate on Credit Cards YoY Change IS 6.16 STD FROM THE MEAN!
Bullish or bearish for
#stocks
?
Is there Long-term consequences for the
#economy
?
Is your portfolio positioned?
Share your thoughts!
#investing
#news
#trading
#business
RECENT
#business
#news
:
➡ Property wins big, Adani lags in stellar year for Indian stocks:
➡ Mitsubishi UFJ sees India as key growth market, eyes expansion:
Sources:
#Bloomberg
#Reuters
⚠ $NDX increased by 0.3504% since last week!
Latest
#CFTC
reports show that:
➡ Hedge Funds increased their positions by 8622 contracts
➡ Retail Investors decreased their positions by -3929 contracts
Will $NDX keep increasing?
$QQQ
#NQD100
#NQ_f
⚠ Shiller Housing price to Hourly Earnings IS 1.94 STD FROM THE MEAN!
📊 Bullish or bearish for
#stocks
?
📈 Is there Long-term consequences for the
#economy
?
⁉ Is your portfolio positioned?
Share your thoughts!
#investing
#news
#trading
#business
⚠
#UST2YR
decreased by -0.054% since last week!
Latest
#CFTC
reports show that:
➡ Hedge Funds decreased their positions by -138144 contracts
➡ Retail Investors decreased their positions by -6387 contracts
Will
#UST2YR
keep decreasing?
#trading
#bonds
#news
$BUSD HAS SURGED +0.01% Today
Some Stats:
> Today 92960512 BUSD were traded!
> This volume was -1.81 standard deviations from the YTD mean
Will
#BUSD
keep rising?
Comment your reasons!
#crypto
#bitcoin
#news
#trading
#stocks
March 2024 US Economic Cycle Overview:
In our economic cycle analysis, 50% of indicators signal a cycle top, 0% signal a cycle bottom and 50% are neutral.
On a month on month basis, the equity market improved the most, increasing by 3.47%, whereas the labour market
$FLJ HAS FALLEN -33.35% Today
Some Stats:
> Todays volume was 2589517 shares
> This volume was 2.78 standard deviations from the YTD mean
Will $FLJ keep falling?
Comment your reasons!
#stocks
#trading
#investing
#news
#finance
#business
$TRX HAS SURGED +0.68% Today
Some Stats:
> Today 15818800 TRX were traded!
> This volume was -2.14 standard deviations from the YTD mean
Will
#TRX
keep rising?
Comment your reasons!
#crypto
#bitcoin
#news
#trading
#stocks
$GBPJPY increased 4.94% this month!
February Seasonal Stats since 2003-12-01:
➡ Increases on average by 0.34%
➡ Standard deviation of 3.97%
➡ Median increase of 0.19%
➡ Max return of 6.86%
➡ Min return of -7.71%
Will $GBPJPY keep rising?
#trading
#forex
#GBPJPY
RECENT
#business
#news
:
> Cathay Pacific to order Boeing 777-8F freighter -sources:
> Inside South Korea's race to become one of the world’s biggest arms dealers:
Sources:
#Reuters