I bought shares of $ASPN after market. Their industrial business will be half their annual revenue in a few quarters, growing at a neck break pace of 70%. The equity in the company is worth 614M if you sold everything nailed down... which is near where its trading after hours. at this price this is an LNG & industrial energy growth play... Forget the EV business... that's a bonus at this price. Industrial revenue is close to a $200M annual run-rate growing 70%... that is 3.5 EV/Sales.... That's the same valuation as some of the industrial/material companies with high single digit growth and 0.5-0.75 the gross margin of these guys. Given Trump's energy boom, exporting LNG to allies and data center's needing as much industrial insulation as these guys can produce... at $8... you get EV business as a call option... The DoE loan as a call option... Easiest over reaction this earnings season! Buy and forget... thank me in 3 years.

RT @gregisenberg: This chart is nuts. Software developer jobs down 70% from peak. People will blame the end of free money. But something w…

@ronjonbSaaS Do you think the business is more than a consulting firm now? Growth sure is nice… but revenue per employee makes it looks like a consulting firm to me.

@Brian_Stoffel_ How does APP revenues even make sense? I have never seen growth like this out of nowhere… it feels like it has to be a scam, they’re going to overtake YouTube in ad revenues soon!

I added after hours... ASPN is now 700M market cap after hours. Of the two 2 revenue segments EV (Thermal barrier) & Industrial. Industrial is what I have been waiting to invest in, I just waited for the company to become small enough in market cap so that the growth of this segment gives me as much exposure without EV and DoE loan risk... Industrial is all about LNG/Power/Energy/construction and growing 70% YoY and will be 50% of the companies annual revenue run rate (+200M, of total 450M ) with 40% gross margins. Given this administrations intent for LNG expansion and energy infrastructure projects... this will continue to grow so EV and DoE loan will be a call option at this point but not important. The equity of the company is 614M, they have 200M in cash... Easy buy for me!

been waiting on sidelines for their thermal-barrier business and DoE loan risk to be priced out, so this is a great opportunity for me and my own investment thesis for industrial.... I waited for the company to become small enough in market cap so that the growth of this segment gave me as much exposure without much EV business risk. I have no clue how the EV business / DoE loan will turn out... but in my mind, I've already priced those at 0. Wouldn't mind another leg down to be honest so I can really go big!

@7Innovator He's worth more from $OKLO haha

$SPOT doesn't own its content library, has 3Mag 7 competitors... one of which, $AMZN, is the best at audiobooks. The other Youtube $GOOGL, outpays every content creator and $AAPL gives 3months free every device purchase... So no pricing power. Long $AMZON $GOOGL... at $750... $SPOT is a short.

@RealJimChanos @CliffordAsness You've done some great work! Any thoughts on $WMT $COST $SFM $CASEY and the US grocers valuations? Their European counterparts are trading at 0.5-0.1 the valuation of their American competitors.

@Jedi_ant I feel like there are going going on... the backrooms swapping shares back and for, marking up their books, while using the low volume markets to jack up the underlying....

@Jedi_ant covered WMT?

$CA does 80-90B in sales.... and sports a $9B valuation $SFM does 7.5B and sports a valuation $17B... The American premium is now at crazy territory....

@sb800000 Let the tariff rhetoric on China peak and then buy. They changed some risk language around China which is why we got a big downgrade from Barclays. We've known about tariff risk for a while, this is just an excuse to sell... The Barclays analyst are clueless on this name.

QQQ SPY WMT COST NVDA TSLA PLTR NVDA JPM ANET GEV AAPL GOOG I don’t understand this… can someone explain why this isn’t crazy? Or rigged? Banks all just swap shares behind the scene, marking their books up each and use the low volume stock market + passive flows to drive everything up. Making record after record profits… Meanwhile all the charts look parabolic while the dollar is increasing against every single currency. Do you just play this game with calls? Feels like you’ll never lose!

What I’m surprised of is why Supermarkets stocks are up so much the last 18 months. SFM up 300% COST up 75%, WMT up 100%, CASY up 90% Defensive and inflationary, automation plays? But EPS isn’t accelerating nearly as fast as price… Will EPS catch up or is this the dumbest bidding up of a sector ? tariffs aren’t having any effect either… Baffled by their moves, got puts on a bunch on Thursday-Friday.

@alc2022 Lmao. If HIMS becomes a trillion, it’s because of hyperinflation…… and Amazon will be worth a googolplex

The price action makes sense… the growth was anticipated, the stock is up 300% since April of last year. Profit taking. I’m not selling a single share. I’m in it with @RobertPera @underlinux till the bitter end! Let’s say they have a quarterly run rate of $2.30 EPS now, that means the forward 12 month does around $9 of earnings in a year. At Around 450, $9 in EPS makes this 50x earnings… similar to $ANET might sound expensive buttttt Growing 30% (and accelerating) I’d say valuation is justified… Costco has a PE of 55 growing 5-10-%. Ok, Ubiquiti is not Costco yet in terms of predictability, but at least we can grow into our valuation quite fast… and the business model is so nimble it can shift fast to adapt in the AI disreputable world. I think they proved that the last 24months. So I wouldn’t worry… Jesus… A 30% CAGR, in 3 years this will have a PE of 23 and that’s without margins expanding given the Enterprise level profits waiting around the corner. Personally I see a path where they can earn $20 by 2027 and keep growing ! How? Right now, the West has turned anti-Chinese surveillance, besides Axis, I believe Ubiquiti is the only game in town. The surveillance companies have a at least a combined $120B of market cap (Hikvision, Dahua, etc…) and they’re on the verge of banning TP-Link, Unifi’s biggest competitor (who cloned Unifi). I believe Unifi protect will take a massive swath of that. And then they have the enterprise segment they are also going after. If they do everything right… This is another 5-10x by the middle of the next decade. In the short term, there is some tariff risk from the trade war…. Unfortunately, that will impact every hardware company including yours truly. I’ll have to write out a detailed article about all this!