Caucasus Policy Analysis Center (CPAC). Twitting on conflicts, Caucasus + interesting aspects of intl politics. Presenting a vision from
#Azerbaijan
. RT≠support
Waiting for confirmation: Reportedly, President
#Aliyev
’s photos appear in various places in
#Tabriz
,
#Iran
, with a text on it: “Southern
#Azerbaijan
is with you, Mr President”. It seems Iranian Azerbaijanis are not afraid to exhibit their sympathy toward President Aliyev.
Amir Ali Iravani, the great-grandsn of the last Irevan khan, had a busy week in
#Azerbaijan
, travelling and meeting high-profile people. It is a demonstration of
#Baku
's resolution in historical claims toward
#Zangazur
&
#Yerevan
in response to
#Armenia
's claims toward
#Karabakh
.
#Azerbaijan
arrests two Iranian truck drivers with set of documents reading: “Place of Delivery: Stepanakert, Armenia”. It’s going to increase the tension between
#Baku
and
#Tehran
even more. Also, the
#GorisKapan
road is not safe anymore for Iranian cargo.
#AliandNino
monument - dedicated to the love story of Azerbaijani boy and Georgian girl - in
#Batumi
. Happy to find peace, friendship and love stories among South Caucasus nations, especially a piece about
#Azerbaijan
in
#Georgia
.
President
#Aliyev
,
#France24
interview: We are investigating the accident with
#Shusha
church,
#Armenia
'ns themselves might do that to blaim us, if it is done by some AZE Army soldr it is not intentionally, we do not target any religious/historic sites
#NKwar
#NKpeace
#Azerbaijan
Interesting conversation
Journalist(-):
- Where are you coming?
Karabakh Armenian(+):
+ From ...
#Khankendi
- Why are you leaving?
+ We are forced out
- Who?!
- Our... local leaders...
He is the fourth respondent who talks about local community leaders ordering people all out.
My previous post revealed scepticism by some about
#Baku
’s capacity to influence Iranian Azerbaijanies. Here is a short story by the former MFA of
#Azerbaijan
Mammadyarov about his visit to Urmia, Iran.
I believe we are in the final days (weeks) of the military phase of
#NKwar
.
The Europeans had to fight in two World Wars to get peace. Let's hope two wars in
#NagornoKarabakh
will be enough for
#Azerbaijan
and
#Armenia
to reach a sustainable consensus/long-standing peace
#NKpeace
#Baku
is hosting an unannounced parade to celebrate the 103rd anniversary of Baku’s liberation by the joint Turkish-Azerbaijani Army in 1918. The first parade was in the last year.
#Turkey
#Azerbaijan
#Afshar
community members of
#Afghanistan
- ethic Azerbaijanis - sent messages to
#Azerbaijan
, asking to evacuate them. Surprised to hear such clear Azerbaijani from Afghanistan. Interesting.
Just noticed the walls of the palace of the Prime Minister of
#Armenia
are sky blue. This is the same colour that is associated with
#Turkic
nationalism. No?
#GorisKapan
road case is an excellent example of
#ARMenia
|ns from one town travelling to another ARM town via
#Azerbaijan
|i territory. No border check. No customs check. In return, AZEs from AZE proper could travel to Nakhchivan. Too bad we are losing another peace opportunity.
Azerbaijan’s Trend IA publishes video proof of weapon transfer from
#Armenia
to the
#Karabakh
via the “alternative road”, where clashes took place yesterday. It seems,
#Azerbaijan
decided to check the road and faced with minivan full of Armed people yesterday.
Humanitarian cargo can pass through Azerbaijani protestors, so the road is open for humanitarian purposes.
#Azerbaijan
|i protestors established effective control over the
#Lachin
road, blocking military (illegal transport in the soldiers and mines) and non-hum cargo.
Yesterday, R.Vardanyan reminded Pr Aliyev about Op-Nemesis, saying his grandkids might not feel safe in France, the UK, Italy etc. It is wrong on many levels since the S-
#Caucasus
mentality is highly sensitive to such threats. It is almost equal to PM Pashinyan's dance in
#Shusha
#Azerbaijan
sent another patch of humanitarian aid to Ukraine.
The Ambassador of
#Ukraine
to Azerbaijan Kanevsky thanked Azerbaijani President and people for their support to his country.
Pashinyan is to release prisoners to fight in
#NagornoKarabakh
. Expecting a dramatic increase in war crimes. Is it that hard to agree to the inter-community dialogue (which is part of PPP)/de-escalate the situation? Instead of sending criminals to the frontline?
#NKpeace
#NKwar
A view to
#Shusha
from Armenian populated parts of
#Karabakh
.
#Baku
to allure back Karabakh
#Armenia
|n sympathy with economic perspectives and improved living standards.
How can we measure the change in 5 years? How many Karabakh Arms would see more opportunities in
#Azerbaijan
?
90s repeat itself. Conflicting parties talk about ceasfire, but they can restart it very next day. In May1992, when AZE and ARM leaders were about to sign a peace deal in
#Tehran
, ARM armed forces launched attack to
#Shusha
.
#NKwar
#NKpeace
120
#Azerbaijan
|i troops guard the
#Kabul
airport together w/
#Turkey
soldiers.
#Pakistan
is mediating terms for staying w/
#Taliban
. As a result of the 2nd NKwar, we see Azerbaijani-Turkish Alliance (+Pakistan) active power projection.
#44daywar
changed the wider region a lot.
Today is the 30th anniversary of the
#Karakend
tragedy-a civilian helicopter carrying a peacekeeping mission team consisting of high-ranking Azerbaijani officials shot down over
#Karabakh
. The tragedy would end
#Zheleznovodsk
communique peace inititd by Yeltsin&Nazarbayev in 1991
So, the CSTO is leaving
#Kazakhstan
. It is a win for
#Azerbaijan
also, demonstrating the CSTO country troops can leave the territories they entered. Another myth debunked.
#UN
mission already in
#Karabakh
. Apparently, first, they will monitor not only Armenian habited areas but also document the destroyed cities habited by Azerbaijanis during Soviet times. It will be interesting to read.
#Armenia
#Azerbaijan
AzTV-
#Azerbaijan
State TV interviewed Armenians leaving
#Karabakh
. Pleased to see so many responses to return in the future for cohabitation with Azerbaijanis.
An additional video from social media, with a train full of Russian trucks and army equipment moving towards
#Baku
and the northern borders of
#Azerbaijan
to
#Russia
. Russian troops in
#Karabakh
are leaving.
Vitaly
#Balasanyan
announced he is not going to leave
#Karabakh
. He said he was here, lived here and will live in Karabakh. If such people stay, many more will stay.
Hesitations about the
#Zangazur
pass might lead to
#Azerbaijan
’s control over access to the
#Lachin
pass. This is one of the possible developments as a (lack of) result of the recent developments.
#Azerbaijan
’s
#TURAN
agency accuses
#Armenia
’s
#ARMENPRESS
agency of misquoting the US Ambassador to Armenia. The Ambassador talks about the “final settlement of the remaining tasks”, whereas ARMENPRESS quote the “status of Nagorno-
#Karabakh
”. Interesting.
“Another Syrian says”, “unconfirmed report”, “BBC has not been able independently to confirm”… therefore, let me put the question once more: “any internationally acknowledged report?”. Have any international organisation produced report on the issue?
Now, the question is, if a significant number of Karabakh Armenians decide to leave
#Karabakh
(unfortunately) using the humanitarian corridor offered by the Azerbaijani government, will the number of Russian troops in Karabakh stay the same?
#Armenia
#Azerbaijan
#Russia
The root of the current stand-off in Lachin road is Ruben
#Vardanyan
, someone sent by
#Russia
to block direct links between Baku and Karabakh Armenians, ensuring Russian presence on the issue.
#Baku
has a feeling that the
#Kremlin
is changing the rule of the game in the middle.
Rprtdly,
@NikolPashinyan
is having a closed meeting w/ "non-parlmn parties". Earlier there was ARM Security Council meeting. Prior to that both of ARM and AZE leaders publicly confrmd readiness to meet.
I hope it is about Pashinyan saying Yes to the implementation
#NKwar
#NKpeace
According to social media reports, a group of
#Karabakh
|i Armenian, in the company of
#Russia
|n soldiers, approached
#Azerbaijan
|i officers asking for jobs and accepting Azerbaijani passports. Waiting for confirmation. Great opportunity for reintegration.
Reportedly,
#Azerbaijan
|i soldiers refuse to talk to
#Armenia
|n reps and demand
#Russia
|n reps to speak with them.
It is a sign of total distrust. But it is also a sign of
#Baku
holding
#Moscow
responsible for the recent developments, not Yerevan anymore
Once more, it is political, not humanitarian-there is an agreement to use
#Aghdam
Road for general purposes and
#Lachin
Road for specific (medical, etc) purposes. And it is stated in the ICRC statement. Will warlords in
#Karabakh
block humanitarian aid to people from Aghdam Road?
(2) - In Brussels it was agreed that Agdam-Khankandi road will be used for bigger volume of deliveries. It was also reiterated in ICRC statement.
- Insisting for using only Lachin road but refusing Agdam road, putting road blocks and politicizing it is unacceptable.
#Erdogan
: "If Armenia takes positive steps toward
#Ankara
, then we will open the borders. We do not have a wish to keep borders permanently closed with the neighboring country"
#Armenia
#Turkey
#Azerbaijan
Karabakh Armenians and Azerbaijanis definitely need to talk to each other, to reconcile with their past. Apparently, Rauf has found peace with its past. Now, let 1M Karabakh Azerbaijanis and 120K Karabakh Armenians sort out their past traumas.
On 1 Novmbr 1997 (23 years ago this day), the President of Armenia Ter-Petrosyan published his article 'War or Peace: Time for Thoughtfulness,' explaining why
#NKpeace
is needed for the future of
#Armenia
and
#NagornoKarabakh
. Time for rereading it
#NKwar
The U.S. Def Attache in Azerbaijan met with
#Azerbaijan
’s First Deputy-MoD. Security cooperation between the
#US
and Azerbaijan was discussed. This meeting spikes a tremendous public interest in the context of the recent developments between
#Baku
and
#Tehran
.
#Iran
A noteworthy sharing by an Azerbaijani FB user named "Azay Kerimov". According to him, he was invited by the Special Services to meet Vagif Khachaturov. Vagif recognised him and disclosed information about his involvement in the
#Meshali
massacre& other interesting infos
Interesting. President
#Aliyev
to visit
#Kiev
. On January 14, he will hold talks with the President of Ukraine Volodymyr
#Zelensky
, in Kiev - the press service of the President of
#Ukraine
reported.
Joint Liasion Group of Armenian and Azerbaijani experts met in Tbilisi and discussed the interim results of the group’s activity and the recent regional developments.
#Azerbaijan
#Armenia
#CBMs
There are reports and photos of ARM soldiers with white flags. Some of the units started to surrender (not sharing photos). Good. The ceasefire is near. Also, the soldiers can prove the presence of Armenia (not NK Armenians) in Nagorno-Karabakh at the intl courts.
#NKpeace
#NKwar
In ARM, according to the new laws, criticism toward the central and local government institutions is prohibited. Why? I have a few ideas, but still, why? Is
@NikolPashinyan
afraid of a coup d'etat?
#NKpeace
#NKwar
#Armenia
Sarkis Galstyan has become the acting head of
#Khankendi
municipality, Armenian media reports. In the 1990s, he was a peace activist advocating for peoples' diplomacy and visited
#Baku
several times.
The State TV of Azerbaijan is airing a patriotic poem from the Iranian-Azerbaijani poet Shahriyar:
"Your sons died for Iran, Azerbaijan.
Instead, you got nothing but problems...
The freedom is the cure for you and for me,
#Azerbaijan
" (loose translation)
CaliberAz: Custom check on
#Lachin
Road to be the same as the other custom checkpoints. This means the documentation is filled in according to Azerbaijani legislation & a legal entity registered in
#Azerbaijan
. Full integration into AZE legal space expcted
In reality, everything started with
#PoladHashimov
. The death of an army general during
#TovuzTavush
escalation led people to the street, and a massive rally took place in Baku in July 2020. The rest is history.
#NKpeace
#NKwar
A serious allegation. Could ICRC confirm the reason for the death being malnutrition? What was the person's social status in
#Karabakh
? What happened to his family?
The authorities in Nagorno-Karabakh have reported that a 40-year-old man has starved to death in the eighth month of the region’s blockade by Azerbaijan.
Erkin GADIRLI, Azerbaijani MP from the oppositional REAL political party, shared his vision on “how to read the ICJ order”. It is one of the many interpretations of the case and shows that the black/white approach is never valid one. The rest is copy past of his sharing: … 1/n
So, the news on
#Russia
|n soldiers leaving
#Karabakh
to fight in
#Ukraine
is also confirmed by the Ukrainian General Staff. I don't believe Karabakh Armenians are part of it, but ethnic
#Armenia
|ns serving in the 102nd military have no chance to say 'no'.
⚡️Ukrainian General Staff: Russia is bringing fighters from Syria, Serbia, Nagorno-Karabakh to replenish troops in Ukraine.
Russia is regrouping its troops for an offensive, Ukraine’s General Staff said on March 13.
Reportedly, in
#Shusha
, there is only one building precisely targeted&destroyed - the venue where earlier this year Harutyunyan held ceremonies and declared intentions to make Shusha as the central city. Many in
#Azerbaijan
took it as offence back then
#NKpeace
#NKwar
Why is it not possible to deliver via the
#Aghdam
route? Baku expressed readiness.
It is time for
#Baku
to announce taking charge of the utility services. TIme to discuss the electricity, gas and water management together.
🧵 Despite persistent efforts, we are currently unable to deliver aid via the Lachin corridor & other routes, including Aghdam.
With these convoys blocked, our concern is that the humanitarian situation will further deteriorate.
Russian MoD cancelled the Purchase Order for the services “in the territory of Nagorno-Karabakh Republic” following the public dissatisfaction in
#Azerbaijan
.
#Russia
In the last couple of days, ARM rockets hit Khizi and Absheron-very close to Baku. Today, Chiragli village residents in
#Dagistan
also reported a missile hit "from
#NagornoKarabakh
". Apprntly, ARM tries to reach
#Baku
, with very old missiles, hence, not successful
#NKwar
#NKpeace
In Kiev, two Azeri students were shot-at. The police is looking for Mercedes G series, plate# 50RV100.
Not good. Something even bigger might follow, if the societies do not see positive development in the
#NKpeace
.
Now, at this stage of the Armenian-Azerbaijani reconciliation process, the peacebuilding community needed him more than ever. Sincere Person. Genuine Peacebuilder. Great Loss. Rest in Peace, Georgi.
#Karabakh
#Azerbaijan
#Armenia
#NKpeace
President Biden sent Novruz congratulations to President Aliyev: “I wish you and the people of Azerbaijan a joyous and prosperous Novruz Bayrami. This time of renewal is an opportunity to reaffirm our cooperation and commitment to peace.”
#Azerbaijan
#USA
#Novruz
Karabakh=Zangazur. Before, it was a prediction, but now President Aliyev made a public statement:
#Armenia
continuing historical claims toward
#Karabakh
would trigger
#Azerbaijan
to launch its claims toward
#Zangazur
/
#Syunik
in Armenia.
Mine clearance is a human rights issue for
#Azerbaijan
. No territories cleared from mines, no return of IDPs to their homes, hence continued violation of human rights. Hope this will end soon.
#Karabakh
#Peace4SC
#BreakingNews
A food cargo from the Russian Red Cross Society which was delayed two days, left for Azerbaijan's
#Khankendi
.
A total of 1 truckload of food with food and non-food products by the Russian
#RedCross
has already passed through
#Aghdam
region and moved towards
Iran’s TASNIM agency (semi-official IRGC/Sepah media body) announces the terror act in
#Shiraz
,
#Iran
was conducted by Azerbaijani national. Can it be a false-flag operation for the war? The situation is highly tense between
#Azerbaijan
&Iran.
I have seen so many condolence messages such as this one by Azerbaijani social media users in recent days. Peace is human nature.
#Armenia
#Azerbaijan
#Karabakh
EpressAm reports, an Armenian lady did not like her living conditions in a dormitory (rent prices went high), decided to move to
#Shusha
. RusPK stopped her. Can we state, there are people among
#Karabakh
Armenians who remember peaceful coexistence, not afraid to live w/ Azeris?
There are many nuances to the document signed yesterday between
#Azerbaijan
and
#Russia
. One thing is for sure, now Azerbaijan is immune from becoming CSTO and EEU member. Nevertheless, AZE might suffer short-term reputational damages among the EaP and the Euro-Atlantic community
Azerbaijani social media accounts report about a Russian troops' convoy once stationed in
#Karabakh
moving towards
#Baku
(and then to the northern borders). So, Russian troops are moving out of
#Azerbaijan
.
According to
#Azerbaijan
'i MoD, the head of ARM sabotage group Senior-Lieutenant Gurgin Alberyan was taken prisoner by AZE Armed Forces, during an attempt to attack
#Goranboy
LoC (northern part). This can lead to another escalation.
#NKPeace
#Armenia