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M. Bolton
@5_utr
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Oncologist | RadOnc | Stats #Rstats | Opinion | Politics | Never Trump
Joined February 2021
RT @SenSchumer: Welcome to the age of Trumpflation. Groceries are up. Chicken, pork, steak are all more expensive. Eggs prices are up 15%…
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Type I error rate is not a rate and is not the probability of an error. It is the probability of making an assertion of an effect when *any* such assertion is by definition wrong (emphasis mine) HT @f2harrell Ch 22 #bbr
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@RWJE_BA @AdanBecerraPhD Yes. We care about relative treatment effectiveness over some relevant time horizon. @f2harrell gets it perfect here
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@RWJE_BA @AdanBecerraPhD But then we wouldn’t get talks like this on how without causal inference AI is “fake intelligence” 😂
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@imsmart420 @SuyogCancer @OncBrothers @tuttsakhil @Erman_Akkus @ErikaHamilton9 @todrashish I think important to consider less side effects and less costs with less
❣️ShortHER Phase III 9 wks vs 1 year Herceptin adjuvant 10 year DFS is 77% in 1 year arm and 78% in the 9 wks arm Posterior probability of noninferiority for 9 wks vs 1 y: 93.2% Less severe cardiac toxicity with 9 wks Noninformative prior
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@RWJE_BA @AdanBecerraPhD Yes we must achieve true precision medicine with waterfall plots, biomarkers, and causal AI 🤪
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