3BM15
@3_bm15
Followers
2K
Following
11K
Media
1K
Statuses
10K
Joined June 2022
He's gonna have to watch the bombing of Iran through shitty OSINT aggregators like the rest of us.
President Trump has rescinded former National Security Advisor John Bolton’s security clearance.
10
97
2K
If Ukraine gets nuclear weapons, I'm not sure what stops Russia from handing out nukes like candy to any anti-US regime that would take them.
62
66
729
"For Crocus City" written on a bomb about to be dropped on Ukraine. The sheer absurdity of the "SMO" in one image.
23
78
681
The man had 1 (ONE) wrong opinion this lot didn't like, and that's literally all it takes. Cannibalistic morons.
40
21
633
As always, US delivery of new capabilities is telegraphed well in advance. Now watch how the VKS does absolutely nothing to prepare and loses like fifteen jets in Crimea.
🚨🇺🇲🇺🇦 BREAKING: CNN reports the Biden Admin has informed Congress that they will provide "long-range" ATACMS to Ukraine. This would likely include the M39A1, M48, & M57. Doubtful that the newest M57E1s would be sent.
17
28
525
FighterBomber claims that there's less footage of Russian air strikes being released, but that this does not correspond to a drop in actual strikes. The Ukrainians have reported a significant decrease in the number of glide bomb strikes. I've not made sense of this yet.
15
27
524
@tweet4Anna_NAFO It's hilarious that you managed to dig up one incident not involving Russians.
18
2
467
Does anyone remember this? Car bomb in Kyiv, muh escalation in 2017.
10
69
465
Fake. This is a video from Kazakhstan filmed back in 2022. Remember, can help you week out this stuff (even though the updates are paused for now).
14
57
343
Either the Biden administration:. A) believes there are real risks associated with allowing long range strikes but the fallout isn't their problem anymore . B) doesn't believe it's risky, but didn't care to do it anyway . Looks cowardly either way.
23
40
304
Iskander strikes on a Ukranian air defense battery, claimed to be Patriot. Approximate position: 48.346890, 34.820855. @GeoConfirmed
17
45
275
One immutable rule of OSINT is that Iris-T is always a decoy. Always. I suspect the system doesn't even exist and is an elaborate prank.
11
6
252
@EvansRyan202 A court (such as it is) shouldn't be held back by political calculations though.
4
0
213
This reminds me of the phase before the war when Ukrainians signaled that they'll resist. What the fuck lol.
President-elect Trump’s comments show a complete lack of understanding of what makes Canada a strong country. Our economy is strong. Our people are strong. We will never back down in the face of threats.
7
10
237
Ukraine successfully used the Kursk offensive to demonstrate that there are no red lines. Just not really in the way that they intended.
14
14
226
@VigorousFalcon Let's put it this way: Oryx counts losses, not gains. If a vehicle is captured, that doesn't mean it's put to use.
4
0
201
It's interesting how a group of people who built their entire online identity based on Ukraine are in complete denial about Ukraine.
10
16
198
Both Ukrainian and Russian sources agree that the numbers of Russian air strikes are breaking new record, and are a significant factor in recent Russian advances. This seems consistent with available footage, the stream of which is constant.
12
30
196
I'm seeing far too much gleeful cheering for what could end up being another humanitarian disaster.
12
6
194
Russia receiving new jets today is evidence of Russia losing jets in last night's attack. Top OSI T right here. Only on this site.
The Russians appear to be laying the groundwork for bad news. I don't believe in coincidences when it comes to the Kremlin controlled media. Russian Media (Военный Осведомитель): «The next batch of Su-34s has been transferred to the Russian Defense Ministry as part of the
9
7
165
Russia struck an energy infrastructure object in Lutsk. This is almost certainly the Pivnichna 330 kV substation. 50.775231, 25.386819
6
15
175
It appears that the Ladyzhynska TPP has another hole in it as of this morning, as seen on Sentinel 2 (09:06:57 UTC). The plant was previously damaged in March this year. 48.706831, 29.219757
4
28
167
A very grim assesement of the situation Ukraine finds itself in. I'd say this is the most important point: regardless of what happens with the current (and upcoming?) Russian offensive, there doesn't seem to be a coherent long-term plan for Ukraine winning the war.
Ale to co przyjedzie z USA nie zmieni kursu tej wojny, a jedynie go opóźni. Dalej czekamy na rozwiązania długoterminowe i systemowe, zarówno ze strony USA jak i Europy i przedstawienie konkretnego planu wsparcia militarnego Ukrainy w tej wojnie, który pozwoliłby jej skupić się na.
17
22
153
Ukrainian military claims that a "significant part" of content depicting mobilization in Ukraine are a part of a Russian psyop, and that fake videos are filmed in occupied territory. Thankfully, geolocation can help determine the validity of these videos on a case-by case basis.
22
21
142
Very good. Now would anyone like to explain to the class why defending a salient in Kursk is a better idea than defending in Zaporizhya and Kherson?.
Commander-in-Chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Oleksandr Sirsky, reported on October 10 that Russia had redeployed 50,000 troops to the Kursk sector, weakening other fronts, including Zaporizhia, Kherson, and Kramatorsk. According to him, this shift has made it easier for the
30
11
153
@sumlenny @colone1flanders @JayinKyiv Let's draw sweeping conclusions about the effectiveness and sophistication of their drone tactics from a sample size of one surprise attack. This is not a nuclear submarine. It's a commercial drone and an RPG.
2
0
141
FIRMS shows a fire in the area of Kremenchuk Hydroelectric Power Plant. Very likely a consequence of last night's Russian missile attack.
4
25
139
I wholeheartedly support the Ukrainian government publicly pushing France on troop deployments to Ukraine etc. It's a win win. They either get some help, or we get to laugh at Macron.
3
11
129
Every time Russia escalates in some way, there's this talk about how desperate and humiliating that move is. It happened with mobilization, which kept Russia in the fight. It happened with Iranian assistance, and Shahed is one of the most iconic weapons of this war.
12
6
131
It's inspiring to see how ruble watchers are still going at it with the same glee as back in 2014.
15
1
132
Every time something bad happens in the US, we get two almost equally dumb takes. A) Aid to Ukraine did this. B) Aid to Ukraine is free . Most arguments on this topic cater to the lowest common denominator and insult the intelligence of everybody else.
8
3
133
Guys, if you're going to Chasiv Yar, make sure you follow the anime AI weirdo and get your briefings from them. They're the TRVE OSINT and have .valuable information (from Telegram) that they personally vet (with chat GPT).
4
8
126
Russian drone drops a bomb on a car in Kherson. Almost certainly a war crime given the context. The source claims every vehicle in the given area of the city is targeted. 46.659644, 32.648675. @GeoConfirmed
17
23
125
@GravitysRa1nbow Officers just being indifferent to this is a charitable interpretation. It's more likely that this is the pervasive mindset in the IDF and security services, and that soldiers act like this on cue from their superiors.
0
3
110
These depot attacks are reminiscent of early HIMARS strikes, obviously different in scale and depth. Not much else to add, except that I'd be careful trying to predict immediate effects on the front. A lot of it depends on the speed of the Russian adaptation.
9
8
121
Is there any consensus on Ka-52 production? . Unlike the jets, they don't seem to announce individual deliveries. The initial batch of Ka-52Ms was 30 helicopters delivered over two years, and Shoigu (RIP) claimed production was doubled, for what's that worth.
11
4
118
Looks huge, has the potential to be one of the more damaging attacks.
НПЗ просто великий, масштаб гарний, кажуть, що 10 влучань було. 00:16
6
5
140
Every time something big happens, the social media gets saturated with bullshit rumors and guesswork. Before jumping on rumors, ask yourself:. 1) How did this person obtain this information?. 2) Is it in their best interest to inform us?. 3) What's their track record?.
4
22
110
We should think twice before we rush to conclude that the Ukrainian Air Force is not a learning organization. Just look how they learned to claim the use of decoys to minimize public outrage. I fully expect this to seep into the blue PowerPoint cope. 5 x Iskander (decoy).
13
6
107
Strike on Kharkiv TEC-3. POV ~49.987303, 36.343859.TPP 49.989512, 36.325164
5
23
112
Well, they certainly managed to surprise and confuse everybody, from observers to the Russian military.
3
6
100
@AndrewPerpetua Amazing how evidence of Russian success (regardless of how small) can be spun into evidence of their failure. War Twitter is a magical place.
9
0
99
Orban dropped a montage of his "peace mission", lol.
13
3
108
The question of what the Georgian Legion is exactly was a mystery for a long time now, but I think we're getting closer to an answer.
🚨I need your help: please share this. My life’s in danger. Last month I wrote an article simply covering genuine allegations made by hundreds of people against the @georgian_legion (it transpired that senior figures stole donations and have been diverting hundreds of thousands
6
3
102
Military recruiters in Kyiv oblast, in the presence of the police, attempted to set fire to a car and smoke out the man locked inside. Officials acknowledged the incident. 50.594046, 30.478207. @GeoConfirmed
10
22
103
Deliberate attack or a targeting error is distinction without a difference for a military organization in which there is no accountability anyway.
5
7
92
Lancet strike, claimed to be on a HIMARS launcher, near Liman. 48.991325, 37.860334. @GeoConfirmed
14
10
97
Friendly reminder that you don't actually need to watch every video that's out there.
5
4
100
Sentinel 1 imagery from 2024-10-08 15:29:09 UTC shows clear returns on positions corresponding to the launchers. I assume this image was taken pre-strike.
Iskander strikes on a Ukranian air defense battery, claimed to be Patriot. Approximate position: 48.346890, 34.820855. @GeoConfirmed
4
17
95
@ItsArtoir He's from Ukraine, goes to Ukraine regularly, and has developed contacts in the Ukrainian military 🤷♂️.
2
0
92
So, I've been, not so subtly, dropping hints about a geolocation tool I'm working on and using in my geolocations for some time now. Certain milestones have been reached today, so I guess I can start showing off a bit. So without further ado.
9
17
89
Police detains a man resisting mobilization in Lviv. 49.803487, 23.995632
15
24
85
@solidarity51245 @kiyirl @scolerkolo Most people don't need to physically dominate others, so yeah, it doesn't have much use. But if getting good at ragdoling people is what you wanna do, wrestling is awesome.
3
0
90
In Ald Marak, the Imperial battlemages are now casting frost damage 5-15 for 10s on target. Adjust resist element spells accordingly. I'm assuming they're using weakness to frost(?) which is an interesting "innovation" in magic doctrine. Be careful regardless.
3
4
85
@VigorousFalcon I'm not sure how that contradicts what I said. Anyway, I think the best way to go about here is to point out this manipulation, if you want to engage in good faith. I've yet to see Oryx refusing to edit the list when a duplicate is proven.
3
0
81
A gentle reminder that a good chunk of the audience here is watching a fantasy version of the war, apparently complete with fantasy military units that they're financially backing. The money is real though.
@AlbertoOlivie13 They're watching some fantasy war playing out on Twitter, fought by a version of Ukraine that exists in their head and only vaguely resembles the real thing. This ecosystem is what pro wrestling is to say MMA. It kind of looks similar, but it's fundamentally a different thing.
8
5
87
Rejoice Ukrainian infantrymen: Russian aviation has collapsed.
Russian elites know they're losing:.M. Timoshenko: "Even in a nightmare we could not have predicted what the Special Military Operation would lead to.".Col. General V Baranet: "Belousov is talentless. Our aviation has collapsed and Ukrainian drones control the skies.".
1
2
86
It's interesting that Zelensky basically confirms Trump's number of 400k Ukrainian casualties, but attempts to downplay it. He claims Ukraine has an almost 1:9 KIA:WIA ratio, while it's closer to 1:3 for Russia.
Zelensky says 43,000 Ukrainian soldiers killed in action; 370,000 wounded. Since September, he says, Russia has lost troops at a ratio of 5:1 or 6:1, compared to Ukraine. "They want to seize more land before global pressure on them becomes unbearable."
22
5
86
Everybody got convinced that the friendly fire claims were some sort of weird Russian cope. PVO chads had to prove them wrong by shooting down the A-50 in Krasnodar.
9
3
76
This is the best thing I've read on this site. Gold.
@devarbol 47th brigade had the most schizophrenic ideological potential, when our epic comandante Markus was still here. He tried to make a "deeply spiritual" mechanized brigade (because obviously you should invent entirely new schizo religion & idiotic ideology for each brigade, that's.
7
1
78
Also, Orlans are just chilling in Dnipro area, observing for missile strikes 100km behind the front line. I think this is somewhat a more worrying development for Ukraine than who controls the brick factories of Donbas.
Russian strike in Dnipro area. 48.396830, 34.812656. They circle the wrong interchange in the video🙄. The strike occured on the 23rd. The debris was a part of the cargo container, not a successful interception as we speculated. @GeoConfirmed
7
3
74
This is a chronic issue as old as the war itself. Military aid for Ukraine is still delivered with a wait-and see approach, based on immediate needs. Every next aid package is secured by arm twisting and seems to involve an implicit hope that somehow it'll be the last needed.
3
5
73
What a clusterfuck.
Yuriy Butusov wrote a long post about problems with the formation of the 155th Mechanized Brigade. He says more than 1,700 soldiers went AWOL before it deployed to the front line, including more than 50 soldiers while training in France. Among the problems, more than 2,500.
5
5
83
@GeoConfirmed @catturd2 And the best part is, literally anyone can verify this for themselves with minimal effort.
0
1
74
@Tatarigami_UA I've realzed that these people don't care about what's true or false, as long as they can cheer on their imaginary version of this war. Their biggest fear isn't something bad happening, it's the other side's cheerleaders getting ammo to mock them.
@AlbertoOlivie13 They're watching some fantasy war playing out on Twitter, fought by a version of Ukraine that exists in their head and only vaguely resembles the real thing. This ecosystem is what pro wrestling is to say MMA. It kind of looks similar, but it's fundamentally a different thing.
3
6
79
The Ukrainian government is spinning a story of military incompetence into yet another rallying cry for it's international supporters. This seems short-sighted. Muddying the waters and conflating military with civilians does not benefit Ukraine but Russia.
7
8
78
Everything that happens/doesn't happen in the world is closely related to {the thing I care about}. It confirms my prior convictions and could have been prevented/enabled if only you'd have listened to me and enacted my preferred policy on {the thing I care about}. 1/50.
7
13
76