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Manbearbull Profile
Manbearbull

@11_alv

Followers
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Following
221K
Statuses
53K

Tax professional, CA CTEC, CA real estate licensed (not a realtor) Stock and Crypto investor and Master data analyst. Tweets are not financial advice.

Joined February 2013
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@11_alv
Manbearbull
1 year
I’m glad the market was down today because now I can share my thoughts on 2024. We had a 1% drop today and every bear has stuck its head out of the cave to spread a little doom this holiday season. I don’t mind the drop at all, it just spreads some fear around making it easier for me to feel bullish. I know you’ve seen a post or two or a YouTube link to an “expert” warning of impending doom for markets and the economy as well — it’s the everything bubble worse than 1929! Only problem with that is we haven’t seen a major speculative run up to cause a major crash, further there is so many out there waiting for the crash to come like it’s a ship sailing into port. Only problem is, historically recession is called in hindsight. I see it this way, we are still feeling the effects of the 2022 bear market, many small cap stocks are still down 50% plus, forecasters have been calling for a recession since mid 2022. Forecasts drive production and we’ve seen layoffs due to these lowered forecast, yet consumer spending is strong. So what’s going to happen when strong spending meets a weak forecast? Well the price of cardboard going up is pointing to the answer. 2022 and 2023 did see a slow down in spending and GDP so is it possible we are coming out of a recession? Time will tell. As far as housing goes I’m going to state a very unpopular opinion and say I feel with falling yields and mortgage rates it’s going to heat up again this Spring. I’m looking to buy but not because I’m speculating, I’m just financially ready and want to move into a home with more space. For me I’m staying the course, sticking with scheduled buys and refusing to let any doomers prediction paralyze me into buying cans of tuna and blowing my check on gold coins. We’ll get through this fine IMO, I hope you all have a wonderful holiday and let’s all prosper in 2024.
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@11_alv
Manbearbull
5 hours
Today is Sunday Feb 9 for me. Spoiler alert, the Eagles crushed the Chiefs. Fly Eagles — fly.
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@11_alv
Manbearbull
5 hours
@ChrisMurphyCT Living in a world of illusion.
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@11_alv
Manbearbull
9 hours
@SteveUrkelDude You need to switch to a vitamin rich diet eliminate white flour based foods go organic as much as possible and add raw milk and raw butter. Taking vitamins are useless because if you don’t include something to carry the vitamins, healthy fats do this.
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@11_alv
Manbearbull
10 hours
@FinTechTrav That’s FU pesos.
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@11_alv
Manbearbull
10 hours
Gavin Newsom can only dream.
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@11_alv
Manbearbull
1 day
@RawQuantum Just think how early we are and what the future products will look like.
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@11_alv
Manbearbull
1 day
@kdan1186 👍. Snowing here in Japan so had a little time to post. Lol.
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@11_alv
Manbearbull
1 day
@SelfMadeMastery To anyone feeling that way I say sell now and speak later.
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@11_alv
Manbearbull
1 day
@RawQuantum The AI money will be mostly on the business and government infrastructure side. I don’t think AI will be a big consumer item but it will take some consumers jobs. Lol.
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@11_alv
Manbearbull
1 day
No matter all the noise the job market is still strong.
@LizThomasStrat
Liz Young Thomas
2 days
Hot Jan jobs report despite 143k jobs added in vs 175k est: Prior months revised up, unemployment fell from 4.1% to 4.0%, wage growth 4.1% y/y vs the est of 3.8%, prime age labor participation ticked higher from 83.4% to 83.5%. Hours worked fell, but probably a blip considering the frigid January we had--expect a rebound next month.
Tweet media one
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@11_alv
Manbearbull
1 day
@SenAdamSchiff All I see here is tax dollars being saved. Great day for America.
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@11_alv
Manbearbull
1 day
Will be picking up a position in Deck most likely. Primarily because of their Hoka brand. I feel there is potentially huge growth in the brand, current revenue is at 1.5B a quarter compared to 12B Nike. A lot more market share can still be taken from Nike.
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@11_alv
Manbearbull
1 day
Since blue check is gone I’ll be sharing more of my buy reasoning. Not going to be advice and can’t guarantee the 300% plus results I’ve been achieving but we’ll see. New kids on the block are MBOT Nokia. My next post will be reasoning on another.
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@11_alv
Manbearbull
1 day
Always remember to reach greatness there is pain before gain. This goes for everything in life. The problem is people see pain as failing and quit before reaching greatness.
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@11_alv
Manbearbull
1 day
Big news out of Japan with planned US investment of 1 trillion. If you thought Trump would be elected and then we’d get a sudden skyrocketing market then you deserved to lose money. These investments will take some time to show up in the markets.
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@11_alv
Manbearbull
1 day
Like normal 2k into the market this week, most all of it going into the S&P and adding to my Ford position. These are the times you find winners but psychologically people will be too fearful to buy.
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@11_alv
Manbearbull
1 day
Loving all the bearishness out there. Lol. I’m buying and have a few new positions in mind. Started a new position in Nokia and looking at DECK. We’re looking a lot like last year. Same beginning of year fear coming off a banner year.
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@11_alv
Manbearbull
1 day
@BoomerDivvies I’m up 800% on one position and 537% on another Palantir position. Not even thinking about selling right now.
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