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@OceaniaElects
shares news related to parliaments, parties and polls in Oceania.
We collect, analyse, and visualise election and polling data as they become available...
New Zealand: With 100% of preliminary votes counted, the Green Party (Green) candidate Chlöe Swarbrick has won the seat of Auckland Central from the National Party (Centre-right). This is the first victory of the Green Party in an FPTP seat since 1999.
#nzpol
#Decision20
Australia, Ipsos poll:
Should Australia remain a monarchy or become a republic?
Become a republic: 54%
Remain a monarchy: 46%
Fieldwork: 20 December 2022
Sample size: 1,000
#Australia
#auspol
Australia, Pure Profile poll:
“Do you support keeping the monarchy with King Charles III (*) as Head of State or should Australia be a republic...?”
Become a republic: 60%
Remain a monarchy: 40%
Fieldwork: 6-12 April 2023
Sample: 1,500
#Australia
#auspol
#republic
#coronation
France, Parliamentary elections
Tavini, a centre-left separatist party allied with NUPES, won all three constituencies in Polynesia.
Never the left nor the separatists had obtained more than one constituency in the archipelagos.
#L
égislatives2022
Australia: A week ago, the Australian Labor Party (ALP, centre-left) was sworn into govt in New South Wales. The ALP is now leading govts in every mainland state and territory, in addition to the Federal Parliament, with the lone Liberal (centre-right) govt in Tasmania.
#auspol
Australia: In an Easter miracle, former Liberal (centre-right) Prime Minister Harold Holt, presumed to have drowned 56 years ago, has risen from the sea, challenging the prime ministership of Anthony Albanese (ALP, centre-left) and Liberal leadership of Peter Dutton.
#auspol
🐣
France (French Polynesia):
Tāvini huira'atira (centre-left) and NUPES (centre-left to left-wing) have reached an electoral agreement.
The left-of-centre alliance will endorse all candidates of the Polynesian separatist movement in next month's parliamentary election.
Australia:
Scott Morrison is stepping down as the leader of Liberal Party (Centre-right), following his party’s electoral defeat in the 2022 federal election.
#auspol
#ScoMo
Australia: The ABC has called the Indigenous Voice to Parliament referendum as a 'no' victory. 'No' is so far projected to win NSW, TAS, SA, QLD and nationwide, meaning 'yes' cannot get the double majority needed to win (a majority of states and a majority nationwide).
#auspol
Australia, Essential poll:
If there was a referendum on Australia becoming a republic, how would you vote?
Become a republic: 54%
Remain a monarchy: 46%
Fieldwork: 10-14 May 2023
Sample size: 1,125
#Australia
#auspol
Australia, federal election:
House of Representatives (Lower House), 40.2% of votes counted, projected seats
ALP (Centre-left): 71 (+3)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 48 (-29)
GRN (Green): 2 (+1)
…
*23 seats still in doubt
+/- vs. from 2019 election
#AusVotes2022
#auspol
New Caledonia,
French parliamentary elections:
The Kanak and Socialist National Liberation Front (left-wing, separatist) has just obtained its best results ever in both constituencies, with respectively 22% and 33% of the vote.
#L
égislatives2022
Australia, federal election:
Incumbent Prime Minister Scott Morrison (L/NP, Conservative | Centre-right) conceded electoral defeat.
Labor (Centre-left) leader Anthony Albanese is expected to become the 31st PM of Australia.
#AusVotes2022
#auspol
New Zealand: With 100% of preliminary votes counted, the Labour Party (Centre-left) has won 49.1% of the party vote and has elected 64 MPs, winning the first majority since the MMP electoral system was implemented in 1996.
#nzpol
#Decision20
#YourVote2020
🇦🇺 Australia 🦘(Aston), Federal Parliament by-election
Two-candidate preferred:
Doyle (ALP, centre-left): 54.3%✅
Campbell (LIB, centre-right): 45.7%
🐨ALP GAIN from LIB
First time in 103 years that a govt has won a seat off the opposition in a by-election.
#auspol
🌭
#aston
🌭
New Zealand:
100% of election day votes counted, projected seats
National (centre-right): 50 (+17)
Labour (centre-left): 34 (-31)
...
+/- vs. 2020 election
Opposition National is set to form the next govt with ACT (libertarian) but may need NZ First (*) for a majority
#nzpol
Australia, federal election:
House of Representatives (Lower House), 50.6% of votes counted, projected seats
ALP (Centre-left): 72 (+4)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 51 (-26)
GRN (Green): 2 (+1)
…
*18 seats still in doubt
+/- vs. from 2019 election
#AusVotes2022
#auspol
Australia: Pre-polling is now open across Australia in the Indigenous Voice to Parliament referendum. Here is what the different parties and Independents are endorsing in this referendum.
#auspol
#ausvotes
#VoiceReferendum
New Caledonia (France):
The three main separatist movements, namely FLNKS (left-wing), Palika (left-wing), and UC (centre-left), have reached an electoral agreement for next month's parliamentary elections.
The alliance will have a unique candidate in both constituencies.
French Polynesia, territorial elections run-offs
Seat distribution
Tāvini (centre-left to left-wing): 38 (+30)
Tāpura|ʻĀmuitahiraʻa (centre-right to conservative): 16 (-33)
…
(+/- vs. 2018 election)
Tāvini has won an absolute majority of seats for the first time ever.
New Zealand: National (centre-right), ACT (libertarian) and NZ First (*) have agreed to form a coalition government led by Prime Minister-designate Christopher Luxon (National), with Winston Peters (NZ First) as deputy PM until May 2025 followed by David Seymour (ACT).
#nzpol
France (New Caledonia, French Polynesia and Wallis & Futuna), Presidential election (first round) today:
The final results show Emmanuel Macron (EC-RE) winning a plurality in most communities.
#Presidentielles
Results coming in here for Mainland France:
New Zealand
General Election results
100% of election day votes counted
National (centre-right): 39.0% (+13.4)
Labour (centre-left): 26.9% (-23.1)
Green (green): 10.8% (+2.9)
…
Note: Special votes (20.2% of total votes) are still to be counted
+/- vs. 2020 election
#nzpol
New Zealand
General Election, Seat Count
Final result
National (centre-right): 48 (+15)
Labour (centre-left): 34 (-31)
Green (green): 15 (+5)
ACT (libertarian): 11 (+1)
NZ First (*): 8 (+8)
…
+/- 2020 election
#Aotearoa
#NewZealand
#nzpol
#nzelection
#nzpolitics
French Polynesia, territorial elections run-offs
Tāvini (centre-left to left-wing): 44% (+21)
Tāpura|ʻĀmuitahiraʻa (centre-right to conservative): 39% (-38)
…
(+/- vs. 2018 election)
The pro-independence, left-wing Tāvini has won the territorial elections for the first time.
Australia (New South Wales)
Legislative Assembly (Lower House), seat count results:
85/93 seats called
ALP (centre-left): 47
LIB (centre-right): 17
NAT (conservative): 11
IND (*): 7
GRN (green): 3
Labor is projected to win a majority.
#australia
#nswpol
#nswvotes23
#auspol
France,
Wallis and Futuna's constituency (final result)
Seo (Ensemble, centre to centre-right): 50.1%
Mulikihaamea (*, centre-right): 49.9%
With just 16 more votes than Mulikihaamea, Seo is elected MP for Wallis and Futuna.
#L
égislatives2022
#RadioLondres
Australia, Essential poll:
Do you support an alteration to the Australian Constitution establishing an Indigenous Voice to Parliament?
Support: 60% (-)
Oppose: 40% (-)
+/- vs. March 2023
Fieldwork: 12-16 April 2023
Sample size: 1,136
#Australia
#auspol
#voicetoparliament
Australia:
Anthony Albanese (ALP, Centre-left) has been sworn in as the country’s 31st Prime Minister, with Richard Marles (ALP, Centre-left) becoming the deputy prime minister.
#auspol
France, Parliamentary elections
Unionists retained both constituencies of New Caledonia.
The two winners are allied with Together, Emmanuel Macron's alliance.
#L
égislatives2022
French Polynesia, territorial elections:
With 38/57 seats, the pro-independence Tāvini (centre-left to left-wing), allied to NUPES, has obtained its best result ever.
Polynesia will be ruled by an exclusively left-of-centre government for the first time ever.
Australia, Roy Morgan poll:
Two Party Preferred Vote
L/NP (centre-right|conservative): 50.5% (+4.5)
ALP (centre-left): 49.5% (-4.5)
+/- vs. 9-15 October 2023
Fieldwork: 16-22 October 2023
Sample size: 1,383
#Australia
#auspol
New Zealand (party vote):
69.8% of the vote counted
Labour (Centre-left): 49.1% (+12.2)
National (Centre-right): 26.9% (-17.5)
Green (Green): 8.0% (+2.3)
ACT (Right): 7.6% (+7.1)
NZF (*): 2.5% (-4.8)
NC (Conservative): 1.5% (+1.2)
…
+/- vs. from 2017 election
#nzpol
French Polynesia
Territorial elections (preliminary final result)
Tāvini (centre-left to left-wing): 35% (+14)
Tāpura (centre-right): 31% (-12)
AHIP (right-wing): 14% (new)
ʻĀmuitahiraʻa (conservative): 12% (-17)
…
Tāvini, Tāpura, and AHIP are qualified in the run-off.
Australia, federal election:
House of Representatives (Lower House), 80.1% of votes counted, projected seats
ALP (Centre-left): 76 (+8)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 57 (-20)
…
ALP secured a majority government.
+/- vs. from 2019 election
#AusVotes2022
#auspol
Australia, federal election:
House of Representatives (Lower House), 71% of votes counted, projected seats
ALP (Centre-left): 72 (+4)
L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 52 (-25)
GRN (Green): 3 (+2)
…
*12 seats still in doubt
+/- vs. from 2019 election
#AusVotes2022
#auspol
🇦🇺 Australia 🦘, Aston by-election:
The ABC's Antony Green has called the Aston by-election for Labor's (centre-left) Mary Doyle, making the first time in 103 years that the government has won a seat from the opposition at a by-election.
#AstonByElection
🌭
#auspol
🌭
Australia: With the Indigenous Voice to Parliament referendum taking place in a month’s time, our polling average shows that the ‘No’ side has now taken a clear lead
#Australia
#auspol
#voicetoparliament
New Zealand (party vote):
26.5% of the vote counted
Labour (Centre-left): 50.5% (+13.6)
National (Centre-right): 25.8% (-18.6)
Green (Green): 8.3% (+2.0)
ACT (Right): 7.6% (+7.1)
NZF (*): 2.3% (-4.9)
NC (Conservative): 1.4% (+1.1)
…
+/- vs. from 2017 election
#nzpol
Australia, federal election:
House of Representatives (Lower House), 56.2% of votes counted
Nationwide primary votes:
ALP (Centre-left): 31.9% (-1.4)
LIB/LNP (Centre-right): 31.3% (-3.4)
GRN (Green): 12.3% (+1.9)
…
+/- vs. from 2019 election
#AusVotes2022
#auspoll2022
New Zealand: Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern (Labour, centre-left) has announced she will be stepping down as PM and Labour leader by February, before the general elections scheduled for October 14. She is retiring from politics to spend more time with family.
#NewZealand
#NZpoli
France (French Polynesia),
Presidential run-off election (preliminary final result)
Macron (EC, centre to centre-right): 52% (-6)
Le Pen (RN, right): 48% (+6)
(+/- vs 2017 election)
Macron is ahead nationwide & has been elected for a second term.
#France
#presidentielles2022
Australia: Federal election to elect all 151 seats in the House of Representatives & 40 out of 76 Senate seats will be held on Saturday, 21 May 2022.
#auspol
#AusVotes2022
France (overseas territories of Oceania), presidential election today:
Turnout at 17:00
French Polynesia: 23.8% (-20.2)
New Caledonia: 33.0% (-8.7)
Wallis and Futuna: 44.9% (-4.3)
Overall: 28.9% (-14.1)
#election2022
France (New Caledonia, French Polynesia and Wallis & Futuna), Presidential election (run off) today:
The final results show liberal Emmanuel Macron (EC) winning a majority in most communities; right-wing Le Pen (ID) winning the island of Tahiti.
#Presidentielles
Australia:
The Tasmanian Liberals (centre-right) have lost their majority, after two MPs quit the party to become Independents. This follows the Tasmanian government's controversial decision to build a $715 million AFL stadium in Hobart.
#auspol
#taspol
#politas
Australia: one month has passed since the referendum to alter the Constitution to recognise the First Peoples of Australia by establishing an Indigenous Voice failed to meet the double majority threshold. With the writs returned, here is how the nation voted.
#auspol
#ausvotes
French Polynesia (territorial elections):
The separatist, NUPES-associated Tāvini (centre-left to left-wing) hits a record high in today's elections: 35% (+14 vs. 2018).
ʻĀmuitahiraʻa (conservative) hits an all-time record low (12%, -17) and fails to qualify in the run-off.
France: The next New Caledonia independence referendum has been postponed from 6 September to 4 October 2020.
A deal between the local independence movement in the overseas territory and the national government in Paris includes a total of three independence referenda.
Australia, JWS Research poll:
Do you support an alteration to the Australian Constitution establishing an Indigenous Voice to Parliament?
Support: 62% (-3)
Oppose: 38% (+3)
+/- vs. August 2022
Fieldwork: 6-12 March 2023
Sample size: 940
#Australia
#auspol
#voicetoparliament
Australia, Essential poll:
Do you support Australia establishing an Indigenous Voice to Parliament?
Support: 63%
Oppose: 37%
Fieldwork: 13 December 2022
Sample size: 1,075
#Australia
#auspol
Commonwealth realms, Ashcroft poll:
If there were a referendum held tomorrow how would you vote?
For my country to become a republic
For my country to remain a constitutional monarchy with King Charles as head of state
Fieldwork: February-March 2023
Size: 5,154
#Coronation
Australia, Roy Morgan poll:
Two Party Preferred Vote
ALP (centre-left): 53.0% (+3.5)
L/NP (centre-right|conservative): 47.0% (-3.5)
+/- vs. 16-22 October 2023
Fieldwork: 23-29 October 2023
Sample size: 1,375
#Australia
#auspol
New Zealand
General Election
Final result
National (centre-right): 38.1% (+12.5)
Labour (centre-left): 26.9% (-23.1)
Green (green): 11.6% (+3.7)
ACT (libertarian): 8.6% (+1.0)
NZ First (*): 6.1% (+3.5)
…
+/- 2020 election
#Aotearoa
#NewZealand
#nzpol
#nzelection
France (New Caledonia),
Presidential run-off election (preliminary final result)
Macron (EC, centre to centre-right): 61% (+8)
Le Pen (RN, right): 39% (-8)
(+/- vs 2017 election)
Macron is ahead nationwide & has been elected for a second term.
#France
#presidentielles2022
New Zealand, Roy Morgan poll
Vote Intention
National (centre-right): 37.5% (-0.6)
Labour (centre-left): 21.0% (-5.9)
Green (green): 12.5% (+0.9)
ACT (libertarian): 12.5% (+3.9)
NZ First (*): 8.0% (+1.9)
…
+/- vs. 2023 election
Fieldwork: November 2023
Sample size: 920
#nzpol
New Zealand: the latest Roy Morgan poll shows the ruling New Zealand Labour Party (centre-left) on 24%, the lowest level of support for the party since coming to power at the 2017 general election under former Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern.
#NewZealand
#NZpol
#Aotearoa
#Hipkins
French Polynesia,
Voter turnout (first rounds)
2012 (presidential): 49%
2012 (parliamentary): 46%
2017 (pres.): 39%
2017 (parl.): 42%
2022 (pres.): 31%
2022 (parl.): 42%
Turnout increased by 11 points compared to the presidential election, a record for French Polynesia.
Australia (South Australia) regional election:
House of Assembly (Lower House), 50.9% of votes counted
Labor (Centre-left): 40.9% (+12)
Liberal (Centre-right): 34.2% (-2)
Greens (Green): 9.6% (+3.7)
…
+/- vs. from 2018 election
#SAvotes
#SAElection2022
New Zealand (party vote):
100% of the preliminary vote counted
Labour (Centre-left): 49.1% (+12.2)
National (Centre-right): 26.8% (-17.6)
ACT (Right): 8% (+7.5)
Green (Green): 7.6% (+1.3)
NZ First (*): 2.7% (-4.5)
NC (Conservative): 1.5% (+1.3)
…
+/- vs. from 2017 election
Australia, Dynata poll:
‘Will you vote “Yes” or “No” to alter the Constitution to recognise the First Peoples of Australia by establishing an Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Voice?’
Yes: 61%
No: 39%
Fieldwork: 4-7 July 2023
Sample size: 1,004
#auspol
#voicetoparliament
New Zealand, Roy Morgan poll:
Seat Projection
National (centre-right): 43 (+4)
Labour (centre-left): 33 (-7)
ACT (libertarian): 18 (-2)
Green (green): 12 (-)
Māori (indigenous): 8 (-1)
…
+/- vs. June 2023
Fieldwork: July 2023
Sample size: 955
#NewZealand
#nzpol
Australia, Newspoll:
Do you support an alteration to the Australian Constitution establishing an Indigenous Voice to Parliament?
Support: 59%
Oppose: 41%
Fieldwork: 1 February - 3 April 2023
Sample size: 4,756
#Australia
#auspol
#voicetoparliament
New Zealand: Chlöe Swarbrick, MP for Auckland Central, has been elected as co-leader of the Green Party (green), serving alongside list MP Marama Davidson.
Swarbrick: 169 (99%)
Foulkes: 0 (0%)
Re-open nominations: 2 (1%)
#NewZealand
#nzpol
New Zealand: With 33.3% counted, Green Party (Green) candidate Chlöe Swarbrick is currently leading in Auckland Central by 394 votes to Labour's (Centre-left) Helen White.
#nzpol
#Decision20
#YourVote2020
Australia:
Liberal Party (Centre-right) elected Peter Dutton as its new leader and Sussan Ley as his deputy, both unopposed, at today’s meeting.
Former leader Scott Morrison resigned from the party leadership following the party’s defeat in the 2022 federal election.
#auspol
New Zealand, Roy Morgan poll:
Vote Intention
Labour (centre-left): 30.5% (-0.5)
National (centre-right): 30% (-1.5)
ACT (libertarian): 15% (+1.5)
Green (green): 9.5% (-2.5)
…
+/- vs. May 2023
Fieldwork: June 2023
Sample size: 955
#NewZealand
#nzpol
Australia (New South Wales), Resolve poll:
State Vote Intention:
ALP (centre-left): 44% (+7.0)
L/NP (centre-right|conservative): 31% (-4.4)
GRN (green): 9% (-0.7)
+/- vs. 2023 state election
Fieldwork: 12 April - 14 May 2023
Sample size: 1102
#auspol
#nswpol
#nswelects
France (Wallis and Futuna),
Presidential run-off election (preliminary final result)
Macron (EC, centre to centre-right): 67% (-12)
Le Pen (RN, right): 33% (+12)
(+/- vs 2017 election)
Macron is ahead nationwide & has been elected for a 2nd term.
#France
#presidentielles2022
Australia: Former Liberal Party (conservative) PM Scott Morrison—who lost power in May's election—has become the first ex-PM censured by the nation's parliament for secretly appointing himself joint minister of health, finance, treasury, home affairs & resources.
#Australia
#LNP